COST MANAGEMENT Accounting & Control Hansen▪Mowen▪Guan Chapter 3 Cost Behavior COPYRIGHT © 2009 South-Western Publishing, a division of Cengage Learning. Cengage Learning and South-Western are trademarks used herein under license. 1 Study Objectives 1. Define and describe fixed, variable, and mixed costs. 2. Explain the use of resources and activities and their relationship to cost behavior. 3. Separate mixed costs into their fixed and variable components using the high-low method, the scatterplot method, and the method of least squares. 4. Evaluate the reliability of the cost formula. 5. Explain how multiple regression can be used to assess cost behavior. 6. Define the learning curve, and discuss its impact on cost behavior. 7. Discuss the use of managerial judgment in determining cost behavior. 2 Cost Behavior: Fixed Costs Fixed costs are costs that in total are constant within the relevant range as the level of the activity driver varies. Two production lines can process 10,000 computers per year each. The workers on each line are supervised by a production-line manager who is paid $24,000 per year. For production up to 10,000 units, only one supervisor is needed. When production is between 10,001 and 20,000 units, two supervisors are required. 3 Cost Behavior: Fixed Costs Days Computers, Inc. Supervision $54,000 54,000 54,000 108,000 108,000 108,000 Computers Processed 4,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 4 Cost Behavior: Fixed Costs Days Computers, Inc. Supervision $54,000 54,000 54,000 108,000 108,000 108,000 Computers Processed 4,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 5 Cost Behavior: Fixed Costs Days Computers, Inc. Supervision $54,000 54,000 54,000 108,000 108,000 108,000 Computers Processed 4,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 Unit Cost $13.50 6.75 5.40 9.00 6.75 5.40 6 Cost Behavior: Fixed Costs 7 Cost Behavior: Variable Costs Variable costs are costs that in total vary in direct proportion to changes in an activity driver. A CD-ROM disk drive is added to each computer at a cost of $30 per computer. The total cost of disk drives for each level of production varies. 8 Cost Behavior: Variable Costs Days Computers, Inc. Total Cost of CD-ROMs $120,000 240,000 360,000 480,000 600,000 Number of Computers Processed 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 9 Cost Behavior: Variable Costs Days Computers, Inc. Total Cost of CD-ROMs $120,000 240,000 360,000 480,000 600,000 Number of Computers Processed 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 Unit Cost of CD-ROMs $30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 10 Cost Behavior: Variable Costs 11 Cost Behavior: Mixed Costs Mixed costs are costs that have both a fixed and a variable component. Ten sales representatives each earn an annual salary of $30,000 plus a commission of $50 per computer sold. 10,000 computers are sold. 12 Cost Behavior: Mixed Costs Y = Fixed cost + Total variable cost Y = F + VX where Y = Total cost For Days Computer, the selling cost is: Y = $300,000 + $50X 13 Cost Behavior: Mixed Costs Days Computers, Inc. Variable Fixed Cost of Cost of Selling Selling $300,000 300,000 300,000 300,000 300,000 Computers Selling Cost Total Cost $200,000 $500,000 400,000 700,000 600,000 900,000 800,000 1,100,000 1,000,000 1,300,000 Sold 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 per Unit $125.00 87.50 75.00 68.75 65.00 14 Cost Behavior: Mixed Costs 15 Resources, Activities, and Cost Behavior • Flexible resources – Acquired as used and needed – Usually considered variable costs • Examples: materials, energy • Committed resources – Acquired in advance of usage – Usually considered fixed costs • Examples: buying or leasing buildings, contracts with employees 16 Resources, Activities, and Cost Behavior • Step cost behavior displays a constant level of cost for a range of output and then jumps to a higher level of cost at some point • Step-Variable costs • Narrow increments • Approximate as a strictly variable assumption • Step-Fixed costs • Wide increments • Assigned to the fixed cost category 17 Resources, Activities, and Cost Behavior 18 Methods for Separating Mixed Costs into Fixed and Variable Components Variable Component Fixed Component • The High-Low Method • The Scatterplot Method • The Method of Least Squares 19 Methods for Separating Mixed Costs into Fixed and Variable Components Straight-line equation: Y = F + VX where Y = Total activity cost F = Fixed cost component V = Variable cost per unit X = Measure of activity output 20 High-Low Method Month January February March April May June July August September October Materials Number of Handling Cost Moves $2,000 3,090 2,780 1,990 7,500 5,300 4,300 6,300 5,600 6,240 100 125 175 200 500 300 250 400 475 425 Step 1: Solve for variable cost (V) V = Change in cost ÷ Change in activity 21 High-Low Method Month January February March April May June July August September October Materials Number of Handling Cost Moves $2,000 3,090 2,780 1,990 7,500 5,300 4,300 