Lecture 2: Competitive Equilibrium Readings: Leach, Chapters 2 and 3 Competitive Equilibrium Q: What kinds of social arrangements cause private (self) interests to become aligned with the public (collective) interest? A: Adam Smith’s central thesis in the Wealth of Nations (1776) was that if private property rights are protected by the state, a competitive market provides a social arrangement that causes the pursuit of private interests (profit) to promote the public interest (national prosperity). Competitive Equilibrium Q: How do economists prove Smith’s theory today? A: Competitive General Equilibrium and the First Welfare Theorem. A 2x2 Model: • Two commodities ale (a) and bread (b) • Two participants George (G) and Harriet (H) • An endowment is a list of goods initially possessed by each person • Ale Endowment: • Bread Endowment: • A feasible allocation is a list of goods that could finally possessed by each person if the endowment is redistributed. Allocation = (aG , bG , aH , bH) such that a aG a H and b bG bH Competitive Equilibrium • Given some endowment, the set of all feasible allocations is the Edgeworth Box. The endowment (E) and any allocation (A) are represented as points in the Edgeworth Box. The endowment is sometimes referred to as the initial allocation. aH bG A aG OH bH E bG OG aH bH aG Q: Why might society seek to choose a different allocation than the endowment? A: The endowment may be viewed as unfair and most certainly is inefficient. Competitive Equilibrium Q: Why is the endowment inefficient? A: Consider some arbitrary endowment (E). If the indifference curves through this point form a lens, then there exists a feasible reallocation within the lens that makes both people better off. The endowment E is inefficient in the sense that it wastes an opportunity to make people better off without anyone having to pay the cost of becoming worse off. Notice that inefficiency is linked to satisfaction and not to output. Allocations within the lens make at least one person better off, without making anyone worse off. Allocations outside the lens make at least one person worse off. aH OH E bG U1 V1 OG aG bH Competitive Equilibrium Q: What is an efficient allocation? A: If an inefficient allocation has a lens of available reallocations that make everyone better off, then an efficient allocation is one in which there is no such lens of opportunity. This occurs when the indifference curves touch at a point of tangency. At such a point, the allocation is said to be Pareto optimal (or Pareto efficient). aH OH P E bG U1 V1 OG aG bH Competitive Equilibrium Q: Can this idea be generalized for an economy with many consumers, many goods, and production? Definition: An allocation is Pareto optimal if there is no alternative feasible allocation in which one person is better off and no one worse off. Another way of thinking about Pareto optimality is to introduce the idea of a Pareto improvement. Definition: A Pareto improvement is a feasible reallocation which makes at least one person better off without making anyone worse off. If a Pareto improvement exists for some allocation, then the allocation is not Pareto optimal (inefficient). If no Pareto improvements exist, then the allocation is Pareto optimal (efficient). Competitive Equilibrium Q: How many Pareto optimal allocations are there in our 2x2 Exchange Economy? A: An infinite number of points in the Edgeworth Box have the property of tangent indifference curves. This can be represented by the Contract Curve. aH OH bH P E bG OG aG Competitive Equilibrium Q: Suppose a competitive market spontaneously emerged in our 2x2 economy. What would be the impact of this market? A: The market would produce a price for bread (Pb) and a price for ale (Pa). Each individual (G and H) would respond by either selling bread to buy ale or selling ale to buy bread. This decision would depend on their preferences, their endowment, and the relative price of ale. Q: What is the relative price of ale? A: It is the price of a pint of ale in terms of loafs of bread sacrificed to purchase the ale. If the price of bread is $2 per loaf and the price of ale is $4 per pint, then the relative price of ale is 2 loafs of bread. This is the bread price of ale. The relative price is a function of the money prices: Relative Price of Ale = P = Pa / Pb = ($/pint of ale) / ($/loaf of bread) = loafs of bread / pint of ale Competitive Equilibrium Q: Given a set of relative prices and the individual’s endowment what will they do? A: In terms of the Edgeworth box, the relative price provides the slope of the budget constraint that goes through the initial endowment. The budget constraint presents each person’s set of