1 Unaffiliated demonstrators: How they are mobilized, with whom they identify, how they are motivated* Bert Klandermans, Jacquelien van Stekelenburg, Marie-Louise Damen, Dunya van Troost and Anouk van Leeuwen VU-University, Amsterdam The Netherlands *This research was supported by the European Science Foundation Grant (ESF-08-ECRP001). Send all correspondence to Bert Klandermans (p.g.klandermans@vu.nl). 2 Abstract Collective action literature tends to focus on how people are affiliated to mobilizing structures and on how affiliation to these networks facilitates collective action participation. Much less attention is given to the fact that sometimes large proportions of the participants are not affiliated to the organizers’ networks. In this paper we compare the social psychological dynamics of participation in street demonstrations for participants who are not affiliated to the organizers with those of participants who are. How were they mobilized; what was their collective identity and what was their motivation? Reporting data from a unique study of 60 street demonstrations in seven European countries we compare the social psychological dynamics of participation by unaffiliated and affiliated demonstrators (n=12.681). The paper theorizes about the impact of being unaffiliated on the processes of mobilization, identification and motivation. Fifty-one percent of the demonstrators appeared to be unaffiliated to the organizers. The 60 demonstrations span the whole range from hardly anybody who is unaffiliated to the organizers to almost everybody. Our findings show that unaffiliated demonstrators are mobilized in different manners than affiliated demonstrators; patterns of identification with the organizers and the other participants differ, as do the strength and nature of their motivation. 3 In the year 2009 we surveyed a protest demonstration in Rotterdam against a proposal by the Dutch government to restrict early retirement rights. Over 85% of the participants were members of the labor unions that staged the demonstration while 15% were not. A few months later we covered a demonstration against austerity measures in the cultural sector of the Dutch society. This time, no more than 11.5% of the participants were members of organizations that staged the event while 88.5% were not. The literature on protest participation is very clear with regard to the impact of affiliation to organizer networks on protest participation. Citizens who are affiliated to the networks of the organizers are more likely to take part in the protest event than citizens who are not. But fifteen of every hundred participants in the early retirement demonstration and close to ninety in the culture demonstration were not affiliated to the organizers’ networks . This raises the question how they got involved? Collective action literature tends to focus on how people are affiliated to mobilizing structures and on how affiliation to these networks facilitates collective action participation. Much less attention is given to the fact that sometimes large proportions of the participants are not affiliated to the organizers’ networks. In this paper we compare the social psychological dynamics of participation in street demonstrations for participants who are not affiliated to the organizers with that of participants who are. How were they mobilized; what was their collective identity like and what was their motivation? Movement research is not very well versed to make such comparisons. Most research among participants in protest events concerns single case studies or general surveys retrospectively inquiring whether people have taken part in any protest event in the past so many years. Case studies by definition don’t have comparative designs, while general surveys such as the World Value Survey or the European Social Survey register reported participation in collective action in general, but do not specify which action individuals took part in. Yet, such information is needed for a comparison of 4 affiliated and unaffiliated participants in various instances of collective action. So far, such comparative research among participants in protest events was lacking. This article begins to fill the gap. Reporting data from a study of 60 street demonstrations in seven different countries we will compare the social psychological dynamics of participation for unaffiliated demonstrators and affiliated demonstrators. We will begin with an explanation of how social cleavage structures in a society together with organizers’ efforts to build mobilizing structures make that some participants in collective action are unaffiliated to the organizers. We will then theorize about the impact of being unaffiliated on the processes of mobilization, identification and motivation. Next we will report results from our demonstrations study to test our hypotheses. In a concluding section we will interpret our findings. Social cleavages and affiliation to the organizers Why is it that some participants are affiliated to the organizers while others are not? This evolves from the fit between the mobilizing structures that the organizers assemble and the organizational fields potential participants are embedded in. Organizers forge mobilizing structures from the organizational fields in society. If individuals are embedded in those parts of the organizational fields organizers built into a mobilizing structure, they end up being affiliated to the organizers. These mobilizing structures and organizational fields are not random but shaped by a society’s cleavage structures. The issues movements mobilize people for reflect the social cleavages in a society (Verhulst 2011; Jansen 2011). The cleavages these issues are related to determine along which fault lines people tend to mobilize. (Kriesi et al. 1995). According to