Air Pollution Challenges in Southeast Asia Glynda Bathan Deputy Executive Director Clean Air Asia 2nd ASEAN Chief Justices Roundtable Discussion 8 December 2012 Air pollution in Asia risks getting worse again 120 PM10 100 80 WHO interim target 1 PM10 – 70 µg/m3 60 WHO annual guideline NO2 – 40 µg/m3 40 NO2 20 SO2 0 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 WHO annual guideline PM10 – 20 µg/m3 WHO daily guideline SO2 – 20 µg/m3 Global Burden of Disease 2000 Mortality attributable to leading risk factors High blood pressure Tobacco High cholesterol Underweight Unsafe sex Low fruit and vegetable intake Overweight and obesity Physical inactivity Alcohol Unsafe water, sanitation, and hygiene High-mortality developing Indoor smoke from solid fuels Lower-mortality developing Iron deficiency Developed Urban air pollution Zinc deficiency Outdoor Air Pollution ranked 13th Vitamin A deficiency Contaminated health care injections Occupational airborne particulates Occupational risk factors for injury Lead exposure Illicit drugs 0 Ezzati et al. 2002; WHO 2002 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Mortality in thousands (Total 55.86 million) 7000 8000 Poor air quality: 7 of 10 cities in developing Asia PM10 annual average concentrations µg/m3 >150 Cities developing Asia 26 Cities developed Asia 100-150 58 70-100 89 50-70 36 30-50 20-30 <20 31 5 9 6 10 19 WHO Interim Target 1 70 µg/m3 20 WHO Air Quality Guideline 20 µg/m3 Particulate matter or “PM” is harmful Asthma, impaired lung function, cardiovascular illness and deaths 6 Many sources of PM in Asia Motorization rates are increasing Motorization in Asia (2010) Source: Accessing Asia, Clean Air Asia 2012 Vehicle Ownership 800 700 Cars per capita 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 402 1,079 1,888 3,082 Lao 4,137 5,712 7,169 8,590 10,719 12,905 GDP per capita (PPP constant 2005) 24,649 29,940 33,640 40,134 74,114 Indonesia Vietnam Cambodia 17,711 Brunei Malaysia Philippines Source: Data from the World Bank and Clean Air Asia Thailand Singapore 2-wheelers are in the majority… Vehicle Types (2010) Source: Accessing Asia, Clean Air Asia 2012 …but trucks generate most CO2 emissions Road Transport CO2 Emissions by Vehicle Type (2010) Source: Accessing Asia, Clean Air Asia 2012 Asia remains dependent on diesel Estimated share of diesel in road transport fuel consumption (2010) 62% 64% 77% 52% 91% ASIA BAN IND INO LAO 85% 85% 65% 58% NEP PAK PHI PRC 31% MAL 31% 57% SIN 69% SRI 74% THA VIE *Note: share of fuel consumption of diesel was estimated based on vehicle population by fuel type Source: Clean Air Asia estimates, 2012 Exposure zone within 300 to 500 meters from a highway or a major road is most highly affected by traffic emissions -Health Effects Institute -Traffic-Related Air Pollution: A Critical Review of the Literature on Emissions, Exposure, and Health Effects. 2010 14 The Traffic Impact Area in Delhi 55% of the population within 500 meters of a freeway; 50 meters of a major road (Health Effects Institute analysis) The Traffic Impact Area in Beijing HEI Analysis: 76% of the Population within 500 meters of a Freeway; 50 meters of a Major Road (Health Effects Institute analysis) More people moving to cities 120,000 people a day 44 million people added to Asian cities every year 1.1 billion People added to Asian cities in the next 30 years ADB Vehicles are key to Solving the PM2.5 Problem ● Vehicles contribute 22-34% of PM2.5 in megacities, but percentage is growing ● Actual impacts much higher when considering secondary pollution ● Roadside exposure much higher in dense urban areas Pearl River Delta PM2.5 sources Others 2% Power plant 19% Industry 43% 18 Micheal Walsh, 2012 Transport 34% Off-road equipme nt 2% PM2.5 Annual Standards 2012 AQG (10 µg/m3) IT-3 (15 µg/m3) IT-2 (25 µg/m3) IT-1 (35 µg/m3) Above 35 µg/m3) No annual PM2.5 standard No information Note: China’s new PM2.5 annual standard (35 µg/m3) is for national implementation in 2016. 2012 implementation of new standard: for Beijing, Tianjin, YRD, PRD, municipalities and provincial capital cities Clean Air Asia 2012 Asia goals 2016: monitoring and data ● Air quality monitoring systems and report data publicly ● Air pollution and GHG indicators for transport and energy Asia goals: policies ● City Clean Air Plans and reports ● “Avoid-Shift-Improve” policies for transport ● Maintain or improve share of non-motorized and public transport ● Effective programs for in-use vehicles ● National green freight programs ● Demonstration of clean truck technologies Low emissions urban development Low emissions urban development Ho Chi Minh City 2030 BAU Low emissions urban development Ho Chi Minh City 2030 Low Emissions Baseline Ahmedabad Transport CO2: 38%, PM 60% Electricity CO2 61%, PM 45% Colombo Transport CO2: 15%, PM 32% Electricity CO2 30%, PM 68% Ho Chi Minh Transport CO2: 33%, PM 30% Electricity CO2 40%, PM 38% BAU 2030 Low Emissions 2030 More information: www.cleanairasia.org Clean Air Asia Center center@cleanairasia.org Unit 3505 Robinsons-Equitable Tower ADB Avenue, Pasig City Metro Manila 1605 Philippines Clean Air Asia China Office china@cleanairasia.org 901A Reignwood Building, No. 8 YongAnDongLi Jianguomenwai Avenue Beijing China Clean Air Asia India Office india@cleanairasia.org 1st Floor, Building No. 4 Thyagraj Nagar Market, Lodhi Colony New Delhi 110003 India Clean Air Asia Country Networks China Clean Air Asia Center Members . India . Indonesia . Nepal . Pakistan . Philippines . Sri Lanka . Vietnam 236 Clean Air Asia Partnership Members • Cities • Environment ministries and government agencies • Development agencies and foundations • Non-government organizations • Academic and research institutions • Private sector companies and associations Clean Air Asia Donors in 2012 Asian Development Bank Cities Development Initiative for Asia ClimateWorks Foundation DHL/IKEA/UPS Energy Foundation Fredskorpset Norway Fu Tak Iam Foundation German International Cooperation (GIZ) Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) Institute for Transport Policy Studies Institute for Transportation and Development Policy International Union for Conservation of Nature L'Agence Française de Développement (AFD) MAHA Pilipinas Shell Rockefeller Brothers Fund Shakti Foundation Shell Foundation United Nations Environment Program Partnership for Clean Fuels and Vehicles (UNEP PCFV) USAID CEnergy Veolia World Bank 26