MICROECONOMIC THEORY I. ECONOMICS 665. FALL 2014. PROF. Alex Anas. TA: Yiqian Lu. MIDTERM EXAMINATION 3. December 4, 3:30-5:30 PM, 2014, 424 FRONCZAK HALL. Books, notes or calculators are not allowed in the examination room. Please answer each question. TOTAL POINTS = 100. Solutions: PROBLEM 1 (35 points) This is a general equilibrium problem. Assume there are 200 consumers and 3 goods in the market. Initially we have 100 consumers each of whom owns 10 units of good 1; 50 consumers each of whom owns 5 units of good 2; 50 consumers each of whom owns 20 units of good 3. All consumers have the same utility function which is: ð= 1 1 1 ððð ðĨ1 + ððð ðĨ2 + ððð ðĨ3 2 4 4 Let ðĨ12 be the amount of good 1 consumer 2 has after trading. Similarly you can define ðĨ11 , ðĨ13 , etc. (i) Write down the excess demand function for good 1 using ðĨ11 , ðĨ12 , ðĨ13 etc. (5 points) (ii) What are the equilibrium prices prices ð2 , ð3 ? You may assume that ð1 = 1. (20 points) (iii) Which group of consumers are best off? (10 points) Answer: (i) Excess demand for good 1=100ðĨ11 +50 ðĨ12 + 50ðĨ13 − 1000 (ii) ð1 = 10ð1 , ð2 = 5ð2 , ð3 = 20ð3 , Each group want to max 1 1 1 ð ð = log ðĨ1ð + log ðĨ2ð + log ðĨ3ð 2 4 4 3 ð ðĄ ∑ ðð ðĨðð ≤ ðð ð=1 Using Lagrangian to solve this problem, we have 1 ð ðĨ1 ðð = , ððð ð = 1,2,3 2ð1 ð ðĨ2 ðð = , ððð ð = 1,2,3 4ð2 ðð , ððð ð = 1,2,3 4ð3 Actualy the production function is in Cobb-Douglas form, you can get ð ðĨ3 = above three functions immediately according to the characteristics of Cobb-Douglas function. Excess demand for good 1=100ðĨ11 +50 ðĨ12 + 50ðĨ13 − 1000 Excess demand for good 2=100ðĨ21 +50 ðĨ22 + 50ðĨ23 − 250 So we have -500+125p2/p1+500p3/p1=0 250p1/p2-750/4+250p3/p2=0 Under ð1 = 1 we have ð2 = 2 and ð3 = 1 2 (iii) Since ð1 = ð2 = ð3 = 10, all groups of traders are equally well off. PROBLEM 2 (40 points) There are two firms in the market. Their products are perfect substitutes for the 1 consumer . Their cost functions are ðķ1 (ðĨ1 ) = 5ðĨ1 and ðķ2 (ðĨ2 ) = 2 ðĨ22 . The market demand function is P = 100 - (ðĨ1 + ðĨ2 )/2. (i) Suppose that the firms compete as a Cournot duopoly, what is the market equilibrium? Calculate the quantity produced, and the price charged by each firm. (15 points) (ii) What is the profit of each firm? Calculate the consumer surplus? And then calculate the social welfare. (5 points) (iii) How does price and outputs change if the marginal cost of firm 1 increase by 20%? (5 points) 2 (iv) Assume that firm 1 is a Stackelberg quantity leader and firm 2 is the follower. Calculate the equilibrium price charged and the quantity produced by each firm. (15 points) Answer: (i) ð1 (ðĨ1 , ðĨ2 ) = (100 − ðĨ1 +ðĨ2 2 ) ðĨ1 − 5ðĨ1 ððððĢð ðđððķ ðĪð ððð âððĢð ðĨ1 = 95 − ð2 (ðĨ1 , ðĨ2 ) = (100 − ðĨ2 2 ðĨ1 + ðĨ2 ) ðĨ2 − ðĨ22 /2 2 ððððĢð ðđððķ ðĪð ððð âððĢð ðĨ2 = 50 − ðĨ1 4 Solve these two equations we can have ðĨ1 = 80, ðĨ2 = 30, p=100-(80+30)/2=45 (ii) Profit of company 1= 45*80-5*80=3200; Profit of company 2=45*30-30*30/2=900 Consumer Surplus = (100-45)/2 *110=3025 (iii) Social Welfare= 7125 Now we have ðķ1 (ðĨ1 ) = 6ðĨ1 We have ðĨ1 deceases, ðĨ2 increases, total supply decreases, p increases. (iv) From (i) we have ðĨ2 = 50 − So ð1 (ðĨ1 , ðĨ2 ) = (100 − ðĨ1 4 ðĨ ðĨ1 +50− 1 4 2 ) ðĨ1 − 5ðĨ1 3 We have FOC: 70 − ðĨ1 = 0 4 We can get ðĨ1 = 280 3 and ðĨ2 = 80/3. Total Supply is 120 and price level is 40. 