March 2009
John Brockwell
Global Supply Chain Practice Lead
Trade Management Consulting
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Topics
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JPMorganChase Bank N.A. Corporate Structure
Treasury and
Securities
Services
Investment
Bank
Asset and
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Management
Commercial
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Treasury Services
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Worldwide
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Institutional
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Positioning
JPMorgan Private
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Fleming Asset
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Market
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Equipment
Leasing
Credit Cards
Merchant
Processing
Retail
Financial
Services
Consumer
Banking
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Education
Finance
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Insurance
Small Business
Banking
Flexible Global Trade Management Offerings
• Customs, export, and supply chain management
• SCM Process design and optimization
• Trade compliance assessments, compliance improvement plans, implementations and audits
Fulfillment landed cost analysis
• Outsourced import and export trade operations support
• Special trade program management
• Brokerage and broker management
• Duty calculation and Customs clearance
• Regulatory screening and automated license decision
• Government reporting and agency/bureau interfaces
• Consistently updated with the most recent trade regulations
Purchase Order requirements to suppliers
REAL-TIME FINANCIAL & PHYSICAL SUPPLY CHAIN SERVICES FOR THE WORLD
We’re integrating systems and platforms to leverage the financial and trade information from export to import and on to final delivery
Exporter/Seller
Classify ECCN #’s
Jurisdiction Determination
Screen Orders
EAR/ITAR
Determine Licensing
Submit SED
Submit Export Dec
Track/Trace Shipment
Education & Training
Import Data review - 10+2
Trade Logistics Mgt
Supply Chain Security and
Safety- CTPAT/AEO
Forwarder
Track Shipments
Forwarder Processes
Select Carriers
Book Carriers
Consolidate Freight
Track Shipments
International
Carrier
Resolve Issues
Carrier Processes
Transport Goods
Track Shipments
On-time arrivals
Bulk Breaking
Broker
Manage Brokers
Broker Processes
Pre-Entry
Submit Entry
Clear Customs
Importer/Buyer
Import Processes
Classify HS #’s
Import Data Mgmt
Submit Pre-Entry
Manage Doc Creation
Minimize Duties
Declare Goods Value
Perform Liquidation
Education & Training
Export Declaration
Import Declaration
Government
Supporting
Technology
Post Entry Info
Supply Chain Security and
Inbound Landed Cost
Safety – CTPAT/AEO
Trade Management Professionals
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Global trade management costs are small as a percentage of the value of the goods traded but the activity is critical
Trade Management
Costs
•People
•Processes
•Technology
Typically for large companies < .1% of goods value traded
Trade Management Affects
•Revenue, Cost of Goods Sold, Inventory,
Development Expense, Sales and General
Administration (SG&A), Days Purchases
Outstanding, Days Sales Outstanding
• Operational staffing
• Supply Chain Flow - Defects in the Trade
Management process can and do stop the supply chain
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Supply Chains have become more global, more extended, and riskier
Supplier
Components
Manufacturing
Distribution
Consumers
Customer
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Future trends demand flexible “smart” global supply chains that support operations
Supply chain security programs
Failure to plan and develop secure supply chains will result in significant disruptions when supply chains are threatened
Environmental and Safety regulatory concerns
Failure to incorporate the regulations in supply chain processes can expose companies to disruptions, seizures, significant fines and inventory write-downs
New intense competition for demanding global customers
Highly efficient “Greenfield” competitors are entering the global markets
Customers in all global markets are demanding high product availability and reliability, creating intense competition and high risk of “diminished value”
Security, Environment and Customer Demands create significant risk to inventory value, we have a choice, to let it happen or manage it with flexible supply chains
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More hand-offs in the supply chain decreases reliability
Domestic factory to the store, 3 days at 95% reliability
1 day 2 days 18 days
1 day 3 days
International factory to the store, with 5 hand-offs and each leg 95% reliable for a total of 25 days. 0.95x0.95x0.95x0.95x0.95 = 77.4% reliability
Irregularities in goods flow like cargo cut-offs or customs delays can result in full days added to the supply chain, causing expedited freight and increased inventory
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The purpose of the Value Chain is to deliver product at maximum profit to the market
Selling Season
Expected Price
Service Level Requirement
For On Time Delivery
Diminished Price
Manufacturing
Outbound Logistics and
Inventory Investment Risk
Diminished Profit due to Higher Product,
Storage Cost,
Inventory
Obsolescence and
Write-downs
Inbound Logistics
Raw
Materials &
Components Product &
Distribution
Forecasting Costs
Time In Season
Selling Season Start
75% reduction in price
Out of Season
Selling Season End
Does not include lost revenue and profit from product service and follow-on sales
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If you think “Diminished Value” is an abstract term …
…………………………………….think again!
Inventory write-off, lost sales, lost service contracts, lost tie in sales, disappointed customers, expensive restock
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Sourcing and Fulfillment decisions are often based on assuming an accurate Forecast and a Perfect Order
The Perfect Order
•Order Fill Rate 100%
•On-Time Delivery 100%
•Discount or mark-downs 10%
•100% Quality (no rejects)
•Accurate Paperwork 100%
© 2006 JPMorgan Chase and Co. All rights reserved. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. Member FDIC.
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“91% of companies reported that unexpected supply chain costs were eroding their anticipated low-cost country savings”
-- New Strategies for Global Trade Management
Aberdeen Research
Top Reasons:
Transportation (due to variability)
Raw Materials
Supplier Charges
Taxes and Tariffs
Inventory
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3% better = 1% additional Profit Margin
5% better = 2.5% increase in Return on Assets
10% better = $0.50 better Earnings Per Share
— AMR Research
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Majority of logistics departments currently monitor carriers’ websites for tracking
Roughly one out of four companies utilizes an internally-developed tracking solution or maintains inventory visibility through their ERP solution
Most tracking is focused on in-transit events
Trend for increased monitoring of order acknowledgements and/or advanced shipping notices
54% of these firms are automatically monitoring order quantities, shipment dates and order commitments
Of companies that track 71% check shipment status at least once per day
-- A Study on Inventory Visibility
Logistics Management Magazine and Sterling Commerce, December 2008
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Why is this good business for a service provider to be in?
The inventory visibility space is being attacked from many different angles
ERP providers
Pure inventory visibility software as a service (SaaS) companies
4PL’s/3PL’s
Global Trade Management companies
Even Banks !!!
Why?
Leverage existing data flowing through systems
Extend reach – become more “sticky” with the customer
Economies of scale
I/T infrastructure
Software application logic
Database formats
Connections with carriers
Provide better service to the client
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Increased integration with supplier and customer collaboration efforts
Demand forecasting
Supplier inventories
Key milestones in supplier’s supply chain for raw materials and components
Intra-company inventories
Vendor managed inventory
Trend towards re-creating a vertically integrated “enterprise” through information vs. brick-and-mortar
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