Finish Overview of Criminology Crime and the Media Empirical Evidence is the KEY • Theories attempt to demonstrate cause-effect • Criteria for causation in social science using a poverty crime example – Time ordering: poverty happens before crime – Correlation: poverty is related to crime – Relationship is not spurious: the two are not related because of a third factor such as low selfcontrol Methods for generating evidence • Experiment – Key is randomly assigned groups – Only factor that effects outcome is group difference at start of experiment – Limit = artificial nature Experimental Design Methods for generating evidence II • Non-experimental – Survey research • Cross sectional • Longitudinal – Limit = how to rule out spuriousness – Upside = ask whatever you want Ideology in Criminology • Walter Miller – Ideology is the “permanent hidden agenda of Criminal Justice” • What is “Ideology?” • American Political Ideology – Liberal/Progressive Ideology – Conservative Ideology – Radical Ideology Dominant Ideologies in U.S. CONSERVATIES • Value order/stability, respect for authority • People get what they deserve • Crime caused by poor choice (Free will) LIBERALS • Value equal opportunities and individual rights • Success/failure depends on outside forces and where you start • Crime is caused by outside influences Implications of Ideology for Crime and Justice • Conservatives tend to fit with “Classical School” – “Neo-Classical” = deterrence, incapacitation • James Q. Wilson’s “policy analysis” • Liberal/Progressive fit with positive school – Favor decriminalizing some acts – “Root causes” of crime only fixed by social change – Rehabilitation may be possible • Elliott Currie = ample evidence that government can address social ills and prevent crime • Radical = Marxist/conflict theory Ideology as “hidden agenda” • Many policies and programs are driven more by ideology than empirical evidence – Intensive supervision probation (conservatives) – Restorative justice (liberals) The “Martinson Report” (MR) • The “Martinson Report” was review of studies on rehabilitation published in the early 1970s – Concluded that not much is working – Used by politicians as the reason for abandoning rehab • Social Context of the 1960s – Hippies, Watergate, Attica, Viet Nam, Kent State… – Conservatives? SKY IS FALLING – Liberals? Cannot trust the government • Reality = liberals and conservatives were both “ready” to pull the plug on rehabilitation The Limits of Empirical Evidence • Criminologists tend to be cautions with conclusions – All studies are flawed in some way • Politicians and public tend to “over generalize” from a single study – This can lead to bad policy • RAND Felony Probation study • Domestic Violence Experiments Good theory makes good policy… • In a purely objective, scientific world, programs and policies would flow from empirically supported theories of crime • Unfortunately, people often “shoot from hip” – Policy without Theory – The “panacea” problem: scared straight, intensive probation, boot camps, warm and fuzzy circle… • Some hope in “evidence-based” movement – Multisystemic Therapy (MST) • Targets for change = parental supervision, delinquent friends, reducing rewards for deviance… Crime and the Media Public opinion Class survey results Criminology vs. Other Science • How many “crime related” T.V. shows can you name off the top of your head? – Crime and the CJS on T.V. news or newspapers? – Crime and the CJS in movies and fiction books? – How does this compare to biology, psychology, or physics? Who Cares? • People get information about most things from the internet, TV, newspaper, and movies • BUT—with regard to crime, the question becomes, “How accurately does the media reflect crime, criminals, and the criminal justice system?” – “Back stage” behavior Sources of Media Bias—or “Reasons for Skepticism” • Newspapers/T.V./internet news – Crime in general captures audiences – Violent crime, especially stranger violence • “If it bleeds it leads” • Politicians – “Get tough” on crime = political payoff • Entertainment – Need for “excitement” belies accurate portrayal of criminals and criminal justice system • Think “COPS” Types of Distortion • Creation of “crime waves” • Attention to violent crime – What about “white collar crime?” • Creating/Spreading Crime Myths – Halloween psychopaths – The Serial Killer Epidemic – Satanic Daycare Class Survey: Over Past 20 Years, Crime Has… 80 70 75 64 60 50 40 26 30 16 20 10 9 8 0 Violent Increase Property Stable Decrease What percent of homicide caused by serial killers? Column1 60 50 40 30 Column1 20 10 0 0-5% 6-10% 11-25% 26-50% What percent of those found guilty had a trial (not plea)? Column1 45 40 35 30 25 Column1 20 15 10 5 0 0-10% 11-20% 21-30% 31-40% Children poisoned by strangers with Halloween candy in past 20 years? Column1 45 40 35 30 25 Column1 20 15 10 5 0 none 0-100 100-500 500+ Children abducted by stranger in typical year in U.S. Series 1 35 30 25 20 Series 1 15 10 5 0 0-100 100-300 300-600 more than 600 Media and Crime: Summary • Tendency to distort reality: – Political rhetoric – If it bleeds it leads (other types of crime?) – Overemphasis on crime (crime waves) – An “effective” criminal justice system • Why is any of this important – Dorthy and W.I. Thomas (1928), if people believe it, it is “real in its consequences.” Fear of Crime • Why is “fear of crime” important? • How fearful are Americans? • Are some Americans more fearful than others? – Structural Factors (size of town/city) – Individual Factors (age, race, gender) Class Survey, % Afraid of Victimization by Gender 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 58% Male Female 14% Male Female Attitudes Towards Punishment • When polling questions are broad/general, it appears that Americans are punitive and punishment oriented: – Do you support the death penalty for convicted murderers? (75% yes) – In general, do you think the courts in this country deal too harshly or not harshly enough with criminals? (80% not harsh enough). (Our Class = 50% not harsh enough) – Consistency across race, class, other factors • BUT: Adding complexity to the questions affects answers More Complex Questions • Class Survey Responses – Do you support the Death Penalty? • 64% – If given the option of “life without parole?“ • 54% – Survey of Ohio residents about 3 Strikes legislation • 90% of Ohio residents supported 3 Strikes in general • Only 17% choose life in prison as a punishment when given specific cases What about “Rehabilitation” or Prevention? • Again, public attitudes are complex • Does the public want their pound of flesh? – YES, believe in retribution and deterrence • Does the public also want rehabilitation? – YES, especially for drug/property offenses • Is the public willing to use tax dollars for prevention? – YES