6,300 5,600 6,240 100 125 175 200 500 300 250 400 475 425 $7,500 - $2,000 Step1: V $13.75 500 - 100 Low Activity High Activity 22 High-Low Method Step 1: Solve for variable cost (V) V = Change in cost ÷ Change in activity V $7,500 - $2,000 $13.75 500 - 100 Step 2: Using either the high cost or low cost, solve for the total fixed costs F Low cost Y F V ( X ) $2,000 F $13.75(100) $625 F High cost Y F V ( X ) $7,500 F $13.75(500) $625 F 23 Scatterplot Method Step 1: Plot the data points on a scattergraph 24 Scatterplot Method Step 2: Choose the two data points most representative of the data to describe the cost behavior line 25 Method of Least Squares Actual Predicted Cost Cost Deviation Deviation 2,000 1,742 258 3,090 2,088 1,002 2,780 2,780 1,990 3,126 (1,136) 7,500 7,278 222 5,300 4,510 790 4,300 3,818 482 6,300 5,894 406 5,600 6,932 (1,332) 6,240 6,240 Total measure of closeness Squared 66,564 1,004,004 1,290,496 49,284 624,100 232,324 164,836 1,774,224 5,205,832 26 Regression Programs • The best-fitting line is the line with the smallest sum of squared deviations • Regression analysis determines the linear function with the minimum sum of squared deviations • Utilize spreadsheet packages such as Microsoft Excel to perform the computation 27 Regression Analysis for the Method of Least Squares Spreadsheet Data for Anderson Company 28 Regression Analysis for the Method of Least Squares SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.92894908 R. Square 0.862946394 Adjusted R 0.845814693 Square Standard Error Observations Regression Output for Anderson Company 770.4987038 10 ANOVA Regression Residual Total df 1 8 9 Intercept X Variable 1 Coefficient 854.4993582 12.3915276 SS 29903853.98 4749346.021 34653200 MS 29903853.98 593668.2526 F 50.37132077 Standard Error 569.7810263 1.745955536 t-Stat 1.49967811 7.097275588 P-value 0.172079925 0.000102268 29 Regression Analysis for the Method of Least Squares The regression analysis gives rise to the following equation for Anderson’s material handling cost: $854.50 + ($12.39 number of moves) 30 Reliability of Cost Formulas Hypothesis test of parameters – The lower the P-value, the more likely that the true parameter is significantly different from 0 – Traditional benchmarks of significance are 0.10, 0.05 or 0.01 31 Reliability of Cost Formulas Goodness of fit – R2 is the coefficient of determination – Measures the percentage of change in the dependent variable explained by changes in the independent variable – The closer to 1.0, the better; no benchmark 32 Reliability of Cost Formulas Confidence intervals – The standard error is used to determine the ± range of possible values around the predicted value: Standard t-statistic Confidence Error Interval 33 Multiple Regression • Least-squares method is used to fit an equation involving two or more explanatory variables Y = F + V1X1 + V2X2 etc. where X1 = first explanatory variable X2 = second explanatory variable 34 Multiple Regression Spreadsheet Data for Anderson Company Materials X1 Handling Number Month January February March April May June July August September October Cost $2,000 3,090 2,780 1,990 7,500 5,300 4,300 6,300 5,600 6,240 of Moves 100 125 175 200 500 300 250 400 475 425 Pounds Moved 6,000 15,000 7,800 600 29,000 23,000 17,000 25,000 12,000 22,400 X2 35 Multiple Regression Analysis for the Method of Least Squares SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.999420 R Square 0.998841 Adjusted R Square 0.998509 Standard Error 75.762721 Observations 10 ANOVA Regression Residual Total Intercept X Variable 1 X Variable 2 df 2 7 9 SS MS F 34613020.07 17306510.04 3015.076722 40179.92954 5739.989934 34653200 Coefficients Standard Error 507.309711 57.322496 7.835162 0.234048 0.107181 0.003742 t Stat 8.850098 33.476720 28.642864 P-value 0.000048 0.000000 0.000000 36 Multiple Regression Based on the multiple regression analysis, the cost formula is written as: Y = $507 + $7.84X1 + $0.11X2 In November the company expects to make 350 moves with a weight of 17,000 pounds. The predicted cost of material handling is: Y = $507 + $7.84(350) + $0.11(17,000) = $507 + $2,744 + $1,870 = $5,121 37 Cumulative Average Time Learning Curve with 80% Learning Rate Cumulative Number of Units (1) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 16 32 Cumulative Average Time per Unit in Hours (2) Cumulative Individual Units Total Time: Time for nth Labor Hours Unit-Labor Hours (3) = (1) × (2) (4) 100 80 (80% × 100) 70.21 64 (80% × 80) 59.57 56.17 53.45 51.20 (80% × 64) 40.96 32.77 100 160 210.63 256 297.85 337.02 374.15 409.60 655.36 1,048.64 100 60 50.63 45.37 41.85 39.17 37.13 35.45 28.06 38 Graph of Cumulative Total Hours Required and the Cumulative Average Time per Unit 39 Managerial Judgment • Managerial judgment is critically important in determining cost behavior and is by far the most widely used method in practice • Advantage – simplicity • Disadvantage – poor judgment leads to errors 40 COST MANAGEMENT Accounting & Control Hansen▪Mowen▪Guan End Chapter 3 41