BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Study to Size the Counterfeit Market for Auto Components in India July 2006 Prepared For: Prepared By: Business & Industrial Division, IMRB International 1 BIRD Report flow Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Background of the Study – Need for Research – Definition of Counterfeits – Study Objectives – Research Methodology & Sampling • Approach to determine counterfeit market size in India – Estimation of vehicle population – Total expenditure on servicing – Size of counterfeit component market in India • State transport authorities • Profile of respondents met – Private vehicle owners – Commercial vehicle owners 2 BIRD Report flow (contd….) Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Detailed information on vehicle servicing – Amount spent on last service – Choice of service destination – Break-up of amount spent in the last service • Information on channel members met – General profile – Key counterfeit hubs in India – Stocking of counterfeits • Attitude towards auto component replacement • Attitude towards counterfeit components • Annexure 3 BIRD Background Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • India has been known for its large ‘unorganized’ market which exists across industry segments • A large part of this market caters to not just unbranded but also counterfeit products • Auto components is one such segment where it is estimated that a large proportion of the market is invaded by counterfeit products • Such low quality products have a negative impact on the brand equity of automobile & automotive component manufacturers 4 BIRD Need for Research Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Therefore, Indian automobile manufacturers wanted to understand and size the counterfeit market to: – Develop intervention to curb this market – Provide quality products to their consumers – Curb the negative impact on their brands – Curb the revenue losses suffered due to this market • Under the aegis of Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), automobile majors formed a task force to address this need 5 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Before outlining the methodology used it is imperative to understand how we defined counterfeits for the purpose of this study… 6 Several products from ‘unorganized’ sector exist in the market today… Type of Part Genuine Imports Genuine Discards Used Parts Unbranded Parts BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Examples Bosch spark plugs not meant for Indian models These are the ones Parts discarded from industrial products, ocean vessels, railway wagons etc we have focused on for purpose of Parts refurbished and reused in vehicles by mechanics this research Parts with no markings or brand names Branded Duplicates 1. Brands in original or copied packaging of OEM 2. Brands with similar sounding names like ‘Assahi’ vs. Asahi 3. Parts with fake markings for ISI/BIS/EN etc Cross Category Duplicates Fenner clutch levers when Fenner does not make clutch levers 7 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Research Objectives Primary Objective of the study was to size the counterfeit market for auto components in India 8 BIRD Objectives of the research Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Estimate the total repair and servicing aftermarket in India: Authorized Vs other service stations – By vehicle category – Br geographies – By age of the vehicle • Estimate the total market of counterfeit auto components – By vehicle category • Understand the buying behavior of vehicle owners – Reasons for choice of a service station – Number of trips to a service station per annum – Level of influence of the channel member – Brand of auto component purchased most often 9 BIRD Objectives of the research (contd…) Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Gain an understanding of the market from the channel members – Motivators for selling counterfeits – Key counterfeit hubs in India – Most counterfeited components • Map the attitude of owners towards vehicle servicing and counterfeit components – Awareness about counterfeit components – Knowledge about the damages caused by such components – Actions to curb this menace • Suggestions and Recommendations – To reduce the menace caused by counterfeit auto components 10 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Research Methodology & Sampling 11 BIRD Key stakeholders covered Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Supply side: Automobile and auto-component manufacturers and associations • Demand side: Private and commercial vehicle owners – Private vehicle owners • Two and four-wheeler owners – Commercial vehicle owners • HCV, LCV, Three-wheeler, buses and taxies • Auto component channel members – Distributors – Retailers/Wholesalers – Roadside mechanic – Authorized service stations – Other service stations 12 BIRD Information gathered from each stakeholder Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Supply Side: 1. Registered vehicle population 1. Automobile Component Mfrs 2. MORTH/RTO/Associations 2. Volumes & value of auto components in the after market Demand Side: 1. Components Bought & their details 1. Private Vehicle Owners 2. Purchase Cycle for Parts 2. Commercial Vehicle Owners 3. Motivators & Barriers to Purchase Counterfeits Channel: 1. Distributors, Dealers & Retailers 2. Mechanics 3. Service Stations 1. Type of brands stocked 2. Key components being counterfeited 3. Motivators & Barriers to sell counterfeits 13 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Therefore, the research methodology involved meeting each of these stakeholders to gauge extent of counterfeiting… 14 BIRD Module I – Supply Side Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Desk Research – Collation of information on industry available in public domain like publications, websites etc – Product portfolio of large organized auto component manufacturers – Collation of information on initiatives taken by automobile and auto component manufacturers to curb counterfeit menace • Expert Interviews: Depth Interviews with the following – Associations & Experts like SIAM, ACMA, Ministry of Road Transport & Highways (MORTH) etc – Manufacturers of Automobiles & Auto components – State Transport Authorities 15 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Module I – Sample size covered Segment Sample Automobile Manufacturers 10 Associations & Experts (SIAM, ACMA, MORTH etc) 2 State Transport Authorities Workshops 2 OEM Auto Component Manufacturers 10 Total 24 These interviews helped us understand: • Fast moving & frequently replaced parts • Universe of automobiles (2-wheeler, 4-wheeler etc) • Size of organized auto component market • Expert opinion on size of counterfeit market & its drivers 16 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Module II – Demand Side • In this module, both private and commercial vehicle owners were met across various identified locations mentioned below:Population Classification Cities More than 40 lakhs Metros Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai and Kolkata 10 – 40 lakhs Non-metros Pune, Lucknow, Ludhiana and Kochi 5 – 10 lakhs Other NM 1 – 5 lakhs Small Towns Chandigarh, Trichy, Guwahati and Jamnagar Chapra and Gulbarga 17 BIRD Module II – Demand Side Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Private and commercial vehicle owners were grouped by type of vehicle owned • Face to face structured interviews were conducted with:– Private Vehicle Drivers & Owners • Cars (Across various segments) • Motorcycles • Scooters – Commercial Vehicle Drivers & Owners • • • • • Trucks Buses Three Wheelers Light Commercial Vehicles Taxis – Four Wheeler 18 Module II – Demand Side: Segment of Private cars covered during the survey Vehicle Category BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Type of Vehicles Segment A Maruti 800, Premier Padmini Segment B Santro, Zen, Wagon R, Alto, Indica, Uno Segment C Esteem, Indigo, Palio, Ikon, Getz Segment D Opel Astra, Honda City, Lancer, Optra etc Segment E Mercedes, BMW etc MUVs/SUVs Tata Safari, Tata Sumo, Honda CRV, Chevrolet Tavera, Maruti Omni 19 BIRD Sampling for Vehicle Owners – Module II Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • As service related information was to be gathered only those vehicle owners were met whose vehicles were no longer under original warranty • Thus, interviews were conducted with the following vehicle owners: – Private vehicles >3 years age • Vehicle owner • Vehicle Driver – Commercial Vehicles > 1 years age • Fleet Owners • Vehicle Drivers 20 BIRD Module III – Auto component channel members Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • The channel members covered during the study are: – Distributor – Wholesaler/Retailer – Authorized service station – Other service station – Roadside mechanics 21 2321 private vehicle owners were met across 14 cities spread across 11 Indian states BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 2321 private vehicle owners Only 2-wheeler Nonmetro 33% 16% Other NM 12% 13% Only 4-wheeler 20% 20% Both 13% 29% 51% Small 6% 53% 51% 52% 58% 33% 34% 29% Total Metro Non metros Metro 49% Distribution of sample by town class 28% Other NM Small Distribution of sample by vehicle ownership • Equal percentage of respondents representing metro and non metro (including Small towns) locations across the country were covered • Over 51% of all private vehicle owners met owned a four-wheeler only as compared to 33% owning only a twowheeler – Around 16% of the respondents met owned both vehicle types 22 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 1089 commercial vehicle owners were met covering over 2390 commercial vehicles of all types Small Other NM 5% 3wheeler 19% 9% Non-metro 28% Metro 58% Distribution of sample by town class Taxis 22% Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Buses 19% LCV 20% HCV 20% Distribution of commercial vehicle owners by vehicle type • Over 58% of the commercial vehicle owners were covered in metropolitan cities – About 28% belonged to non-metros – Another 9% belonged to other NM and rest 5% to small towns • Equal representation of owners owning different types of commercial vehicles in the sample covered – HCVs and taxis were further divided into categories based on the axle load and care segment respectively 23 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Broad approach used for determination of counterfeit components market size 24 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on vehicle servicing in India - Private vehicles - Commercial vehicles 25 Assumptions for calculation of vehicle population BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Total number of registered vehicles in India till 2003 were collected from MORTH • Calculation of number of running vehicles – Private 2 wheelers & 4 wheelers • 80% of the vehicles purchased in last 20 years are still running • 10% of the vehicles registered before that are still running • Based on recent data estimates 10% of the 4 wheelers running are taxies (IMRB in-house data) • Almost 34 lakh 4 wheeler purchased in last two years not considered in the calculation – Commercial vehicles • 80% of the vehicles purchased in last 10 years are still running • 10% of the vehicles registered before that are still running • The number of running vehicles thus are… 26 Estimated number of running vehicles in India By Geography BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets All Nos in Thousands Transport Multi-axled/ articulated trucks and lorries LMV Goods Buses Taxis LMV Passenger Total Non-transport Two-wheeler total Scooters Motorcycles Cars/Jeeps Omni buses Total North South East West 230 219 230 198 878 98 62 92 94 576 185 65 210 338 1018 30 36 108 86 491 177 46 126 311 858 491 209 536 829 2943 9339 6724 2615 1846 8 11192 6866 2197 4669 1324 44 8190 2930 1172 1758 671 1 3602 8121 3654 4466 1272 5 9393 27255 13747 13508 5113 58 32376 Total 27 Combined after-sales market for repair in India for both private and commercial vehicles is in excess of Rs.26000 crores BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total service aftermarket – By vehicle type Motorcycles 37% Seg A 13% Seg B & C 14% Scooters 36% Buses 19% LCV 20% Seg D 0.004% Private vehicles* = Rs.8542 crores Taxies 15% HCV 46% Commercial** vehicles = Rs.17970 crores *Note: Universe estimates for Segment E cars is not available ** Universe estimates of three-wheelers is not available 28 North, South and Western regions have almost equal share in the total service aftermarket of private vehicles however Eastern region is lagging far behind BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total service aftermarket – By geographies West 29% East 13% South 28% North 30% Private vehicles = Rs.8542 crores • Only 13% of the total service aftermarket is contributed by the Eastern region – This can be as a result of low automobile sales in the east • Close to 30% of the service aftermarket is contributed by other 3 regions of the country 29 Around 60% of the total aftermarket service expenditure for private vehicles is on components as compared to 48% in case of commercial vehicles BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Break-up of aftermarket service – By vehicle ownership Labour 18% Consumables 22% Components 60% Private vehicles = Rs.8542 crores Labour 20% Consumables 32% Components 48% Commercial vehicles = Rs.17970 crores 30 Break-up of aftermarket service expenditure by vehicle type Private vehicles 23% 19% 59% Scooter 24% 19% 18% 19% Motorcycle Commercial vehicles 28% 34% 31% 29% 19% 21% 21% 46% 48% 50% 46% HCV LCV Buses Taxies 15% 63% Seg A 32% 17% 19% 57% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 63% Seg B & C Components 57% Seg D Labour 22% Consumables 31 Thus, combined expenditure on aftermarket component BIRD purchase for both private and commercial owners is more than Rs.13500 crores Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on components – By vehicle type Motorcycles 36% Seg A 14% LCV 20% Seg B & C 14% Scooters 36% Private vehicles = Rs.5074 crores Buses 20% Seg D 0.004% Taxies 14% HCV 46% Commercial vehicles = Rs.8513 crores 32 At the same time share of authorized stations among private vehicle owners is around 22% as compared to 15% of commercial vehicles BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on components – By vehicle ownership & service destination Other stations 78% Other stations 85% Authorized stations 22% Private vehicles = Rs.5074 crores Authorized stations 15% Commercial vehicles = Rs.8513 crores 33 No major variation across regions for private vehicle owners in choice of service station for component purchase Private vehicles BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on components – By geography Authorised service station Other service stations 79% 73% 75% 21% 27% 25% North East West 83% 17% South • The share of authorized service stations across regions is in the range of 17% to 27% – Highest share of 27% is in the eastern region – Lowest share of 17% is in the southern region – In the case of northern region it is close to 21% and about 25% in the case of western region 34 Break-up of component expenditure in authorized vis-à-vis other service stations – By vehicle type Private vehicles BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Commercial vehicles Authorised service station Other service stations 35% 46% 72% 88% 83% 85% 90% 85% 78% 65% 54% 28% 11% Scooter 16% Motorcycles 15% Seg A Seg B & C Seg D HCV 10% LCV 15% Buses 22% Taxies 35 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Counterfeit auto components market in India - Private vehicles - Commercial vehicles 36 BIRD Definition of counterfeits? Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Counterfeit components are the illicit duplicates of genuine components being manufactured by unorganized sector players illegally • Counterfeit manufacturers do not pay any: – Excise duties – Sales tax/VAT • Cater to the after market replacement demand across the country • They infringe the IPR of organized sector component manufacturers • Have limited capital and technological knowledge 37 Assumptions used for estimation of counterfeit component market BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Vehicles going to Authorized service stations buy only genuine components • It is assumed that private vehicles in first three years and commercial vehicles in the first year are under warranty and/or free service contract and hence, usually do not visit unauthorized service station (this was also used as the pre condition for interviewing) • A user with similar running habits and having vehicle of same age would be spending similar amount on maintenance • A user will be purchasing similar brand of auto components each time he visits a service station of his choice 38 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Counterfeit auto components market in India - Private vehicles - Commercial vehicles 39 Case Study: Counterfeit auto component market size estimation for scooters in India BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on vehicle repair by private vehicle owners in the last service (normal or accidental) Percentage break-up on Components vs. Servicing % break-up at Unauthorized Service Stations (non OEM approved) vs. Authorized Total number of trips to any service station (Unauthorized or authorized) by vehicle owner per annum Likelihood of buying a genuine component Vs a counterfeit Market Size for Counterfeit = % Vehicles serviced at unauthorized service stations x Average spend on components x Estimated spent on counterfeits x Total number of trips/annum x Vehicle Population 40 Case Study: Counterfeit auto component market size estimation for scooters in India BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on vehicle repair by private vehicle owners in the last service (normal or accidental) Percentage break-up on Components vs. Servicing % break-up at Unauthorized Service Stations (non OEM approved) vs. Authorized Total number of trips to any service station (Unauthorized or authorized) by vehicle owner per annum Likelihood of buying a genuine component Vs a counterfeit Market Size for Counterfeit = % Vehicles serviced at unauthorized service stations x Average spend on components x Estimated spent on counterfeits x Total number of trips/annum x Vehicle Population 41 Expenditure per trip on service by scooter owners – Authorized Vs Other service stations BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Authorized service stations Other service stations Components Rs. 369 Rs. 338 Labour Rs. 154 Rs. 97 Consumables Rs. 112 Rs. 125 Rs. 635 Rs. 542 Source: IMRB research 42 Case Study: Counterfeit auto component market size estimation for scooters in India BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on vehicle repair by private vehicle owners in the last service (normal or accidental) Percentage break-up on Components vs. Servicing % break-up at Unauthorized Service Stations (non OEM approved) vs. Authorized Total number of trips to any service station (Unauthorized or authorized) by vehicle owner per annum Likelihood of buying a genuine component Vs a counterfeit Market Size for Counterfeit = % Vehicles serviced at unauthorized service stations x Average spend on components x Estimated spent on counterfeits x Total number of trips/annum x Vehicle Population 43 Percentage of scooter owners visiting Authorized Vs Other service stations Authorised service station 90% 89% 10% 11% Total North BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Source: IMRB research Non-authorised service stations 96% 4% East 86% 91% 14% 9% West South • In case of scooters, only 10% of the vehicles were taken to company authorized service station in the last service – – Highest percentage of 14% being in West followed by 11% in North Only 4% of the scooter owners in the East took their vehicle to company authorized service station for last repair • Scooter owners preference to other service stations is clearly highlighted by the above figures 44 Case Study: Counterfeit auto component market size estimation for scooters in India BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on vehicle repair by private vehicle owners in the last service (normal or accidental) Percentage break-up on Components vs. Servicing % break-up at Unauthorized Service Stations (non OEM approved) vs. Authorized Total number of trips to any service station (Unauthorized or authorized) by vehicle owner per annum Likelihood of buying a genuine component Vs a counterfeit Market Size for Counterfeit = % Vehicles serviced at unauthorized service stations x Average spend on components x Estimated spent on counterfeits x Total number of trips/annum x Vehicle Population 45 Total number of trips to service station in a year - Authorized Vs Other service stations BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Source: IMRB research Authorised service station Non-authorised service stations 5 4.4 4.1 3.6 Total 4.2 3.3 3.4 3.2 North 4.4 4.3 East West South Observation: Not only the owner buying components from un-authorized service stations makes additional trips but also spend 3% higher on components in a typical years! 46 Case Study: Counterfeit auto component market size estimation for scooters in India BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on vehicle repair by private vehicle owners in the last service (normal or accidental) Percentage break-up on Components vs. Servicing % break-up at Unauthorized Service Stations (non OEM approved) vs. Authorized Total number of trips to any service station (Unauthorized or authorized) by vehicle owner per annum Likelihood of buying a genuine component Vs a counterfeit Market Size for Counterfeit = % Vehicles serviced at unauthorized service stations x Average spend on components x Estimated spent on counterfeits x Total number of trips/annum x Vehicle Population 47 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Likelihood of buying a genuine component • Respondent was asked to describe the component fitted in the last service • The following statements were exposed to the respondent: Statement describing the type of component purchased Code A genuine (original/certified by the manufacturer) component was refitted such as Maruti Genuine Parts (MGP) in case of Maruti 1 A duplicate/refurbished/local component was fitted 2 A few were genuine components and rest were local/other brands 3 I am not too sure if the original/genuine component was fitted 4 48 BIRD Weight-age given to each statement in order to determine the market of counterfeit components Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Scenario analysis: The following 3 scenarios have been developed based on variation in weight-ages: – Higher estimate – Realistic estimate – Lower estimate Statement describing the type of component purchased Scenario Analysis Lower Realistic Higher 0% 25% 50% A duplicate/refurbished/local component was fitted 100% 35% 100% A few were genuine components and rest were local/other brands 50% 50% 50% I am not too sure if the original/genuine component was fitted 100% 100% 100% A genuine (original/certified by the manufacturer) component was refitted 49 Case Study: Counterfeit auto component market size estimation for scooters in India BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Total expenditure on vehicle repair by private vehicle owners in the last service (normal or accidental) Percentage break-up on Components vs. Servicing % break-up at Unauthorized Service Stations (non OEM approved) vs. Authorized Total number of trips to any service station (Unauthorized or authorized) by vehicle owner per annum Likelihood of buying a genuine component Vs a counterfeit Market Size for Counterfeit = % Vehicles serviced at unauthorized service stations x Average spend on components x Estimated spent on counterfeits x Total number of trips/annum x Vehicle Population 50 BIRD …and the counterfeit market is about … CF Share of total Aftermarket (Realistic estimate) Rs. 1809 Cr CF Share, 41% Genuine Market, 59% Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets CF Share of non Authorized Aftermarket Rs. 1628 Cr CF Share, 65% Genuine Market, 35% The counterfeit market for scooters could be anything between 40-60% of the total aftermarket i.e. Rs. 746 -1060 Crores 51 Counterfeit components constitute about 35% 51% of private vehicle components after market BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Demand Estimation for CF components Vehicles type 2 Wheelers Scooter Motorcycle Cars A B+C D E Total Total Component Aftermarket (in Rs. Crore) Lower Realistic Higher Lower Realistic Higher 1809 1819 611 550 746 666 1061 1008 34% 30% 41% 37% 59% 55% 690 733 23 140 80 2 207 129 3 299 199 5 20% 11% 8% 30% 18% 14% 43% 27% 21% 1383 1751 2572 27% 35% 51% CF Market (in Rs. Crore) % of market that is CF Universe estimates not available 5074 The counterfeit market can be anywhere between Rs 1750 – 2572 crores which constitutes around 35% - 51% of the total component aftermarket 52 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Counterfeit auto components market in India - Private vehicles - Commercial vehicles 53 Almost similar methodology was used for computation of counterfeit market for commercial vehicles BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Average annual expenditure on vehicle repair by commercial vehicle owners (normal or accidental) Percentage break-up on Components vs. Servicing % break-up at Unauthorized Service Stations (non OEM approved) vs. Authorized Likelihood of buying a genuine component Vs a counterfeit Market Size for Counterfeit = % Vehicles serviced at unauthorized service stations x Average spend on components x Estimated spent on counterfeits x Vehicle Population 54 Only difference was capture of monthly service expenditure against amount spent on the last service BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • All the assumptions specified earlier for computation of counterfeit components market of private vehicles are applicable in the case of commercial vehicles also • Average monthly expenditure on service was captured and annual maintenance expenditure was calculated for: – Authorized service station users – Non-authorized service stations • Respondents were then asked to recall last few component purchases and give an approximate break-up of amount spent on the following brand of components – OEM approved genuine parts – Other brands – Local brands – Duplicate brands 55 BIRD Weight-age given to each component brand for determination of counterfeit market Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Scenario analysis: The following 3 scenarios have been developed again: – Higher estimate – Realistic estimate – Lower estimate Brand of auto component purchased Scenario Analysis Lower Realistic Higher OEM approved genuine parts 0% 25% 25% Other brands 50% 50% 100% Local brands 50% 50% 100% Duplicate brands 100% 100% 100% 56 In case of commercial vehicles, counterfeit components account for almost 1/3rd of the total component aftermarket! BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Demand Estimation for CF components Vehicles type Total Component Aftermarket (in Rs. Crore) Lower Realistic Higher Lower Realistic Higher 3852 1740 682 323 1202 571 1689 815 18% 19% 31% 33% 44% 47% 1692 258 498 713 15% 29% 42% 1229 8513 228 1491 373 2644 533 3750 19% 18% 30% 31% 43% 44% CF Market (in Rs. Crore) % of market that is CF CVs HCV LCV (p) Private Buses Taxies Total The counterfeit market can be anywhere between Rs 2644 – 3750 crores which constitutes around 31% - 44% of the total component aftermarket of commercial vehicles 57 The counterfeit component market in India could be contributing more than 1/3rd but less that half of the total aftermarket component sales BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Demand Estimation for CF components Vehicles type 2 Wheelers Scooter Motorcycle Cars A B+C D CVs HCV LCV (p) Private Buses Taxies Total Total Component Aftermarket (in Rs. Crore) Lower Realistic Higher Lower Realistic Higher 1809 1819 611 550 746 666 1061 1008 34% 30% 41% 37% 59% 55% 690 733 23 140 80 2 207 129 3 299 199 5 20% 11% 8% 30% 18% 14% 43% 27% 21% 3852 1740 682 323 1202 571 1689 815 18% 19% 31% 33% 44% 47% 1692 258 498 713 15% 29% 42% 1229 13587 228 2874 373 4395 533 6322 19% 21% 30% 32% 43% 47% CF Market (in Rs. Crore) % of market that is CF The counterfeit market can be anywhere between Rs 4395 – 6322 crores which constitutes around 32% - 47% of the total component aftermarket ! 58 BIRD Also according to experts, counterfeit components should constitute not more than 30%-40% of the total replacement market in India Source: Depth Interviews Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Size of auto components industry in India : Rs.38200 crores (approx) • Share of OE sales and exports ~ Rs. 28000 crores (approx) • Share of replacement/after market ~ Rs. 12000 crores (approx) – 30% of total replacement market ~ Rs 3600 crores – 40% of total replacement market ~ Rs. 4800 crores • So according to the experts, the market of counterfeit components in India should be somewhere between Rs. 3600 to Rs. 4800 crores • The primary research estimates are slightly higher probably because older vehicles are not going to authorized service stations 59 Factors causing high penetration of counterfeit components in the replacement market BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Higher margins from counterfeit components – Margins can be as high as 40% – 50% in case of some brands – No pressure on the margins in future • Short supply of OE components – Irregular supply of components – Higher turnaround time • Aggressive pricing policy of the organized sector – Price difference can be as high as 70% as counterfeit manufacturers evade government taxes and use inferior material – Mechanics and garages also gain as a result of selling counterfeit and earning higher margins • Lack of awareness among customers – Inability of customers to differentiate – Lack of education among the customers 60 Factors causing high penetration of counterfeit components in the replacement market (contd) BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • High trust placed on other service stations – Blind trust on other service stations who tend to push counterfeit components • In case of commercial vehicles, lack of options available on highways supplying genuine components – Commercial vehicle owners have no option but to trust their drivers about the brand of component purchased • Easy availability of cheap scrap – Partially destroyed components rejected by quality team of the OEM – In case of commercial vehicles, scrap sales from STC and other government institutions through auction • Availability of second hand high quality printing presses – Easy to copy any type of packaging • Inadequate government regulations and norms 61 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets State Transport authorities – Are counterfeits entering institutional sales also? 62 It seems that even state transport authorities are not totally shielded from counterfeit components BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets State Transport Authorities 70 – 80% Auto component/ Automobile manufacturers 20 – 30% ASRTU (Association of State Road Transport Undertakings) • Components are broadly divided into 2 categories – CFT : Critical function and safety related – NCFT: Non-critical function related • The former type are sourced directly from the automobile/auto component manufacturer – Latter is sourced from vendors chosen by ASRTU on rate contracts – ASRTU has fixed norms for choosing the vendor 63 In case a commercial vehicle breaks down on a highway, the driver has the authority to purchase the component…the money can be taken from conductor BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Purchase process of components – Through tenders for 18 month period • Includes 6 month buffer