The role of protected areas in climate change mitigation and adaptation in developing countries such as Sri Lanka Sanjay Kalpage1, John Merson1 and Daniel Robinson1 1 University of New South Wales, Sydney Abstract: Small developing countries such as Sri Lanka are extremely vulnerable to climate change impacts, despitetheirminimal contribution to global carbon emissions. Moreover, the poor within these countrieswill be impacted disproportionately, posing issues of social justice and equity. Since Sri Lanka has allocated over 20% of its land area to its protected area (PA) network, the country has a tremendous opportunity to utilise these areas to reduce these impacts, especially on ecosystems and the services they provide.This paper explores how developing countries such as Sri Lanka can integrate their PAs in their climate change adaptation strategies while benefiting from international mitigation efforts. An estimate of the potential benefits from a group of PAs in the south-east of Sri Lanka provides a practical example of the concepts discussed. Finally, current deficiencies in Sri Lanka’s PA network that will impede the realisation of these benefits are discussed along with potential solutions. Keywords:Climate change, protected areas, Sri Lanka, REDD. 1. Introduction In the coming decades climate change is expected to causeincreased flooding, droughts and sea level rise, which in turn will negatively impact food and water resources, human health, industry and settlements, and most of the planet’s ecosystems[1].Developing countries areexpected tobe affected disproportionately,since they are already warmer on average than developed nations and are heavily dependent on agriculture, which is extremely sensitive to climate change[1-3].The poorest people within these countries are likely to face severe threats to their livelihoods as their access to quality health-care and public services is limited, and their low incomes and meagre resources make adaptation to climate change particularly difficult[4]. Like many other small developing nations, Sri Lanka is extremely vulnerable to climate change impactsdespiteitsminimal contribution to global carbon emissions1[5]. Given evidence of increased temperature levels and changes in rainfall patterns, the Sri Lankan government has recognised that climate change could exacerbate existing social and economic issues[6]. For example, increased frequency and intensity of natural hazards such as droughts floods and landslides are damaging infrastructure, crops and livelihoods; vector borne diseasesare spreading rapidly; and the country’s natural resources such as water bodies and forests— which are already under stress due to an expanding human population—are facing new threats [7]. As the Sri Lankan government refines its recently developed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy—which is still a work in progress—it has opportunities to utilise the country’s extensive protected area (PA) network to reduce the impacts of climate change [8]. In this paper we explore how developing countries such as Sri Lanka can better utilise their PAs in climate change adaptation and mitigation. First, we outline the role PAs are playing in global efforts to reduce climate change impacts. We then explore the potential for Sri Lanka to utilise its PA network to play a similar role, using a specific example to illustrate these concepts. Finally, we identify deficiencies in Sri Lanka’s PA network that will impede the realisation of these benefits, and discuss potential solutions. 2. The role of protected areas in reducing the impacts of climate change The International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) defines a PA as a “clearly defined geographical space, recognised, dedicated and managed, through legal or other effective means, to achieve Sri Lanka falls into the UNFCCC and IPCC’s category of ‘vulnerable’ small island nations under serious threat from various climate change impacts, such as sea level rise and severe floods and droughts [5]. 1 the long-term conservation of nature with associated ecosystem services and cultural values” [9].The global PA network covers almost 14% of the earth’s surface [8], makingPAs one of the most significant forms of human land use on the planet [8, 10].Much of the ‘nature’contained within the global PA network is threatened by climate change. Warmer temperatures are likely to drive species from reserves, leaving some PAs with different species compositions and habitat types they were designed to protect [11]. The biodiversity within PAs could be subjected to severe stresses as invasive and pest species that are better adapted to the new climate move in, causing disease outbreaks and severe competition for resources[12]. These issues could be compounded by higher incidences of fire and floods caused by climate change[1]. Despite their vulnerability to the effects of climate change, however, the natural ecosystems contained in PAs can make significant contributions to both climate change mitigation and adaptation.They can contribute to climate change adaption by helping reduce impacts of climate change-induced natural disasters such as floods, landslides, hurricanes, tidal waves and storm surges. For example, the Bangladeshi government has recognised that the extensive mangrove system known as the Sundarbansprotects several communities from otherwise devastating tropical cyclones, resulting in benefits of about half a billion dollars of avoided costs [13]. In Switzerland, 17% of forests are protected to reduce landslides and avalanches, providing services worth over US$3 billion annually [8].PAs can also contribute to climate change adaptation by maintaining ecosystem services