feasible market exchanges given their endowment and market prices. The person will choose the point on the budget constraint that maximizes their utility. This choice is the unique point on the budget line where: MRS = Pa / Pb = P = bread price of ale = slope of the budget line Competitive Equilibrium G wishes to sell aG aG units of ale and buy bG bG units of bread given the market price. H wishes to sell bH bH units of bread and buy aH aH units of ale given the market price P. The result is that P creates an excess supply of bread and an excess demand for ale: Excess Supply of b bH bG and Excess Demand of a a H aG . aH aH U1 OH U2 P 1 bH bG bG E V1 V2 OG aG aG bH Competitive Equilibrium Q: If there is an excess supply of bread (b) and an excess demand for ale (a) how will the market respond? A: The money price of ale will rise and the money price of bread will fall. This causes the relative price of ale to rise, which in turn causes the budget line to pivot through E to a new steeper slope. In other words you need more bread to buy ale. aH b’G a’H aH OH b’H bH M bG bG E bH V1 P’ 1 V2 OG a’G aG aG Competitive Equilibrium Q: Will the price stop changing and reach equilibrium? A: The relative price tends to change if there is excess demand or excess supply for a good. It stops changing and reaches equilibrium when the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied for all goods in the market. We call this the equilibrium price, or market clearing price. • In the above diagram P’ is the equilibrium price and M is the competitive allocation. • At the equilibrium price the quantity of ale offered for sale equals the quantity of ale bought and the quantity of bread offered for sale equals the quantity of bread bought . Competitive Equilibrium Q: Does an equilibrium price exist for economies with more than two commodities? A: There are a number of existence theorems in economics that show that there exists a market equilibrium price vector that clears the market. It may seem scarcely possible but it is straightforward to show that a market clearing price vector exists for any competitive market with an arbitrarily large set of commodities being traded. See a graduate text for further details. Competitive Equilibrium Q: Will a market automatically adjust prices to reach equilibrium? A: In economic models of 2 or more commodities, the ability of a market to automatically adjust to equilibrium is examined in uniqueness and stability theorems. • The uniqueness and stability of an equilibrium price vector depends on the shape of the demand and supply curves. • The text (chapter 2) shows how there can be more than one market price if the demand curve crosses the supply curve at more than one point. • If there is more than one equilibrium price, each equilibrium price should be checked to see if it is a stable equilibrium. You are responsible for this material. • In general equilibrium theory, there are number of theorems which identify the conditions under which an economy with n commodities has a unique and stable equilibrium price. See a graduate text for further details. Competitive Equilibrium Q: If there is a unique and stable market equilibrium price, do the market trades coordinated by this price lead to an efficient (Pareto optimal) allocation? A: While this will not hold in all economies, it is easy to show that it holds in a 2x2 competitive exchange economy. 1st Welfare Theorem: Every competitive allocation is Pareto optimal. Proof: Utility maximization causes each person’s choice to be tangent to the budget line defined by the market equilibrium price. If the market is in equilibrium, there cannot be any excess demand or excess supply, so each must choose an allocation at which their indifference curves are tangent to each other. The competitive allocation is therefore Pareto optimal (efficient) because there is no lens. Competitive Equilibrium Q: Is the Laissez-Faire market allocation the best allocation available? A: No. The competitive allocation is just one of many efficient allocations that are hypothetically available to a society (given by the contract curve). If efficiency and fairness both matter, there are a huge number of alternative allocations which are efficient and might be judged by society to be fairer. Competitive Equilibrium Q: If we want a fair society, is the market mechanism no longer useful? A: The second welfare theorem suggests that the market mechanism might still be useful in reaching a fairer point on the contract curve than provided under Laissez-Faire. 