CHANGING CONSUMER CULTURE ANALYSIS OF THE “COKE CONSUMER” CHANGING CONSUMER HABITS RELATED TO INCREASING HEALTH CONCERNS Study Conducted by: Matt Olson, Kyle Schmidt, Maggie Smith, Brianna Weitz Prof. Dana Lascu December 4th, 2015 Introduction Company Background Coca-Cola is and has been one of the world’s premiere soft drink companies. The company’s classic soft drink was developed in 1886 in Atlanta, Georgia by a pharmacist named John Pemberton. Since its creation, Coca-Cola has remained at the forefront of the soft-drink industry, has maintained the #1 position in the United States, and holds the largest market share globally. Throughout the years, Coca-Cola has kept its company and products relatively consistent, only adding different versions of products. Coke Classic has remained one of the company’s leading products, but Coca-Cola has also introduced different versions of their classic drink along with sports drinks and different flavored water. While Coca-Cola is known mostly for its soft drinks, the other beverages contribute the the company’s overall market value and obviously help Coca-Cola be such a successful company. Purpose The purpose of this study was to explore the Coke consumer and how these consumers’ perceptions (health aspects, consumption, etc.) have changed over the years with the variations of Coca-Cola and their marketing methods. Specifically, we focused on how the soft-drink consumer has changed over time and how Coca-Cola has adjusted to these changes and modified their branding and products to accommodate consumers’ new interests. In this, we hypothesized that consumers would shift from sodas to alternative beverages as health research has become, and keeps becoming, more prevalent and health concerns gain priority. The Coca-Cola market Coca-Cola was established in 1886 by pharmacist John Pemberton in Atlanta, Georgia (Jorgensen, 1994). The soft drink company has remained on top of the market since its conception in the 19th century continually beating out PepsiCo. for greatest market share(Beverage Digest, 2015). The soft-drink market alone (defined as non-alcoholic drinks) has been historically dominated by carbonated soft drinks, as all sodas maintain the largest market share over juices and other beverages (Freedonia, 2015). Throughout history, Coca-Cola has placed a large focus on their image and the importance of their brand name. Campaigns throughout history have maintained the same general happy and sociable images and the company even had a bottle designed that one could recognize anywhere, in the dark, from a distance, or even shattered on the ground (Jorgensen, 1994). The carbonated beverage market started as a means of keeping people out of bars to reduce alcohol consumption but soon created itself a place in American society as a pass-time and part of the romanticized lifestyle. In 1982 Coca-Cola made the announcement for the most significant product release by the company since its beginnings, Diet Coke. The target and reasoning for the beverage was the aging baby boomers and the increasing issue of weight in the United States (Moye, 2013). From this point forward, health concerns became a main focus for most American consumers. Early in the 21st century scientists has been making direct connections between carbonated soft-drinks, and obesity along with other health concerns such as heart disease. In addition to these findings, major news sources began publishing the findings making it more accessible to the general public (Extra Soft Drink..., 2001). Following these findings, consumer interests were beginning to shift. From 2001 to 2011 American spending on weight loss and weight control nearly doubled from $38 billion to $62 billion and dietary focuses began to shift away from salt intake to sugar intake, as 38% of adults reported restricting sugar consumption (Miller & Washington, 2013). As of 2015, 68% of people now claim to take sugar into account over every other ingredient, including salt and fat (Centre Stage, 2015). In addition to the health concerns connected to sugar, many faults were being found with artificial sweeteners as well. Certain health risks were found to be associated with the artificial sweeteners, specifically aspartame, which is the primary sweetener use in diet sodas. Over this past decade there are various noticeable market trends within the soft-drink industry. According to the Freedonia focus report, the demand for soft drinks is going to reach 22.4 billion gallons, showing an annual growth below 1% from 2014 to 2019. While the overall market is slowly growing, the demand for carbonated soft drinks (CSDs) demand is expected to fall by 12.5 billion gallons in 2019, which can be partially explained by the maturity of the CSD market. Since 2004, the demand for carbonated soft drinks has fallen 1.8% annually (Freedonia Focus Groups, 2014). While it is overwhelmingly apparent that the demand for carbonated soft drinks has declined, Statistica (2015; using data compiled from BeverageDigest) reveals that of this decreasing soft-drink market share, Coca-Cola has maintained a fairly stable portion of the market relative to decreasing PepsiCo. market share of carbonated soft drinks (See Fig. 2). Methods To view our study in a broader sense, we conducted two different types of data collection that related to our study. There are many different ways in which to collect data that would benefit our research, and also multiple forms of data collection that could be useful to our study. These include items such as surveys, interviews, word-of-mouth interactions, censuses, and observational studies. All of these forms of