DENGUE EPIDEMIOLOGY AND CONTROL PROGRAM IN MALAYSIA DR ROSE NANI MUDIN DISEASE CONTROL DIVISION MINISTRY OF HEALTH 13 JAN 2009 1 OUTLINES OF PRESENTATION Epidemiology of Dengue in Malaysia Dengue Mortality Control Activities Strategies Conclusion INCIDENCE RATE OF REPORTED DENGUE CASES IN MALAYSIA (1981 - 2008) 200 180 180 150.6 148.3 140 123.4 178 132.5 133.5 120 125.9 100 89.7 80 67.3 72 60 44.7 40 27.5 29.5 29.5 15 36.4 20.7 8.8 4.5 5.3 8.5 31.6 32.8 16.1 Y E AR 07 20 05 20 03 20 01 20 99 19 97 19 95 19 93 19 91 19 89 87 19 85 2.4 19 19 83 4.5 81 0 12.4 19 20 19 IR / 100,000 Population 160 3 32422 33895 30220 32767 30807 49335 46518 2817 665 1916 1473 1325 1960 922 2990 13967 13302 16368 15446 7103 6692 411 544 787 532 5000 387 10000 1141 15000 10146 9602 14255 13723 20000 19429 25000 18642 30000 26240 27381 35000 6543 6156 NO. OF CASES 40000 31545 45000 37080 39654 50000 45856 48846 NUMBER OF REPORTED DENGUE FEVER AND DENGUE HAEMORRHAGIC FEVER CASES IN MALAYSIA, 1995 – 2007 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total DF DHF Y E A R 4 DISTRIBUTION OF REPORTED DENGUE CASES IN MALAYSIA BY EPIDEMIOLOGY WEEK (2006–2008) 1800 1600 1400 NO. OF CASES 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1 3 5 7 Epid. 9 11 13 Week 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 EPID Median 03-07 MINGGU 2007 2008 2006 5 COMPARISION OF DENGUE CASES BY STATE (2007 & 2008) 25000 NO. OF CASES 21262 20000 15891 15000 10000 7439 5446 4219 5000 2584 1678 311 3908 2889 3106 2324 1405 3363 830 1275 184 732 2657 1327 1721 1269 1953 3503 2399 1045 70 1845 1517 29 2007 2008 RA W AK SA UA N LA B SA BA H JO HO R PA HA TE NG RE NG GA NU KE LA NT AN A EL AK M BI LA N L N. SE M W PK PE RA K SE LA NG OR PI NA NG P. PE RL IS KE DA H 0 6 6 THE DENGUE INCIDENCE RATE BY STATE (2008) 78 86 80 150 LABUAN 150 179 157 62 88 408 WPKL 334 33 141 110 118 MALAYSIA 178 cases/100,000population 7 PATTERN OF DENGUE CASES RATIO OF DHF : DF IN MALAYSIA 1998 – 2008 16.3 17.3 16.7 19.9 19.8 25 19.4 15.7 17.4 20 15 10 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 YE A R DHF DF 9 DHF : DF RATIO 22.0 22.8 22.9 PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF DENGUE CASES BY LOCALITY IN MALAYSIA (1998 – 2008) 90 77.2 73.6 77.3 83.9 87.1 84.2 83.5 77.3 80 74.2 70.9 70 60 25.8 15.8 12.9 16.1 16.4 20 16.5 26.4 22.8 30 22.7 40 29.1 50 22.6 PERCENTAGE OF CASES 83.6 10 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 YEA R Urban Rural 10 Circulating Dengue Virus Serotype : 1992-2008 % 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 DEN 1 11.9 3.7 0 4.8 14.7 48.7 63.5 44.4 28.2 9.3 5.4 29.8 46.9 73.4 58.6 33 30 33 DEN 2 54.2 8.6 4.1 9.5 29.5 48.7 33.4 51.9 69.2 58.1 39.2 23.8 20.6 7.4 8.4 36.4 53 40 DEN 3 32.5 83.7 93.1 84.1 54.6 2.6 2.1 3.7 2.7 32.6 50 33.3 27.8 14.6 17.1 19.3 11 16 DEN 4 1.4 4 2.8 1.6 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 5.4 13.1 4.7 4.6 1.2 4.5 6 11 DEN 1 DEN 2 DEN 3 DEN 4 11 11 DHF AND DF FATALITY RATES FOR MALAYSIA (1990-2008) 12 10.2 7.31 8 6.8 6.23 6 4.9 5.08 5.27 4 6.4 6.02 3.72 5.6 5.1 5.3 4.14 3.9 3.26 3.1 2 0.58 0.44 0 3.8 5.1 0.43 0.41 0.41 0.43 0.22 0.26 0.29 0.36 0.63 0.31 0.3 0.23 0.3 0.27 0.23 0.2 0.01 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 Fatality Rate 10 DHF DF Year 12 DISTRIBUTION OF DENGUE DEATH CASES BY AGE GROUP (1997 – 2007) NO. OF CASES 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 0-14YEARS 2002 2003 2004 2005 >15 YEARS 2006 2007 YEAR 13 FINDINGS OF DENGUE CASES ANALYSIS FOR 2008 14 DISTRIBUTION OF DENGUE CASES BY GENDER 15 DISTIRBUTION OF DENGUE CASES BY AGE GROUP 16 FINDINGS OF VEKPRO ANALYSIS FOR 2008 (Epid wk 1- 49) % of Cases Fulfilling ClinicalCriteria % of Positive Serology from All Cases with Results % Cases Notified by Primary Care Clinics % Cases Diagnosed ≤ 3 d from Onset % Premises of Cases Fogged < 5 d from Onset Perlis 81.8 63.0 8.5 37.4 39.2 Kedah 65.9 55.2 1.1 46.5 31.5 P. Pinang 33.0 75.7 1.1 50.4 36.5 Perak 64.0 97.5 1.3 38.9 30.1 Selangor 95.8 91.7 5.7 31.7 13.5 WPKL 8.0 84.7 0.9 34.4 7.8 N. Sembilan 78.0 99.1 0.6 30.9 21.9 Melaka 65.7 99.5 0.2 35.9 29.9 Johor 93.7 84.3 0.2 32.7 19.6 Pahang 85.5 84.5 1.4 34.1 24.3 Terengganu 81.1 51.5 1.3 36.9 35.6 Kelantan 88.1 75.4 3.6 28.1 17.8 Sabah 45.5 79.1 3.3 35.2 18.2 WP Labuan 28.6 35.6 0 62.9 55.7 Putrajaya 56.8 100.0 14.5 25.5 7.8 Sarawak 37.1 90.3 10.9 42.0 18.2 17 MALAYSIA 74.2 85.4 3.4 