Break Even Analysis Presented by Francis Pinto Shilpa Kulkarni 31 Pradnya Morje 36 Amol Rane Tushar Wadivkar 57 Aditya Divadkar 58 17 43 Costs are of two types Total cost = Variable cost + Fixed cost Variable cost Fixed cost Direct Varies with activity level Recovered first Common / indirect Same at all activity level Contribution after recovery of Variable Cost Selling price recovers variable cost fully and fixed cost partly. What is Break Even Analysis ? Actual profit starts only after the fixed cost is recovered fully from the contribution. Once the fixed cost is recovered fully, the contribution then contributes towards the profit. The situation where the fixed cost is recovered fully is region of no profit no loss. It is known as Break even point. The actual profit starts only after the Break even is reached. Break Even Chart Y FC BEP = ----------SP - VC 200 175 150 - Selling price 125 Total cost BEP 100 75 - Fixed Cost Cost / Sales in Rs 50 - 25 (0,0) | 100 | 200 Activity level | 300 | 400 | 500 | 600 | 700 X How does Break Even Analysis Helps Manager ? To decide sales volume needed to attain target profit Change in selling price decision Decision to expand the capacity Product drop decision To study effect of alternative prices Alternate prices Y SP 1 200 SP 2 175 150 - SP 3 125 100 Total cost 75 50 - BP 1 BP 2 BP 3 25 Fixed Cost Cost / Sales in Rs (0,0) | 100 | 200 Activity level | 300 | 400 | 500 X Drawbacks of Break Even Analysis Product cycle Technology absolance Cots , revenue relationship is not linear Factors that affect Break Even Change in government policy Change market scenario Change in customer perception Political influences etc. Change in economy Need for new model The break even analysis done in this way is known as Accountant’s break even analysis as no economic and other factors are taken into consideration. Organisations generally work only on the basis of Accountant’s break even analysis and suffer in long run. Economist’s model of Break-Even Analysis The Economist’s model of break-even analysis assumes that costs and revenues are curvilinear. The revenue curve is expected to indicate that the firm is able to sell increasing quantities only by reducing the prices. Economist’s model of Break-Even Analysis Total Cost Y LOSS B2 200 - Selling price 175 150 125 PROFIT 100 B1 75 - 50 LOSS Fixed Cost 25 Cost / Sales in Rs (0,0) Optimum Level | 100 | 200 Activity level | 300 | 400 | 500 X How it differs from accountant’s model Economist’s treat costs and revenue as curvilinear whereas accountants treat them as linear Economist’s break even chart indicates two break even points whereas accountant’s break even chart shows only once, which indicates that after reaching the break even the further sell will always generate profit, which is not true. From the profit range shown in the economist’s break-even chart, an optimum level of operation can be found This is not possible from an accountant’s break even chart. Case study Case # 1 Case # 2 Case # 3 Case # 4 Fabric online Tata Indica Intel Reliance Infocom Case study Case # 1 Fabric online Interior view Interior view is a traditional chain of retail store, run by Judy Williams, at Western US. The shop is featuring home décor, fabrics, accessories and antique. The company developed a website www.fabric.online.com, with a view extending the reach of the store to those outside the local market and add to the store to the retail base. The sale for the year 2002 was : Particulars FY 2002 Online Sale due to website $20,050 Direct cost of Sale $10,145 Gross Margin $9,905 Initially Judi was very happy that her sale was increased by $ 20,050 due to the online trading, which inturn increased the Gross margin by $ 9,905. Actual cost / revenue of website sale Particulars FY 2002 Gross Margin $9,905 Variable Cost ( 150 units ) Delivery Cost $1,500 Packaging & misc. $1,200 Total Variable cost $2,700 Contribution towards fixed cost $7,205 Fixed Cost Website Expenses Website Development $2,850 Website Infrastructure $2,134 Advertising / Promotion $1,200 Equipment Expenses $600 Website maintenance $300 Other $500 Total Fixed cost ( break even sale ) $7,584 Profit / Loss ($379) So the company’s aim was to increase their sale volume Demographic, psycholographic