Lipset and Rokkan (1967) political conflict in societies is related to a limited number of cleavages of which class, religion, ethnicity, and region are the most important. Kriesi et al. (2008) proposed a ‘new’ schism between ‘winners’ and ‘losers’ of 5 globalization; while Hutter (2011) suggests the ‘integration’ ‘demarcation’ cleavage in European countries caused by waves of migration. Others have proposed ‘new’ attitudinal cleavages re issues such as the environmental and animal rights (cf. Jansen, 2011), or see an unlimited number of cleavages (Knutsen 2007). In a similar vein, resource mobilizationists have argued that grievances abound. A society’s cleavage structure reflects in the mobilization potentials of the social movement sector. A social movement’s mobilization potential consists of the people who sympathize with the movement’s cause. Movements with large mobilization potentials are more likely to successfully mobilize people to take part in their activities. In his discussion of the dynamics of demand Klandermans (2013) argues that the characteristics of a social movement’s mobilization potential construe the demand side of protest. A movement’s mobilization potential can be characterized in terms of its demographic composition; in terms of collective identities, shared grievances and emotions; and in terms of its organizational infrastructure. It is the latter—the networks and organizations that interconnect individual sympathizers—that interest us here. Part of a movement’s mobilization potential is formally organized. Workers are members of labour unions; women are members of women’s organizations, farmers of farmer’s organizations, environmentalists are members of environmental organizations, and war opponents are members of peace organizations. Mobilization potentials differ in that respect; they can be more or less organized. Such structures serve as the connecting tissue between organizers and participants in collective action. Passy (2003) denotes this structuralconnection function as one of the three functions social networks in her view perform in the context of collective action mobilization. The other two being the socialization function that is the role social networks play in the formation of identity, political consciousness, grievances, etc.; and decision-shaping, that is the role others in someone’s network play in the decision to 6 participate. Boekkooi (2012) emphasizes that mobilizing structures are not given, but must be assembled over and again, be it not from scratch as abeyance structures and existing organizations function as starting nodes. She demonstrates that the composition of the mobilizing structure reproduces itself in the composition of the crowd. Hence, social cleavages shape the mobilizing structure and the mobilization potential for a protest event in a society. Organizers are more or less successful in including networks and organizations in their mobilizing structure. As a consequence, smaller or larger proportions of the participants in collective action are unaffiliated to the organizers. The demonstrations we covered in our study vary widely in terms of the proportion of the participants who are or are not members of any of the organizations staging the event. We will show that being a member or not has important consequences for how a participant is mobilized and that affiliated and unaffiliated participants differ significantly in terms of identification and motivation to participate. Affiliation and mobilization Affiliation impacts on the effectiveness of the communication channels that are employed during mobilization campaigns. Weak ties, strong ties, interpersonal communication, mass media such as television or newspapers, and recently social media are all employed in campaigns to mobilize participants in collective action. Indeed, much attention in the social movement literature is given to organizations, networks and communication channels as conduits for the spreading of information and campaigns of mobilization (McCarthy 1996; Diani 1997; Kitts 2000; Diani and McAdam 2003; Corrigall-Brown 2012; Walgrave and Klandermans 2010). For an individual, being affiliated or not to the networks organizers assemble makes a real difference in terms of processes of mobilization and recruitment 7 (Boekkooi, Klandermans, and Van Stekelenburg 2011; Boekkooi 2012). Being affiliated to the networks of the organizers makes it more likely for people to be targeted by mobilization attempts via these networks. The question that interests us here, however, is how unaffiliated demonstrators are mobilized? Walgrave and Manssens (2000) suggest that under certain circumstances mass media can take over in the absence of any organization that assembles a mobilizing structure. They underpin their argument with results from a study of the so called White March. An event that took place in Brussels out of indignation about the kidnapping, abuse and murder of teenage girls by a man named Dutroux and more specifically about the way authorities had dealt with it. The authors argue that in case of widespread, strong grievances such mobilization without organization might occur. Corroborating this reasoning Walgrave and Klandermans (2010) show that in countries where the public opinion strongly opposed the imminent invasion in Iraq mass media were more effective as mobilization channels than in countries with lower levels of opposition. Verhulst (2011) coins the term consensual issues to refer to such issues that are highly supported in a society and shows that consensual issues are more likely to mobilize people without organization. Klandermans and Oegema (1987) discern in addition to ties with the organization three routes to target individuals for mobilization: mass media, direct mail, and friendship ties. They distinguish