data collection could be beneficial to our study. However, we felt that the two most intriguing, as well as most efficient, methods of data collection were both surveys and in-person/over the phone interviews. These would do two things for us: 1) distributing a survey across multiple platforms would allow more respondents to answer our questions with ease, thus allotting for a higher response rate; 2) conducting personal interviews of consumers who drink or did drink Coke products would aid us in building a story with which to further our study. As such, these forms of data collection were both beneficial and crucial to the completion of our study. Quantitative Data Collection We first analyzed a problem that we faced while conducting our study; how can we attain a large amount of data in the relatively short time that will provide us enough statistics to make assumptions about the “Coke consumer.” Had we had an infinite amount of time, we could have observed the habits of many Coca-Cola consumers over time and partook in word-of-mouth research that would be extremely beneficial to our study. However, being that we faced somewhat of a time constraint, we looked at other options that would produce a relatively high volume of data in a finite time period. Thus, a survey or an online questionnaire would be the most efficient route for quantitative data collection. As such, we constructed a survey that asked respondents a series of questions relating to the study (see appendix fig. 1 & 1.2). For example, the first question contained within the survey was simple yet informative. We asked, “How often do you drink Coke?” Giving multiple answer choices ranging from “Never,” to “2-3 Times a Week,” to “Daily,” the respondent is able to clearly provide an answer. Additionally, this question achieves multiple goals. First, we introduce the respondent to the topic of the survey. Second, this question provides numerical feedback that can be used to conduct the study. Lastly, the question is simple, but provides very valuable quantitative data as to just how much the average consumer drinks CocaCola. A sequential series of questions followed that would provide quantitative data that could be used to interpret our assumptions about the market that we were viewing. We would then distribute our survey across multiple platforms, most prominently social media outlets including Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. As the response rate increased, a snowball effect was observed that only furthered the amount of responses received. Furthermore, the survey proved to be the most effective means of collecting a large amount of quantitative data that related to our study. Qualitative Data Collection Now that the means for collecting our quantitative data had been addressed, we still needed to look at the best way to gain qualitative data that would provide an in-depth look at the consumers we were patronizing. This measure was much more simple to determine, however, since there are limited ways in which to collect qualitative data. The primary methods for qualitative data collection are personal interviews, focus groups, and observations. All three methods would have been beneficial to our research; however, two of the aforementioned methods would not have been as beneficial to our research as the third. Focus groups would have given a much larger response from a selected audience, but do to a finite period of time and a potential lack of participants, the idea of a focus group was minimal. Additionally, a focus group would not have proved to be as personal as other methods such as observation or interviews. That said, observation would have been more personal, but not as beneficial to our research as much as interviews would be. Through observation, we could view the personal habits of our target consumers, but could not build a story around those consumers that would relate to the study. It is for this reason that the methodology chosen for our qualitative analysis was personal interviews to be conducted with two individuals. This would be the most effective means of collecting qualitative data because it would both provide personal data on an individual scale while also building a story in which to develop our study. For our interviews, we realized that we would need to diverse perspectives on the changes presented by the Coca-Cola brand. Consequently, we chose subjects from opposite ends of our age spectrum contained within our survey (15-71 years) so that we could achieve said diversity. We interviewed both a University of Richmond student and an older consumer from Austin, Texas. This would provide two different perspectives on the changing image of Coca-Cola in regards to our study. Results of the interviews will be discussed in the “Results” section of this document. Results Quantitative Analysis The survey distributed to participants included a total of 7 measures and two variables to consider. When analyzing the data a large emphasis was placed on the age variable to help understand the development of the Coca-Cola consumer across generations. Table 1 and 1b display the demographics of the study including gender and age.. Across measures there is a slight variation between sample sizes due to the emittance of questions at the discretion of the participant, usually relating to consumption levels or lack of opinion and/or answer. A significant discrepancy in sample size is apparent in the measures of recommendation and observations of marketing changes. Upon beginning the analysis it became apparent that the original coding of the questions did not entirely address the purpose of the