Patrick Barlow and Tiffany Smith Descriptive Statistics Parametric Statistics Non-Parametric Statistics Null Hypothesis Alternative Hypothesis Mean Standard Deviation Correlation Confidence Interval the statistics to the research question, not the other way around! First, ask yourself, “Am I interested in…. Fit Describing a sample or outcome?” Looking at how groups differ?” Looking at how outcomes are related?” Looking at changes over time?” Creating a new scale or instrument? Assessing reliability and/or validity of an instrument? Second, “How am I measuring my outcomes?” Descriptive Statistics Parametric Statistics Common tests of relationships Common tests of group differences Independent t-test Between subjects analysis of variance (ANOVA) Common tests of repeated measures Pearson r Linear/multiple regression Dependent t-test Within subjects ANOVA Tests of categorical data Odds Ratio / Chi Square Logistic Regression Common Psychometric tests Cronbach’s Alpha Principal Components and Factor Analysis Numbers used to describe the sample They do not actually test any hypotheses (or yield any p-values) Types: Measures of Center Measures of Spread Mean Median Mode Quartiles Standard Deviation Range Variance Frequencies Most powerful type of statistics we use Researchers must make sure their data meets a number of assumptions (or parameters) before these tests can be used properly. Some key assumptions In Normality Independence of observations research, you always want to use parametric statistics if possible. Pearson r correlation Linear/Multiple Regression What is it? A statistical analysis that tests the relationship between two continuous variables. Commonly Associated Terms: Bivariate correlation, relationship, r-value, scatterplot, association, direction, magnitude. Moderate Strong Weak Relationship:r > .50 No Relationship: Relationship: Relationship: r ≈ |.10| |.00| r ≈ |.30| 10 Each has a Pearson Correlation of r=.82, is & is statistically significant 11 Anscombe, F.J., Graphs in Statistical Analysis, American Statistican, 27, 17-21 What Study found a relationship between GPA and sense of belonging, r=.35, p = .03. What to interpret: Results show r = .35, p = .03, R2=.12 How you read: to interpret: There is a weak, significant positive relationship between college GPA and students’ sense of belonging to the university. As sense of belonging increases, GPA also increases. What is it? A statistical analysis that tests the relationship between multiple predictor variables and one continuous outcome variable. Predictors: Any number of continuous or dichotomous variables, e.g. age, anxiety, SES Outcome: 1 Continuous variable, e.g. ER visits per Month Commonly Associated Terms: Multivariate, beta weight, r2-value, forward/backward regression, sequential/hierarchical regression, standard/simultaneous regression, statistical/stepwise regression. model, 13 Independent t-test Between Subjects Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) What is it? Tests the difference between two groups on a single, continuous dependent variable. Commonly associated terms: Two sample t-test, student’s t-test, means, group means, standard deviations, mean differences, group difference, confidence interval, group comparison. What p-values (<.05) Mean differences and standard deviations Confidence intervals How to interpret? to interpret? There is a significant difference between the two groups where one group has a significantly higher/lower score on the dependent variable than the other. What you read: Students who were put on academic probation (M=1.50, SD=.40) had lower sense of belonging than students who were not put on academic probation (M=3.50, SD=.75), p = .02. What to interpret: p-value: .02 Mean sense of belonging for both groups: academic probation = 1.50 & non-academic=3.50. Standard deviations for both groups: on academic probation =.40 & not on academic probation=.75. How to interpret: Participants on academic probation had significantly lower sense of belonging than students who were not put on academic probation. What is it? Tests the difference among more than two groups on a single, continuous variable. Post-Hoc tests are required to examine where the differences are. Commonly associated terms: F-test, interactions, post-hoc tests (tukey HSD, bonferroni, scheffe, dunnett). What p-values (<.05) Main effect: Shows overall significance Post-hoc tests: shows specific group differences Mean differences, standard deviations How to interpret? to interpret? Main Effect: There was an overall significant difference among the groups of the independent variable on the dependent variable. Post-Hoc: Same interpretation as an independent ttest What you read: A researcher looks