European Community Corruption Perception Index Transparency International Gottingen University Berlin, Germany http://www.transparency.org Corruption Perception Index Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 Country Score 2014 Corruption Perception Index Rank Country Score 1 Denmark 92 2 New Zealand 91 3 Finland 89 4 Sweden 87 5 Norway 86 5 Switzerland 86 2014 Corruption Perception Index Rank Country Score 170 Iraq 16 171 S. Sudan 15 172 Afghanistan 12 173 Sudan 11 174 N. Korea 8 174 Somolia 8 2014 Corruption Perception Index Rank Country Score 10 Canada 81 15 Japan 76 17 U. S. A. 74 26 France 69 100 China 36 103 Mexico 35 Shapiro: Chapter 3 The International Monetary System Alternative Exchange Rate Systems Free (“Clean”) Float Managed (“Dirty”) Float Target-Zone Fixed Rate Hybrid Free (“Clean”) Float System Supply & demand for currency Price level changes (inflation) Interest rate differentials Economic growth Exchange rates fluctuate randomly Adjust quickly to new information Managed (“Dirty”) Float System Central bank intervention Reduce economic uncertainty Impact on domestic economy Appreciation (reduces exports) Depreciation (higher inflation) Managed (“Dirty”) Float System Categories: – 1. smoothing daily fluctuations – 2. “leaning against the wind” – 3. unofficial pegging Fluctuating Value of the Yen [¥ per $,1954 - 2015] “Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency interventions in September” -MSNBC, 9/30/03 “Japan spent more than 4 trillion yen ($36.2 billion) over the last month intervening in currency markets, adding to a record figure it has spent this year in an aggressive yenweakening campaign that has been criticized by its trading partners.” “Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency interventions in September” -MSNBC, 9/30/03 “That brought the total for the year to 13.48 trillion yen ($122.01 billion). The cumulative figure has already surpassed the previous fullyear record of 7.64 trillion yen in 1999.” “Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency interventions in September” -MSNBC, 9/30/03 “Japanese officials often threaten to step into the market to prevent ‘excessive’ movements by the Japanese currency, whose fluctuations have a direct impact on profits by exporters.” Target-Zone Arrangement Adjust national economic policies Maintain exchange rates in a “band” around official rates European Monetary System (EMS) Target-Zone Arrangement [European Currency Unit (ECU)] unit of account – 1979-1999 composite currency twelve European countries exchange rate mechanism (ERM) originally a ±2.25% range electronic Exchange Rate Target Zone Arrangement [European Monetary System] 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 Central Rate 1 2 3 4 5 Time 6 7 8 9 Exchange Rate Target Zone Arrangement [European Monetary System] 105 104 103 102 101 100 99 98 97 96 95 +2.25% -2.25% 1 2 3 4 5 Time 6 7 8 9 Exchange Rate Target Zone Arrangement [European Monetary System] 105 104 103 102 101 100 99 98 97 96 95 +2.25% -2.25% 1 2 3 4 5 Time 6 7 8 9 Target Zone Arrangement [European Monetary System] +2.25% -2.25% ? ? Target Zone Arrangement [European Monetary System] +2.25% -2.25% Buy Sell Target-Zone Arrangement [European Currency Unit (ECU)] unit of account – 1979-1999 composite currency twelve European countries exchange rate mechanism (ERM) originally a ±2.25% range adjusted to a ±15% range electronic Target Zone Arrangement [European Monetary System] Exchange Rate 120 115 110 +15% 105 +2.25% 100 95 -2.25% 90 85 -15% 80 1 2 3 4 5 Time 6 7 8 9 European Monetary Union Maastricht Treaty (7 Feb. 1992) Single central bank (ECB) Single European currency (“Euro”) Qualification standards – inflation – currency stability – national debt and deficit European Monetary Union [Convergence Criteria] Inflation: no more than 1.5% above avg. of three members with lowest rate L-T interest rate: no more than 2% above avg. of three members with lowest rate Fiscal deficit: no more than 3% of GDP Govt. debt: no more than 60% of GDP European Monetary Union [Advantages] Lower currency conversion costs Eliminate risk of currency fluctuations Encourage trade and investment Efficient allocation of resources Coordinate monetary policy Similar inflation rate Fixed-Rate System (Bretton Woods) Target exchange rates Central bank buys or sells currency to maintain rate Coordinated monetary policy Same inflation rate for each country Sacrifices control of domestic economic policy The Gold Standard Why? Distrust of fiat (paper) money and governments Automatic adjustment mechanism “price-specie-flow” mechanism Reasons for Currency Crises Global trade links Integrated financial systems Debt policy – excessive short-term debt Avoiding Financial Crises Currency controls Freely floating currency Fixed exchange rates Better information Economics U$A Video “Exchange Rates” [# 1183]