and behavioural characteristics were observed by the company, it was observed that : Professional Youngsters are expected to be the most likely of the targeted segment. The online fabric shoppers most often find the site through search engines. The internet learners represents all of the targeted segments The online sale was increased from 150 units to almost 250 units . The net result shown in 2003, as compared to 2002 was as under : Particulars FY 2002 FY 2003 Online Sale due to website $20,050 $30,350 Direct cost of Sale $10,145 $15,150 Gross Margin $9,905 $15,200 Considering the fixed and variable cost of the online trading, the actual working is : Particulars FY 2002 Gross Margin Variable Cost FY 2003 $9,905 ( 150 units ) $15,200 ( 250 units ) Delivery Cost $1,500 $2,500 Packaging & misc. $1,200 $1,500 Total Variable cost $2,700 $4,000 Contribution towards fixed cost $7,205 $11,200 Fixed Cost Website Expenses Website Development $2,850 $3,350 Website Infrastructure $2,134 $600 Advertising / Promotion $1,200 $2,500 Equipment Expenses $600 Website maintenance $300 $300 Other $500 $500 Total Fixed cost ( break even sale ) $7,584 $7,250 Profit / Loss ($379) $3,950 Case study Case # 2 TATA Indica Introduction Available in standard and luxury versions Dec.1998 Tata Indica Launched Designed with assistance from IDEA and LE MOTEUR Telco has produced this engineering marvel in a record time of 31 months 1700 crore factory Built in a 168 acre plot Market Position Tata is positioned the Indica head on with Maruti 800 At the Time of Launch Telco’s main steam business i.e. commercial vehicle segment passing through a cruelest period Breakeven Analysis Break Even estimated in December 1998 was 60,000 cars. In May 2000 break even quantity revised to 90,000 as Telco’s operating profit margin fell 2.4% to 6%. Cost saving measures adopted Efforts to improve Working capital. Borrowings Scale down by 441 crore to 3,004 crore Break Even Point Launched in 1998 Break even achieved in the Ist quarter of 2001-2002 Break even point down from 60000 cars to 53000 cars. Launched of V2 diesel and petrol version in 2001 Factors responsible for B.E.P Case study Case # 3 Intel Corporation Intel Corporation Intel Corporation, founded in 1968 is a leading company at US has around 450 products and services in computer software & hardware . Which includes wide range from desktop components, notebook components, server and workstation components, flash memory, networking & communications design components & network connectivity, wireless components & software services etc. structure 1992-93 ( in US $ ) Annual sale Annual fixed cost Annual Inspection fixed cost ( in US $ ) 17,000 5,160,000 40,000 Total Fixed cost Variable cost / unit Variable inspection cost / unit 5,200,000 200 15 Total variable 215 Selling price / unit 665 Contribution / unit 440 BEP in units ( FC / contr. ) 11,818 BEP in Rs. 7858970 Total contribution 7480000 Operating Profit Total sale Profit Volume ratio 2280000 11560000 20% For the year 1993-94 and the estimated cost / revenue statement was as under 1993-94 ( in US $ ) Annual sale Annual fixed cost Annual Inspection fixed cost 25,000 5,180,000 40,000 Total Fixed cost Variable cost / unit Variable inspection cost / unit ( in US $ ) 5,220,000 210 20 Total variable 230 Selling price / unit 680 Contribution / unit 450 BEP in units ( FC / contr. ) BEP in Rs. Total contribution 11,600 7888000 11250000 Operating Profit Total sale Profit Volume ratio 6,030,000 17000000 34% The working of inspection cost was as under with initial alternate with new alternate in US $ Fixed cost of inspection Variable cost of inspection / unit No. of units 40,000 Fixed cost of inspection 20 Variable cost of inspection / unit 25,000 No. of units Total variable cost 500,000 Total variable cost Total inspection cost 540,000 Total inspection cost Difference $ 330,000 in US $ 160,000 2 25,000 50,000 210,000 The comparative working of estimated and actual was as under : 1993-94 [ estimated ] Rs. ( in US $ ) Annual sale Annual fixed cost Annual Inspection fixed cost Variable inspection cost / unit Rs. ( in US $ ) Rs. ( in US $ ) 25,000 25,000 5,180,000 5,180,000 40,000 160,000 Total Fixed cost Variable cost / unit 1993-94 [ actual ] 