at differences in average satisfaction on three different reading interventions (A, B, and C). What to interpret: Main effect: Overall F=20.10, p=.01 Post-hoc: Comparison of Intervention “A” to Intervention “B” shows average satisfaction to be 4.32 (SD=.50) and 3.56 (SD=1.2), respectively, p=.04. Main effect: p-value=.01 Post-hoc: p-value=.04, group means show Intervention “A” has higher satisfaction ratings than Intervention “B”. How to interpret: Main effect: There is a significant overall difference among the three interventions on satisfaction. Post-hoc: Students who received Intervention “A” have significantly higher satisfaction than those who received Intervention “B” Dependent t-test Within Subjects Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) What is it? Commonly Associated Terms: Tests the differences for one group between two time-points or matched pairs Pre and posttest, matched pairs, paired samples, time. What to interpret? p-values (<.05) Mean change between measurements (i.e. over time or between pairs) How to interpret:? There is a significant difference between the pretest and posttest where the score on the posttest was significantly higher/lower on the dependent variable than the pretest. What An article shows a difference in average test score before (M=79.50, SD=8.00) and after (M=85.25, SD=7.90) an educational intervention, p=.08. What to interpret: p-value=.08 Mean change=7.75 more points after the educational intervention. How you read: to interpret: Average test score did not significantly change from before the intervention to after the intervention; however, there may be a practically relevant difference. What is it? Commonly Associated Terms: Multiple time-points/matched pairs, repeated measures, posthoc. What to interpret? A statistical analysis that tests differences of one group between two or more time-points or matched pairs (e.g. pretest, posttest, & follow-up or treatment “A” patient, treatment “B” matched patient, & placebo matched patient). Main effect: p-values Post-hoc: p-values, mean change, direction of change. How to interpret: Main Effect – There was an overall significant difference among the time points/matched pairs on the dependent variable. Post-Hoc: Same as a dependent t-test. What you read: An article shows a difference in average classroom comfort before (M=1.5, SD=2.0), after (M=3.30, SD=.90), and six months following a cohort-building intervention (M=4.20, SD=3.0). What to interpret: Main effect: Overall F=3.59, p=.02. p-value=.02, statistically significant Mean change=1.8 higher classroom comfort at postintervention How to interpret: Classroom comfort significantly increased from baseline to six-months following a cohort-building intervention; however, post-hoc tests will be needed to show where that differences lies. Mixed ANOVA: Used when comparing more than one group over more than one time-point on a measure Factorial ANOVA: Comparing two or more separate independent variables on one dependent variable. Example – Males vs. female students, before and after a foreign language course – Average score on an assessment Example – Who taught the course (Ms. Lang, Mr. Beard, or Ms. Brinkley), AND which teaching method was used (online, face to face) – Average post-test assessment score Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA): Examining the differences among groups while controlling for an additional variable Example – Online or face to face course, controlling for baseline knowledge – Average post-test assessment score All of these methods are used to test interaction effects Odds Ratio / Relative Risk (Chi-square test of independence) Logistic Regression What is it? Commonly Associated Terms: A statistical analysis that tests the odds or risk of an event occurring or not occurring based on one or more predictor variables (independent). Unadjusted odds ratio (OR), relative risk (RR), 2x2, chi-square, absolute risk reduction, absolute risk, relative risk reduction, odds, confidence intervals, protective effect, likelihood, forest plot. What to interpret? If a 2x2 table: interpret the OR or RR and confidence intervals rather than the p-value. If more than a 2x2 table, then the p-value and frequencies may be more useful. How to interpret: Odds Ratio < 1: For every unit increase in the independent variable, the odds of having the outcome decrease by (OR) times. Odds Ratio > 1: For every unit increase in the independent variable, the odds of having the outcome increase by (OR) times. Odds Ratio = 1 or CI crosses 1.0 or p > .05: You are no more or less likely to have the outcome as a result of the predictor variable. (this would be nonsignificant) What are the odds of leaving college if a student has