從矽谷經驗談創業與投資 March 2008 David Weng 翁 嘉 盛 1 2 3 4 History of Silicon Valley 1891—Stanford University is founded by Governor Leland and Jane Stanford. 1903—Valdemar Poulsen demonstrates the first arc radio transmitter for high-quality voice transmission in his Palo Alto laboratory. 1912—Lee de Forest invents the vacuum tube amplifier in Palo Alto. Stanford faculty and officials helped finance the work, the first of many cooperative partnerships between higher education and Silicon Valley. 1930’s—Professor Frederick Terman is recruited by Stanford University and starts a lifelong promotion of the benefits of the Valley. Later, Terman becomes known as the father of Silicon Valley. 1937—Encouraged by Terman, William Hewlett and David Packard start a company to produce their audio-oscillator. Walt Disney becomes their first customer, purchasing the product for use on the film Fantasia. 5 1,854 square miles; 2.49M population; 1.39M jobs; 68% College+; 28% Asians 6 Share of Patents 46.8% 11.6% 7 Share of US VC Coming to SV – 2007 : 27% 2007 VC in SV ~ $8B 8 Venture Capital Investment in Silicon Valley 9 10 11 12 13 Median Household Income SV: $83K US: $50K 14 Home Affordability US: 43% CA: 24% SV: 22% 15 History of Cisco Systems Started at Stanford 1984 1986 IPO Adjusted 6¢ per share; 192 Employees End-to-End Solutions Provider 1990 1998 Shipped First Router 1994 Cisco Routers Power the Internet; LAN/WAN Switching, Remote Access $18.9 Billion Revenue; 34,000 Employees; IP Telephony, Security, Wireless, Networked Home 2002 2003 #1 Communications Equipment Supplier 2004 Cisco’s 20th Anniversary $22 Billion Revenue 16 Cisco Systems Quarterly Operating Results ($B) $7 $6 Pre-Tax Profit Revenue $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $0 FY ’93 FY ’94 FY ’95 FY ’96 FY ’97 FY ’98 FY ’99 FY ’00 FY ’01 Excludes one-time charge/gains 17 Cisco Products • Industry’s broadest product line • Leadership products in each category • R&D = 14% of revenue • Enables end-to-end network services 18 R&D Commitment R&D as % of Revenue 20% 20 $3.24B R&D SPEND 15% 15 Intel Microsoft IBM Dell Cisco 10% 10 5% 5 0% 0 CQ2 ’05 CQ1 ’05 CQ4 ’04 CQ3 ’04 Source: Yahoo Finance 7/28/05 19 Cisco Intelligent Network Architecture Application Services Innovative Application Services Unifying Software Fabric Network Platforms Industry’s Broadest Product Family 20 Cisco Business Relationships INTERNET COMMUNICATIONS SOFTWARE INTERNET BUSINESS SOLUTIONS LEARNING PARTNERS DISTRIBUTION TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPER PARTNERS STRATEGIC ALLIANCES NETWORK SECURITY PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 21 Cisco Acquisitions Through December 28, 2000 22 Corporate Culture at Cisco Continuous Improvement/ Stretch Goals Quality Team Frugality No Technology Religion Giving Back/ Trust/Fair/Integrity Teamwork Market Transitions Fun Drive Change Open Communication Empowerment Customer Success 23 “Customer success and satisfaction are at the heart of Cisco’s business strategy and key drivers of our current and future success” John Chambers, President and CEO 24 Cisco’s History of Customer Satisfaction 3.58 3.96 3.98 4.01 4.06 4.12 4.22 4.33 4.49 4.63 5 4.73 4.37 Direct 4.5 Indirect 4 3.5 3 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 • 10+ years of history—formally tracking customer satisfaction • Central part of Cisco’s culture • Customer satisfaction tied to the bonus plan • Organizational ownership Source: Independent research study; measured on a scale of 0 to 5 25 Start-ups 26 Definition of an Entrepreneur Entrepreneur is a person who starts new business and: Innovates Takes risks Pursues Opportunity Acts with a passion for a business idea Builds teams Enjoys the journey to create lasting value Persists proactively 27 Pre-requisites for successful start-ups 90% hard and smart work, 10% luck 3Rs 3Fs: • Pick the Right business • Assemble the Right team • Search for the Right technology/business model • Focus on execution • Finance for the long haul • Float with ups and downs (willing to detour) 28 The 3 “R”s 1. The right business address real problems, real paying customers, real huge market potential, real barrier for others to enter (“Me-too”, “better mouse trap” are not necessary the right business) 2. Assemble the right team common value, common goal, common work ethics, complementary skills, complementary technical skill 3. Search for the right technology/business model Unique technology that solves the underlined problems, satisfies paying customers, business model that makes money ☼ The above order is not random!!! 