further between formal and informal mobilization attempts, the first being deliberate mobilization efforts of the movement (via flyers, posters, stands, advertisements, and so on), and the second being personal links with someone who planned to participate in the upcoming demonstration. Snow and colleagues distinguish face-to-face dissemination from mediated dissemination (Snow, Zurcher and Ekland-Olson, 1980). Faceto-face dissemination requires the physical presence of a source of information while mediated dissemination implies the use of media--like newspapers, television, mail, the Internet, and telephone. Furthermore, Snow and colleagues discern ‘private’ channels from 8 ‘public’ channels. Snow et al.’s taxonomy of recruitment channels suggests that some channels can reach the public at large, while other channels only reach certain segments of the population. Finally, Walgrave and Klandermans (2010) propose a distinction between open and closed channels. Open mobilization channels have no restriction regarding whom they target, while closed mobilization channels only target people with certain characteristics, for instance members of an organization. The broader the target groups, the less specific personal characteristics, the more open the mobilization channel. In this study we employ a distinction proposed by Boekkooi (2012) between ‘closed’, ‘semi-open’, and ‘open’ communication channels. An organization that targets its own members when it comes to mobilization is an example of the employment of closed channels. Labour union demonstrations are instances of recruitment via closed channels. Closed channels are typically employed in so-called “bloc recruitment” (McAdam, 1986), where members of a group or organization are recruited as a whole. The mass media (radio, newspapers, television) are examples of open mobilization channels, but also interpersonal networks. Mobilization via interpersonal networks including social media is in principle open as well as it can go on from the one person to the next as long as the chain is not broken. Semi-open channels are channels such as websites, the Internet, flyers, or posters, which in principle can reach everyone, but in practice reach limited numbers of people (Earl and Kimport 2011). Boekkooi (2012) showed how mobilization attempts snowball through an organizer’s organizational field. The first to be reached are the members of the organizer’s organization. The next in line are the people tied to organization members (through family, friendship, or work and study relations) whether or not via social media. Finally, people who are not reached via any of these interpersonal strong or weak ties can only be reached via impersonal media such as online media, radio, television and newspapers. Boekkooi shows that the more distanced from the initial organizer a person is located, the longer it takes for 9 mobilization attempts to arrive and, therefore, the longer it takes for a person to decide to participate. Organizers employ all three types of communication channels to target ‘their’ mobilization potential. Affiliated people can be reached by all three, but unaffiliated people can only be reached via open and semi-open channels. As semi-open and open channels reach people later than closed channels, we expect that it will take longer for unaffiliated participants to decide to participate in the demonstration than affiliated participants. Affiliation and identification It is generally assumed that participants in collective action share a politicized collective identity (Stryker et al. 2000; Simon and Klandermans 2001; Tindall 2004; Azzi et al. 2011; Corrigall-Bown 2012). Indeed, identity formation was one of the functions of social networks in the context of movement participation Passy (2003) listed. Simon (1998, 1999) described identity as a place in society. There are many different places in a society. People are student, unemployed, housewife, politician, farmer, and so on. A collective identity is a place shared with other people. Most collective identities remain latent, but contextual factors may bring a collective identity to the fore. This is often no matter of free choice. Circumstances may force a collective identity into awareness whether people like it or not, as for instance the Yugoslavian and South African histories have illustrated dramatically. However, also in less extreme circumstances collective identities are made salient. Imagine the announcement that a waste incinerator is planned next to a particular neighborhood. Chances are that within very little time the collective identity of the people living in that neighborhood becomes salient (Aarts 1994). Awareness of a collective identity does not necessarily make that identity politically relevant. We hold that for people to become involved in political protest on behalf 10 of a group, the collective identity of that group must politicize. Simon and Klandermans (2001) have attempted to develop a theoretical model for the politicization of collective identity. According to these authors, "..people evince politicised collective identity to the extent that they engage as self-conscious group members in a power struggle on behalf of their group knowing that it is the wider, more inclusive societal context in which this struggle has to be fought out." (p.2). The basic hypothesis regarding politicized collective identity and protest is fairly straightforward: a strong and politicized collective identity makes participation in political protest on behalf of the collective more likely. Several empirical studies report consistently that the more people identify with a group the more they are inclined to protest on behalf of that group (Kelly & Breinlinger, 1995; Klandermans, Sabucedo, Rodriguez, & Weerd, 2002; Mummendey et al. 1999; Reicher, 