question so each item was recoded to get a better understanding of the population studied. For Coca-Cola recommendations the “indifferent” answer choice was removed to get a better measure of both those who would “yes” recommend the product and those who “no” would not recommend the product. This significantly limited the population size but allowed for the analysis of correlations between this measure and other measures studied. In addition, the observance of changes in Coca-Cola marketing strategies was originally coded to allow options of “yes’ in a positive way”, “yes, in a negative way”, “no”, and “unknown”. Upon analysis the positive and negative additions were not relevant to the purpose of the study so all “yes” answers were merged and once again the “unknown” choice was excluded to better analyze both “yes” and “no” correlations. Table 2 depicts correlations for every variable studied—consumption frequency, opinion of health aspects, duration of consumption, consumer appeal, marketing strategy changes, likelihood of recommending, gender, and age. Statistical significance was marked at p < .05 and highly significant p < .01. Because of the small sample size the analysis was more lenient when considering the significance of correlation values. All bolded values in the table are considered statically significant. Notable significant correlations were found between frequencies of consumption, health perspectives, life duration of consumption, and likelihood of recommendation. Interestingly, significant correlations were also found between age and health perspectives, and the change in marketing strategies. Highly significant was the positive correlation of .446 between the frequency of drinking Coke and the opinion on health aspects, depicting that consumption does drop as individuals become more conscious of the health aspects of the beverage. In addition, there was also a highly significant correlation between frequency and how long the participant has been consuming Coke signifying the possibility of consumption increase over time as those who have been drinking longer drink more. This could also mean that those who began drinking longer ago are less influenced by health concerns related to soft drinks. Lastly, when considering consumption frequency, the negative correlation with product recommendation (-.360) shows that those who drink Coke more often are more likely to recommend the brand. The measure concerning the opinions on the health aspects of Coke also posed multiple significant correlations, particularly pertaining to the change of the consumer. The positive correlation between the opinions of health aspects (1-Very Unhealthy, 4-Very Healthy) with how long the participant has been consuming Coke reveals that the longer someone consumers Coke the less critical they are of health aspects. Highly relevant to the study at hand, there was a positive correlation between age and health concerns. The older the participant, the less critical they were of the health aspects of the beverage. The correlation between how long a consumer has been drinking Coke along with their likelihood of recommending showed that the longer they’ve been exposed to Coke the more likely they were to recommend the product. Table 3 and 3b give a closer insight into the generational differences in the response to certain measures. Table 3, when taking the sample size of each age group into consideration, reveals that the older age group (51-70) seems to be more likely to drink Coca-Cola more frequently. Our sample population did pose various limitations, as exemplified in this table, but those limitations will be more specifically addressed within the discussion. Table 3b is a cross-tab between health concerns and age. The table is simply a more explicit representation of the obvious generational difference when considering the health implications of soft drinks. Looking at the response rates of each age group the older generations are far less critical. Table 3c, while not quantitative in nature was an important additional finding when going through the data. After looking through the cross-tabs of each measure there was a unique finding between the participant’s consumption and their observation of marketing changes. The question “How often do you drink Coke” was divided into 7 responses, never, less than once a month, once a month, 2-3 times a month, once a week, 2-3 times a week, and daily. For the purpose of this observation we grouped never and less than once a week together to measure “rare consumption”. On table 3c you will see the number of responses bolded for the two categories. When taking all participants into consideration it becomes apparent that 18 of the 37 total “rare” consumers had some type of opinion about marketing changes. Regardless of yes or no response nearly 50% of those who don’t even really consume the product were still aware of Coca-Cola advertisements well enough to share an opinion on it. Qualitative Analysis Interview One: The first interview we conducted was of a University of Richmond student. Questions were asked that both related to the study and also created a research based story to implement into our conclusions. The first question asked was simply, “What Coke products do you drink?” The subject responded with, “I usually drink Diet Coke or regular Coke…” or “...preferably Mexican Coke…[due to the natural sweeteners used in this product].” When asked why, the subject stated that her parents would strictly purchase Diet Coke product, and consequently, she became accustomed to the taste of the diet version of the brand. We also asked the question of how