34.5 18.8 State DENGUE MORTALITY ANALYSIS 2008 18 DENGUE MORTALITY 112 dengue deaths reported for 2008 (98 cases in 2007 Only 62 cases were reviewed by the state mortality review committee 19 DISTRIBUTION OF DENGUE MORTALITY BY AGEGROUP 25 Percent (%) 20 15 23.6% 21.8% 10 14.5% 12.7% 5 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 5.5% 0 <1 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 Agegroup (years) 41-50 51-60 >=61 20 DURATION BETWEEN TIME OF ONSET AND ADMISSION 21 DURATION BETWEEN TIME OF ADMISSION AND DEATH 22 DIAGNOSIS OF MORTALITY CASES Fulfillment of WHO Case Definition (WHO 1997) Percentage of Cases DF 0 DHF 11 DSS 89 CAUSE OF DEATH Immediate Cause of death Percentage of Cases Shock Syndrome 61.8 End/Multi organ failure 40.0 Severe bleeding from GIT/DIVC/Thrombocytopenia 32.7 ARDS 10.9 Sepsis (including Nosocomial infection) 10.9 Others (specify) Hyperkalemia with ARF 12.7 23 CONTRIBUTING FACTORS FOR DENGUE MORTALITY N0. CONTRIBUTING FACTORS 1. PATIENT CAME IN ALREADY TOO ILL 2. DELAY IN DIAGNOSIS/ ASSESSMENT OF SEVERITY Low index of suspicion % 47.3 36.4 Delay in review by doctor 14.5 Late referral 9.1 7.3 Results delayed/not traced/not reviewed Infrequent investigation ordered Others 7.3 16.4 24 CONTRIBUTING FACTORS FOR DENGUE MORTALITY N0. 3. 4. CONTRIBUTING FACTORS % INADEQUATE MONITORING/TREATMENT Inadequate fluid resuscitation 21.8 Failure to recognize DSS 20.0 Insufficient blood products given 18.2 Inadequate monitoring of vital signs 16.4 Overloading/pulmonary oedema 16.4 Delay in seeking ICU care 14.5 Inadequate monitoring of FBC 10.9 DIVC not suspected/recognized 1.8 CO MORBID CONDITIONS Obesity 14.5 Extremes of age (<1yr / >60yrs) 9.1 Others – Uncontrolled DM/HPT; Hepatitis, Fits 18.2 53% of the death were preventable 25 Key Components of Dengue Control Strategy Early diagnosis and treatment Prompt notification Training of frontliners Health education to public on importance of early diagnosis and treatment Active case detection in outbreak localities Within 24 hours By phone Nearest District Health Office Case Investigation within 24 hours Prompt vector control response Within 24 hours of notification Fogging within 200 m radius 400 m if outbreak locality Quality Assurance Program -Dengue Outbreak Control Index (DOCI): 100% outbreak controlled within 14 days Key Components of Dengue Control Strategy Proper Case Management CPG- The Management Of Dengue Infection In Adult/Children (2nd Edition) All dengue death are audited immediately. Appropriate remedial actions are taken by the relevant parties and report to be sent to the Disease Control Division within 2 weeks Health Education And Community Mobilization Production of health materials/ mass media Guidelines on health education and community mobilization activities in outbreak localities Guidelines on COMBI For Dengue Prevention and Control CHALLENGES IN THE DENGUE PREVENTION ACTIVITIES Health seeking behavior of the dengue patient: Only 4% of cases were from the clinic and majority from hospital 50% of the dengue mortality cases were admitted on day 4 or 5 after onset - delay in seeking treatment 47% of dengue mortality cases came in already ill Difficult to break the dengue virus transmission: Only 35% of patient diagnosed within 3 days from the onset of illness Only 19% of dengue cases’ residence were fogged within 5 days of onset of illness Thus other patients infected with the dengue virus may still transmit the disease 28 CHALLENGES IN THE DENGUE PREVENTION ACTIVITIES Low index of suspicion of dengue cases by the attending doctors: Delayed notification Delay in giving appropriate treatment Lack in community cooperation and participation in the dengue prevention and control activities 29 CONCLUSION-1 To strengthen the implementation of dengue prevention and control measure (to be alert and responsive) Ensure effective and efficient performance of the control activities through: Monitoring & supervision Analysis of data at district, state, and MOH level CONCLUSION-2 Strengthen the prevention and control activities at district and state level Facilitate training for healthcare workers to increase knowledge and skills on the dengue management and vector control Continuous monitoring of dengue status and mortality at all levels, as to address uncontrolled situation of the disease THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION 32