Chapter 1. Introduction to International Trade Theory Hyun-Hoon Lee Professor Kangwon National University 1 Contents 1. Trend of world trade 2. What are the reasons for fast expansion of international trade? 3. What are the fundamental reasons for international trade? 4. What are the consequences (i.e. benefits and costs) of international trade? 5. Who are the major trade partners? 6. What are the consequences of (i.e. benefits and costs) of trade policy? 7. Introduction to the course 2 https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/wtr13-2b_e.pdf 1. Trend of World Trade ■ Growth of World trade Source: WTO, World Trade Report 2013. 1. Trend of World Trade ■ Growth of World trade Source: WTO, World Trade Report 2013. 1. Trend of World Trade ■ Growth of Korea’s trade Source: Bank of Korea 1. Trend of World Trade Source: WTO, World Trade Report 2013. 1. Trend of World Trade Source: WTO, World Trade Report 2013. 1. Trend of World Trade Source: WTO, World Trade Report 2013. Case Study 1-1: The Dell PCs, iPhones, and iPads sold in the United States Are Anything but American Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2. What are the Reasons for Fast Expansion of International Trade? 2. Reasons for Fast Expansion of International Trade Liberalization of Trade GATT/WTO Economic Integration Development of Transport Sea Transport Air Transport Development of Telecommunication Telephone Internet Container shipping dramatically reduced shipping costs making it much easier and cost effective to ship world-wide. 3. What are the Fundamental Reasons for International Trade? 3. Fundamental Reasons for International Trade Top 10 export items of Korea (%) Source : KOTIS 14 3. Fundamental Reasons for International Trade Top 10 import items of Korea Source : KOTIS 15 3. Fundamental Reasons for International Trade Comparative advantage Difference in technology - David Ricardo Difference in factor endowments – Heckscher-Ohlin Inter-industry trade Economies of scale and product differentiation Economies of scale Product differentiation Intra-industry trade 4. What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of International Trade? ■ Benefits of International Trade ■ Costs of International Trade 4. What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of International Trade? ■ Benefits of International Trade Individuals Consumption of better quality products with lower prices Consumption of diverse products Firms Greater business opportunities Greater profit Nation Fast economic growth Job creation 4. What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of International Trade? .15 ■ Relation between Growth Rates of GDP and Trade VNM .1 CHN CHL SGP PER MYS IDN KOR NZL .05 AUS USA TWN CAN MEX PHLTHA HKG PNG 0 JPN 0 .05 .1 Trade_growth GDP_growth .15 Fitted values .2 4. What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of International Trade? ■ Costs of International Trade Individuals Loss of jobs employed in the less competitive industries Firms Face stronger competition and may lose competitive edge Nation Greater income disparity Possibility of environmental degradation in developing countries Greater vulnerability to foreign shocks 4. What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of International Trade? ■ Net Benefit of International Trade Firms Greater business opportunity but may lose competitive edge Individuals As consumers, individuals become better off, but as workers, individuals may become worse off. Nation Overall national welfare becomes greater, but the nation may face the problems of income disparity, environmental degradation, etc. 5. Who are the major trade partners Top 10 export markets for Korea 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2012 Rank Country % Country % Country % Country % Country % Country % 1 U.S. 47.3 U.S. 26.3 U.S. 29.8 U.S. 21.8 China 25.1 China 24.5 2 Japan 28.1 Japan 17.4 Japan 19.4 Japan 11.9 U.S. 10.7 U.S. 10.7 3 Hong Kong 3.3 Saudi Arabia 5.4 Hong Kong 5.8 China 10.7 Japan 6.0 Japan 7.1 4 Germany 3.3 Germany 5.0 Germany 4.4 Hong Kong 6.2 Hong Kong 5.4 Hong Kong 6.0 5 Canada 2.3 Hong Kong 4.7 Singapore 2.8 Taiwan 4.7 Singapore 3.3 Singapore 4.2 6 Netherlands 1.6 Iran 3.5 U.K. 2.7 Singapore 3.3 Taiwan 3.2 Vietnam 2.9 7 U.K. 1.6 U.K. 