often the interviewee drank Coca-Cola products. She stated that at her highest level of consumption, she would drink up to three bottles of Diet Coke per day. Now, the subject consumes no more than two bottles of Diet Coke within a weekly period. We then posed the question of, “what caused this change of consumption level,” where it was revealed that a heightened level of health concerns caused a reduction in consumption by this individual. After consuming up to three bottles a day, our subject “was beginning to have health concerns” relating to caffeine addiction and soda in general. We would continue to ask questions about general health concerns and lifestyle habits to further the responses related to our study. From the interview conducted with the first subject, we could generalize that health issues were in fact impacting “Coke consumers.” This assumption will be further proven in the second interview conducted within our study. Interview Two: After the conclusion of the first interview, we identified an ideal subject for the topic of our study. We interviewed a 65 year old male who until recently (circa 2005) was a lifetime consumer of Coke and Coca-Cola products. First, we opened with another simple question, “What kind of Coke products do you drink?” The interviewee responded by stating that he no longer consumes Coca-Cola, but did say that from the time he was a child, he regularly consumed the original Coca-Cola. He then stated that as he grew older, and diet products were introduced into the market, he became fond of Diet Coke. When asked why, he gave two specific reasons. First, he simply enjoyed the taste of Diet Coke more so than the original flavor. Second, he revealed that both he and his wife were moving towards living healthier lifestyles, and as such felt the need to no longer consume soft drinks. He said this was in part because of a noticeable shift in consumer habits regarding health. When asked what would then be his go-to drink, water was immediately his answer. So, we observed that a consumer who would habitually consume one to two bottles of Coke per day no longer consumes the product in favor of changing health concerns facing the modern “Coke consumer.” We asked the subject additional questions regarding general health concerns about soft drinks, and we were told that “soda is unhealthy, and is portrayed as a refreshing drink to reach for whenever you are thirsty.” This comment was, among the other responses received within the interview, also consistent with the generalization that health concerns are in fact impacting what is known as the “Coke consumer.” Conclusions Overall, the various correlations revealed a fairly significant consumer shift. While CocaCola has a large market when considering the different generations, their main focus has historically been the younger consumers (ex. Young adults). We have found that in conjunction with the increase in health research and social media spreading these findings, these younger consumers have become more health-conscious than their predecessor generations. The younger participants were more likely to have more critical views of the popular soft drink. Beginning with the age group of 50-71 and continuing with the 71+ age group the participants rated the drink from somewhat unhealthy all the way to very healthy. The explanation of this could follow the same outline as cigarette use on a less significant scale. During this age group’s childhood, there was little health research and few media regulations. The advertisements were widespread and were fairly integral parts of their childhood when considering memories and experiences. Our overall data suggests an overall shift in consumer interests, which helps to explain the decline in the market share of soda in the soft-drink industry today. The consumer has become more health-conscious as information is more readily available to them and as each new health concern gets passed down from one generation to the next. Coca-Cola itself does have an interesting situation when considering this industry because despite the decrease in sales and interest in sodas altogether, the company is able to maintain its status as one of the most well-known American companies in the world, being the most talked about brand in the US (Wang, 2008). We attribute this success to Coca-Cola’s revolutionary marketing strategies that have been employed since the conception of the company. When considering the findings of cross-tab 3c, it’s apparent that regardless of whether or not someone is actually consuming the product, they are well aware of their advertisements and consecutive campaigns. Our survey included a few qualitative questions to get a better idea of the respondents and how they feel. One question we asked of every respondent, regardless of all other responses, was whether or not they had a favorite Coca-Cola campaign. When looking at those who claimed “rare” consumption levels (never or less than once a month) we found that 50% of respondents did in fact have a favorite campaign and were able to identify it. These findings of extensive brand awareness show the overwhelming success of Coca-Cola advertising. Coca-Cola uses their advertising to not only market their product and name, but establish a lifestyle that everyone could relate to. By doing so, this brand has become a greater part of the American life and helps to explain their maintained success despite changing consumer interests. Limitations Our study did pose various limitations that must be taken into account when considering the results. Most significant is the obvious bias of the population. Because the study