Karachi Bus Rapid Transit Progress Prof. Dr. Mir Shabbar Ali Presentation on BRTS in Karachi Courtesy: Mirza Anwar Baig Consultant Karachi Mass Transit Cell, KMC Population Projection for Karachi 35 31.6 An increase of another 4 million people 30 Population (Millions) 25 An increase of almost 9 million people 29.7 27.6 Projection in KTIP Projection in KSDP 2020 23.1 18.9 20 Current Population 15.1 15 10 5 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Year Source : KTIP 2030 Expected Population Growth Trend by Town upto 2030 Population in 2005 1,000,000 500,000 100,000 Population in 2020 1,000,000 500,000 100,000 Gadap Town New Karachi Town Kemari Town Bin Qasim Town Most of the population growth is expected to take place in the out skirts of the existing city i.e. Gadap Town, Bin Qasim Town, Keamari Town, New Karachi Town as the centre is already densely populated. World Metropolitan Population 40 35 34.3 Karachi in 2030 Population (Millions) 30 25 20 15 25.1 24.6 24.1 23.5 22.9 22 20.8 20.2 18.8 Karachi Now 10 5 0 All Metropolises of the world have Mass Transit Systems EXCEPT KARACHI Status of Existing Public Transport [Vehicle Count VS Occupancy Comparison] • 4.5% composition of Public Transport Vehicles carry 42% of Total Persons Traveling in the City. • Private Cars which is 36.5% of Total Vehicular Traffic carries only 21% of Persons. Showing Lesser Average Vehicle Occupancy. • The above leads to the conclusion that there is still deficiency of Public Transport availability on all Major Routes in the city. 6 Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030 In order to improve the transport situation in Karachi city KARACHI TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT STUDY PROJECT 2010 – 12 was conducted by Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) in association with Karachi Mass Transit Cell (KMTC), Karachi Metropolitan Corporation (KMC) including preparation of Transport Master Plan with 2030 vision Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030 The JICA Study Team has reviewed the corridors and the systems in previous plans and analyzed alternatives corridors and systems. The master plan network consists of • Karachi Circular Railway (KCR), • Two Mass Rapid Transits (MRTs) named as Blue Line and Brown Line and • 6 Bus Rapid Transits (BRTs) along major corridors. Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030 BRT-1 Length: 21.1 Km BRT-4 Length: 3.9 Km BRT-2 Length: 24.4 Km BRT-5 Length: 9.7 Km BRT-6 Length: 11.8 Km BRT-3 Length: 26.0 Km Total length of Mass Transit Network: 189.8 km MRT Network: 98.5 km; BRT Network: 91.3 Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030 • • • • • JICA identified Red, Green and Yellow Line as priority corridors and completed technical feasibility study for Red and Green Line. No resettlement and Land procurement issues in the BRT Corridors/Lines. The Project Development of BRT Yellow Line was approved in the 9th PPP Policy Board held in November 2012. Accordingly KMTC, KMC has engaged a consortium of consultancy firms consisting of financial, legal and technical, expertise to act as Transaction Advisors for the Project in April 2013. The Advisory Consortium consists of BRT “Yellow” Line (Project Brief) BRT Yellow Line - Route Yellow Line Proposed Elevated Structure Proposed Elevated Structure (For Mix Traffic) Proposed Bridge Widening People’s Roundabout Khudadad Colony BRT (In Mix Traffic) At-Grade Station Proposed Grade Separated Station Khalid Bin Waleed Road Numaish Shah Ahmad Noorani Allah Wali Chowrang i CDGK Parking Plaza Murtaza Chowrang i Nurser y Empress Market Regal Chowk FTC Interchang e Kala Pull Kh -eItteha d Bilal Chowrangi Brooks Chowrang i DHA More Vita Chowrangi Jam Sadiq Bridge Sunset Boulevar d Chamra Chowrangi KPT Interchang e Mansehr a Colony Singer Chowrangi Dawood Chowrangi Salient Features after Initial Study Corridor length 26 km Average speed of system 30 km/hr . (Dedicated: 16km, Elevated 4km, Mixed Traffic 4km) Estimated BRT Ridership 2013 125,000 Pax per day Bridge widening one (1km) Estimated project cost PKR 8-10 bn Overhead pedestrian bridges 24 Proposed stations 24 Proposed flyovers Three Project Status Progress of the Transaction Advisors on Yellow Line is as follows: – – – – – – – – – Have submitted the Inception Report of the Assignment Have conducted major traffic, topographic and other related surveys Initial cost estimate has been determined Other technical studies are in progress Broad Project/Transaction structure has been determined Work on the Financial Model has been initiated Preliminary meeting for Legal Review has been conducted Preliminary meeting for Regulatory Authority / Company has been completed RFQ, EOI and Project Brief Submitted and approved by TFEC BRT “Red” Line (Project Brief) BRT Red Line - Route Salient Features after Initial Study Corridor length –22.2 km Average speed of system 25 km/hr . (Dedicated: 22.2 km, Elevated 0 km, Mixed Traffic 0 km) Estimated BRT Ridership 2013 355,000Pax per day Bridge widening 0 Estimated project cost PKR 10-11 bn Overhead pedestrian bridges 20 Proposed stations 20 Proposed flyovers 0 Project Status • • • • Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in weeks’ time. Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government. Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process. BRT “Green” Line (Project Brief) BRT Green Line - Route Salient Features after Initial Study Corridor length 22.1 km Average speed of system 25 km/hr . (Dedicated: 22.1 km, Elevated 3.2 km, Mixed Traffic-0 km) Estimated project cost PKR 14-15 bn Overhead pedestrian bridges 24 Estimated BRT Ridership 2013 432,000 Pax per day Bridge widening 0 Proposed stations 28(24 at grade,4 elevated) Proposed flyovers 2 Project Status • • • • Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in weeks’ time. Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government. Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process. Project Structure Project Structure for Yellow Line Direct agreement/support guarantees Sponsors Procuring Authority/ Public Sector SPV Share pledge Lenders Shareholders agreement Debt repayment Private Parties Disbursement of funds Party A: Infrastructure & maintenance Insurance agreement Insurance company Party B: Operator Services ROI guaranteed / support Party C: Fare collector Fare End users Income from fare collection Responsibilities Major responsibilities of private parties Party A: Infrastructure & maintenance Party B: Operator Party C: Fare collector ■ Infrastructure design, ■ Procurement of busses ■ Construction of bus way and bus depots) ■ Operation of the same ■ Collection of fare and non-fare revenue ■ Maintenance of bus fleet ■ ITS systems and related infrastructure Incentive structure ■ Payment on per km basis with various elements of inflation and pass through items built into formula Incentive structure ■ Fixed payment by Party to Authority with incentive to pocket upside ■ Maintenance of infrastructure Incentive structure ■ Compensation in form of annuity payments over predetermined period of time ■ Or % surcharge payment Proposed Project Structure Implementation Structure Implementation Structure • Proposed “Sindh BRT Company” • Basic obligations shall include: – Policy / Regulation Formation, Administration and Management – Planning and Design – Contracting and Concessions, Project Award and Implementation – Engineering and Construction – Liaising with Government Authorities – Operational Management and Enforcement and Rights to Penalize – Marketing and Customer Care Implementation Structure • Dedicated Company required because : – Specialized professional/technical expertise required for the Project – Implementation of Project requires authority/powers from various agencies, who shall surrender powers for BRT Corridor in favor of BRTC – Regulation Monitoring a specialized task considering best practice and sophisticated technology – In accordance with Global Practice (Transmilano SA, Transport for London etc), Same model followed by Punjab whereby an authority has been formed by act of parliament – Representation of all Stakeholders Salient Features • To be incorporated under Companies Ordinance 1984 • Proposed board representation after initial assessment, as follows: • • • • • • • • • Secretary Transport and Mass Transit Chairman Director General, Mass Transit Special Secretary Finance (B & E) Administrator (Co-opt Member) of City where the Project is being implemented DIG Traffic P & D Chief Transport Pakistan Engineering Council Representative ICAP Representative Acedmia Representative Decisions Solicited • Formal approval by Honorable Chief Minister, Sindh for formation of “Sindh BRT Company”. • After detailed legal review, a formal Summary to be moved by Transport Department, GoS with the necessary particulars for approval of Honorable Chief Minister. • Approval of PPP Policy Board is required for launch of Yellow Line under PPP Mode. RFQ, EoI and Project Brief have been completed and can be finalized in a week’s time. • Launch of Red and Green Line shall be made after launch/progress of Yellow Line considering the considering the investment climte. ???