2nd Welfare Theorem: Each Pareto optimal allocation is the competitive allocation under some distribution of the endowed goods. Proof: To prove this theorem we must show that for any point “Z” on the Contract Curve, there exists an initial endowment “X” at which a market price would emerge that would cause markets to clear and cause trading to automatically take the market participants to Z. This is not that hard to show. First choose some Z on the contract curve. This allocation has the property that the MRSG = MRSH . Draw a line through Z having a slope q = MRSG = MRSH . An allocation X anywhere along this line will necessarily cause a price p=q to spontaneously emerge, and trade will immediately cause the allocation to shift from X to Z. Competitive Equilibrium In the following diagram an initial endowment E leads to a market equilibrium price that generates a competitive allocation M. While M is Pareto optimal, so is Z. Society may prefer Z to M because while they are both efficient, Z is more equitable. But how might we get to Z. The second welfare theorem says to draw a line through Z with the same slope as the MRS at Z for G and H. Any initial endowment X on this line will produce a market price equal to this MRS and automatically lead society to reallocate to Z. The trick then is to figure out how to reallocate initial endowments from E to X and let the market do the rest. aH OH bH Z ● ●M ●E ● X bG OG aG Competitive Equilibrium Q: How might an efficient and equitable allocation be reached? A: The theorem seems to suggest we should attempt to engineer a reallocation of endowments and then let the market take us to an efficient point on the contract curve. If this point is not ideal, further iterative adjustments in this reallocation in endowments will iteratively lead us closer a fair and efficient allocation. Essentially, the theorem argues that those who want to increase equity should restrict their policies to reallocating purchasing power. The details of individual consumption should be left to individual decisions coordinated by market prices. Q: How can a simple adjustment of endowments be accomplished? A: This requires a tax and transfer mechanism. As you are well aware, such taxes and transfers introduce deadweight losses (inefficiency). A mechanism for simple lump-sum adjustments of endowments has not been discovered yet. Competitive Equilibrium Q: Does this mean that the 2nd Welfare theorem provides no useful insight? A: While it is no doubt impossible to engineer fair and efficient allocations, it seems sensible that policy aimed at helping the poor should: • be restricted to redistributing purchasing power. • After purchasing power has been redistributed, we should then leave the poor to make their own choices about what allocation they want to consume given market prices. Q: If we introduce more commodities and production into our exchange economy, does the first welfare theorem survive? A: Yes. Read chapter 3 (as an option 4) for next week. Competitive Equilibrium Q: What are the mathematical relationships underlying this model of a 2x2 pure exchange economy? A: Chapter 3: Each person chooses to consume at the point on the budget line where an indifference curve just touches the budget line as a tangent. This is equivalent to finding the point on the budget line which has an indifference curve that has exactly the same slope as the budget line. The slope of the budge line is the relative price of ale. P = (Pa / Pb) . The absolute value of the slope of the indifference curve is called the MRS. u u ( a, b) u u du da db 0 a b db u / a MU a MRS da du o u / b MU b Competitive Equilibrium Therefore the individual will choose the point on the their budget line where: P MRS Pa MU a Pb MU b Our 2x2 economy has two individuals. Since the other individual faces the same prices, they will both choose a point on their respective budget lines where their MRS equals the price ratio. P MRS G MRS H Pa MU aG MU aH G Pb MU b MU bH Competitive Equilibrium • The above condition will hold for any price, as individuals will automatically adjust their consumption choices so the P=MRS. The above condition is not an equilibrium as most prices will cause an excess supply for one good and an excess demand for the other good. • A competitive equilibrium is an allocation a=(aG , bG , aH , bH) and a price p = (pa/pb) such that the allocation is feasible and the market clears (no excess demand or supply), and P = MRSG = MRSH . • The market clearing price can be found by calculating the excess demand equations, and substituting excess demand equations into the market clearing condition. See chapter 3 for details and examples. You are responsible. • The competitive market equilibrium allocation is also Pareto optimal as the allocation is feasible and MRSG = MRSH . Competitive Equilibrium End