was distributed via social media, using the snowball method, a majority of the participants fall into the age group of 16-25, which comprise a majority of social media users. While there was representation from the older age groups, they are most definitely underrepresented. In addition, being the first time we have constructed our own study and constructed our own questionnaire, many of the questions were not worded for the most relevant responses. It was found that certain questions did not produce relevant responses and were not heavily considered during the data analysis. Finally, a slightly different age grouping of the age question would have produced responses more relevant to generational differences. Had we divided the groups to follow strict generational lines we could have also analyzed generational differences to add for a greater explanation in a consumer shift. We only generally considered specific generational interest and life differences. Even with these limitations the study did provide various findings that created a general explanation for the consumer shift and change in the industry. Appendix Fig. 1 Fig 1.2 Fig. 2 Find the Interactive graph at: http://www.statista.com/statistics/225464/market-share-of-leading-soft-drink-companies-in-the-us-since-2004/ Table 1. Demographics: Gender # Answer Response % 1 Male 31 40% 2 Female 46 60% Total 77 100% Response % Table 1b. Demographics: Age # Answer 1 15 and under 0 0% 2 16-25 56 72% 3 26-35 3 4% 4 36-50 9 12% 5 51-70 6 8% 6 71+ 4 5% Total 78 100% Table 3. Cross-Tabulations: Frequency*Age What is your age? Total Table 2. Altered Correlations How often do you drink Coke? How do you feel about the health aspects of Coke?-Very Unhealthy: Very Healthy How long have you been drinking Coke? Do you think health concerns affect how often people consume soft drinks? Do you feel that Coca-Cola is effective in appealing to their consumers?Not Effective at all: Very Effective Do you feel that Coca-Cola has changed their marketing strategies over time? Would you recommend Coke products over another company's? What is your gender? Pearson Correlation Sig. (2tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2tailed) N How often do you drink Coke? How do you feel about the health aspects of Coke?-Very Unhealthy: Very Healthy How long have you been drinking Coke? Do you think health concerns affect how often people consume soft drinks? Do you feel that CocaCola is effective in appealing to their consumers?Not Effective at all: Very Effective 1 .446** .549** .025 .008 -.176 -.360* -.317** -.035 .000 .000 .831 .948 .278 .011 .005 .760 Do you feel that CocaCola has changed their marketing strategies over time? Would you recommend Coke products over another company's? What is your gender? What is your age? 77 77 75 77 77 40 49 76 77 .446** 1 .258* -.072 .055 .070 -.313* -.220 .285* .026 .533 .637 .670 .028 .056 .012 75 77 77 40 49 76 .000 77 77 ** * ** 77 * .025 .060 .029 -.466 -.243 -.007 .831 .610 .860 .001 .037 .953 75 75 39 48 74 75 1 -.076 .029 -.053 -.223 -.283* .514 .859 .719 .053 .013 77 77 40 49 76 77 .060 -.076 1 -.237 -.140 .192 -.141 .637 .610 .514 .141 .338 .096 .223 77 77 75 77 77 40 49 76 77 -.176 .070 .029 .029 -.237 1 .180 -.118 .429** .278 .670 .860 .859 .141 .380 .469 .006 40 40 39 40 40 40 26 40 40 -.466** -.053 -.140 .180 1 .004 -.039 .001 .719 .338 .380 .976 .788 48 49 49 26 49 49 49 -.243 -.223 .192 -.118 .004 1 .078 .037 .053 .096 .469 .976 74 76 76 40 49 76 76 1 .549 .258 .000 .026 75 75 75 .025 -.072 .025 .831 .533 .831 77 77 75 .008 .055 .948 Pearson -.360* -.313* Correlation Sig. (2.011 .028 tailed) N 49 49 Pearson ** -.317 -.220 Correlation Sig. (2.005 .056 tailed) N 76 76 What is your Pearson -.035 .285* age? Correlation Sig. (2.760 .012 tailed) N 77 77 **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 1 * * ** .501 -.007 -.283 -.141 .429 -.039 .078 .953 .013 .223 .006 .788 .501 75 77 77 40 49 76 *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). Never 16-25 2635 3650 5170 71+ 11 1 2 0 2 16 77 Less than Once a Month 15 2 3 0 1 21 Once a Month How often do you drink Coke? 2 0 0 2 1 5 2-3 Times a Month 9 0 1 2 0 12 Once a Week 11 0 0 0 0 11 2-3 Times a Week 5 0 0 0 0 5 Daily 3 0 2 2 0 7 56 3 8 6 4 77 Total Table 3b. Cross-Tabulations: Health*Age What is your age? 26- 36- 5116-25 35 50 70 How do you feel about the health aspects of Coke? Very Unhealthy: Very Healthy 71+ Total 1 23 3 4 0 0 30 2 22 0 1 3 2 28 3 11 0 3 2 2 18 0 0 0 1 0 1 56 3 8 6 4 77 4 Total Table 3c. Cross-Tabulations: Frequency*Marketing Changes Do you feel that Coca-Cola has changed their marketing strategies over time? Yes, in a Yes, in positive negative way way No Unknown How often do you drink Coke? Total Never 3 0 1 12 16 Less than Once a Month 9 1 4 7 21 Once a Month 1 1 1 2 5 2-3 Times a Month 3 1 1 7 12 Once a Week 3 0 2 5 10 2-3 Times a Week 2 0 0 3 5 5 26 1 4 0 9 1 37 7 76 Daily Tota References Beverage Digest. (2015, March). Special Issue: U.S. Beverage Business Results for 2014. Bedford Hills, NY: Beverage-Digest. Centre Stage: Why sugar may be bad for your brand's health. (2015, October 1). Marketing, 25. Retrieved from http://bi.galegroup.com/global/article/GALE%7CA430383528/6c94a8e190786f71a57c5b 2d8060b8e3?u=vic_uor Extra Soft Drink Is Cited as Major Factor in Obesity. (2001, February 16). Retrieved from New York Times website: http://www.nytimes.com/2001/02/16/us/extra-soft-drink-is-cited-asmajor-factor-in-obesity.html Freedonia Focus Reports. (2015, October). Soft Drinks: United States. Cleveland, OH: The Freedonia Group. Jorgensen, Janice, ed. "Coca-Cola." 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