stock – Monthly delivery of components – Random checks on components to check the quality of material – In case of non-availability of components the regional spares in-charge has the authority to arrange for components from outside • Generally it happens in 1-2% of cases and counterfeit components can enter in such cases – In case of a sudden breakdown the driver can purchase the components from outside and show the bill to reimburse expenses • Although a mobile van facility is most often 64 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Profile of the respondents 1. Private Vehicle Owners - Two-wheeler owners - Four wheeler owners 65 Motorcycles contribute to over 54% of the total twowheeler vehicle ownership…with scooters having the rest 46% share BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers Distribution of sample by ownership type Motorcycl es 54% First hand 80% Secon d hand 20% Scooter 46% Distribution of sample by two-wheeler segment First hand 86% Secon d hand 14% • For the purpose of the study: – All types of scooters, scooterettes were clubbed under one broad head as scooters – Mopeds were not covered • Share of first hand and second hand ownership is almost similar in the case of scooters as well as motorcycles 66 BIRD This is because in recent past, the share of motorcycles in the two-wheeler segment has increased substantially Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers 46% Scooter Motorcycle 28% 25% 23% 16% 16% 13% 10% 7% 7% 4% After 2002 2000-02 1997-99 1994-96 91-93 5% Before 1991 • In the last 5 year period, the ownership of motorcycles has overtaken the ownership of scooters by a huge margin – In 2000-02 period, the ownership of motorcycles was more than 150% of the scoter ownership – After 2002 the percentage difference has increased to more than 250% • The findings are in line with the change in trends in the last 5 year period in the automotive two-wheeler industry 67 BIRD As anticipated average age of the primary user of scooter is much higher than a motorcycle user Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1058 two-wheelers Scooter 37 32 Total 39 37 36 32 31 Metro Non-metros Motrocycles 37 33 32 Other NM Small • Motorcycles are a vehicle for the young. This statement is vindicated by the fact that: – Average age of the primary user of scooter is 37 years as compared to just 32 years in the case of motorcycle – The trend is similar across different town classes • Can age of the primary user have some significant impact on the type and source of auto component purchased. We will try to find it out during the course of this presentation? 68 As a result average distance travelled by motorcycle users per weekday is significantly higher as compared to scooter users…. BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1058 two-wheelers 42.3 Motorcycles 35.9 33.8 30.9 30.8 27.4 Scooters 25.9 24.2 19.8 Total Metro Non-metro Other NM 22.3 Small • Average distance covered by a scooter per weekday across locations is 27kms/day but in case of motorcycles it jumps to 34kms/day – The average distance covered by a scooter is highest in case of metro cities at 31kms/day and lowest in case of Small cities at 20 kms/day – In case of motorcycles the average distance covered is highest in case of other NM cities at 42kms/day and lowest in case of small cities at 22 kms/day 69 …also on weekends motorcycles cover higher distance as compared to scooters BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1058 two-wheelers 38.4 29.7 29.5 25.5 25.3 28.1 Scooters Motorcycles 29.7 23.4 14.9 16.2 Total Metro Non-metro Other NM Small • Average distance covered by a scooter per day on weekends across locations is 25kms/day but in case of motorcycles it jumps to 30kms/day – The average distance covered by a scooter is highest in case of non-metro cities at 28kms/day and lowest in case of small cities at 15kms/day – In case of motorcycles the average distance covered is highest in case of other NM cities at 38kms/day and lowest in case of small cities at 16 kms/day 70 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Profile of the respondents 1. Private Vehicle Owners - Two-wheeler owners - Four wheeler owners 71 BIRD Fair representation of various four-wheeler segments in the sample achieved Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1659 four--wheelers E 2% MUV/SUV 16% A 24% Nonmetro 34% Other NM 13% D 10% C 22% B 26% Distribution of sample by four-wheeler segment Metro 50% Small 3% Distribution of sample by city type • Segment A, B and C constituted over 70% of the sample – 10% of the vehicles covered belonged to Segment D – 16% of the vehicles belonged to SUV/MUV segment and rest 2% of the vehicles belonged to Segment E • Over 50% of all four-wheelers covered belonged to Metro cities and 34% to Non-metros 72 Weekend travel in case of four-wheelers is significantly higher as compared to travel on weekdays….except in small cities In Kms/day. 37 35 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1659 four--wheelers 37 Weekday Weekend 31 26 21 Metro Non-metro Other NM 22 19 Small • In case of metros, average distance covered by a four-wheeler per weekday is 26kms as compared to 37kms in case of weekends • In non-metros, average distance covered per weekday is 31 kms as compared to 35 in case of weekends • In Other NM cities, weekday travel is at 21 kms/day compared to 37kms/day on weekends • In small cities, weekday travel is at 22 kms/day compared to 19kms/day in case of weekends 73 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Last Service Details of Private vehicles 74 Maximum percentage of 4-wheeler owners preferred company authorized service station for last service …however 2-wheeler owners preferred other garages BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1596 private vehicle owners 43% 2-wheeler 40% 30% 4-wheeler 26% 25% 14% 8% 12% 1% Company ASS Some other garage Road side mechanic Large garage 1% Self • Over 40% of the four-wheeler owners took their vehicle to company ASS for last service as compared to just 14% owners in case of two-wheelers – Maximum percentage of 2-wheeler owners i.e. 43% preferred small/other garage for last service as compared to just 25% in the case of four-wheeler owners • After company ASS, over 26% of four-wheeler owners gave preference to large garages as compared to just 12% of the two-wheeler owners • Almost 1 out of every 3 two-wheeler owners took their vehicle to roadside mechanic for last service as compared to just 8% of the four-wheeler owners 75 Now lets look at the service destination choice of twowheeler owners by region…a high percentage of owners in Western India prefer company ASS Company ASS 1% 10% Some other garage 3% 17% 16% 51% Road side mechanic BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 635 2-wheeler owners Large garage 2% Self 2% 5% 25% 24% 8% 43% 52% 60% 23% 15% 12% North East 22% West 9% South • There is a startling difference in the choice of service stations between two-wheeler owners from different regions of the country – In North, although 15% of the owners went to company ASS for last service but more than 50% of the owners preferred road side mechanic and another 23% went to other/small garage – In East, the situation is a lot different. Over 52% of the respondents took their vehicle to small/other garage for repair and just 16% preferred road side mechanics. Only 12% went to company ASS – In South, only 9% of the owners went to company ASS and about 60% went to small/other garages. Around 24% of the owners went to 76 road side mechanics for repair BIRD In case of four-wheelers, the variation between regions is not as high as two-wheeler owners Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 954 fourwheeler owners Company ASS 18% 14% 24% Some other garage 2% Road side mechanic 2% 20% 7% Large garage Self 3% 18% 46% 6% 31% 25% 1% 21% 44% 46% North East 30% West 42% South • An equal percentage of four-wheeler owners went to company ASS in the last service across regions except in West where the percentage drops by 12% - 14% • In North, 24% owners preferred small/other garages and 18% went to large garages for servicing and the rest 14% went to mechanics – The above trend is very much similar in case of Eastern and Southern four-wheeler owners • However, the four-wheeler owners in the Western region seem to be behaving differently from their counterparts in rest of the country. More than 46% of Western owners went to large garages for servicing and just 30% in company ASS 77 Preference of company ASS decreases with the increase in the vehicle age in case of two-wheeler owners 44% 39% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 635 2-wheeler owners 2000-02 47% 1997-99 Before 1997 35% 31% 25% 21% 14% 11% 12% 9% 8% 1% 1% 1% Company ASS Some other garage Road side mechanic Large garage Self • About 21% of the two-wheeler owners who had purchased their vehicle between 2000-02 preferred company ASS for last service as compared about 8%-9% owners having purchased their vehicle before 2000 • Preference given to other garages and road-side mechanics is highest in case of owners having purchased their vehicle before 2000 • Above findings clearly indicate the decreasing interest of two-wheeler owners in availing the services of company ASS with the increase in vehicle age 78 Although in case of four-wheelers high percentage of owners prefer company ASS but the preference decreases drastically with the increase in vehicle age BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 954 fourwheeler owners 47% 2000-02 1997-99 Before 1997 34% 33% 29% 23% 21% 27% 33% 23% 7% 9% 8% 2% 2% 2% Company ASS Some other garage Road side mechanic Large garage Self • About 47% of the four-wheeler owners who had purchased their vehicle between 2000-02 preferred company ASS for last service as compared about 33% owners having purchased their vehicle between 1997-99 and just 23% in case of owners owning a vehicle made before 1997 • Preference given to large garages is complete opposite to the preference given to company ASS by four-wheeler owners • Use of road-side mechanics for servicing is very low among the owners of any vehicle type 79 Drive transmission and engine related problems have been cited as the Top 2 reasons for last service by both 2-wheeler and 4-wheeler owners BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1596 private vehicle owners Drive Tsn 4-wheelers 30% 2-wheelers 31% Engine Suspension/Braking Electrical 30% 25% Equipments 13% 17% 16% 15% Others 7% 3% 9% 4% • An equal percentage i.e. 30% of four-wheeler owners have cited drive transmission and engine related problems for the last service followed by 17% of the owners who faced suspension problems – About 13% of the owners had electrical problems and the rest 10% faced equipments or other problems • About 31% of two-wheeler owners have cited drive transmission problems as the reason for the last service followed by 25% who faced engine related problems – Close to 16% of the owners faced suspension and electrical problems respectively – About 9% owners faced equipment problems and the rest 4% faced other issues 80 Both 2-wheeler and 4-wheeler owners spent 65% of their total expenditure on purchase of components in the last service BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1596 private vehicle owners Consum ables 20% Labor 15% Consum ables 19% Compo nents 65% Labor 16% Rs. 797/Two wheelers Compo nents 65% Rs. 3759/Four wheelers • The above figures include both accidental as well as normal repair • The percentage expenditure on labor and consumables in case of both two-wheeler and four-wheeler owners is almost similar • Further break-up of service expenditure in company ASS Vs. other service stations for both two-wheelers and fourwheelers is given later in the presentation 81 In case of two-wheelers, the average expenditure on service decreases with the increase in the vehicle age BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 635 2-wheeler owners Components 156 122 Labour Consumables 115 123 172 115 560 536 Rs. 838/- Rs. 806/- Rs. 742/- 2000-02 1997-99 Before 1997 455 • This can be as a result of decrease in owners interest towards vehicle servicing with the increase in vehicle age – • Also, more preference is given to other service destinations such as road side mechanics, small garages etc as the age of the vehicle increases Expenditure on components is the highest in case of vehicles purchased between 2000-02 and lowest in case of vehicles purchased before 1997 – However, the expenditure on consumables is highest in case of vehicles purchased before 1997 82 The trend is absolutely same in case of four-wheelers also…expenditure on consumables is highest in case of vehicles purchased before 1997 Components 619 602 Labour BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 954 fourwheeler owners Consumables 667 575 689 462 2457 2414 1845 Rs. 3678/- Rs. 3656/- Rs. 2996/- 2000-02 1997-99 Before 1997 • This again can be attributed to the decrease in owners interest towards vehicle servicing with the increase in vehicle age – Also as indicated earlier more preference is given to other service destinations such as large and small garages etc as the age of the vehicle increases • Expenditure on components is almost similar in case of vehicles purchased between 2000-02 and 1997-99 – However, the expenditure is lowest for vehicles purchased before 1997 83 In two-wheelers, although the expenditure in company ASS is the highest but the percentage difference w.r.t other service destinations is not very high BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 635 2-wheeler owners Consumables Labor 154 Component 128 137 152 180 120 142 94 569 538 Rs. 860/Company ASS Rs. 818/Large garage 430 Rs. 730/Other garage 390 Rs. 626/Roadside mechanic • For two-wheeler owners who went to company ASS, the average expenditure on last service was Rs.860/- out of which Rs.569/- was spent on purchase of components – In case of large garages, the average expenditure was Rs.818/- out of which Rs.538/- was spent on components which is just 5% less than average expenditure on components in company ASS – In case of other garages the % difference in spent on components w.r.t. to company ASS is around 24% whereas the difference in total expenditure is just 15%. In case of mechanics, it is 32% and 27% 84 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Detailed information on the last service for Two-wheelers - Scooters - Motorcycles 85 BIRD Around 69% of two-wheeler users have cited normal breakdown as reason for the last service Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Metro 22% Never 25% All 71% 34% 60% 6% Accidental 6% 26% 5% 69% 13% 1% Small Other NM Normal 69% 7% Non- Metro Base: 1058 two-wheelers 86% • In case of metro cities, over 71% of the users have cited normal breakdown as reason for the last service followed by 7% of the users who took their vehicle for service as a result of accidental break down – In non-metros, 60% cited normal breakdown and 6% as accidental breakdown – In other NM, 69% cited normal breakdown and 5% as accidental – In small cities, 86% cited normal breakdown and just 1% as accidental • Over 25% of all two-wheeler owners claim to have never experienced any type of breakdown 86 In scooters, drive transmission problems has been the primary nature of repair across all locations followed by engine related issues BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 327 scooters Drive Tsn Total Engine Electrical 34% Suspension/Braking 27% Equipments 15% 14% Others 7% 3% Metro 29% 30% 16% 16% 5% 5% 1% Non-metro Other NM 44% 30% 17% 24% 13% 18% 16% 9% 9% 12% 6% 2% Small 38% 38% 14% 5% 3% • In case of metro cities, more than 30% of the vehicles were serviced last time as a result of engine related problems as compared to just 17% in non-metros – But in metros only 29% of the vehicles were serviced due to drive transmission problems as compared to over 44% vehicles in NM • In case of other NM cities, around 24% of the vehicles were serviced