Water Availability Transboundary Waters Global Water Resources Only this portion is renewable Total = 1,386,000,000 km3 Fresh = 35,029,000 km3 (2.5% of total) Global Water Cycle Principal sources of fresh water for human activities 44,800 km3 Global Water Availability Population and Water Use 9000 8000 Withdrawal (km3/yr) 7000 Population (million) 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 global freshwater use is ~4000 km3/year 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 ~10% of the renewable supply (44,800km3/year) 2010 2020 Water in ecosystems and social systems M.Falkenmark March 09 Water in two forms M.Falkenmark March 09 Global water budget Precipitation 100 % 65 % 35 % M.Falkenmark March 09 Global Water Withdrawal Global Water Use A basic development obstacle: water variability water storage per person (m3) & the poverty trap…. in water-constrained economies hydrologic variability complicates food production 7 000 250 6 000 600 1980 1990 2000 -50 -200 -100 -400 -200 Cereal yield -600 -250 -800 Years 2 486 3 000 2 000 1 000 746 1 287 1 406 43 0 M.Falkenmark March 09 North America 1970 Brazil 0 1960 3 255 China 0 4 000 Laos 200 50 Thailand 400 South Africa December rainfall 100 4 729 5 000 Ethiopia National rainfall index: Variation from trend (mm) Cereal production 150 Australia National rainfall index Total cereal production - Variation from trend ('000 tons) 200 -150 6 150 800 Access to Water Supply • Reasonable access to an adequate amount of safe water – Treated surface water and untreated but uncontaminated water, such as from springs, sanitary wells, and protected boreholes – Urban areas - public fountain or standpipe located not more than 200 meters away. – Rural areas - members of the household do not have to spend a disproportionate part of the day fetching water. – An adequate amount of water is that needed to satisfy metabolic, hygienic, and domestic requirements Worldbank.org Access to Sanitation • At least adequate excreta disposal facilities – Private or shared, but not public – Effectively prevent human, animal, and insect contact with excreta. – Suitable facilities range from simple but protected pit latrines to flush toilets with sewerage. – To be effective, all facilities must be correctly constructed and properly maintained. Worldbank.org Water Supply and Sanitation • In 2002 – 1.1 billion people lacked access to improved water sources (17% of the global population) – Of those, nearly two thirds live in Asia (733 million people) – In sub-Saharan Africa, 42% of the population is without improved water – 2.6 billion people lacked access to improved sanitation (42% of the world’s population) – Over half of those live in China and India (nearly 1.5 billion people) – In sub-Saharan Africa, sanitation coverage is only 36%. – In developing countries, 69% of rural dwellers lack access to improved sanitation, as opposed 27% of urban dwellers. Water Supply and Sanitation • Diarrhea (WHO 2004) – 1.8 million people die every year from diarrheal diseases (including cholera); 90% are children under 5, mostly in developing countries – 88% of diarrheal disease is attributed to unsafe water supply, inadequate sanitation and hygiene – Improved access to water supply and sanitation can reduce diarrhea morbidity • Water supply: 6% – 25% (108,000 – 450,000 people) • Sanitation: 32% (576,000 people) • Total: 1.026 million http://www.who.int/water_sanitation_health/diseases/burden/en/index.html Poverty and Development • > 1 billion people live in extreme poverty (< $1 a day) – Sub-Saharan Africa - > 15 of every 100 children die before the age of 5 – Kenya - fertilizer costs > 2x what it costs in France or the U.S. – Ethiopia - so deforested that rural households cannot use manure as fertilizer because they need it as cooking fuel. • In 2002 developed countries promised to give $210 billion (0.7% of GNP) in ODA to end poverty – 2005 - gave $107 billion (U.S. $28 bln)* – 2008 – gave $120 billion (U.S. $26 bln) – 2015 – need $195 billion * $4.3 bln for WSS http://www.unmillenniumproject.org/resources/fastfacts_e.htm http://stats.oecd.org/qwids Challenges & U.S. Response • What’s the problem? – Lack of capacity – Competing interests – Decentralization • It’s not all about water – It’s also about: political will, governance, and globalization • Senator Paul Simon “Water for the Poor Act” 2005* – Recognizes importance of water and codified the internationally agreed goals (MDGs) • Objectives of U.S. strategy – Increase access to, and effective use of, safe water and sanitation *2010 - http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/146141.pdf *2011 - http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/166895.pdf International River Basins Over 40% of the world lives in a shared basin (263 of ‘em) GEO-3: GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK http://www.unep.org/GEO/geo3/english/fig154.htm Water Wars? Unlikely. • Harbingers of conflict that should be considered: – – – – – Unilateral development Internationalized basin No / ineffective institutions General animosity Downstream hegemony • Some warning signs: – Large scale development – Rapid changes – Civil unrest Water in the International Arena • We continuously read about the threat of "water wars" in the press, where one country is likely to use military force to achieve its objectives of water use. • Several international groups have warned of the threat of a "water crisis" looming in the coming century. • Several area of the world are regularly mentioned as having tense negotiations over shared river basins: Jordan, Ganges-Bramaputra, and Tigres-Euphrates. • In US, shared water resources with Canada and Mexico are now under increased scrutiny and negotiation resulting from the environmental side agreement to the North American Free Trade Agreement. • In EU, multiple water “directives” are being implemented across 25 nations. Domestic Water Use • Survival = 5 L/day • Drinking, cooking, bathing, and sanitation = 50 L – United States = 250 to 300 L (Includes yard watering) – Netherlands = 104 L – Somalia = 9 L – 100-600 L/c/d* (high-income) – 50-100 L/c/d (low-income) – 10-40 L/c/d (water scarce) * L/c/d = liters per person per day Water Stress Index • Based on human consumption – linked to population growth • Domestic requirement: – 100 L/c/d = 40 m3/c/yr • Associated agricultural, industrial & energy need: – 20 x 40 m3/c/yr = 800 m3/c/yr • Total need: – 840 m3/c/yr – about 1000 m3/c/yr Water Stress Index • Water availability below 1,000 m3/c/yr – chronic water related problems impeding development and harming human health • Water sufficiency: >1700 m3/c/yr • Water stress: <1700 m3/c/yr • Water scarcity: <1000 m3/c/yr Water Supply Improved • Household connection • Public standpipe • Borehole • Protected dug well • Protected spring • Rainwater collection Not Improved • Unprotected well • Unprotected spring • Vendor-provided water • Bottled water* • Tanker truck-provided water World Health Organization Sanitation Improved • Connection to a public sewer • Connection to septic system • Pour-flush latrine • Simple pit latrine • Ventilated improved pit latrine Not Improved • Service or bucket latrines (where excreta are manually removed) • Public latrines • Latrines with an open pit World Health Organization Water Stress (m3/person/year)