INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY (Course number GOVT 261, Spring 2015) Class day & time: Tuesday & Thursday, 11am-12:15pm Instructor: James Raymond Vreeland, Professor 2.0 WE ARE GLOBAL GEORGETOWN! 1 Who is this guy? WEGG 2 Research • Informs what I teach • Keeps me on the cutting edge • Signals to the world Georgetown faculty strength – Signal attracts great students (peers) – Signals employers the university’s caliber 3 Striving for a global impact • Places I have taught: • Places I have had a research position: • Places I have presented my research: 4 Cultural exchanges • Co-authors 5 You 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Freshmen Sophomores Juniors Seniors Other 6 You 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 SFS College MSB 7 You 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 8 So much more to know… • International students? • International experiences? • Personal stories • Greatness in this room! 9 What are YOUR responsibilities in this class? Go to the syllabus! www.profvreeland.com http://www9.georgetown.edu/faculty/jrv24/GOVT_298.html 10 Pedagogy • Substance • Analytical tools • Teaching to fish 11 Substance & Analytical Tools • Graphs • Indifference curves • Statistical tables 12 Technology in the classroom • Professor 2.0 – bring your laptops to class • Syllabus: http://www9.georgetown.edu/faculty/jrv24/GOVT_298.html • Google: http://www.google.com/search?q=james+vreeland&rls=com.microsoft:en-us&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&startIndex=&startPage=1 • Google scholar: – http://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=james%20vreeland&rls=com.microsoft:en-us&oe=UTF-8&startIndex=&startPage=1&um=1&ie=UTF-8&sa=N&hl=en&tab=ws • Wikipedia? 13 What is this class about? 14 I P E nternational olitical conomy 15 I.P.E. • International Political Economy – Economics: distribution of scarce resources – Politics: the role of the state in such distribution – International: flows of such resources across borders 16 International Flows • Goods & Services (trade) • Finance • People • Pollutants • Others?... – Violence/terrorism? 17 What to expect • WE ARE GEORGETOWN! • You are Georgetown! I am Georgetown! • What does it mean to you? • Culture of Excellence • Respect – For other cultures, for each other • High standards – On time, attendance, do the reading, no cheating • RANDOM SELECTOR – COLD CALLING 18 Requirements • Exams • What’s the point? – Analytical tool time! 19 The generic problem of timeinconsistent preferences: Individual’s preferences over time: • Time 1: U(A)>U(B) • Time 2: U(B)>U(A) • Anticipating the change in preferences, can the individual commit @ Time 1 to choosing State A @ Time 2? 20 Classic Example: Ulysses & the Sirens 21 Education: • Principal=student. • Delegates to agent=professor. • Time 1: Beginning of the semester. • Time 2: Any Thursday night. • State A: State of knowledge. • State B: State of… – Tombs? 22 Exams • Designed to help you to do your work • Emphasizes a key point of the class: The Importance of Incentives • Exams will be straightforward • E.g., – What is the purpose of the exam? – Answer? – To solve your “commitment problem” – Or to solve your “time-inconsistent preference problem” 23 Grading • Mid-term & (non-cumulative) Final – you decide the weight (25% – 75%) • Department website: “Grades in the Department of Government reflect high standards and university norms… the expectation is that no more than 50 percent of grades will be A-minus or higher.” • Standards of excellence 24 Substance… 25 So what, exactly, do we want the state to do? • The state versus the market… • A stylized history of the debate… • With a pugilist analogy 26 ROUND 1: • The market comes out strong with a powerful blow to the body of the state: • Adam Smith’s work leading (eventually) to… • The fundamental theorems of welfare economics: 1. Competitive allocations are efficient 2. Any efficient allocation (distribution) can be reached from an appropriate distribution of initial endowments There is No role for the state to play in the economy (except perhaps to redistribute initial endowments) 27 ROUND 2: • But the state returns a powerful punch to the market: • Some traditional market failures: – Monopolies (failure of perfect competition) – Public Goods (efficient price is 0, since these goods are non-rivalrous) – Externalities (consumption by one individual affects the utility of another individual) As the bell rings to end this round, the state has a big role to play in the economy But wait… the market has a major blow in store for the state… 28 ROUND 3: • The market returns with – what looks to be – a knock-out blow to the jaw of the state. Stigler: – Why assume that the state will perform any better than the market? – Private individuals are privately motivated – Why assume governments are public spirited?? – Opens the possibility of “rent-seeking” behavior by governments – Corruption – The “principal-agent” problem which we will address soon! • For better or worse, we’re stuck with the market. • Keep the state out of the economy. 29 ROUND 4: • The state is cut & it’s bleeding, but it’s on its feet and it’s on the move. Delivers a monumental blow to the belly of the market. • Stiglitz questions the assumptions of the model which undergirds “the market.” – – MISSING MARKETS • Practical: Futures market. No risk-market for some things (moral hazard) • Logic: trade-off between thinness and completeness • Normative: we don’t want some markets to exist IMPERFECT INFORMATION • Utility functions are not “well-behaved” 30 The contest is a DRAW… 31 Bottom line • There is no assumption that the market or the state will be efficient • No monolithic theory of “state” over “market” or vice versa • No religion, no ideology • Study precise situations – Analyze the trade-offs between – Centralized mechanisms of allocation & – Decentralized mechanisms of allocation 32 Questions, then conclusion 33 Take-aways 1. I. P. E. 2. Time inconsistent preference problem – A.K.A. Commitment problem 3. States vs. Markets – Fundamental theorems of welfare economics – Traditional market failures – Rent-seeking governments – No ideology: No assumption that the market or the state will be efficient 4. Centralized vs. Decentralized Mechanisms of Allocation 5. WE ARE GEORGETOWN! 34 Take-aways 1. I. P. E. 2. Time inconsistent preference problem – A.K.A. Commitment problem 3. States vs. Markets – Fundamental theorems of welfare economics – Traditional market failures – Rent-seeking governments – No ideology: No assumption that the market or the state will be efficient 4. Centralized vs. Decentralized Mechanisms of Allocation 5. WE ARE GEORGETOWN! 35 WE ARE GLOBAL GEORGETOWN! Thank you 36