due to engine problems compared to 38% in small towns – In case of other NM around 30% of the vehicles were serviced due to drive tsn problems compared to 38% in small 87 And in case of motorcycles also drive transmission problems has been cited as the primary reason for repair Drive Tsn Total 28% Metro 27% Non-metro Other NM Small 24% 31% 34% Engine Suspension/Braking Electrical 24% 17% 37% 9% 31% 26% 14% 9% Others 14% 16% 14% Base: 315 motorcycles Equipments 20% 25% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 11% 3% 13% 3% 11% 4% 14% 14% 8% 3% 9% 9% • In case of non-metro cities, maximum number of vehicles i.e. 37% have cited suspension/braking problems as the primary reason for repair last time – In case of metro cities this percentage is only 16% and ranks fourth in reasons cited for last service • In case of other NM cities and small cities, drive transmission and engine related problems are the top 2 problems cited for last service – Electrical and suspension/braking related problems rank 3rd and 4th respectively 88 In case of scooters, percentage of users who took their vehicle to Company ASS for the last service is just 10%...highest being in non-metros Some other garage Road side mechanic 1% 10% 12% 1% 8% 16% 34% 29% Large garage 1% 14% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 327 scooters Company ASS 12% Self 5% 14% 8% 18% 56% 81% 43% Total 52% 46% 21% Metro Non metros Other NM Small • In case of metros, only 8% of the vehicles were taken to company ASS for last service as compared to 14% in case of nonmetros – In case of other NM cities it is 12% and just 5% in case of small cities • In case of metro cities, maximum number of vehicles i.e. 46% went for repair to small garages compared to 21% in case of non-metro cities – Because over 56% of the non-metro users preferred road-side mechanics for repair as compared to 29% in case of metros • In case of other NM cities and small cities, a very high percentage of users preferred small garages for repair 89 …and Year of Make of the scooter has very less bearing on the servicing destination chosen by the vehicle users Some other garage 16% Road side mechanic 1% 6% 9% 2% 4% 10% Large garage BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 327 scooters Company ASS 16% 1% 10% 10% 36% 36% 8% Self 16% 26% 44% 42% 40% 2000-02 1997-99 31% 53% 1994-96 40% 43% 1991-93 Before 1991 • Year of make of the vehicle has very little bearing on the selection of the service destination: – Around 16% of vehicles made in 3 year period of 2000-02 were taken to Company ASS for repair as compared to 10% of vehicles made before 1991 – Over 9% of vehicles made in 3 year period of 1997-99 were taken to large garages for repair as compared to 10% of the vehicles made in 1994-96 – Again over 36% of vehicles made before 1993 were taken to road side mechanics for the last service 90 But in case of motorcycles, the percentage of vehicles serviced at Company ASS is comparatively higher… however not as high as other service options BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 315 motorcycles Some other garage Road side mechanic Company ASS Large garage 4% 1% 13% 1% 14% 10% 19% 20% 19% Self 6% 8% 3% 19% 25% 21% 44% 42% Total 44% 23% Metro Non metros 28% 83% 28% Other NM Small • In case of metros, over 20% of the vehicles were taken to company ASS for last service as compared to 19% in case of non-metros – In case of other NM cities it is 19% and just 8% in case of small cities • In case of metro cities, maximum number of vehicles i.e. 44% went for repair to small garages compared to 23% in case of non-metro cities – Because over 44% of the non-metro users preferred road-side mechanics for repair as compared to 21% in case of metros • In case of other NM cities all the service options were given almost equal importance but in small cities more than 83% users preferred small garages 91 In case of motorcycles, the age of the vehicle has some impact on the decision of taking the vehicle to company ASS for servicing BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 315 motorcycles Some other garage 2% 24% Road side mechanic 4% 14% 14% Large garage 14% Company ASS 14% 14% 19% 27% 24% Self 12% 23% 12% 20% 25% 65% 37% 2000-02 48% 45% 43% 1997-99 1994-96 1991-93 Before 1991 • Around 24% of vehicles made in 3 year period of 2000-02 were taken to Company ASS for repair as compared to none in the case of vehicles made before 1991 • For rest of the service destinations the weight-age given is almost equal – Over 48% of vehicles made in 3 year period of 1997-99 were taken to small garages for repair as compared to 45% of the vehicles made in 1994-96 – Again over 24% of vehicles made before 1993 were taken to road side mechanics for the last service 92 In scooters, average expenditure on components is highest in non-metros….as a result of higher percentage of vehicles being serviced in Company ASS BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 327 scooters Rs.332 7% Rs.388 14% 13% 4% 12% 21% 20% 7% 51% Metro In Rs 0-200 3% 5% Rs.227 3% Rs.235 17% 11% 7% 18% 72% 64% Other NM 400-600 600-800 Small >800 51% Non metros 200-400 • In case of metros and non-metros, over 51% of the users spent less than Rs.200 on purchase of components in last service – But in case of non-metros over 13% of the users spent more than Rs.800 on purchase of components compared to just 7% in the case of metros • In case of other NM, over 72% of the users spent less than Rs.200 on auto components as compared to 64% in the case of small – Also in case of small cities more than 11% of the users spent more than Rs.800 on components compared to just 3% in the case of other NM 93 As scooter users spend approximately 50% higher on components in company ASS as compared to other service options BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 327 scooters Components Labour Consumables 517 Might be a very big deterrent to price sensitive Indian vehicle users. 344 In Rs. 311 296 154 161 115 113 Authorised SS Large garages 137 110 94 87 Some other garages Mechanic • Users who took their vehicle to company ASS for last service spent on an average Rs.517 on purchasing components as compared to: – – – Rs.344 in case of large garages Rs.311 in case of small garages Rs.296 in case of road side mechanics • Expenditure on labor and consumables is also highest in case of company ASS – This might be a big deterrent for scooter users to avail the services of company ASS 94 But in case of motorcycles, the average spent on components is highest in other NM….followed closely by metros and non-metros locations BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 315 motorcycles Rs.484 9% 7% 9% 32% 43% Metro In Rs 0-200 Rs.486 11% 8% 12% 21% 48% Non metros 200-400 400-600 3% 4% Rs.496 Rs.381 18% 17% 4% 8% 18% 57% Other NM 600-800 21% 50% Small More than 800 • In case of metros over 43% of the users spent less than Rs.200 on purchase of components in last service as compared to 48% in case of non-metros – And in case of non-metros over 11% of the users spent more than Rs.800 on purchase of components compared to just 9% in the case of metros • In case of other NM, over 57% of the users spent less than Rs.200 on auto components as compared to 50% in the case of small – Also in case of other NM more than 18% of the users spent more than Rs.800 on components compared to 17% in the case of small cities 95 As there is very little gap between the average expenditure on components in Company ASS Vs other service stations in case of motorcycles BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 315 motorcycles Components 448 Labour 435 418 Consumables In Rs. 300 127 148 Authorised SS 133 144 Large garages 137 124 106 91 Some other garages Mechanic • Users who took their vehicle to company ASS for last service spent on an average Rs.448 on purchasing components as compared to: – – – Rs.418 in case of large garages Rs.435 in case of small garages Rs.300 in case of road side mechanics • Expenditure on labor and consumables in case of company ASS is almost comparable with other service options – As a result the average expenditure on components is higher in Other NM and non-metros as compared to metros 96 A large percentage of all two-wheeler users claim to have BIRD purchased genuine components in last service…but did they? Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1058 two-wheelers Genuine 2% 10% 9% 12% 67% Total Few genuine and rest local 2% 8% 7% 12% 72% Metro Duplicate/Refurbished 15% 18% 10% 12% 10% 63% 60% Non metros Other NM Not sure 13% Others 4% 16% 20% 60% Small • In case of metros over 72% of the users claim to purchase genuine components in last service as compared to 63% in case of non-metros – And in case of non-metros over 10% of the users purchased duplicate components compared to 7% in the case of metros • In case of other NM and small cities, over 60% of the users claim to purchase genuine components – Also in case of small cities more than 16% of the users purchased duplicate components compared to 10% in the case of other NM 97 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Last Service Details for Four-wheelers 98 Owner of the vehicle is the primary decision maker about service requirements…only 6% of the vehicles are taken by driver for repair Owner 95% Owner 85% Family members User 2% 3% Primary decision maker about repair and service requirements BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1550 four--wheelers Family members 4% Driver 6% User 5% Who takes the vehicle for servicing? • Over 95% of the vehicle owners take the decision about repair and servicing requirements – In case of 3% of the vehicles, primary users take the decision about servicing – And in only 2% of the vehicles, family members are responsible for service decisions • Again when it comes to taking the vehicle for servicing a majority i.e. 85% of the owners do it themselves – 6% of the vehicles are taken by the driver for servicing and 5% by the users – Only 4% of the vehicles are taken by family members 99 Around 57% of four-wheeler users have cited normal breakdown as reason for the last service…followed by 10% accidental cases BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Accidental 10% All 61% 10% Non- Metro Normal 57% 29% 45% 43% 12% 18% 6% 76% Small Never 33% Other NM Metro Base: 1550 four--wheelers 43% 51% 6% • In case of metro cities, over 61% of the users have cited normal breakdown as reason for the last service followed by 10% of the users who took their vehicle for service as a result of accidental break down – In non-metros, 43% cited normal breakdown and 12% as accidental breakdown – In other NM, 76% cited normal breakdown and 6% as accidental – In small cities, 51% cited normal breakdown and just 6% as accidental • Over 33% of all four-wheeler owners claim to have never experienced any type of breakdown 100 BIRD Normal break-down frequency in case of fourwheelers ranges between 5.5 – 6.5 months Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 961 four--wheelers 5.74 mths 3% 6.04 mths 5% 10% 6% 15% 6% 5.45 mths 6.46 mths 13% 12% 1% 8% 14% 14% 29% 32% 34% 39% 52% 42% 44% 21% Metro 4 - 6 mths Non-metro 1 - 3 mths Other NM 6 - 9 mths 9 - 12 mths Small >12 • In case of metro cities, over 52% of the users have reported 4-6 months as frequency of normal breakdown as compared to 42% in the case of non-metros – Around 30% of the vehicle owners in both metros and non-metros have reported 1-3 months as frequency • In case of Other NM cities, over44% of the users have reported 4-6 months as frequency as compared to just 21% in the case of small – Over 12% of the vehicle owners in small towns have reported more than 12 months as frequency 101 Like in the case of two-wheelers, engine and drive transmission related problems were the primary reason for repair in four-wheelers also Engine Total Other NM Small Electrical 29% Metro Non-metro Drive Tsn 25% 33% 22% Suspension/Braking 25% 28% 36% 27% 18% 13% 18% 16% 7% 11% Others 10% 12% 18% 16% Base: 961 four--wheelers Equipments 17% 24% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 10% 9% 13% 10% 6% 4% 6% 9% 28% • In case of metro cities, more than 33% of the vehicles were serviced last time as a result of engine related problems as compared to just 22% in non-metros – – Also in metros around 24% of the vehicles were serviced due to drive transmission problems as compared to over 25% vehicles in NM Suspension/braking and equipment problems were the other key areas of concern • In case of other NM cities, around 28% of the vehicles were serviced due to engine problems compared to 36% in small towns – In case of small cities, over 28% of the vehicles were serviced as a result of other problems 102 Maximum percentage of vehicles across locations were serviced at Company ASS…use of road side mechanics for servicing is minimal Company ASS Large garage 8% 7% 25% 24% 26% 32% Some other garage 10% 29% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 961 four--wheelers Road side mechanic 10% 21% 50% 19% 19% 25% 41% Total 37% 42% Metro Non metros 50% 25% Other NM Small • In case of metro cities, more than 37% of the vehicles were serviced at company ASS as compared to 42% in the case of non-metros – Over 32% of metro vehicles were serviced at large garages compared to 19% in non-metros • In case of other NM cities, around 50% of the vehicles were serviced at company ASS compared to 25% in small towns – Also in case of other NM cities, equal percentage of vehicles were serviced at large and small garages – But in case of small towns, more than 50% of the vehicles were serviced at small/some other garages 103 Percentage of vehicles serviced at company ASS increases as we move up the four-wheeler category BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 961 four--wheelers Company ASS Large garage 6% 8% 23% 6% 20% Some other garage 8% 18% 34% 25% 25% Road side mechanic 14% 19% 14% 27% 21% 30% 30% 46% 49% 53% 67% 29% 28% Seg A Seg B Seg C Seg D Seg E MUV/SUV • Only 28% of segment A vehicles were serviced at company ASS compared to 67% in case of Segment E vehicles – Gradual increase in percentage of vehicles being serviced at company ASS when we move from Segment A to Segment E • In case of segment E, after company ASS the next preferred service destination is small garages and road-side mechanics – None of the Segment E car owners availed the services of a large garage – Thus, it can be said that owners either prefer spending heavy amount by taking the vehicle to company ASS or prefer saving money completely by availing the services of mechanics and small garages 104 BIRD As a result average expenditure on last service also increases as we move up the four-wheeler category Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 961 four--wheelers In Rs. 5414 3863 2446 2413 1821 A B&C D E MUV/SUV • All the figures include both accidental and normal repair • Average expenditure in last service for Segment A cars is Rs.1821 and in case of Segment B & C cars it jumps by 35% to reach a figure of Rs.2446 – Average expenditure for SUVs/MUVs is around Rs.2413 which is very similar to the figures of Segment B & C cars • In case of segment D cars the average expenditure is more than 50% higher as compared to four-wheelers belonging to Segment B & C • As expected the average expenditure in case of Segment E cars is the highest at Rs.5414 105 Average expenditure on components is more than 50% higher in company ASS as compared to the other service options BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 961 four--wheelers Components Labour Consumables 2964 In Rs. 1889 1823 1594 920 723 687 429 Authorised SS Large garages 450 441 Some other garages 373 331 Mechanic • Users who took their vehicle to company ASS for last service spent on an average Rs.2964 on purchasing components as compared to: – – – Rs.1889 in case of large garages Rs.1823 in case of small garages Rs.1594 in case of road side mechanics • Expenditure on labor and consumables is also highest in case of company ASS – This acts as a deterrent