1984; Simon & Klandermans, 2001; Simon et al., 1998; Stryker, Owens, & White, 2000). Also meta-analytically this relation is confirmed (Van Zomeren et al., 2008). We hypothesize therefore that demonstrators who are affiliated to any of the organizations that are staging the demonstration identify with that organization. But what about those who are not affiliated, who are they identifying with? Swaab, Postmes, and Spears (2008) suggest that there are two theoretically distinct pathways to the formation of a sense of shared identity. The classic perspective on shared identities is that they are inferred deductively from the broader social context within which the group members act. A shared identity can thus be deduced through recognition of superordinate similarities such as membership of the same organization or occupying the same societal position. However, a sense of shared identity can also be induced by intragroup processes in which individuals get acquainted with one another on an interpersonal basis and form inductively a sense of shared identity. The authors present research results showing that both top-down and bottom-up processes lead to the formation of a sense of shared identity. The authors test their assumptions in the context of interaction 11 within and between small groups, but we presume that similar mechanisms are at work within the much larger collectives that populate street demonstrations. If this is feasible, we may find participants in a demonstration who deduce a collective identity in a top-down manner from their membership of an organization which is staging the demonstration next to participants who induce a collective identity in a bottom-up manner from their interaction with likeminded people at the demonstration. We propose that unaffiliated demonstrators adhere to the latter category and affiliated demonstrators to the former, which we expect to reflect in the fact that unaffiliated demonstrators identify stronger with the other participants, whereas affiliated demonstrators identify stronger with the organizers. We assume furthermore that top-down formation of politicized collective identity is more structured than bottom-up formation, as it is steered and controlled by organizations disseminating their view in a process of consensus mobilization. Bottom-up formation of politicized collective identity, on the other hand, is more a matter of consensus formation (Klandermans 1988), searching a common denominator—presumably to be found in the grievances people share. As top-down processes are by definition steered and controlled more than bottom-up processes, we also expect unaffiliated participants to have more heterogeneous collective identities than affiliated participants. Affiliation and motivation Next to identification Van Stekelenburg and Klandermans (2007) distinguish instrumental and ideological motives, and anger as parameters in a motivational framework for collective action participation. The model they propose integrates their own take with two other but similar social psychological approaches to collective action: Simon and colleagues’ model comprising instrumental and identity pathways to protest participation (Simon et al. 1998) and 12 Van Zomeren and colleagues’ model which combines instrumentality and emotions as determinants of collective action participation (Van Zomeren et al. 2004). Van Stekelenburg and Klandermans’ integrated model assumes that people participate in collective action because they want to promote or protect interests or principles. Identification processes occupy a central position in the model as it takes as its point of departure that some measure of collective identity is needed for people to share interests or principles with other members of society (see also van Stekelenburg, Klandermans and Van Dijk (2009). The authors presume that threatened interests feed instrumental motives while violated principles spur ideological motives, while anger amplifies and accelerates protest activity. The angrier people are the more they are motivated to take action and the more likely that their motivation is actually turned into action. The question that interests us here is whether in addition to mobilization and identification unaffiliated and affiliated participants differ in terms of motivation as well. The relationship between affiliation and motivation is more complicated than one would expect. In fact, there are two opposite arguments. On the one hand, one could argue that people who are member of an organization that is staging the demonstration display stronger motivation to take part in that demonstration than people who are not a member, especially if they identify strongly with that organization. On the other hand, mobilizing without organization is more likely to succeed among people who are highly motivated (Boekkooi 2012; Verhulst 2011). This would make one to expect unaffiliated participants to be more determined to participate than affiliated participants. Next to the strength of people’s motivation we also expected demonstrators to differ in terms of the configuration of motives. As a rule, movement organizations make an effort to disseminate their views and mobilize consensus among their members. The more members identify with the organization the more susceptible they are for such persuasive 13 communication (Van Stekelenburg and Klandermans 2012). Therefore, we expect the motivation of affiliated participants, especially of those who identify strongly with the organization to be more homogeneous than that of unaffiliated demonstrators. But there is more. We made a distinction between instrumental and ideological motives. Although organizers usually appeal to both motives at the same time, we take it for granted that the emphasis varies per demonstration. As a consequence, we