29 The 3 “F”s 1. Finance for the long haul Cash is life blood 12 months “runway” - assuming the worst 2. Focus on execution Direction setting Key milestones 3. Float with Ups and downs (Detour) Changes are in-evitable Re-trench and detour ☼ You cannot win if you die!!! 30 31 NetScreen Company Overview • Founded in October 1997 (3 Founders) • IPO: Oct. 2001 • Employees: 600 (2002) • Acquired by Juniper Networks (2004) • Market Valuation: $4M (1997) to $4B (2004) • Builds integrated security solutions Firewall, VPN and traffic management in a single device: family of network security systems and appliances that deliver high performance, cost-effective security Uses proprietary GigaScreen ASIC, and proprietary ScreenOS security operating system and applications 32 About NetScreen • Leading innovator of network security solutions IPSec VPN Denial of service protection Firewall Intrusion prevention • Powerful security solutions Site-to-site, remote access VPN Perimeter security Firewall consolidation Infrastructure firewall Intrusion prevention Emerging applications, such as Wireless LANs, voice-over-IP NetScreen Innovations Firewall/VPN 1st integrated firewall/VPN appliance based on a custom ASIC 1st 1, 4 and 12 Gbps appliances 1st virtual system architecture to segment security Intrusion Prevention 1st to detect and prevent attacks by dropping malicious packets 1st Multi-Method Detection to maximize attack detection 1st Stateful Signature Detection to reduce false alarms 33 Key Corporate Facts $138.5 $140.0 • Strong financial performance $120.0 Large, growing revenue • Global company ~ 600 employees $100.0 $85.6 $80.0 Based in Sunnyvale, CA, USA More than 30 offices worldwide • Recognized as leader and visionary by Gartner • Leading market share • Key awards and certifications $60.0 $40.0 $26.6 $20.0 $5.9 $0.0 FY '99 FY '00 FY '01 FY '02 For more on Gartner and market share 34 NetScreen Relative Product Positioning 25 5XP 1000 500 100 NSCN 50 5XT 204 208 5200 Cisco Firewall Cisco Site-to-Site VPN PIX 501 PIX 506E 800/900 Rtrs 1700 Rtrs Cisco RA VPN PIX 515-R 2600 Rtrs PIX 515E-UR 3600 Rtrs PIX 525-UR 5400 PIX 535-UR Catalyst 6500 3700 Rtrs 7x00 Routers VPN 3030 VPN 3002 VPN 3005 SOHO ROBO VPN 3015 SMB VPN 3060 VPN 3060 Enterprise VPN 3080 SP POP 35 Protego Networks Company Overview • Founded in 2002 (2 Founders from Cisco) • • • • Employees: 40 (2005) Acquired by Cisco Systems (Feb. 2005) Market Valuation: $3M (2002) to $65M (2004) Cisco AVVID Partners, built to be acquired • Sell to 60 of Fortune 100 companies in 6 months • Builds Intelligent Network Security Solutions Provider of security monitoring and threat management appliances used in enterprise and small-to-medium business networks. Detect, correlate and mitigate threats in the network 36 Essence Technology Solution, Inc. Deliver the Secured SMB VoIP Solution Essence Technology Solution 37 Essence Technology Solution Foundation : Founded in 2003 in Taipei Capital Size : NT$220,000,000 Offices : HQ located in Taipei, and branch in Shanghai Staff : Total 63 employees , 50 of which are engineers Product : Focus on total solution - IP PBX Series - VoIP Gateway - IP Phone Essence Technology Solution 38 Networking Technology Trend 39 The Internet Revolution 40 Networking Technology Trends • Wireless Everywhere (Wi-Fi and WiMAX) • Converged Data/Voice/Video IP-based Communications • Increasing Number and Complexity of Network Security Threats • Emerging Vertical Applications Leveraging New Technologies (e.g., Wireless Video Surveillance) • Increasing Overall Networking System Complexity 41 Key to Success 42 The business climate used to be like a ship on the ocean. 43 Today the business climate is like a raft on a white water river. 44 The New Internet Economy Speed of Change… Peaks higher, valleys lower, transitions between the two faster 45 The only thing always the same is change The only thing always the same is change Agility & Adaptability will win 46 Companies—Built to Last Customer focused Intense…performance driven Strategy...Vision/mission Quality of team Stretch goals Change part of culture Empowerment…accountability Entrepreneurial…Internet pace Strong culture 47 48 台灣產品的全球市占率 主機板 集線器 無線區域網路 98% 95% 車 89% 卡無線區域網路裝 置 SOHO路由器 筆記型電腦 可錄式光碟片 網路電話機 晶圓代工 LCD監視器 83% 83% 82% 77% 77% 71% 67% 電纜線數據機 雙絞線數據機 66% 37% IC封裝 玻璃纖維布 電動代步車* 36% 34% 30% *標示以產量計算,其他產品以產值計算。 自行 ABS共聚合體 26% 17% 乙太網路交換器* 12% 光碟機 IC設計 41% 29% 純對苯二甲酸 16% 數位相機* 14% 聚酯絲 13% 聚酯棉 10% PU合成皮* 平面顯示器 -- 全球第一 18項 全球第二 7項 25% DRAM 尼龍纖維 19% 螺絲螺帽 12% 12% 全球第三 4項 49 台灣研發潛力深受肯定 OEM ODM OBM Original Equipment Manufacturing Original Design Manufacturing Own Brand Manufacturing WEF全球競爭力評 比排名 WEF(瑞士世界經濟論壇) 0 7 5 10 15 20 25 11 6 IMD全球競爭力 評比排名 200 2003 200 2005 4 2 成長競爭力總排名 6 5 4 5 台灣競爭力 5 4 12 5 11 科技指標 總體經濟環境 公共體制 2 6 27 3 18 21 2 9 27 3 17 26 商業競爭力總排名 16 16 17 14 18 17 公司營運及策略 16 16 12 13 國家商業環境品 22 24 13 16 20 15 質 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 成長競爭力僅次於芬蘭、美國、瑞典、丹麥 註 : 2004年WEF評比102個國家,2005年則評比117個國家。 50 技術產品創新vs.經營模式創新 行銷 研發 產 品 開 發 產 品 設 計 製造 創 新 管 理 生 產 管 理 品 質 管 理 技術產品創新 顧 客 關 係 經 營 品 牌 與 流 通 經營模式創新 更有效、壽命更長 51 52 Questions 53