External triggers External triggers to the internationalization process Meta-level development in the world economy PEST analysis Internationalization of industries: globalisation vs. localisation Bi-polarisation Fundamental PEST headings Political Economic Social Technological Derivative trends Protectionism v Liberalisation Changes in exchange rates Labour costs and market changes Changing tastes Multiformity Innovation and development Meta trends Changes to worldwide supply and demand Dynamic changes in GNP and trade Changes to consumer lifestyle Diffusion of new technology Figure 3.9. The relationship between PEST and meta trends 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 2 Worldwide supply and demand growing number of products, services traded internationally Governments believe they may persist =>further rapid decline 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 3 Fundamental PEST headings Political Economic Social Technological Derivative trends Protectionism v Liberalisation Changes in exchange rates Labour costs and market changes Changing tastes Multiformity Innovation and development Meta trends Changes to worldwide supply and demand Dynamic changes in GNP and trade Changes to consumer lifestyle Diffusion of new technology Figure 3.9. The relationship between PEST and meta trends 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 4 Dynamic change in GNP and trade stagnating, declining industries supplanted vital, growing industries supported long term opportunities for mutual enrichment: no ‘zero sum struggle’ => no absolute losers or winners renewal triggered by exchange rates, labor cost adjustment 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 5 Fundamental PEST headings Political Economic Social Technological Derivative trends Protectionism v Liberalisation Changes in exchange rates Labour costs and market changes Changing tastes Multiformity Innovation and development Meta trends Changes to worldwide supply and demand Dynamic changes in GNP and trade Changes to consumer lifestyle Diffusion of new technology Figure 3.9. The relationship between PEST and meta trends 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 6 Changes to consumer lifestyles Increasing multi-formity, dynamism of markets shorter life cycles 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 7 Fundamental PEST headings Political Economic Social Technological Derivative trends Protectionism v Liberalisation Changes in exchange rates Labour costs and market changes Changing tastes Multiformity Innovation and development Meta trends Changes to worldwide supply and demand Dynamic changes in GNP and trade Changes to consumer lifestyle Diffusion of new technology Figure 3.9. The relationship between PEST and meta trends 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 8 Diffusion of new technology fast proliferation of know-how => generate successful products and services => high devl’t costs => large int’l markets needed 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 9 Internationalization of industries: globalization vs. localization GLOBALISATION LOCALISATION Convergence Divergence World market structure Collection of nat’l industries World level compet’n Nat’l level compet’n World: single market Many markets: treated separately 10 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / Assesing the extent of globalisation: How boundaries to the industry might be drawn? • including rivals (close substitutes) • customer’s viewpoint: paramount 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 11 Industry I Collection of competitors with similar technologies, processes and skills Firm A Firm B Firm C Market segment (i) Market segment (ii) Market segment (iii) Firm X Firm Y Firm Z Industry II (substitute products) Collection of competitors with similar technologies, processes and skills 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / Figure 3.10 Industries and markets 12 Changes at meta level Customers -customer requirements -distribution -uniform marketing Cost -new product developm. -scale economic -transport costs Four sets of industry drivers 34 Globalisation v. Localisation Competition -competitive interdependence -new entry compet’n 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / Country -trade policies -technical standards -culture, regulations 4 Cs Figure 3.11. Assessing the extent to which an industry is globalising 13 a) Customer drivers Customer requirements – Some products: worldwide acceptance => standardized global product – Within industry: marked variation (rice & paste / tomato kechup) UK: sweet France: spicy USA: vinegary 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 14 Distribution – Different channels => to be customise – Customer push or pull – Special national distribution system: Japanese electronics companies => retired employer: ‘pop and mum’ shops 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 15 Uniform marketing – Convergence of lifestyle: selling to different national markets Same product (satellite TV) Same product – variety of brand names Unilever: All, Omo, Persil, Presto, Skip, Via 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 16 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 17 Changes at meta level Customers -customer requirements -distribution -uniform marketing Cost -new product developm. -scale economic -transport costs Four sets of industry drivers 34 Globalisation v. Localisation Competition -competitive interdependence -new entry compet’n 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / Country -trade policies -technical standards -culture, regulations 4 Cs Figure 3.11. Assessing the extent to which an industry is globalising 18 b) Cost drivers New product development – Escalating cost of R&D, huge resource demand – Only the largest firms => trigger to be large Smaller car manufacturers absorbed 1994: VW, Fiat, Renault, Peugeot/Citroën, Ford, GM Further rationalization ahead 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 19 World sales MES output Nr. of plants Pressure to glob. 120 $m 10 12 decreased 120 $m 20 6 current position 120 $m 40 3 increased Scale economies – Trigger to globalization: achieve high volume sales => larger plants – Counterbalancing: Flexible Manufacturing Systems (FMS) => smaller plants – Find relative balance – Minimum Efficient Scale (MES): smallest size to achive min. cost/unit – FMS can offset the pressure of scale of economies! (integrated steel plants mini mills) 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 20 Transportation costs – Sometimes: countervailing force to the trend of globalization Low value/bulky product: remain localized High value/small weight: not prevented to be global – General trend: transport costs fall, reduce restrictions 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 21 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 22 Changes at meta level Customers -customer requirements -distribution -uniform marketing Cost -new product developm. -scale economic -transport costs Four sets of industry drivers 34 Globalisation v. Localisation Competition -competitive interdependence -new entry compet’n 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / Country -trade policies -technical standards -culture, regulations 4 Cs Figure 3.11. Assessing the extent to which an industry is globalising 23 c) Country drivers Trade policies – Some countries: individual trade policies (duty on products outside the bloc) Technical standards – E,g: electric power supply, food products laws, measure units – Converging int’l standards: encouraging globalization Cultural and regulatory barriers – Forms of advertising, business practices (aggressive) 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 24 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 25 Changes at meta level Customers -customer requirements -distribution -uniform marketing Cost -new product developm. -scale economic -transport costs Four sets of industry drivers 34 Globalisation v. Localisation Competition -competitive interdependence -new entry compet’n 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / Country -trade policies -technical standards -culture, regulations 4 Cs Figure 3.11. Assessing the extent to which an industry is globalising 26 d) Competitive drivers Competitive interdependence – Broadening geographical scope => interlinked nat’l markets => competitor: disadvantage – Competitive dynamics of industry: reflects life cycle. too New entry competition – May have powerful influence on the global/local balance – May reflect liberalization, new tech and business practice 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 27 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 28 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 29 External triggers External triggers to the internationalization process Meta-level development in the world economy PEST analysis Internationalization of industries: globalisation vs. localisation Bi-polarisation Bi-polarisation Giants Small Medium-size companies Close down 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 31 Industry Globalisation Localisation Industry drivers 34 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / Figure 3.12. The pendulum of change: convergence versus divergence 32 Globalisation High Med Low Localisation Industry drivers Low Med High Customer drivers Customer requirements Distribution Marketing Cost drivers New product development Scale economies Transport costs Country drivers Trade policies Technical standards Cultural/regulatory barriers Competitive drivers Competitive interdependence Entry of new competitors High 34 Overall Figure 3.13. Summary of industry drivers for the consumer electronics industry over 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 33 the next five years Product scope Narrow Restricted nat’l Geographical scope Internat’l 34 Broad (i) (ii) Local or national regional or national niche strategy Local or national regional or national broadbased strategy (iii) (iv) International niche strategy International broad-based strategy Figure 3.14 International competition and bi-polarisation 3-Externel triggers-b 34 / 34