International Trade • Countries can consume beyond their own PPF if they trade each specialise in goods with comparative advantage • The rate of exchange will be somewhere between their opportunity cost ratios) • The rate of exchange is measured by the “terms of trade” – an index of export prices divided by index of import prices (the greater a quantity of imports a country can acquire for a given quantity of exports, the higher the “terms of trade”) The Importance of International Trade Bananas Bananas B C C A A B Wine EU Wine USA • Without trade, each produces at A • With complete specialisation, each produces at B • Trade occurs at an exchange rate somewhere between opportunity costs (same slope for both countries) therefore both can consume greater quantity of Bananas and Wine Welfare Gain From Trade S domestic P domestic P world A B C D domestic Qs Qd domestic domestic Imports Consumer surplus gain = A + B + C Producer surplus loss = A Total welfare gain = B + C Welfare Loss from Trade? • Assumes trade based on current comparative advantage – may be too static & not flexible enough • Looks at overall welfare, but not at individual winners & losers (ie. unemp.) • Infant industries… do newly emerging businesses and industries have the chance to grow in global competition – perhaps they should be protected until strong enough? • Assumes all trade based on comparative adv. but lots based on consumer preference for choice • Free trade is corrosive to cultural practices – not taken into account (an external cost) Trade Protection Options • Tariffs: taxes on imports • Quotas: quantity restrictions on imports • Subsidies: given to domestic firms to help them compete in foreign markets • Regulations: can make it very difficult or expensive for foreign products to comply Tariffs – A Loss of Welfare S domestic P tariff P world A B C D D domestic Qs Qs Qd Qd free trade with tariff with tariff free trade Less Imports Consumer surplus reduced by A + B + C + D Producer surplus increased by A (domestic producers expand production at ↑ price) Gov’t tax revenue = C Total loss of welfare = B + D Welfare loss from quota SD1 Quota amount decided, added to domestic production Loss in consumer surplus is A+B+C+D PW +q PW Gain in producer surplus is A A B C D SW D QS1 QS2 QD2 QD1 Who receives C? Generally importers, so welfare loss is B+C+D If the government sold licences to import, welfare loss is between B+D and B+C+D So tariffs are better than quotas Welfare loss from subsidy SD1 New producer surplus is A+B+C+D SD2 SW PW A S PW S Original producer surplus is A C Gain in producer surplus is B+C+D Subsidy costs taxpayers A+B+C+E B E D So loss from subsidy is A+B+C+E minus B+C+D Which is A+E-D D QS1 QS 2 QD1 Since A is the same as D the loss is E Advantages of free trade Advantages of free trade • Specialisation leading to increased output • Trade allows economies of scale (larger market to sell to) • Lower price and increased choice • Competition and innovation Disadvantages of free trade • Risk – interdependence, over-reliance on trade, loss of control • Unemployment (perhaps) • Income inequality • Environmental impact • Culture Why have trade restrictions? • If countries specialise according to comparative advantage there are major gains from trading • Tariffs, quotas and other restrictions lead to welfare loss, so why do some countries have protectionist policies? Outward Orientation • Concentrating on exports – primarily from the industrial sector • Adam Smith, 1776 – ‘The Wealth of Nations’ was limited by the ‘extent of the market’ • Especially relevant for smaller countries • Could make income more unequal – relies on lowwages • Puts country at mercy of world markets • Loans for investment to industrialise may be hard to repay • MDC’s may make allegations of ‘dumping’ Inward Orientation • Until early ’90’s, larger countries (China, India) able to export less & replace imports with domestic production • Makes economy self-sufficient – can control every aspect (necessary in communism) • Avoids problem of international debt & vulnerability to world mkts • Country may lack resources to provide everything • Consumers begin to demand access to international goods & services • Smaller countries cannot satisfy their needs efficiently