3 PROBLEM 3 (25 points) (i) This part of this problem is from the textbook and the lecture. Two companies producing oil want to form a Cartel. They agree to reduce output to increase the price. Is the agreement stable? Prove the economic reason. Devise and explain your own clear notation. (5 points) (ii) Suppose that the time horizon is infinite (years are t=0,1,2,…, ïĨ ). The present value profit function to be maximized by each firm is ïi ï― ïĨt ï―0 ïĒ tï° it , where 0 < ð― ≤ ïĨ 1 is a discount rate per year, ð― ðĄ means ð― raised to the power t and ï° t is the profit of firm i in year t. Keep in mind that ïĨ ïĨ t ï―0 ïĒt ï― 1 . The aggregate demand for oil is 1ï ïĒ Q ï― 1 ï p each year, Q ï― q1 ïŦ q2 , and qi i ï― 1, 2 is what each firm produces. The marginal cost is constant and it is c1 ï― c2 ï― 0.1 for each firm. (ii-a) If there is no Cartel, the firms compete as in Bertrand competition. Explain what will be the Bertrand-Nash equilibrium price and the quantities produced by each firm? Write an expression for the profit ï1,BN of firm 1. (5 points) (ii-b) Find an expression for the profit of firm 1, ï 1,C , if the Cartel agreement is assumed to remain forever unbroken. (10 points) (ii-c) Suppose that in the beginning of year 1, firm 1 is considering to secretly defect from the Cartel in year 1, thus breaking the agreement. It knows that if it does so, its rival will find out not immediately, but in the beginning of year 2. Once the rival finds out it will also defect from year 2 to infinity, thus “punishing” firm 1. Calculate for what value of ïĒ , firm 1 will prefer to defect from the Cartel agreement. (5 points) Answer: (i) A cartel is unstable. ðððĨðĶ1,ðĶ2 ð(ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 )[ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 ] − ð1 (ðĶ1 ) − ð2 (ðĶ2 ) ðđððķ: ð(ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 ) + ð′(ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 )[ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 ] = ð1′ (ðĶ1 ) 4 ðð = ð(ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 ) + ð′ (ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 )[ðĶ1 ] − ð1′ (ðĶ1 ) ððĶ1 = −ð′(ðĶ1 + ðĶ2 ) ðĶ2 > 0 So every firm has the incentive to deviate from the agreement to max its profit. (ii) (a) Since it is Bertrand competition. The firms will choose the price at their marginal cost level. So p=0.1. q1=q2=0.45 In this case Π1,ðĩð = 0 (b) If they agree to form a Cartel. According to the symmetry, q1=q2=q Each firm wants to max (1-2q)q-0.1q FOC: 1-4q-0.1=0 We have q=0.225 Thus q1=q2=0.225, p=0.55 ∞ Π1,ðķ = ∑ ð― ðĄ 0.225 ∗ (0.55 − 0.1) = ðĄ=0 0.10125 1−ð― (c) Firm 1 (the firm that decides to cheat or not) believes that firm 2 will continue to produce at the quantity level 0.225. When firm 1 chooses to defect, it will max (1-0.225-q)q-0.1q in year 1 FOC we have q=0.3375 Total Profit of firm 1 if it defects is 0.3375*(0.4375-0.1)=0.1139 When 0.10125 1−ð― < 0.1139 i.e. when ð― < 0.11 Firm 1 will prefer to defect. 5