to price sensitive owners who own lower segment four-wheelers 106 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Additional Regular Service Details for Four-wheelers 107 Awareness about various maintenance and service contracts is lacking….especially in the case of small cities BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1550 four--wheelers AMC Equipment contracts 47% Extended warranty 47% 39% 32% 33% 30% 22% 20% 13% 2% Metro Non-metro Other Nm Small • In case of metro cities, over 39% of the users are aware about AMCs and over 32% are aware about extended warranty – Around 20% of the users are also aware about equipment contracts • In case of non-metro cities, over 47% of the users are aware about AMCs and extended warranty – Around 33% of the users are also aware about equipment contracts • In case of other NM cities, over 30% of the users are aware about AMCs and over 22% are aware about extended warranty – Around 13% of the users are also aware about equipment contracts 108 Out of those who are aware only 16% have subscribed to such contracts across locations BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 612 four--wheelers Have contracts Don't have contracts 84% 82% 85% 87% 16% 18% 15% 13% Total Metro Non metros Other NM • In case of metro cities, over 18% of the users have subscribed to either of the maintenance contracts • In case of non-metro cities, over 15% of the users have subscribed • In case of other NM cities, over 13% of the users have subscribed • In case of small cities, none of the users had subscribed to such maintenance contracts 109 Assurance of genuine spares and low hassle of maintenance are the top 2 motivators for subscribing to a maintenance contract BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 174 four—wheeler users All Metro Non-metro Top Box score Other Nm 65% 46% 43% 37% 31%31% 30%31% 36% 29% 28% 24% 17% Genuine spares 35% 27% 22% 27% 28% 21% 13% Low maintenance Trained manpower Trust on OEM Value for money • In case of metro cities, over 31% of the users have given assurance of trained man-power in company ASS as the most important for entering into a maintenance contract – In case of non-metros, the percentage of such users increases 43% – In case of other NM, it is 17% • Assurance of trained man-power, trust on OEM and value for money are the other important motivators 110 Expensive contracts and costly genuine spares are the key de-motivators preventing users from subscribing to such contracts BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 600 four—wheeler users All Metro Non-metro Other Nm Top Box score 42% 37% 42% 29% 39% 29% 25% 18% Expensive contracts Genuine spares are expensive 34% 27% 22% 15% Used for general purposes 33% 26% 33% 25% 20% 17% Existing relationship 17% 17% Promptness of service • In case of metro cities, over 42% of the users perceive such contracts to be expensive and hence do not subscribe – Another 39% of the users consider genuine spare parts being used in company ASS to be expensive • In case of non-metro cities, over 29% of the users perceive such contracts to be expensive and in case of other NM cities this percentage increases to 42% • Use of vehicles for general purpose, existing relationship with OSS and promptness of service are other key de-motivators cited by the respondents 111 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Profile of the respondents 2. Commercial Vehicle owners - Buses - HCVs and LCVs - Taxis - Three-wheelers 112 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 1089 commercial vehicle owners were met covering over 2390 commercial vehicles of all types 3-wheeler 19% Small Other NM 5% Taxis 22% 9% Non-metro 28% Metro 58% Buses 19% HCV 20% LCV 20% Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Distribution of commercial vehicle owners by vehicle type 3-wheeler 10% Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Taxis 15% Buses 31% LCV 14% Distribution of sample by town class HCV 30% Base: 2394 commercial vehicles Distribution of total number of commercial vehicles covered by type • Over 58% of the commercial vehicle owners covered belonged to metropolitan cities – About 28% belonged to non-metros – Another 9% belonged to other NM and rest 5% to small towns • Equal representation of owners owning different types of commercial vehicles in the sample covered – HCVs and taxis were further divided into categories based on the axle load and care segment respectively 113 Further classification of HCVs and taxis owners met during the course of the study BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 221 HCVs owners 229 Taxis owners 12-16.2 tones 25% 7.5 - 12 tones 60% B 47% 16.2-25 tones 11% >25 tones 4% Break-up of HCVs covered by axle load C 24% A 25% D 3% E 1% Break-up of Taxis covered by segment • In case of HCVs, over 60% of the vehicle owners covered owned 7.5 – 12 tones axle load HCV – About 25% owned 12-16.2 tones axle load category – About 11% owned 16.2-25 tones axle load category and rest 4% in more than 25 tones category • In case of taxis, more than 47% of the vehicle owners owned Segment B cars which includes Indica, Uno – 25% belonged to Segment A which includes Omni, Fiat – And about 24% in Segment C which includes Indigo, Contessa, Ikon, Esteem and Baleno 114 Approximately 69% of all the commercial vehicle owners covered owned only 1 vehicle…16% owned 23 vehicles 1 2 to 3 3% 5% 7% 16% 7% 12% 4 to 5 6 to 10 1% 6% 9% 7% 19% 1% 6% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners More than 10 19% 3% 14% 73% 79% LCV (216) Taxis (229) 1% 8% 20% 20% 69% 91% 58% 43% Total (1089) Buses (211) HCV (221) 3-wheeler (212) • In case of bus owners, about 43% owned only 1 vehicle: • – Around 20% owned 2-3 vehicles and about 19% owned 4-5 vehicles – Over 19% owned more than 5 vehicles In case of HCVs, about 58% owned only 1 vehicles: – Around 20% owned 2-3 vehicles and rest 22% owned more than 3 vehicles • Over 73% LCV owners, 79% taxi owners and 91% 3-wheeler owners owned only 1 vehicles 115 BIRD Over 48% of all commercial vehicles are primarily being used for intrastate travel Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Intrastate 21% 31% Interstate 13% 36% 24% Both 28% 2% 17% 35% 35% 26% 39% 81% 48% 52% Total Buses 38% 41% 33% HCV LCV Taxis 3-wheeler • In case of buses, about 52% of the vehicles are used for intrastate travel, followed by 35% of the vehicles being used for interstate and the rest 13% for both • In case of HCVs, only 38% of the vehicles are used for intrastate travel, followed by 36% of the vehicles being used for both inter and intrastate; rest 26% for interstate travel only • In case of LCVs, 41% being used for intrastate and 25% for interstate; rest 24% for both • In case of taxis, 33% being used for intrastate and 39% for interstate; rest 28% for both 116 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Service Details for Commercial Vehicles 117 Only 23% of all commercial vehicle owners are aware about service contracts…and out of those only 3% are subscribing to such contracts Have contracts BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Don't have contracts 36% 23% 22% 30% 21% 18% 14% 20% 20% 6% 3% Total Buses 15% 20% 2% 3% 1% 2% HCV LCV Taxis 3-wheeler 12% • Maximum awareness is among the bus owners, where about 36% of the respondents are aware of such contracts and about 6% have entered into such contracts – A high percentage of bus owners covered owned more than 1 vehicle • In case of HCV owners, about 22% are aware of such contracts and only 2% have entered • In case of LCV owners, 18% are aware and 3% have entered • In case of taxis also 21% are aware of such contracts but only 1% have entered – This can be because over 79% of the owners covered owned only 1 vehicle 118 Average distance travelled in a month is highest in case of busses followed by HCVs BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners In kms/month. 9504 kms 7461 kms 4354 kms 5% 3956 kms 2% 15% 18% 21% 34% 41% 33% 56% 25% 39% 46% 6% 14% 2% 6% 4% Buses HCV LCV Taxis 27% • • • • • 25% 29% 33% Atleast 1k 2719 kms 3% 1k - 3k 3k-5k 5k-10k 16% Three-wheeler More than 10 k Average distance traveled by a bus (including inter and intrastate) in a month is 9504 kms In case of HCVs, the average distance traveled by a vehicle in a month is 7461 kms In case of LCVs the average distance drops down to 4354 kms/month In case of taxis (including all segments), average distance traveled in a month is 3956 kms Average distance traveled in a month is lowest in the case of three-wheelers at 2719 kms 119 BIRD Average distance covered by HCVs of different capacities ranges from 6500 – 9300 kms per month Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 221 HCV owners In kms/month. 6530 kms 9342 kms 8083 kms 14% 7555 kms 21% 29% 22% 38% 33% 54% 44% 27% 17% 4% 9% 7.5-12 12-16.2 Atleast 1k 45% 18% 1k - 3k 25% 3k-5k 16.2-25 5k-10k >25 More than 10 k • In case of HCVs with axle load between 7.5-12 tones, average distance covered in a month is 6530 kms • And in case of HCVs with axle load between 16.2-25 tones, it increases to 8083 kms/month • In case of HCVs more than 25 tones of axle load, average distance covered is 7555 kms/month • The highest average distance covered in a month is 9342 kms by HCVs of axle load 12-16.2 tones 120 BIRD As a result of heavy travel, the frequency of service in case of buses is highest at once a week Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners 1-2 weeks 3 weeks 4 weeks 6 weeks > 6 weeks 23% 43% 41% 26% 36% 6% 16% 15% 14% 12% 34% Buses 11% 17% 28% 32% 19% 19% 24% 12% 11% 12% 13% 6% 9% 21% HCV LCV Taxis Three-wheeler • In case of buses, around 34% of the vehicles are serviced (includes normal tuning, washing) atlleast once a week – Around 12% of vehicles are serviced once in 3 weeks and another 15% once in a month • In case of HCVs, the maximum number of vehicles i.e. 43% are serviced once in more than 6 week period – In case of LCVs, taxis and three-wheelers the trend is quite similar 121 Large and small garages are most preferred service destinations for most of the commercial vehicle owners…use of company ASS is highest in taxis Large garage 10% Small garage/petrol pumps 10% 14% 14% Company ASS 5% Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners In-house/Self 3% 12% 7% 23% 38% 31% 12% 17% Mechanic BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 11% 26% 27% 10% 46% 40% 31% 38% 32% Buses HCV 13% 16% 14% LCV Taxis Three-wheeler • In case of buses, only 17% of the vehicles are sent to company ASS for repair – Maximum vehicles i.e. about 57% of the vehicles are sent to large and small garages for repair • In case of HCVs, about 12% of the vehicles are sent to company ASS, maximum vehicles being serviced at large and small garages • In case of taxis, over 23% of the vehicles are sent to company ASS for repair – About 46% are being serviced at small garages and about 16% in large garages 122 As expected, average maintenance expenditure per Km is highest in HCVs followed by buses BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Maintenance expenditure/ Km (INR) 2.27 1.25 1.06 1.08 0.4 Buses HCV LCV Taxis 3-wheeler • In case of buses, average maintenance expenditure per km is Rs.1.25 – This included both inter and intra state buses • In case of LCVs, the average expenditure is at Rs.1.06 • In case of taxis, it is at Rs.1.08 and in case of 3-wheelers is at Rs.0.40 123 And it has definite impact on the average monthly expenditure on maintenance which is again highest in case of HCVs BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Maintenance expenditure/ month (INR) 12860 10210 4070 3254 940 Buses HCV LCV Taxis 3-wheeler • In case of buses, average monthly expenditure on maintenance is about Rs.10200/• In case of HCVs, average monthly expenditure is the highest at about Rs.12800/• In case of LCVs, average monthly expenditure is almost 1/3rd of an HCV at Rs.4070/• For taxis, average monthly expenditure is around Rs.3200 • In case of 3-wheelers, it is the lowest at Rs.940/- only 124 About 50% of the monthly expenditure incurred on maintenance is spent on components BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Components 29% 21% 50% Labor Consumables (including tyres) 34% 32% 32% 30% 20% 20% 22% 22% 46% 48% 46% 48% Buses HCV LCV Taxis Three-wheeler • In case of buses, about 50% of the monthly expenditure incurred on maintenance is spent on components – About 21% on labor and rest 29% on consumables • In case of HCVs, about 46% is spent on components – About 20% on labor and rest 34% on consumables • In case of other commercial vehicles also, the trend is very similar 125 Drive transmission and suspension related components are replaced most often…engine components take the third spot Drive Trsn Suspension/Braking Buses HCV 43% 33% LCV Taxis 3-wheelers Engine 40% Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Electrical 25% 24% 40% 31% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 17% 17% 22% 22% 14% Equipments 10% 5% 21% 14% 24% 29% 5% 15% 20% 14% 5% 3% 3% • In case of buses, about 43% of the vehicles face engine related problems most often – About 25% face suspension problems • In case of HCV, about 33% of the vehicles face engine related problems most often – About 24% face suspension problems • The trend is more or less similar for other type of components also 126 About 60% of the total expenditure on components is on OEM genuine type…claim commercial vehicle owners OEM Genuine Other brands Buses BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1089 commercial vehicle owners Local Brands 68% Duplicates 18% 11% HCV 64% 17% 13% LCV 63% 19% 12% Taxis 3-wheeler 60% 63% 19% 13% 13% 16% 3% 6% 6% 8% 8% • In case of buses, about 18% of the amount is spent on purchase of other brands and about 11% on local brands – Around 3% is spent on purchase on duplicate components • In case of HCVs, the trend is almost similar except the spent on duplicate components which increases to 6% – • The trend in LCVs is also very similar In case of taxis and 3-wheelers, the average expenditure on duplicate components increases to 8% 127 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Additional Service Details for Commercial Vehicle commuting on highways 128 In case of an emergency breakdown on a highway, owner of the vehicle takes the decision about the servicing requirements in majority of the cases Owner 27% 73% Buses BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 661 commercial vehicle owners Driver 19% 17% 81% 83% HCV Taxis • About 73% of the bus owners are responsible for taking servicing decision in case of an emergency – In rest 27% of the cases, salaried driver of the vehicle takes the decision himself • In case of HCVs, around 81% of the owners take such a decision – In 19% of the cases, the driver is given the freedom to take a decision • In case of taxis also, the trend is almost similar to HCVs 129 Maximum percentage of vehicles were serviced at small garages and road-side mechanics when such an emergency had happened last time Small garage/petrol pumps 5% 16% Mechanic Large garage Company ASS BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 661 commercial vehicle owners In-house/Self 3% 5% 9% 16% 28% 13% 27% 21% 15% 37% 30% 47% 28% Buses HCV Taxis • Although in case of buses and taxis, about 16% of the owners/drivers took the vehicle to company ASS for servicing but still maximum preferred small garages and road-side mechanics – Can this be a case of poor network of company ASS on some of the national highways across the country • Only 9% of the HCV owners/drivers took their vehicle to company ASS – About 30% of the owners took their vehicle to small garages and road side mechanics 130 In maximum percentage of emergency cases for HCV and bus owners, the driver showed a kuccha bill to the owner for reimbursement of service expenses BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 661 commercial vehicle owners 38% 24% 20% 23% Buses HCV Taxis 36% 25% 19% 15% 12% 15% 13%12% 13% 10% 7% 4% I am owner/driver I make payment Driver