expect affiliated participants in demonstrations that emphasize instrumental rather than ideological causes to be more instrumentally motivated, especially if they identify strongly with the organizers (Van Stekelenburg and Klandermans, under review). If, however, the organizers emphasize ideological causes more than instrumental we expect affiliated participants to be more ideologically motivated, again especially if they identify strongly with the organizers. Finally, we suppose that unaffiliated participants will be less influenced by the organizers’ appeals and thus will reveal more varied motives. In sum Some participants in collective action are member of an organization that stages the demonstration, while others are not. We wondered how being a member or not matters and hypothesized about the implication of being unaffiliated for processes of mobilization, identification, and motivation. A unique comparative study of 60 street demonstrations in seven different countries comprising 13.000 participants will serve to test our assumptions. We will show that demonstrations differ widely in terms of the affiliation of their participants to the organizers and we will show that being affiliated or not causes significant differences between participants in terms of mobilization, identification and motivation. 14 The CCC-projecti Caught in the Act of Protest: Contextualizing Contestation (CCC) is a comparative study of street demonstrations in 7 European countries (Belgium, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the U.K.). This paper is based on the 60 demonstrations that were covered between November 2009 and May 2012. Close to 13.000 participants completed questionnaires distributed during the demonstration. In addition, organizers and police officers were interviewed before and after the event; fact sheets on the course of events were completed and newspaper coverage was coded. All questionnaires and procedures are standardized. The same questions and indicators are employed in each country and for each demonstration. Sampling demonstrations Obviously, at the start of the project we did not know what to expect in terms of demonstrations. It was decided that between 2009 and 2012 each national team was to study between 8 and 12 demonstrations with at least 3.000 participants according to an agreed upon grid including events staged by new and old social movements, migrants and transnational protest events. But history overtook us, the financial-economic crisis burst onto stage. Each European government was taking austerity measures and each was confronted with protests (including street demonstrations) in opposition. As a consequence, a substantial proportion of the demonstrations covered are anti-austerity demonstrations. Next, we discussed at length in our team whether to cover ritual parades such as May Day Parades, Gay Prides, and Climate Day Marches. We decided to include those for three reasons. First, almost always—be it sometimes more, sometimes less—such parades have moments of politicization to it; second, we were curious to see in what respect such parades were different from modal street 15 demonstrations. Third, as such parades were staged in most countries they meant ideal opportunities to compare between countries. Next, our sample included a third category of demonstrations regarding a variety of socio-cultural issues such as anti-abortion, anti-racism, anti-nuclear energy, language and cultural issues. Appendix A gives an overview of the 60 demonstrations our analyses are based on. Table 1 contains the main demonstration categories we distinguished. Ritual Parades are further broken down into Women’s Marches, Peace Marches, Gay Prides, Climate Day Marches and May Day Parades. As half of the parades are May Day Parades, these types of parades dominate the global picture of the ritual parades. The anti-austerity protests concern particularistic claims by specific groups (mostly workers and students) in defense of their interests and universalistic claims against austerity measures and policies in general. The socio-cultural demonstrations were further categorized as demonstrations against nuclear energy mostly responding to the Fukushima disaster, Antiracism marches, Demonstrations against the political culture and for more democratic societies, an Anti-abortion demonstration and Demonstrations regarding regional issues. Each global category (parade, anti-austerity and socio-cultural issue) roughly contains one third of the demonstrations and demonstrators. Whether this is a representative sample of the demonstrations staged during the years 2009-2012 in the seven countries is difficult to say. Naturally, it is not a random sample. In some countries our sample was nearly all demonstrations that took place in the period our fieldwork lasted, in other it was a selection of the demonstrations staged. We kept track of the demonstrations that were not included but we did not see any systematic gap. On the whole, we think that our 60 demonstrations provide a fair picture of the dynamics of street demonstrations as we know them. 16 Collecting data and sampling participantsii The protest surveys employed printed questionnaires (500-1000) handed out at the demonstration to be returned to the university using prepaid envelopes. In order to control for response biases we also conducted short (2-3 minutes) interviews with a subsample of the respondents (100-200) at the demonstrations comprising questions identical to those in the printed questionnaire.iii The refusal rate for the face-to-face interviews is relatively low (10%). By comparing the answers in the face-to-face interviews with those to the identical questions in the returned questionnaires and by comparing the face-to-face interviews of those who returned their questionnaire