that help people cope with negative impacts of climate change on water supplies, fisheries and agricultural productivity [8]. For example, about a third of the world’s largest cities already obtain a significant proportion of their drinking water directly from PAs[8].Several studies have shown that marine PAs help fish populations recover from climate change effects and overfishing [14-16]. Many PAs also help conserve wild relatives of commonly cultivated crops which could contribute to the development of crops adapted to changes in weather patterns and increased disease and pests resulting from climate change[8, 17]. PAs can also play a role in climate change mitigation, because ecosystems, especially forests, contain huge stores of carbon. According to one estimate, the world’s forests and forest soils alone currently store more than 1 trillion tonnes of carbon, twice the amount floating free in the atmosphere [18]. Consequently, deforestation and forest loss are key drivers of climate change—according to IPCC estimates, these two factors together account for about 17% of global carbon emissions. Given these findings, policymakers are trying to establish an international Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD) scheme to reduce rates of forest change in developing countries [19]. Under this mechanism, nations that struggle to meet their emissions targets could buy carbon credits from other countries, which either have no emissions target—as is currently the case for developing nations under the Kyoto Protocol2—or have reduced their emissions below their agreed target [20]. Given the high cost of reducing carbon emissions within their own countries, wealthy industrial nations could find it attractive to invest in initiatives to slow deforestation in developing countries [20]. Individual companies may also decide to buy carbon credits based on such a scheme [21]. Although the details of REDD are still being worked out, several multilateral and bilateral funds already support the development of REDD strategies and demonstration activities in developing countries [19]. These include the World Bank’s Forest Carbon Partnership Facility, the UN-REDD programme, and schemes of countries like Norway, Germany and the UK [19]. The scope of REDD has been expanded during recent negotiations to include sustainable management of forests and conservation and enhancement of forest carbon stocks—the name ‘‘REDD+’’ is now used to reflect this [22].A significant portion of the carbon stored in the earth’s ecosystems lies within the global PA network—of a global store of about 2,000 giga tonnes of terrestrial carbon, about 15% per cent lies within PA boundaries [23, 24]. These vast stores of carbon have significant value, in the emerging market for carbon. For example, PAs in Bolivia, Mexico and Venezuela together contain around 25 million hectares of forests which are believed to store more than 4 billion tonnes of carbon, estimated to be worth between US$39 and US$87 billion in terms of global damage costs avoided [25]. Compared to other land-use and resource management systems, PAs are in a unique position to contribute to climate change mitigation and adaptation[8]. They are usually based on a commitment to the 2 The current international regime to reduce global carbon emissions, which has binding targets for industrialized countries long-termmanagement of the species and ecosystems they contain[26]. They usually have clear borders and are managed by governance frameworks comprising both national legislation and international treaties such as the Convention on Biological Diversity and the World Heritage Convention [27]. These in turn, often require management plans, funding mechanisms, and systems of monitoring, verification and reporting[28]. While not all PAs are well-managed, those that are “can provide a cost-effective option for implementing climate change response strategies because start-up costs have already been met and socio-economic costs are offset by other services that PAs supply”[8].In the next section we explore the potential for a developing country such as Sri Lanka to use its PA network for climate change mitigation and adaptation. 3. The potential use of Sri Lanka’s PA network in its climate change strategy Sri Lanka has an extensive PA network. About 16% of its total land area is set aside as national parks, nature reserves and sanctuaries under the jurisdiction of the Department of Wildlife Conservation[29]. However, additional areas managed by the Forest Department3bring the country’s total PA network to about 21% of its land area4[29, 31]. This figure is high compared to that of other countries in the region—Sri Lanka is fourth among 23 Asian countries5. The corresponding percentages for India, Pakistan and Bangladesh are 5, 10 and 2 [31]. Sri Lanka’s PA network provides a number of essential ecosystem services that can contribute to climate change adaptation. For example the Peak Wilderness Sanctuary protects the water sheds of three major river systems6[32]. The cloud forests ofRitigala Strict Natural Reserve facilitate precipitation in the dry season and protect the watershed of Uma Oya, one of the major tributaries of the Mahaweli Ganga, Sri Lanka’s longest river and a mainstay of its irrigation network[33].During the 2004 Tsunami, at Hikkaduwa where the reefs are protected in a marine park, waves were only 2-3 m high and reached only 50 m inland, while in nearby Peraliya, they were 10 m in height and reached 1.5 km inland[34]. There were no deaths in Hikkaduwa while 1,700 people died in Peraliya due the derailment of a train, which was carried 50 m inland [34]. The IUCN calculated that the Muthurajawela Marsh, which is protected