5,220,000 Rs. ( in US $ ) 5,340,000 210 210 20 2 Total variable 230 212 Selling price / unit 680 680 Contribution / unit 450 468 11,600 11,496 BEP in units ( FC / contr. ) BEP in Rs. Total contribution 7888000 7817280 11250000 11700000 Operating Profit Total sale Profit Volume ratio 6,030,000 17000000 6,360,000 17000000 34% 37% Benefits : Break even was reached early PV ratio was increased to 37% Lower inspection cost which indicates quality improvement Case study Case # 4 Reliance Infocomm The Reliance Empire Reliance Industries is the largest petrochemical and petroleum producer in India and is poised for major growth. Amazing Facts about Reliance Infocomm A 15,000 cr. project that kicked off on 28th Dec. Most popular technology used : CDMA Plans to offer full bouquet of voice, data, image, value-added services and high quality end-toend connectivity on nationwide basis. Provides premium to the Reliance Ind. Ltd. Stock More Amazing Facts about Reliance Infocomm Reliance Infocomm plans to achieve its break-even in the first year of launch itself. Plans to target 12 million customers in its first year of operations. 6,750 Cr. invested by RIL for a 45 per cent stake in the company. Present shortfall is approximately 40 per cent of the target market that Reliance Infocomm expects to conquer. Telecom Landline Demand and Supply (Nov. 02) Circles Tel. Lines Demand Shortfall 22.0 22.6 2.7 Delhi 2.2 2.3 6.1 Gujarat 3.0 3.0 1.5 Karnataka 2.8 2.9 3.6 Maharashtra 4.0 4.1 4.2 Mumbai 2.7 2.7 2.0 Tamil Nadu 2.9 2.9 0.3 Chennai 1.1 1.1 0.0 Category B 15.3 16.4 7.7 Category C 3.5 3.7 6.5 40.8 42.8 4.9 Category A Total Risks for Reliance Infocomm The company has just launched the project and its results would speak in a few months time. Wooing customers who already avail the services of giants MTNL, BPL and Orange will be a tough task. Time for Anil and Mukesh Ambani to prove themselves after the demise of their father and win the trust of the present and future shareholders. Limitations to Break Even Analysis Limitation of data , viz. neglect of imputed costs , arbitrary depreciation estimates , and inappropriate allocation of overhead costs . Relationship between costs and revenues and input bound to change over time. Costs in a particular period need not be entirely due to the output. Changes in selling costs are a cause and not result of changes in output . Limitations to Break Even Analysis Contd… Realistic calculations need to be made at several price levels to get various total revenue curves. Break even Analysis is an effective tool for short run use only Inclusion of too many heads in BE analysis causes both good and bad performance can be buried in the total picture of the group Factors like technological change , improved management, changes in the scale of the fixed factors of production etc. are ignored. Overview Case Study Stage in Product Life Cycle Expected Maximum Breakeven period Result at the end of expected breakeven period Strategies adopted to improve Results Results www.fabric .online.com Expansion 1 year (2002-03) Loss $379 Concentrated on advertisement and promotions Online sales increased from 150 to 250. Profit $3950 Tata Indica Launch 2 yrs 3 months 60,000 cars) (Dec1999march 2001) Cash Break even not achieved Worked towards improvement of company working capital, Scaled down borrowing by 441 crores Break Even achieved at 53000 cars . Operating profit 8.32% Intel (mother board) Existing Product Annual (1992-93) 20% profit New machine installed with additional inspection accessories Reliance Infocom New Product 1 year To be observed Target: 12 million subscribers. Low prices ISP High connectivity. Operating Profit was 37% much more than the estimated 34% To be observed Conclusion A thorough knowledge of the relationship of costs, price and volume is extremely essential for business executives. They need plan for profits despite of uncertainties created by dynamic nature of consumer needs, the diverse nature of competition , the uncontrollable nature of most elements of cost , and the diverse nature of continuous technological developments. Break even Analysis should be used as an effective tool to guide in decision making and not as a substitute for judgment , logical thinking and common sense.