Politics and Corporate Governance Aula 8 Ciência Política CGAE FGV-EAESP Topics 1) Corporate Governance: Definition, Concepts, and Propositions for Management 2) Aggregate Analysis: Politics and Corporate Governance (Sinn & Gourevitch, 2006) 3) Alternatives to Aggregate Analysis: a) Concepts/Categories b) Small n comparisons c) Case Studies 4 Conclusions: Politics & Corporate Governance 5 Bibliography 1) Definition: Corporate Governance 2004 OECD Principles of Corporate Governance, “corporate governance involves a set of relationships between a company’s management, its board, its shareholders and other stakeholders. Corporate Governance also provides the structure through which the objectives of the company are set, and the means of attaining those objectives and monitoring performance are determined” (OECD 2004: 11). Marco Zero = Bearle & Means The Modern Corporation and Private Property, (1932) 2 Book I, Property in Flux : 2.1 I Property in transition – 2.2 II The appearance of the corporate system – 2.3 III The concentration of economic power – 2.4 IV The dispersion of stock ownership – 2.5 V The evolution of control – 2.6 VI The divergence of interest between ownership and control 3 Book II, Regrouping of Rights: 3.1 I Evolution of the modern corporate structure – 3.2 II Power over participation accruing to shares of stock – 3.3 III Power over the routing of earnings as between shares of stock – 3.4 IV Power to alter the original contract rights of security holders – 3.5 V The legal position of management – 3.6 VI The legal position of "control“ – 3.7 VII Corporate powers as powers in trust – 3.8 VIII The resultant position of the stockholder 4 Book III, Property in the Stock Markets : 4.1 I The function of the public market – 4.2 II Flotation and bankers' disclosure – 4.3 III Disclosure by the corporation to the market – 4.4 IV Management in the market 5 Book IV, Reorientation of Enterprise : 5.1 I The traditional logic of property – 5.2 II The traditional logic of profits – 5.3 III The inadequacy of traditional theory – 5.4 IV The new concept of the corporation Instituto Brasileiro de Governança Corporativa http://www.ibgc.org.br/Home.aspx 3 mercados Bovespa Os 3 Mercados da Bovespa Propriedade Dispersa = Sem Acionista >20%, Propriedade Dominante = Algum Acionista 20-50% Propriedade Familiar = Membros de Familia / Fundação >50% Outras = >50% Ações Fonte: Governança Corporativa: Padrões Internacionais e Evidências Empíricas no Brasil nos Anos 90, Nelson Siffert Filho http://www.fundoamazonia.gov.br/SiteBNDES/export/sites/default/bndes_pt/Galerias/Arqui vos/conhecimento/revista/rev906.pdf Brasil 1990 Brasil 1997 GRUN, Roberto. Convergência das elites e inovações financeiras: a governança corporativa no Brasil. Rev. bras. Ci. Soc. [online]. 2005, vol.20, n.58, pp. 67-90. ISSN 0102-6909. Variedades de Governança Corporativa? Academy of Management Review, 2003, Vol. 28, No. 3, 447–465. Propositions: Property Rights & Corporate Governance Propositions: Financial Systems & Corporate Governance Proposition: Inter-Firm Networks & Corporate Governance Propositions: Labor Representation & Corporate Governance Propositions: Labor Unions & Corporate Governance Propositions: Education Systems & Corporate Governance Propositions: Management Styles & Corporate Governance Propositions: Management Markets & Corporate Governance Core Concepts: Blockholding vs Shareholder Protection Aggregate Analysis: Shinn & Gourevitch, Politics and Corporate Governance, Princeton University Press, 2006 Causal Relations & Politics Political Coalitions and Policy Outcomes 3 Theories about Aggregate Relations: Varieties of Capitalism (VOC) vs Minority Shareholder Protection (MSP) vs Quality Corporate Law (QCL) Aggregate Analysis: Market Capitalization & Shareholder Protection Aggregate Analysis: Foreign Investment & Shareholder Protection Aggregate Analysis: Private Pension Assets & Shareholder Protection Consensus/Majoritarian Politics and Blockholding of Shares Alternative to Aggregate Analysis: Small-n Comparisons Question: If France > Germany in Corporate Governance, what impact in markets & Development? Market Capitalization in Big-5 (MSP > VOC) Mutual Fund Ranking of Investment Destinations, 1997-2005 Price-Earnings Ratios: Germany vs France Alternative to Aggregate Analysis: Case Studies Martin Höpner, “Corporate Governance in Transition: Ten Empirical Findings on Shareholder Value and Industrial Relations in Germany” Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung, Köln MPIfG Discussion Paper 01/5 Ownership Structure in German Corporations, 1978-1998 Source of Firm Finance in Germany, 1984-1999 Shareholder Orientation Index/ % Shareholding by Institutional Investor Company Image / Shareholder Orientation Index Origin of German CEOs Análise de Redes Höpner, Martin/ Krempel, Lothar (2003): Ein Netzwerk in Auflösung: Wie die Deutschland AG zerfällt, in: MPIfGJahrbuch 2003/04, Köln 2004, S. 9-14. Mendes-Da-Silva, Wesley. Conselhos de Administração no Brasil e Redes Sociais “Deutschland AG” Source: Höpner, Martin/ Krempel, Lothar (2003): Ein Netzwerk in Auflösung: Wie die Deutschland AG zerfällt, in: MPIfG-Jahrbuch 2003/04, Köln 2004, S. 9-14. 