been placed on academic probation? What you read: IV: Academic probation (Y/N) DV: Completion (Y/N) The odds ratio (95% CI) for college completion and academic probation showed OR=2.00 (95% CI=1.44 - 2.88), p <.05. What you interpret: OR > 1 (2.00) 95% CI is small, and does not cross 1.0 (1.44 to 2.88) p-value is below .05 How you interpret: Students are two times more likely to leave college if they were placed on academic probation. What is it? Commonly Associated Terms: Adjusted odds ratio (AOR), multivariate adjusted odds ratio, likelihood, protective effect, risk, odds, 95% confidence interval, classification table, dichotomous DV. What to interpret? A statistical analysis that tests the odds or risk of an event occurring or not occurring based on one or more predictor variables (independent) after controlling for a number of other confounding variables. OR (these are your measures for risk of the outcome occurring given the predictor variable), p-value for OR, confidence intervals for OR (should not cross over 1.0, should not be overly large e.g. 1.2 – 45.5), classification table (if it is provided). How to interpret: Odds Ratio < 1: For every unit increase in the independent variable, the odds of having the outcome decrease by (OR) times after controlling for the other predictor variables. Odds Ratio > 1: For every unit increase in the independent variable, the odds of having the outcome increase by (OR) times after controlling for the other predictor variables. Odds Ratio = 1 or CI crosses 1.0 or p > .05: You are no more or less likely to have the outcome as a result of the predictor variable after controlling for the other predictor variables. (this would be non-significant) Does age, male sex, and time spent playing video games, increase the odds of being on academic probation? Predictor Variables: age (scale), sex (M/F), Gaming (ordinal, 0hrs, 13hrs, 4-6hrs, etc.) DV: Probation (Y/N) What you read: The ORs (95% CI) for each predictor variable are: What you interpret: Age: OR=1.40 (95% CI=0.88 to 6.90), ns Sexmale: OR=3.00 (95% CI=2.22 to 5.20), p <.001 Gaming: OR=6.75 (95% CI=4.69 to 8.80), p <.001 The OR, CI, and p-value for each predictor. How you interpret: Both sex and time spent gaming increase the odds of being on academic probation. Specifically, men are 3.00 times more likely to be on academic probation than females, and for every unit increase in gaming time, the odds of being on probation increases by 6.75 times. Questions? Work together (in groups of 3-4) to create survey research scenarios / questions that could be addressed using the analyses you have learned about in class. Use your “Commonly Used Statistics” handout as a resource! Be prepared to share your answers Cronbach’s Alpha Principal Component Analysis / Factor Analysis Other psychometric tests Psychometric tests are used to examine the characteristics and performance of a survey or assessment instrument. Reasons to use these tests Reliability Validity Dimension reduction (constructing new instruments) Item analysis (objective tests) Cronbach’s alpha is one of the most common psychometric tests used by survey researchers. Looks at the internal consistency of the items in a certain scale or instrument. In other words, how responses to items in the scale relate to one another. What to interpret The overall alpha value for the scale The “alpha if item removed” table How to interpret For the Alpha values: > .90 is excellent, .80-.90 is good, .70-.80 is acceptable, .60-.70 is questionable, between .50-.60 is poor, and <.50 is unacceptable. If you see a negative value, then recheck your data for coding errors. For the “alpha if removed” table: Look at the values that the scale would have if the item was removed. If dropping an item makes a meaningful improvement (e.g. from .75 to .80), then consider dropping the item and rerunning the analysis. More items More participants Increase the “good” type of redundancy Drop poor items (those that affect alpha) Clarify item stems Double check coding PCA and FA are both dimension reduction techniques that are used when either pretesting a new instrument (exploratory) or gathering validity evidence for an existing instrument (confirmatory). Both methods look at how items cluster together as latent (not directly measured) “factors” or “components”. Examples: “depression”, “anxiety”, or “sense of belonging” Number of items Number of subjects Technique used PCA FA Extraction methods Orthogonal Oblique SO many others! Remember: Just because a finding is not significant does not mean that it is not meaningful. You should always consider the effect size and context of the research when making a decision about whether or not any finding is relevant in practice.