shows kuccha bill Driver shows permenant bill Full faith on driver so no bill reqd 9% 5% Given a limit to driver Case to case basis • In case of taxi owners, about 38% were driving the vehicle when it happened last time and made the payment then and there – But after that about 20% of the owners reimbursed the expenses to the driver when a kuccha bill (made by mistry) was shown • About 25% of bus, 19% of HCV and 12% of taxi owners reimbursed the expenses only when the driver showed a permanent bill which can be a proof of servicing at either company ASS or large garages 131 About 10% - 20% commercial vehicle owners admit purchasing duplicate/refurbished component in such an emergency situation OEM Genuine Buses Genuine if critical component else others 57% 52% Taxis Base: 661 commercial vehicle owners Duplicate/refurbished 60% HCV BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 21% 10% 16% 20% 19% 15% Not sure 8% 8% 14% • In case of buses, about 60% owners claim to have purchased genuine components – About 21% had purchased genuine if components were critical else local • In case of HCVs, about 57% owners claim to have purchased genuine components – About 19% purchased duplicate components and about 16% purchased genuine only if it was critical • In case of taxis, about 52% owners claim to have purchased genuine components – About 15% of the owners purchased duplicate and about 14% were not sure about the type of component fitted 132 Maximum percentage of commercial vehicle owners have full faith on their drivers and do not check to ensure whether the component fitted is original BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 661 commercial vehicle owners Buses HCV Taxis 38% 31% 23% 26% 23% 22% 17%17% 29% 26% 19% 12% 7% Full faith on drivers Driver collects the Personally call the Physically check packaging retailer • In case of buses, about 23% of the owners have full faith on their drivers – 4% 5% Tie-ups with service stns However a larger number i.e. about 29% physically check the components also equal number of owners ask their drivers to collect the packaging • In case of HCVs, about 38% of the owners have full faith on their drivers – Also about 22% of the owners ask their drivers to collect the packaging of the component • In case of taxis, about 31% of the owners have full faith on the drivers but another 26% physically check and also call the 133 retailer BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Profile of the respondents 3. Auto component channel members - Distributor - Wholesaler/Retailer - Authorized service station - Other service station - Roadside mechanics 134 BIRD Over 866 auto component channel members were met across locations Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 866 channel members Metro Distributor 11% Mechanics 40% 5% 7% 21% Non metros 5% 11% 21% Wholesaler/Retailer 22% 67% Other stations 18% Authorized stns 9% Distributor Distribution of sample by line of business 63% 4% 11% 28% 57% Wholesaler Authorized stn Other NM Small 6% 14% 6% 11% 28% 33% 52% Other stns 50% Mechanics Distribution of sample by city type • Around 40% of the total sample covered were roadside mechanics – Close to 11% were distributors and about 22% were retailers/wholesalers – Over 9% of the sample constituted of authorized service stations and around 18% owned other service stations/garages • Close to 3/4th of the sample covered were located in metro and non-metro locations 135 BIRD Further classification of channel members covered during the survey Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 866 channel members Wholesaler/Retailer 1 2 to 3 1% 2% 12% 7% 7% Distributor 31% 35% 1% 32% 26% 20% 2% 6 to 10 > 21 1% 3% 14% 1% 5% 15% 36% 11 to 25 26 to 50 27% 24% 20% 19% 7% 5% 1 to 5 24% 11 to 20 58% 14% <1 6 to 10 15% 16% 23% 4 to 5 28% 27% 3% > 50 All figures in INR lakhs Distribution of sample by annual sales from auto components Distributor Wholesaler/ Retailer 14% Authorized stations 58% 42% 21% 4% Other stations Mechanics Distribution of sample by number of employees per outlet • Close to 50% of the auto component distributors covered claimed to have an annual sales turnover of more than Rs. 10 lakhs from auto components – However, only 17% of wholesalers/dealers had sales of more than Rs. 10 lakhs • A high percentage of the distributors, authorized and other service stations employ more than 5 employees per outlet – However, in case of mechanics and wholesalers/retailers majority of the respondents employ less than 3 employees 136 “….since we also need customers to come back to us we provide them with counterfeits…” Large Distributor BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • High percentage of channel members confess stocking and selling counterfeit components: – – – – – Distributors: 14% Wholesaler/Retailer: 31% Authorized service station: 10% Other service stations: 55% Roadside mechanics: 43% • Key counterfeiting hubs identified in India – By City: – Chennai • • • • • Mount Road G P Road (General Ports Road) Pudupet Loot Road MANNADI 137 “…greediness of dealers, retailers and mechanics force us to supply counterfeits to them…” Distributor BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Key counterfeiting hubs identified in India – By City: – Delhi • • • • • • Kashmere Gate Karol Bagh Darya Ganj Jheel Mayapuri Mori Gate market – Mumbai • • • • Ulhas nagar Bhivandi Sion Vashi – Kolkata • Mallick bazar 138 “…authorized dealers also purchase components from us for use in service stations…” Retailer BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Key counterfeiting hubs identified in India – By City: – Kolkata • Central avenue • Richi road • Bhawani pur – Other cities • • • • • • • • • • Nana peth (Pune) Pimpri Chinchwad (Pune) Nigadi (Pune) Lal Bagh (Lucknow) Cant Road (Lucknow) Alambagh (Lucknow) Miller Ganj (Ludhiana) Samrala Chowk (Ludhiana) Kaloor (Kochi) Edapally (Kochi) 139 “…majority of the counterfeit components are supplied by authorized dealers of OEMs…” Mechanic BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Key counterfeiting hubs identified in India – By City: – Other cities • • • • • • Sector 38, 43, 48 and 22 (Chandigarh) Kashi Vishwanath Market (Jamnagar) Rajkot and surrounding areas Municipal chowk (Chapra) Gunj and super market (Gulbarga) Vidhu Nagar (Guni) 140 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Brand of components being stocked and sold by channel members covered 141 BIRD Fair percentage of distributors & retailers stock counterfeits for various component types OEM No n-OEM 6% 26% 5% 4% Lo cal OEM Co unterfeit 6% 6% 23% Base: 283 channel members No n-OEM 23% 30% 16% Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 18% 31% 60% 48% 53% 97% 94% 94% Engine Electrical Distributor Suspension 20% 18% 59% 57% 57% 71% 79% 83% 90% 86% 89% Electrical Suspension 80% 91% 93% Drive Trsn 51% 44% 87% 98% Co unterfeit 14% 60% 55% Lo cal Equipments Drive Trsn Engine 86% Equipments Wholesaler/Retailer • Counterfeits of drive transmission, suspension and equipments seem to be popular among distributors and wholesalers/retailers • Although few channel members confess to stocking counterfeits of engine parts also but they are lesser in number 142 BIRD Surprisingly, authorized stations also confess of stocking local and counterfeit components OEM No n-OEM Lo cal OEM Co unterfeit Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 226 channel members No n-OEM Lo cal Co unterfeit 4% 12% 26% 4% 5% 16% 3% 3% 8% 5% 5% 25% 4% 23% 37% 27% 27% 55% 47% 44% 77% 100% 99% 100% 99% Engine Electrical Suspension 35% 39% 53% 54% 81% 71% 77% 85% 84% 87% Electrical Suspension 81% 99% 95% Drive Trsn 34% Equipments Drive Trsn Engine Authorized stations 80% Equipments Other service stations • Almost all authorized service stations stock OEM approved genuine components. But, few authorized stations covered in the study stocked local and counterfeit components also • More than 1/3rd of other service stations confess to stock counterfeit components – Local/unbranded components are also stocked by 50% of other stations covered 143 As expected, almost 50% of the roadside mechanics covered stocked counterfeit components OEM No n-OEM Lo cal 48% 52% 31% 37% 82% 86% Drive Trsn 73% 80% 71% Engine Electrical Roadside mechanics Base: 357 mechanics Co unterfeit 41% 41% 51% 54% 32% 43% 61% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 83% 79% 81% 74% Suspension Equipments • Counterfeits of drive transmission components are stocked by majority of the roadside mechanics covered – Suspension and equipments are the next most counterfeited components • Local components are also being stocked by close to 50% of the mechanics met • Majority of the respondents claim to stock OEM and Non-OEM genuine components 144 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Attitude towards auto component replacement - Private vehicle owners - Commercial vehicle owners 145 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Attitude towards auto component replacement - Private vehicle owners - Commercial vehicle owners 146 For majority of two-wheeler owners, desired source of purchase for various components is not company ASS but other service options BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1141 two-wheeler owners Company ASS 2% 15% Small garage Large garage Mechanic Self 3% 3% 3% 3% 21% 22% 23% 24% 15% 17% 16% 15% 24% 24% 26% 25% 37% 34% 32% 33% Drive Electrical Suspension Equipments 16% 20% 47% Engine • In case of engine components, maximum number of two-wheeler users i.e. 47% would like to purchase from company ASS – Rest 53% of the users still prefer to purchase components from other service options • In case of drive transmission, the percentage of users who would purchase from company ASS drops to just 37% – Although drive transmission problems were faced by the maximum number of users, still they would not go to company ASS for repair/purchase • For all other categories of components the percentage of users going to company ASS for purchase keeps on decreasing 147 On the contrary, four-wheeler owners would prefer purchasing all types of components from company ASS…share of small garages also goes down BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1550 four—wheeler owners Company ASS 8% 20% Small garage Large garage Mechanic 11% 10% 11% 12% 22% 23% 21% 21% 12% 15% 14% 13% 54% 51% 51% 52% Drive Electrical Suspension Equipments 9% 62% Engine • In case of engine components, maximum number of two-wheeler users i.e. 62% would like to purchase from company ASS – This shows the importance given to such components by the users • In case of drive transmission, the percentage of users who would purchase from company ASS drops to 54% – Around 12% would prefer going to small garages and about 22% to large garages • For all other categories of components the percentage of users going to company ASS is hovering around 51% 148 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Attitude towards auto component replacement - Private vehicle owners - Commercial vehicle owners 149 Choice of auto components purchase source among commercial vehicle owners is highly fragmented BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base:1089 commercial owners Company ASS Small garage Large garage Mechanic Self 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 23% 27% 28% 29% 29% 19% 19% 17% 16% 27% 25% 27% 27% 17% 18% 17% 17% Drive Electrical Suspension Equipments 20% 23% 25% Engine • In case of engine components, maximum number of owners i.e. 25% would like to purchase from company ASS – Around 23% prefer small garages and road side mechanics • In case of other type of components, the percentage of owners who would purchase from company ASS drops to just 17% - 18% – Maximum percentage of owners would like to purchase such components from road side mechanics – The next best option for the owners are small garages 150 Discounts offered and promptness of service offered by other service stations are key factors preventing the use of company authorized stations BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base:1089 commercial owners Top Box score 43% Discounts offered 42% Expensive services of company ASS 42% Promptness of service 36% 36% Existing relation with other service stns Genuine components are costly • Over 43% of the commercial vehicle owners have given maximum weight age to discounts offered by other service stations as a key determining factor in choice of such stations over company authorized service station • Another 42% of the respondents have given high importance to promptness of service (of other service stations) and high cost of services in company authorized service station as next 2 important factors – Over 36% of the respondents perceive genuine components to be costly • It seems existing relationships with other service stations has an important role to play in the final choice of service destination also 151 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Attitude towards counterfeit components 152 BIRD Methodology used for mapping attitude towards counterfeit components Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Battery of statements were exposed to the respondent and level of agreement was sought • The following scale was used to capture the level of agreement by the respondent Level of agreement Code I strongly agree with this statement 1 I somewhat agree with this statement 2 I neither agree nor disagree with this statement 3 I somewhat disagree with this statement 4 I completely disagree with this statement 5 153 Around 11% of private owners and 19% of commercial owners confess to purchase of counterfeit components intentionally BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 2314 private owners 1089 commercial owners Private owner Somewhat agree Commercial owner Strongly agree 18% 25% 33% 29% 52% 27% 31% 24% 16% 48% 10% 6% 5% 26% 21% 22% 38% 30% 33% 9% Many times I intentionally buy counterfeits I am aware about damages caused by counterfeits to my vehicle I feel cheated when counterfeits are pushed when I have paid for original Many times counterfeits are sold as originals Quite frequently original spare parts are not available • Surprisingly, majority of the private and commercial vehicle owners seem to be aware about the damages caused by counterfeit components to their vehicle • Also, more than 50% of the respondents feel that quite frequently original spare parts are not available which forces the channel members to push counterfeits 154 Majority of the private and commercial owners strongly agree that use of counterfeits increases frequency of repair BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 2314 private owners 1089 commercial owners Private owner Somewhat agree Commercial owner Strongly agree 19% 26% 27% 22% 24% 28% 27% 27% 64% 50% 50% 41% Use of counterfeits reduces the vehicle life Use of counterfeits causes frequent break-down of the vehicle 53% 48% 38% Use of counterfeits worsen the overall driving experience 44% Use of counterfeits increases frequency of repair • Majority of the private and commercial vehicle owners seem to be aware about the fact that use of counterfeits reduces the useful life of the vehicle and causes frequent breakdowns • Also, most of the vehicle owners agree that use of counterfeits has a negative impact on the overall driving experience 155 Close to 80% of both private and commercial vehicle owners felt the need of increase in number of company authorized service stations BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 2314 private owners 1089 commercial owners Private owner Somewhat agree Commercial owner Strongly agree 23% 21% 20% 27% 23% 28% 60% 58% Repair in authorized service stations should be made cheaper 65% 25% 65% 50% Number of company authorized service stations should be increased 26% 57% 48% Counterfeit manufacturers should be dealt with strictly 45% Re-furbishing of inferior auto components should not be allowed • More than 75% of both private and commercial vehicle owners felt that