with the interviews of those who did not, we can make fairly accurate estimates of the response bias. Overall 32% of the participants turned in their questionnaire. The response rate for the 60 demonstrations fluctuated between 13 and 52%. Comparison of those who did and did not return the questionnaire revealed that those who did return the questionnaire were on average somewhat older and higher educated than those who did not. Important for the current paper, respondents and non-respondents did not differ in terms of the affiliation to organizations that staged the demonstration. The analyses we conducted to assess whether the non-response could have resulted in biased findings and conclusions did not reveal any deviating outcomes. As for the sampling of participants, we designed a sampling strategy such that each participant had the same chance to be selected. Although circumstances inevitably necessitate variation we aimed to keep sampling procedures as identical as possible for the various demonstrations. A demonstration is covered by a team consisting of a fieldwork coordinator, 3-4 so called pointers, and 12-15 interviewers. Each pointer has a team of 4-5 interviewers. The pointers select the interviewees, while interviewers conduct the interviews and hand out the questionnaires. Separating these two roles appeared to be crucial in preventing sampling biases (Walgrave et al. 2012). As interviewers tend to select people they belief to be willing to 17 cooperate, they end up producing biased samples. The fieldwork coordinator oversees the employment of the pointer-interviewer teams. At the start of the event s/he makes an estimate of the number of participants. This defines the ratio at which participants are approached for interviews and to hand out questionnaires. In demonstrations that move through the streets teams start at different points of the procession and work towards each other approaching every n-th person in every n-th row. At demonstrations that stay at the same area, the space is divided into smaller areas; in each area a pointer selects interviewees taking the density of the crowd in that area into account. The result of all this is samples that we believe to be representative of the demonstrators present. Measuresiv Affiliation to organizers and embeddedness in organizational fields. We distinguished affiliation to organizations that staged the demonstration from embeddedness in broader organizational fields. As for affiliation to organizations we first asked respondents to name organizations that are staging the demonstration they were taking part in. Respondents who mentioned one or more organizations were asked whether they are a member of any of those organizations. As for embeddedness in multi-organizational fields we asked our respondents in how many organizations they have been actively involved during the past 12 months. Communication channels. We asked our respondents via which communication channels they found out about the demonstration. They could tick as many as applied of the following list: radio or television, newspapers, alternative online media, advertisements, flyers, and/or posters, partner and/or family, friends and/or acquaintances, people at one’s school or workplace, (Fellow)members of an organization or association, an organization’s (magazine, meeting, website, mailing list, etc. online social networks (e.g. facebook, twitter, etc.). Next we asked them which of these channels was the most important as a source of information. 18 Finally, we assessed if someone was specifically asked by some other person to take part in the demonstration (no-one, partner or family, relatives, friends, acquaintances, colleagues or fellow students, co-members of an organization they are a member of). They could again tick as many as applied. Decision time. We asked our respondents when they made a firm decision to take part in the demonstration (the day of the demonstration, a few days before the demonstration, a few weeks before the demonstration, over a month ago). Identification. We made a distinction between identification ‘with any organization staging the demonstration’ and identification ‘with the other people present at the demonstration’ (not at all, not very much, somewhat, quite, very much). The two forms of identification correlate (.48), but the pattern of correlations of the two with other variables are significantly different. Therefore, we treat them separately. Determination, motivation, and anger. We asked the participants how determined they were to participate in the demonstration (not very, rather, somewhat, quite, very much). In order to assess what motivated the participant to take part, we asked them to agree or disagree with reasons to participate. We offered them two reasons related to instrumentality: ‘defend my interest’ and ‘pressure politicians’ and two reasons reflecting ideology: ‘express my view’, and ‘raise public awareness’ (strongly disagree, disagree, neither, agree, strongly agree). The two instrumental reasons correlate .22; the two ideological .37. We collapsed the four into measures of instrumental and ideological motives (each ranging from 2 ‘not at all motivated’ to 10 ‘very much motivated.’ Finally, we asked participants whether they felt angry when they thought about the issue of the demonstration (not at all, not very much, somewhat, quite, very much). 