3.3 Canada 2.7 U.K. 3.1 Germany 2.5 Taiwan 2.7 8 Vietnam 1.5 Indonesia 2.1 Taiwan 1.9 Germany 3.0 India 2.3 Indonesia 2.5 9 Singapore 1.3 Netherlands 2.0 France 1.7 Malaysia 2.0 Mexico 2.1 India 2.2 10 Sweden 0.9 Canada 2.0 Indonesia 1.7 Indonesia 2.0 Indonesia 1.9 Russia 2.0 Total 91.4 Source : KOTIS 71.6 72.9 68.8 62.4 64.8 22 5. Who are the major trade partners Top 10 import markets for Korea 1980 1990 2000 2010 2012 Rank Country % Country % Country % Country % Country % 1 Japan 26.3 Japn 26.6 Japan 19.8 China 16.8 China 15.5 2 U.S 21.9 U.S 24.3 U.S 18.2 Japan 15.1 Japan 12.4 3 Saudi Arabia 14.8 Germany 4.7 China 8.0 U.S 9.5 U.S 8.3 4 Kuwait 7.9 Australia 3.7 Saudi Arabia 6.0 Saudi Arabia 6.3 Saudi Arabia 7.6 5 Australia 3.1 China 3.2 Australia 3.7 Australia 4.8 Qatar 4.9 6 Ira 2.9 Saudi Arabia 2.5 Indonesia 3.3 Germany 3.4 Australia 4.4 7 Germany 2.9 Indonesia 2.3 Malaysia 3.0 Indonesia 3.3 Kuwait 3.5 8 Malaysia 2.1 Malaysia 2.3 Arab Emirate 2.9 Arab Emirate 2.9 Germany 3.4 9 Canada 1.7 Canada 2.1 Taiwan 2.9 Qatar 2.8 Arab Emirate 2.9 10 U.K 1.4 U.K 1.8 Germany 2.9 Kuwait 2.6 Taiwan 2.7 Total 84.8 Source : KOTIS 73.4 70.8 67.4 65.8 23 5. Who are the major trade partners Gravity Model Other things equal, the bilateral trade between two countries is proportional, or at least positively related, to the product of the two countries’ GDPs, and the greater the distance between the two countries, the smaller is their bilateral trade. That is, the larger (and more equal in size) and the closer two countries are, the larger the volume of trade between them is expected to be. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 6. What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of Trade Policy? ■ Free trade vs. non-free trade ■ Tariff and non-tariff barriers ■ Multilateralism vs. regionalism 7. Introduction to the course ■ Aims of the course To understand reasons for international trade Traditional trade theory Modern trade theory To understand benefits and costs of international trade To understand international trade policy Effects of tariffs and non-tariff barriers, etc. 7. Introduction to the course ■ Texts Main textbook Dominick Salvatore, International Economics, 11th edition, John Wiley & Sons, 2013. Auxiliary textbooks Recent research articles Economic daily news papers. Cf: Undergraduate course Danbi Park, Mon 9:00-10:15, Thr 9:00-10:15; Room 2406 Meehwa Shin, Wed 9;00-11:35; Room 2303 Meehwa Shin, Fri 9;00-11:35; Room 2406 7. Introduction to the course ■ Grading Mid-term exam: 30% Final exam: 30% Home work: 15% Empirical project: 15% Attendance: 10% (absence: -2 pts; late show up: – 1 pt) (Note: More than five-time absences will incur automatically an “F”.) 7. Introduction to the course ■ Contents of the Text Part One (Chapters 2-7) International Trade Theory Part Two (Chapters 8-12) International Trade Policies Part Three (Chapters 13-15) Balance of Payments, Foreign Exchange Part Four (Chapters 16-21) Adjusting Balance of Payments Equilibria 7. Introduction to the course ■ Requirements Intellectually Basic knowledge of microeconomics Physically Healthy enough not to miss any of the lectures and homework!! Academic integrity Professionalism Academic integrity 7. Introduction to the course ■ Academic Integrity A student's work for academic credit should be the work of the student's own. All papers submitted for the course may be subject to textual similarity review for the detection of plagiarism. What is “To Study”(학문)? What is “To Study”(학문)? 學文: To learn letters? - ≪서경≫, ≪시경≫, ≪주역≫, ≪춘추≫, 예(禮), 악 (樂) 따위의 시서ㆍ육예를 배우는 일. - i.e., To learn old-time classical philosophy? What is “To Study”(학문)? 學聞: To listen? - i.e., To listen to lectures in classroom? What is “To Study”(학문)? 學問: To ask questions? - 어떤 분야를 체계적으로 배워서 익힘. - i.e., Learning by asking Who is your instructor? Ph.D. in economics from Univ of Oregon Professor, Dept of International Trade and Business, KNU Senior Analyst, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Senior Environmental Affairs Officer, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP) Visiting professor, Univ of British Columbia, Keio Univ, Melbourne Univ, Univ of Oregon, Bank of Korea Homepage: http://cc.kangwon.ac.kr/~hhlee/ Hyun-Hoon Lee hhlee@kangwon.ac.kr