by two reserves, provides ecosystem services worth over US$7 million per year,including about US$4.5 million of flood attenuation services[35]. Sri Lanka’s contribution to climate change is minimal. Its 2007 CO2 emissions were 12 million tons compared to 1.6 billion tons from India[36]. Even when per capita emissions are considered, Sri Lanka’s figure of 0.6 tons per person is much lower than the South Asian and world averages of 1.2 and 4.6 respectively[36]. However, the country can use its considerable forest cover—estimated at about 31%7—to benefit from international REDD and REDD+ mitigation schemes[38]. According a recent calculation, about 64 million tons of carbon is stored in these forests [37], which in turn is equivalent to a CO2 mass of about 236 million tons [39]. Although prices for carbon offsets vary widely, this store of carbon would be worth about US$35 billion ata price of US$15 per CO2 ton equivalent8[40]. Although stored carbon cannot be equated to ‘carbon not emitted’, this calculation gives an indication of the potential value of the carbon contained in Sri Lanka’s forests [24]. Since Sri Lanka’s PA network contains roughly 70% of the habitats covered in the above calculation9, we estimate that these areas contain a CO2 mass of about 165 million tons, worth about USD 25 billion. We now illustrate the potential role of Sri Lanka’s PAs in both climate change adaptation and mitigation by using the specific example of thesouth-east Sri Lanka which contains several important PAs. These include the world-famous Ruhunu National Park (popularly known as Yala), andBundala and Kumana National Parks which have been designated Wetlands of International Importance under the 3 For example, those designated as National Heritage Wilderness Areas and International Biosphere Reserves While this figure is used from the UNEP-WCMC database since it contains comparative numbers across countries, according to data from Sri Lanka’s Department of Census and Statistics, the implied number is about 25% [30]. 5Brunei (44%), Bhutan (28%) and Cambodia (26%) are first, second, and third respectively [31] 6 The Kelani, Kalu and Walawerivers 7 This comprises about 24% of closed canopy forest and 7% of sparse forest. However, exact estimates vary among sources, and this number can be smaller due to deforestation since the last comprehensive survey was done in 1999 [37]. 8 This was the average price of calculated in a 2010 study of carbon offset prices [40]. 9 As noted previously, Sri Lanka’s PA network covers between 21 and 25 percent of the land area of the country. 4 RamsarConvention on Wetlands[41-43].Our analysis also covers Lunugamvehera National Park and four Sanctuaries10—Kataragama, Katagamuwa, Nimalawa,Weerawila). We made arough estimate of the potential of these PAs to contribute to Sri Lanka’s climate change adaptation, using the data and analysis contained in a World Bank report onecosystems in the country’s southern province11[44]. Our results are presented in Table 1. Table 1: The potential of PAs in south-eastern Sri Lanka to contribute to climate change adaptation PA (or PA component) Types of services included Estimate of value (US$ million/ year) Yala National Park Flood control, storm protection provided by mangroves, watershed protection, increased fisheries from fisheries management area 0.5 Water bodies such as Watershed services, water for domestic use of KirindiOya and Weerawila tank locals 3.2 Bundala National Park Watershed protection, services provided by wetlands 3.1 Lunugamvehera National Park Watershed protection, water for local use provided by Lunugamvehera reservoir 11.7 Total 18.5 The total benefit of US$ 18.5 million per year presented in Table 3 is probably an underestimate given the difficulties in estimating all components of ecosystem services as well as the conservative assumptions used in the calculation[44]. Moreover, these benefits are important for equity reasons because many of the people who derive these benefits are from lower income groups[45]. The PAs in south-eastern Sri Lanka can also contribute to international climate change mitigation efforts through the significant quantities of carbon stored within their habitats. We estimated this carbon sequestration potential using GIS data obtained from Survey Department of Sri Lanka. First, using the landuse layer, we obtained the area of different types of habitats contained within the PAs. We then used available estimates of carbon contentper hectare in each habitat-type to arrive at the total carbon contained in each habitat type[37].Our results are presented in Table 2. Table 2: Carbon stocks contained within PAs in south-eastern Sri Lanka Habitat type Extent (ha) Above ground + below ground biomass (tons/ha) Carbon in live biomass (tons/ha) Carbon stocks ('000 tons) Forest (dense) 49,786 75.6 35.6 1,769.9 Forest (other) 116,167 50.4 23.7 2,753.2 684 40.0 18.8 12.9 Scrub 19,132 40.0 18.8 359.8 Marsh 1,203 33.6 15.8 19.0 Chena/ homesteads/ cultivated 8,809 66.8 31.4 121.8 Abandoned tanks/ paddy fields 4,821 16.8 7.9 38.1 20,276 - - - 220,878 323 152 5,075 Grassland Other (water bodies, rock, sand, salt pans) Total Limited ‘traditional’ human activities are allowed in Sanctuaries, but not in National Parks The World Bank study estimated the provisioning (e.g. food, water), regulating (e.g. watershed protecting), supporting and cultural services provided by ecosystems in the province. We selected those elements related to our chosen PAs that are relevant for climate change adaptation—i.e. we selected most of the provisioning, regulating and supporting services, but left out cultural services. 