the repair in company authorized service stations should be made cheaper so as to attract more and more vehicle owners • Also, a high percentage of vehicle owners felt re-furbishing of auto components should be banned as they are inferior in 156 quality Cheap price and easy availability are the key reasons for purchase of counterfeit components BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 2314 private owners 1089 commercial owners Private owners Commercial owners 87% 81% 54% 48% 44% 31% 24% 23% Cheap price Easy availability Discounts Word of mouth 24% 18% Past experiences 13% Non-availability of genuine • About 81% of private owners and around 87% of commercial vehicle owners feel that cheap price of such components motivates people to purchase them • About 50% of all vehicle owners also feel the easy availability of such components in the market is also a key reason • Other reasons cited are discounts, word of mouth and past experiences 157 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Some Suggestions to curb the growing menace 158 Public-private partnership for education of customers against evils of using such components is imperative… BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Jaago Grahak Jaago – This famous tag-line being used by consumer protection cell can also be replicated in the case of counterfeit components – As large percentage of customers are buying such illicit duplicates under the impression of being genuine – And as we all know, the kind of danger the consumer and his loved ones are exposed to on using such duplicate components – Spreading education and awareness among the customers is most important and this effort has to be jointly supported by public and private stakeholders • Education of channel members and law enforcement agencies – In addition to the education of the customers, the channel members and law enforcement agencies need to be educated – This would help in identification and removal of counterfeits from the supply side 159 OEM backed service stations/mobile vans need to provided on National Highways BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • According to experts a high percentage of counterfeit components for commercial vehicles are being pushed on National Highways – It is estimated that truck-owners in India spend Rs.220 bn annually on maintenance of trucks (Source: The Elgi Magazine) • Despite such huge expenditure, the truck owners had access only to spurious low quality spares and maintenance by untrained mechanics – The drivers purchase spurious components and claim bills for original components. Though the fleet owner are aware of such malpractices but they do not have any other option • In our primary survey also, majority of truck owners have recommended expansion of network by the vehicle manufacturers – In developed countries, there are special services targeted at commercial vehicles commuting on the highways – Such services offer monthly preventive maintenance and emergency vehicle repairs which are just a phone-call away • Infrastructure provided includes workshops on highways in addition to mobile vans 160 Sharing of market intelligence among the various vehicle manufacturers through associations will definitely help in curbing this menace BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • As different vehicle manufacturers, are operating from different geographies the market intelligence is bound to differ – Sharing of market intelligence will help in reduction of counterfeits in the market fulfilment resulting in better future • Rationalization of taxes and duty structure – Price difference between an original and counterfeit component can range between 50% - 150% for high end vehicles – Reduction in the taxes might act as a de-motivator for counterfeit manufacturers • Organized retail chains – One-stop shop for various types of genuine components especially in Northern region where counterfeiting is being done at a very large scale • Non-metros and small towns to be given equal importance if not more in terms of education 161 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Summarizing… 162 BIRD Key take-out Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Improve awareness of counterfeiting and damages caused among private and commercial vehicle owners Current awareness levels are rather moderate at around 40% awareness only. The message needs to be reinforced continuously by way of an extensive PR activity Suggested game plan Promote use of original equipment and authorized service centres Suggestion 1 through advertisements in suitable media (auto magazines, general magazines, newspapers, etc.) and articles. Get new car owners hooked to authorized service stations by hoardings Suggestion 2 and materials in the service station, TV messages in waiting rooms, pamphlets, etc. Suggestion 3 Suggestion 4 Target not only owners but also car drivers and auto-mechanics on the benefits of genuine components and how it is more beneficial in the long-run to use genuine components Messaging clearly needs to highlight the financial benefits (low breakdown rate leading to lower maintenance cost) and conevnience aspect (lesser number of trips to service station, avoid embarassment on the road) 163 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Suggested action plan Awareness Interest Desire Through advertisements in T.V., radio, Internet and industry magazines Through detailed articles and customer experience studies on websites, newspapers, T.V. auto shows, etc on the benefits of genuine components By offering value for money warranty offerings, reaching out to even for second hand and old vehicles by way of loyalty programs Action By improving the distribution infrastructure of auto components, network of authorized service stations, allow buying `only components’ from service stations 164 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Thank you! 165 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Annexure 166 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Share of counterfeit components by vehicle category - Private vehicles - Commercial vehicles 167 In case of scooters, just about 10% of the total expenditure on components is in authorized service station Scooters running : 137 Lakhs Service Destination South 16% North 48% West 27% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets % Going to non ASS 90% % going to ASS 10% East 9% Components Aftermarket (Rs. cr) Expenditure per trip (Rs.) 400 369 At Authorized Service Stations Others 319 300 200 154 97 100 112 125 Non Authorized, 1628 Authorized , 181 0 Components Labour Consumables 168 BIRD But it goes up to 15% in case of motorcycles… Motorcycles running : 135 Lakhs Service Destination North 20% South 34% % Going to non ASS 81% East 13% West 33% Expenditure per trip (Rs.) 400 300 280 At Authorized Service Stations 338 200 Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 116 108 % going to ASS 19% Components Aftermarket (Rs. cr) Others 122 138 Non Authorized , 1539 Authorized , 280 100 0 Components Labour Consumables 169 About 1/3rd of total expenditure on components in case of Segment A cars is in authorized service stations Segment A cars running : 12 Lakhs South 26% Service Destination North 36% West 25% % Going to non ASS % going to 73% ASS 27% East 13% Expenditure per trip (Rs.) 2,000 1,500 At Authorized Service Stations 1,613 1,490 Components Aftermarket (Rs. cr) Others Non Authorized , 500 1,000 417 500 433 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 473 466 Authorized , 190 0 Components Labour Consumables 170 As expected share of authorized service stations increases to almost 50% in case of Segment B & C cars Segment A cars running : 9 Lakhs South 26% Service Destination % Going to non ASS 53% North 36% West 25% % going to ASS 47% East 13% Expenditure per trip (Rs.) 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 At Authorized Service Stations 2,481 Components Aftermarket (Rs. cr) Others Non Authorized , 336 1,661 1,000 670 500 454 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 723 530 Authorized , 396 0 Components Labour Consumables 171 Expenditure on components in company authorized service station is the highest in case of Segment D cars Segment A cars running : 18000 South 26% Service Destination % Going to non ASS 47% North 36% West 25% % going to ASS 53% East 13% Expenditure per trip (Rs.) 5,000 4,000 At Authorized Service Stations 3,924 Components Aftermarket (Rs. cr) Others Non Authorized , 8 3,000 2,000 1,838 2,114 1,242 1,138 1,000 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 426 Authorized , 15 0 Components Labour Consumables 172 Summarizing the figures of component expenditure in authorised station for private vehicles BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Private vehicles Authorised service station Non-authorised service stations 46% 78% 88% 83% 72% 54% 22% Total 11% 16% Scooter Motorcycles 35% 65% 28% Seg A Seg B & C Seg D • In case of cars, the expenditure on components of Segment D cars in company authorized service station is the highest at 65% and lowest being in the case of Segment A cars at 28% – It seems that as we move up from one segment to other in case of cars, the share of company authorized service stations increases significantly • In case of scooters the share is 11% and close to 15% for motorcycles 173 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Share of counterfeit components by vehicle category - Private vehicles - Commercial vehicles 174 For all commercial vehicles, expenditure on components in authorized service stations is very low at 15% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Commercial vehicles Authorised service station 85% Rs. 8513 cr 85% Rs. 3852 cr Non-authorised service stations 90% Rs. 1740 cr 85% Rs. 1692 cr 15% 15% 10% 15% Total HCV LCV Buses 78% Rs. 1229 cr 22% Taxies • In case of four-wheeler taxies, the expenditure on components in company authorized service station is highest at 22% – • On the hindsight in case of LCVs it is the lowest at 10% For HCVs and buses the share of authorized stations is 15% 175 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Entry of counterfeit components in the auto component after-market in India 176 Structure of auto component replacement market in India Auto Component Manufacturers BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets OE sales Authorised In the Distributors recent past, the sales Institutional sales to OEMs for aftermarket has been increasing. The OEMs now prefer to Wholesalers interact with their customers directly rather than through their vendors Company ASS Retailer Mechanic Customers 177 How do counterfeit components enter the market? Auto Component Manufacturers Authorised Distributors • BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Different respondents have different view points. However, one thing which was common was that majority of such components enter the market through the channel: Wholesalers Some also believe that wholesalers push it Retailer Majority believe that it enters at the retailer level Mechanic Few say mechanics are also involved Customer 178 Vicious cycle forcing channel members to push counterfeits BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Want to deal with customers directly • Contracts with autocomponent manufacturers for supply of components at decreasing prices in future • Bear the brunt of reducing margins • Temptation to earn higher margins • No incentives for being a faithful member the Channel Automobile members manufacturers Counterfeits • Forced to maximize profits from replacement market • Aggressive pricing policy Auto component manufacturers • Do not consider economic feasibility of channel at times • In recent past have squeezed margins of channel in order to become more competitive 179 Counterfeit manufacturers are exclusively into the business of manufacturing such components BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Source of Counterfeits • Domestic counterfeit manufacturers • Imports – Have tie-ups with retailers and wholesalers – Mainly from China and – Source second hand cheap machinery other Asian countries – Have manufacturing at one place and Illegally enter the Key hubs in India:– Punjab printing at another country (Ludhiana, Jalandhar) • Gather both at one place and pack them as Delhi and Tamil– Nadu Most of the time original components come – Fast moving components are being copied unbranded and unpacked – Dies are counterfeited by reverse engineering – Quality comparatively better – Capacity to duplicate any component within 3-4 days after change in packaging 180 Counterfeit components have a negative impact on the brand image and trust placed by the customers on OEMs and their partners • BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Customers are under the impression that they are purchasing genuine components but in actual counterfeit components have been pushed: – Such components underperforms with respect to the expectations resulting in negative brand association and ultimately negative word of mouth – It also has a negative impact on the sales of the organized sector player – In addition to the domestic market users, the export market is also affected by counterfeit components • Major auto component manufacturers have conducted raids and caught export consignments containing counterfeit components under their brand name to key hubs across the world especially Dubai – Mico Bosch caught an export consignment worth Rs.50 crores containing fast moving counterfeit components under their brand name – Though most of the stakeholders have taken some kind of initiatives in this regard 181 Key initiatives taken to curb the menace of counterfeit components by various stakeholders BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets • Investing resources to have a separate brand protection cell within the organization • Use of inventive holograms in packaging • Educating the customers, channel about the change in packaging through exhibitions/ campaigns/ mobile vans/ melas etc • Hiring specialized agencies to conduct raids on counterfeit manufacturers and sellers • Getting closer to the customer by supplying components to the after market directly rather than through the vendors • Opening company owned showrooms in key urban areas in order to provide genuine components to the customers • Regular stock audits carried out on the channel members in order to instil a sense of discipline • Dealing with large institutional buyers directly and not through channel 182 BIRD Some quotes to be shared… “….CF manufacturers copy anything which sells…..” Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets - large auto component manufacturer “….channel members also want to eat chicken and drink alcohol, but at the current margins they are not able to do that…..thus they sell CF components….” - large auto component manufacturer “…social ethics need to created against the purchase of CF….as all the customers purchase such components on the assumption that they are purchasing genuine components….” - large OEM & Association “…change in packaging is a viscous cycles, it results in more confusion in the market among the channel and customers….also within 3-4 day period it is again copied…” - large auto component manufacturer “…there could be some counterfeit components being passed through company ASS in remote locations when supply is irregular….” - large OEM “…government should place adequate checks in order to ensure supply of genuine components in case of large institutional purchases…” - large auto component manufacturer 183 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Detailed profile of the respondents met 184 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Profile of the respondents 1. Private Vehicle Owners - Two-wheeler owners - Four wheeler owners 185 BIRD 1288 two-wheelers and 1659 four-wheelers of all types were owned by private vehicle owners covered… their ownership by town class Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers 1659 four-wheelers 47% 2-wheeler 50% 4-wheeler 35% 34% 10% 13% 8% 3% Metro Non-metro Other NM Small • Private vehicle owners in metros owned over 47% of the total two-wheelers encountered during the study followed by non-metros at 35% • Similarly in the case of four-wheeler, ownership of the private vehicle owners in metros contributed to over 50% of the total followed by non-metros at 34% 186 BIRD Maximum percentage of vehicles owned were purchased in the 3 year period from 2000-02 Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers 1659 four-wheelers 2-wheeler 4-wheeler 55% 38% 25% 18% 18% 11% 5% After 2002 11% 9% 5% 2000-02 1997-99 1994-96 3% 91-93 4% Before 1991 • Over 38% of all two-wheelers owned were manufactured in that period as compared to 55% of the four-wheelers • In case of two-wheelers over 18% of the vehicles were purchased after 2002 as compared to just 5% in fourwheelers 187 More than 2/3rd of all the vehicles encountered were first hand purchases…with non-metro cities having the highest percentage of first hand ownership BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers 1659 four-wheelers First hand 17% 83% Total 19% 81% Metro Second hand 12% 88% Non metros 17% 83% Other NM First hand 23% 25% 28% 77% 75% 72% Small Total Metro Two-wheelers Second hand 20% 80% Non metros 23% 77% Other NM 36% 64% Small Four-wheelers • In case of two-wheelers over 83% of the vehicles are first hand purchases – The percentage of first hand vehicles is highest in the non-metros at 88%. Purchasing power of people in most of these non-metro cities have increased significantly in the recent past – As expected the percentage of first hand vehicles in the case of Small towns is comparatively lesser • In case of four-wheelers over 75% of the vehicles are first hand purchases – Again the highest number of first hand purchases are in non-metros and the lowest in Small towns 188 BIRD Around 68% of two-wheelers and 72% of fourwheelers were first time purchases Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers 1659 four-wheelers First time purchase 15% 17% Additional 14% 16% 14% 68% 70% Total Metro 22% 64% Non metros Two-wheelers Replacement 19% 5% 20% 15% 66% Other NM First time purchase 13% 15% Additional 7% 16% 16% 14% 75% 72% 70% Small Total Metro Replacement 4% 3% 20% 17% 77% Non metros 93% 63% Other NM Small Four-wheelers • In case of two-wheelers over 70% of vehicles purchased in metro cities are first time purchases for a household – However, in case of non-metro cities only 64% of the two-wheelers purchased are first time purchases – As expected the percentage of first time purchases in the case of Small towns is highest at 75% • In case of four-wheelers over 70% of the vehicles purchased in metro cities are first time purchases – However, in case of non-metro cities over 77% of the four-wheelers purchased are first time purchases probably proving the increase in expenditure by the people in such locations – As expected the percentage of first time purchases in the case of Small towns is highest at 93% 189 On an average 4-wheelers cover a distance of 39 kms/day in a weekday as compared to 31 kms/day for 2-wheelers…highest being in other NM cities BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers 1659 four-wheelers 47.3 Four-wheeler 39.3 38.6 36.1 33.6 30.9 Two-wheeler 34.5 28.5 21.2 22.4 Total Metro Non-metro Other NM Small • In case of two wheelers average distance covered per weekday (working days): – Is highest in the case of Other NM cities at 34 kms/day – Is lowest in the case of Small towns at 21kms/day • In case of four-wheelers average distance covered per weekday: – Is highest in the case of other NM at 47 kms/day – Is lowest in the case of Small towns at 22 kms/day 190 Similarly, other NM vehicle owners cover maximum distance per day on weekends…… BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1288 two-wheelers 1659 four-wheelers 52.5 42.3 27.8 Four-wheeler 43.7 40.2 27.6 Two-wheeler 28.9 31.9 15.6 Total Metro Non-metro Other NM 19 Small • In case of two wheelers average distance covered per day on weekends (Holidays) is 22kms/day – This is much lower than the average distance covered per weekday which stood at 31kms/day • Probably people choose to rest or travel with entire family on the weekend for which two-wheeler might not be the suitable vehicle always • In case of four-wheelers average distance covered per day on weekends is 42kms/day – This figure is slightly higher than the average distance covered per weekday which is 39kms/day • Probably four-wheelers are used for family travel/visits on the weekends 191 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Regular Service Details for Two-wheelers - Scooters - Motorcycles 192 BIRD Paid routine service was the primary nature of last regular service among all two-wheeler owners Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1058 two-wheelers Paid routine service Because of malfunction 1% 2% 32% Accidental repairs 1% 25% 8% 30% 92% 65% Metro 74% 69% Non metros Other NM Small • In case of metros over 65% of the users took their vehicle for paid routine service as compared to 74% in non-metros – Also in metros 32% of the users took their vehicle for regular service because of malfunction as compared to 25% in the case of nonmetros • In case of other NM over 69% of the users took their vehicle for paid routine service as compared to 92% in small cities – Also in case of other NM more than 30% took their vehicle for regular service as a result of malfunction compared to just 8% in case of small cities 193 Frequency of regular service ranges from 4.5 – 5 months in all locations except small cities where it increases to once in every 4 months 4.96 mths 2% 4.58 mths 1% 7% 4% 3% 2% 5.32 mths 3% 10% 4% 1% 36% 39% 58% Metro 4 - 6 mths Non-metro 1 - 3 mths 48% Other NM 6 - 9 mths Base: 1058 two-wheelers 3.98 mths 3% 51% 35% 48% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 45% 9 - 12 mths Small >12 • In case of metro cities, over48% of the users have reported 4-6 months as frequency of regular service as compared to 58% in the case of non-metros – More than 1/3rd of the vehicle owners in both metros and non-metros have reported 1-3 months as frequency • In case of Other NM cities, over48% of the users have reported 4-6 months as frequency of regular service as compared to just 45% in the case of small – Over 35% of the vehicle owners in other NM and 51% in small have reported 1-3 months as frequency of regular service 194 When it comes to regular service in case of scooters, higher percentage of vehicles are been taken to company ASS in comparison to normal service BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 327 scooters Some other garage 13% 17% Road side mechanic 3% 17% 8% Large garage 2% 13% Company ASS 3% Self 5% 7% 21% 19% 40% 51% Metro 32% Non metros 26% 85% 38% Other NM Small • In case of metros over 13% of the users took their vehicle for regular service to company ASS compared to 17% in the case of non-metros – However, small garages and road-side mechanics are still the favorite service destinations among the users • In case of other NM over 13% of the users took their vehicle for regular service to company ASS as compared to just 5% in case of small cities – Small garages are preferred by 85% of the users in small cities as compared to 38% in case of other NM 195 In case of motorcycles almost 1/3rd of the vehicles are being taken to company ASS for regular service in case of metros and non-metros BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 315 motorcycles Some other garage 3% 27% Road side mechanic Large garage 1% Company ASS 2% 27% 32% Self 9% 9% 2% 6% 13% 20% 11% 39% Metro 31% 25% 35% Non metros 78% 30% Other NM Small • In case of metros and non-metros over 27% of the users took their vehicle for regular service to company ASS – Percentage of vehicles being serviced at small garages and road side mechanics are slightly lesser as compared to scooters • In case of other NM over 32% of the users took their vehicle for regular service to company ASS as compared to just 9% in case of small cities – Small garages are preferred by 78% of the users in small cities as compared to 30% in case of other NM 196 Two-wheelers owners who regularly purchase components from non-company authorized service stations claim to spend 70% on genuine components OEM Genuine Metro Non-metro Other NM Small Other brands Local Brands 71% 66% Base: 650 two-wheelers Duplicates 18% 20% 76% 69% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 9% 10% 16% 13% 2% 4% 7% 1% 16% 2% • In case of metros and non-metros on an average users spend 70% on purchase of genuine components – Approximately 2%- 4% of the expenditure is on duplicate components – Rest is on local or other brands of components • In case of other NM and small cities the trend is almost similar – Approximately 20% of the expenditure is on other or local brands of components 197 Average expenditure on components has been the highest in case of metro cities…although in motorcycles the difference is not very high BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1058 two-wheelers In Rs. 357 Scooters 341 334 234 Motorcycles 324 232 151 120 Metro Non-metro Other NM Small • In case of metros, the average expenditure on components by scooter users was Rs.334 and in case of motorcycle users it was Rs.351 • In case of non-metros, the average expenditure on components by scooter users was Rs.234 and in case of motorcycle users it was Rs.341 • In case of other NM, the average expenditure on components by scooter users was Rs.232 and in case of motorcycle users it was Rs.324 • In small cities, average expenditure by scooter users was Rs. 120 and Rs. 151 by motorcycle users 198 In case of regular service also, company ASS are almost 50% more costlier than other service options for scooter users BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 327 scooters Components Labour Consumables 383 In Rs. 285 274 205 122 126 102 117 100 120 74 Authorised SS Large garages Some other garages 84 Mechanic • Users who took their vehicle to company ASS for last regular service spent on an average Rs.383 on purchasing components as compared to: – – – Rs.285 in case of large garages Rs.274 in case of small garages Rs.205 in case of road side mechanics • Expenditure on labor and consumables is also highest in case of company ASS – This again might be a big deterrent for price-sensitive users who take their vehicle for regular servicing 199 BIRD Regular service of motorcycles in company ASS is not as costly compared to other service stations Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 315 motorcycles Components 396 Labour In Rs. Consumables 335 255 161 246 136 94 Authorised SS 113 Large garages 103 125 Some other garages 96 112 Mechanic • Users who took their vehicle to company ASS for last regular service spent on an average Rs.396 on purchasing components as compared to: – – – Rs.255 in case of large garages Rs.335 in case of small garages Rs.246 in case of road side mechanics • Expenditure on labor and consumables is highest in case of company ASS – It seems that the motorcycle manufacturers are not charging a very high premium for normal or regular service 200 A fair percentage of the users have purchased few genuine and few local components…although majority still claim to have purchased genuine components BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1058 two-wheelers Genuine 7% 8% 8% 12% Few genuine and rest local 13% 14% 7% Duplicate/Refurbished Not sure Others 6% 9% 9% 11% 13% 65% 56% Other NM Small 11% 20% 21% 65% 45% Metro Non metros • In case of metros over 65% of the users claim to purchase genuine components in last service as compared to 43% in case of non-metros – And in case of non-metros over 7% of the users purchased duplicate components compared to 8% in the case of metros • In case of other NM and small cities, around 60% of the users claim to purchase genuine components – Also in case of small cities more than 11% of the users purchased duplicate components compared to 9% in the case of other NM 201 BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Regular Service Details for Four-wheelers 202 Paid routine service was the primary nature of last regular service among four-wheelers owners across locations Paid routine service 3% Because of malfunction 4% 8% 20% 5% Under warranty 3% Base: 1519 four--wheelers Accidental repairs 3% 14% BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets 4% 18% 29% 93% 69% Metro 73% 54% Non metros Other NM Small • In case of metros over 69% of the users took their vehicle for paid routine service as compared to 73% in non-metros – Also in metros 20% of the users took their vehicle for regular service because of malfunction as compared to 18% in the case of nonmetros • In case of other NM over 54% of the users took their vehicle for paid routine service as compared to 93% in small cities – Also in case of other NM more than 29% took their vehicle for regular service as a result of malfunction compared to just 4% in case of small cities 203 When it comes to regular service, percentage of vehicles being serviced at company ASS increases substantially….specially in case of small towns BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1519 four--wheelers Company ASS 3% Large garage 8% 20% 29% 20% Some other garage 3% 16% 10% Road side mechanic 12% 32% 20% 71% 48% 52% Metro Non metros 56% Other NM Small • In case of metro cities, almost 50% of the vehicles were serviced at company ASS as compared to 52% in the case of nonmetros – Around 30% of metro vehicles were serviced at large garages compared to 20% in non-metros where an equal number were serviced at small garages also • In case of other NM cities, around 71% of the vehicles were serviced at company ASS compared to 56% in small towns – Also in case of other NM cities, over 16% vehicles were serviced at small garages – But in case of small towns, more than 32% of the vehicles were serviced at large garages 204 Respondents who regularly purchase components from BIRD non-company authorised service stations claim to spend maximum on purchase of genuine components Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1060 four--wheelers OEM Genuine Other brands Metro Non-metro Local Brands Duplicates 81% 12% 72% Other NM 17% 89% Small 5% 2% 7% 4% 7% 4% 98% 2% • In case of metros on an average users spend 81% on purchase of genuine components compared to 72% in the case of non-metros – Approximately 2%- 4% of the expenditure is on duplicate components – Rest is on local or other brands of components • In case of other NM and small towns almost majority of the users claim to purchase genuine components only 205 Average expenditure on components in case of regular service is lower as compared to normal service BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1060 four--wheelers In Rs. 3116 2242 2098 1738 1197 A B&C D E MUV/SUV • As normal service included comparatively higher percentage of accidental cases – Also the base of respondents in case of regular service is higher which might have averaged out the exceptional cases encountered • The average expenditure on components in the last regular service ranges from Rs.1197 in the case of Segment A cars to Rs.3116 in the case of Segment E cars 206 Gap between expenditure on components in Company ASS Vs other service stations reduces in case of regular service BIRD Research-based Consultancy for B2B and technology Markets Base: 1519 four--wheelers 1695 Components Labour In Rs. 1256 Consumables 1310 981 766 510 509 382 322 394 333 224 Authorised SS Large garages Some other garages Mechanic • Users who took their vehicle to company ASS for last regular service spent on an average Rs.1695 on purchasing components as compared to: – – – Rs.1256 in case of large garages Rs.1310 in case of small garages Rs.981 in case of road side mechanics • Expenditure on labor and consumables in company ASS is also comparable with other service options 207