19 Data processing The data were entered in the central data base by the national teams. They were checked centrally and corrected if needed by the national teams. For this paper our focal variable is affiliation to organizations staging the demonstration. We employ descriptive analyses, anova’s, manova’s, regression analyses, and structural equation modeling. As our sample of individuals is large small effects are significant, therefore we will apply additional power criteria and effect sizes. Results Affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators Fifty-one percent of the participants in the 60 demonstrations covered by our study was not affiliated to any of the organizations that were staging the demonstration; forty-nine percent was member of one or more of these organizations. The differences between the demonstrations are enormous, as depicted in Appendix A, which lists the proportion unaffiliated participants of all demonstrations included in our analyses. The 60 demonstrations vary widely in terms of affiliation of the participants to the organizers from 97.1% unaffiliated at a demonstration regarding the political impasse in Belgium (28) until 3.1% unaffiliated at an anti-austerity demonstration by workers in Brussels (4). Table 1 presents the proportions of the participants for the categories we distinguished. Almost half of the participants in the parades, one-third of those in the anti-austerity protests, and over twothirds of the demonstrations on socio-cultural issues were unaffiliated demonstrators. Table 1 20 Among these three types of demonstrations numbers of unaffiliated demonstrators vary: among the parades from a high of 67% for the Gay Pride to a low of 42% for May Day and Climate Marches; among the anti-austerity protests from 68% for the students to 26% for the workers; and among the demonstrations regarding socio cultural issues from 86% for the antiabortion demonstration to 46% for the anti nuclear energy demonstration. As labor unions play an important role as organizers of anti-austerity demonstrations many of the demonstrators in these protests are union members. Students as a category are much less organized as the figures in Table 1 evidence although one of the two student demonstration in London had a high proportion of affiliated demonstrators as well. Labor unions, social democratic and socialist parties play an important role in organizing May Day Parades. Next to the labor movement, the environmental movement ranks among the more densely organized movement sectors as revealed by the numbers for the Climate Marches and the Anti-nuclear energy demonstrations. The rest of the categories display similar degrees of organization (roughly one-third) with the exception of the demonstrations for more democracy and the anti-abortion demonstration which are predominantly populated by unaffiliated demonstrators. In this paper we are not aiming to explain the variance of affiliation between demonstrations, but to understand the impact of such variance on the social psychological dynamics of participation in street demonstrations. Embeddedness in organizational fields Are unaffiliated demonstrators also less involved in broader organizational fields? At first glance this seems to be the case, but more careful observation suggests a different story. Across all demonstrations affiliation correlates .27 with reported involvement in broader organizational fields. The correlations for the various types of demonstrations fluctuates from .20 for the peace and climate marches to .34/.35 for the May Day parades and the 21 demonstrations against racism and regarding regional issues; however, most fluctuations stay within a range from .23 to .28. This suggests that affiliation in the mobilizing structure is positively related to embeddedness in broader organizational fields. This is seemingly confirmed by the reported number of organizations people were actively involved in over the past 12 months. On average unaffiliated participants report to have been less involved in broader organizational fields the past year than participants who were affiliated to organizers’ network (Munaffiliated: 2.0; Sd 1.0 versus Maffiliated: 2.5; Sd 0.9). But there is a caveat. The difference between the two groups of demonstrators is smaller than one would expect had the difference been the affiliation to the organizers’ only. Taking that affiliation into account, unaffiliated demonstrators are in fact on average more rather than less embedded in broader organizational fields which may be one answer to the question of how they were mobilized. Mobilization A common finding with regard to affiliation to organizers concerns the effectiveness of the communication channels that are employed during mobilization campaigns. Weak ties, strong ties, interpersonal communication (whether or not via social media), impersonal media such as television or newspapers are all employed in campaigns to mobilize participants. Table 2 A presents the percentages of affiliated and unaffiliated participants who through a specific channel found out about the demonstration. Respondents could tick as many as apply. All channels forwarded in the questionnaire were used by smaller or larger proportions of the participants. In the third column the Gamma’s reflect the strength of the relation between affiliation and communication channels used. A negative Gamma signifies that a specific channel is mentioned more frequent by unaffiliated than affiliated demonstrators and a positive Gamma vice versa. 22 Table 2 The figures for the two groups are what we expected. Large proportions (83.2%) of the unaffiliated demonstrators mentioned open channels; while, on the other hand, 79.1% of the affiliated demonstrators mentioned closed channels. In response to our question which of the listed channels was most important, 65.4% of the affiliated participants mentioned a closed channel. The pattern of communication channels that were employed by the unaffiliated participants is far more diverse. 