10 11 The total of 5 million tons of carbon presented in Table 2 is equivalent to 18.6 million tons of CO212, worth about US$ 128 million assuming a price of US$15 per ton. 4. Deficiencies in Sri Lanka’s protected area network and potential solutions Although Sri Lanka could use its PA system for climate change adaptation and mitigation, it needs to address several issues in order to do this. These include protected area coverage and management, equity and social justice and preparation for climate change adaptation and REDD. We now take each of these in turn and explore possible solutions. Although Sri Lanka has dedicated a relatively large area to conservation, some important areas containing endemic biodiversity—especially in the wet zone in the country’s southwest—lie outside its PA network[46]. Moreover, these areas contain rainforests that sequester several times the carbon content of the dry monsoon forests found in mostexisting PAs[37].WhilePAcoverage should be enhanced, it will be difficult to set aside more land as conventional PAs since reserves already cover a significant portion of the country, and there is intense competition for land13. Therefore the government should explore newPA modelsand governance options to increase the portion of the country’s ecosystems that are managed in a manner that maintains their functionality [37]. For example it should consider involving local communities and the private sector in PA management based on the various community forestry projects being piloted by development agencies14 and the experience of countries such as South Africa15. Since Sri Lankan PAs will face threats due to climate change16, the government should link PAs into land use planning and management systems at the landscape level to help sustain ecosystem functions and resilience [8]. Park management plans should be revised to include actions to address potential climate change impacts, and the potential role of these PAs in Sri Lanka’s climate change mitigation and adaptation strategy should be recognised explicitly and steps taken to enhance their capabilities in this regard17. It has been estimated about 30% of Sri Lanka’s rural population—which in turn comprises over 70% of the country’s total population—depend at least partly on forest resources for their livelihoods[48]. An even larger proportion of peopledepend on environmental services provided by forests such as watershed protection and flood retention, and have already been severely affected by deforestation and the impacts of climate change on forests[33, 45]. Although their carbon emissions are minimal, the rural poorare especially vulnerable “due to the dependence of their livelihoods on climate sensitive natural resources and their weak social protection structures” [45]. Therefore, usingSri Lanka’s PA network as part of a climate change adaptation strategy will be important for reasons of equity and social justice. The benefits to the poor can be enhanced by setting aside part of the income derived from REDD schemes to explicitly address the impacts of climate change on this group of people. Steps should also be taken to ensure that local communities benefit more from PAs and the ecosystem services they provide18. Although Sri Lanka’s Climate Change Secretariat has prepared a National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy,the government still needs to develop detailed plans and implement them. The role of the PA network within the overall strategy should be clarified.Despite some preliminary studies, data on the REDD potential of the country’s habitat types is still rudimentary; steps should be taken to fill these gaps. A clearplan to derive benefits from emerging international REDD schemesis required. The UN-REDD Sri Lanka programme being developed jointly by the Forest Department and UNDP19 is a step in the right direction. 5. Conclusions 12Conversion of carbon to the equivalent mass of gaseous CO2done bymultiplying carbon mass by the factor 3.6667[39] At 326 people per km2, Sri Lanka is one of the most densely populated countries in Asia [37] 14 The World Bank and USAID have funded projects in the past; an AusAID project is currently being implemented [37]. 15 In South Africa the total area of privately managed PAs is larger than that managed by SANParks, the national park agency [47] 16 For the reasons described in section 2 17 However, conservation of biodiversity and habitats will remain their main objective 18For example allowing more customary use, and exploring co-management options with communities where possible. 19United Nations Development Programme 13 Like many other developing countries, Sri Lanka is extremely vulnerable to climate change impacts, although its contribution to global carbon emissions is minimal. However, since it has allocated over 20% of its total land area to its PA network, Sri Lanka has a tremendous opportunity to utilise these areas to reduce these impacts, especially on its poorest citizens. The country also should enhance its sustainable development efforts by using its PAs to benefit from international initiatives to mitigate climate change.In order to do this, however, the Sri Lankan government must take steps to improve its PA coverage and management, ensure that its poorest and most vulnerable citizens are explicitly included within a comprehensive climate change strategy, and position itself to take advantage of an emerging international REDD framework. These steps will be crucial, since climate change is expected to reduce the resilience of Sri Lanka’s PAs, compromise its unique biodiversity and impede the delivery of the myriad ecosystem services they deliver to its people, especially those who are most vulnerable to climate change impacts. 6. 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