1997 Reformas Financeiras 2002 Alternatives to Aggregate Analysis and Sociology of Networks (REDES): 1) Concepts 2) Small-n Comparisons 3) Case Studies “Global Forces, Political Mediation, and the Fragmentation of Corporate Governance Patterns: The Cases of France, Japan, and Korea” Yves Tiberghien, Harvard Academy & WCFIA, work in progress, 2004 Concepts: Outsider vs Insider Systems “outsider systems” = UK, Canada, Australia, New-Zealand, US “insider systems” = other OECD, most non-OECD countries Outsider - Liberal Anglo-Saxon systems: Direct financing through capital markets, Dispersed corporate ownership, Flexible labor markets. Liberal Arts Generalist Education Systems Insider - Non liberal systems: Complementary set of industrial organization (large groups, cross-shareholdings), Stable employment practices, Bank-centered corporate finance, Welfare corporatism. Technical-Vocational Education Systems 3 Insider Systems Small N Comparison: Clusters of Corporate Governance Systems Hypotheses: Why Differences? Corporate Governance Reforms: France Japan Korea 19962002 Shareholder Profile, Japan 19902003 Japan: Corporate Governance Reforms Foreign Equity Inflows BOLD = Institutional Change or major political signals with a significant impact on the process of corporate reforms, i.e. Political decision (Diet, Cabinet, Coalition) Politics Corporate Governance? Critical Idea: if too many variables, not enough cases (statistics, experiment not possible) THEN CASE STUDIES AND SMALL N COMPARISONS OFTEN REVEAL “PATH DEPENDENCE” 4 Causal Paths: 1) political entrepreneurship, 2) bureaucratic mediation, 3) institutional boomerang, 4) shareholding activist organizations 1st path: political entrepreneurship Party leaders rise above position: gamble = shift blame of reforms to others reach out to voters stay in power until reform benefits visible. Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi in Japan: pro-investor reform program against the majority of his own party. Able to keep enough party support to pass legislation by enlarging the support base of his party, shifting the blame to opponents to reforms (who thus limit the benefits of reforms) and cultivating groups of lawmakers. Political Entrepreneurship Path: France & Korea France: Dominique Strauss-Kahn & Laurent Fabius in France: pushed a pro corporate governance agenda as finance ministers vs majority of socialist party. Tied (corp. gov.) reforms with other policies that strengthened social rights (35-hour work week, law of social modernization to tighten anti-layoff regulations). Left Voter Split to Far Left Parties Socialist Party LOOSES 2002 Presidential Election Korea: President Kim Dae-Jung Used 1997 Financial Crisis Hurry Corporate Governance Reforms Path 2: bureaucratic mediation (unique to state-coordinated systems) Government bureaucracy includes cross-sectoral elites (Treasury in France, METI and MOF in Japan) with superior training, extended networks, and long-term time horizons. France & Japan as models: Liberalize, capitalize, but retain banks/longterm... Mettenheim, Kurt. “European Banking: A Review of Trends and Policies for Reassessment of Bank Reform and Sustainable Development in Brazil and Latin America.” Paper to be presented at International Seminar: Financial Institutions, Markets, and Ethics: Mixed Approaches in the European Context. Panel: Financial and Banking Transformation in a Macro Perspective. European University Institute, Florence, 25-6 May 2007 Path 3: institutional boomerang: Elite bureaucrats & political entrepreneurs international institutions/markets encircle opponents or penetrate strongholds with a Troyan horse. Examples: France: Recourse to European Union in in the 1980s and mid-1990s) Korea: IMF agreement in the wake of 1997 financial crisis. Theory: “Boomerang” = Domestic International Domestic Politics (Sikkink & Keck, 1996) Path 4: shareholder-activist & NGOs Example 1: 2001 victory of small French association for the defense of minority shareholders (ADAM) over traditional corporate interests blocked merger between Schneider Electric & Legrand. (Alliance: International Investors & Shareholder Activists). Example 2: Economic Democratization Committee, People’s Solidarity for Participatory Democracy (PSPD) (Jang Hasung, Finance Professor, Korea University), Denounce chaebols’ attempt to cheat trust fund investors. Alternative to Aggregate Analysis: Case Studies Yet another key concept: “Fallacy of Aggregation” If Plot Corporate Governance CONCEAL CAUSAL FORCES Lijphart: If Too Many Variables & Too Few Cases Case Study & Comparative Method Conclusions: Politics & Corporate Governance 1. Different TYPES of corporate governance and change. 2. Reforms everywhere: NEITHER CONVERGENCE NOR STABLE DIVERGENCE. 3. 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