73.6% mentioned one of the following channels as the most important: radio, television, newspapers, and online media, friends, acquaintances, communication channels of an organization, and social media . As for the question by whom people were specifically asked to take part, the expected pattern emerged as well (Table 2B). Over 40% of the affiliated demonstrators were specifically asked by co-members of an organization compared to 10.9% of the unaffiliated; on the other hand, 38.1% of the unaffiliated demonstrators were specifically asked by a partner, family-member or friend against 19.4% of the affiliated demonstrators. For the analyses that follow we concentrate on the channels mentioned as the most important and collapsed the communication channels into the three categories mentioned in the theoretical introduction: open channels, that is mass media (radio, television, newspapers) and interpersonal channels (partner, family, friends, people at school or workplace, social media); semi-open channels (online media, advertisement, flyers, posters), and closed channels (fellow members of an organization, an organization’s magazine, website, mailing list, etc.). Table 3 presents the percentages of the affiliated and unaffiliated participants who employed these channels. Table 3 23 The two groups of participants differed clearly and in the expected manner in the communication channels they have used. 62.0 % of the affiliated demonstrators mentioned closed channels as the most important channel as opposed to 19.7% of the non-affiliated participants. On the other hand, 63.5 % of the unaffiliated demonstrators mentioned open channels as the most important source of information about the demonstration as compared to 28.3% of the affiliated participants. Semi-open channels were used primarily by 16.8% of the unaffiliated demonstrators and by 9.7% of the affiliated participants. Table 4 gives the breakdown for the types of demonstrations we discerned ritual parades, anti-austerity demonstrations, and socio-cultural demonstrations. Again the pattern is what one would expect in view of the proportions of unaffiliated participants in the three types of demonstrations. Almost half of the participants in the ritual parades and the anti-austerity demonstrations have used closed channels whereas almost 60% of the participants in the socio-cultural demonstrations has used open channels. Table 4 We hypothesized that the more distanced from the initial organizer a person is located, the longer it takes for mobilization attempts to arrive and, therefore, the longer it takes for a person to decide to take part in the event. Indeed, this is what Table 5 shows. Participants who are reached by closed channels are the first to decide, followed by those who are reached by semi-open channels. Those reached via open channels are the last to decide. This makes one expect that unaffiliated demonstrators have decided later to take part in a demonstration than affiliated. This is what we found indeed, as the lower half of Table 5 shows. Table 5 24 Identification We assessed two types of identification: ‘identification with any organization staging the demonstration’ and ‘identification with the other people present at the demonstration’ and presumed that the former type of identification is formed deductively in a top-down process and the latter inductively in a bottom-up process. We hypothesized that affiliated participants would be more likely to identify with the organizers, while unaffiliated participants would more likely identify with the other participants. The two forms of identification are correlated (Pearson r = .48), a correlation that varies for the various types of demonstrations between .28 for the peace march and .64 for the gay pride. The remaining correlations fluctuate between .42 and .59. Therefore, it is safe to say that the two forms of identifications go together. Nonetheless, Table 6 reveals significant differences between participants who are affiliated to the organizers and participants who are not and between the types of demonstrations. Table 6 The table contains means and standard deviations of the two forms of identification for affiliated and unaffiliated participants in the various types of demonstrations. In addition, we calculated a mean difference score by deducing identification with the organizers from identification with the other participants. The findings are interesting and theoretically significant. First, the global pattern: affiliated participants identify stronger than unaffiliated participants with both the organizers and the other participants. Among the affiliated demonstrators the level of identification with the organizers is slightly higher than that with the other participants. Indeed, the difference score is negative suggesting that as expected affiliated demonstrators identify more with the organizers that the other participants. But the difference is small. This pattern repeats itself for the different types of demonstrations. On the 25 whole, the levels of identification among affiliated demonstrators are high (4.2 and 4.3 on a 5point scale) both with organizers and with other participants. A very different pattern we encounter among the unaffiliated participants. As we hypothesized, their identification with the organizers is much lower than that of the affiliated participants—around one full scale point on the 5-point scale. Theoretically important and hypothesized as well, their identification with the other participants is much higher than their identification with the organizers. The difference scores underline this finding. We did expect this pattern as a consequence of the fact that unaffiliated demonstrators supposedly form a shared identity inductively, rather than deductively. This pattern holds for the various types of demonstrations Equally important in view of the pathways to shared identity is the fact that the standard deviations of both identification with the organizers and identification with the other participants are higher for the unaffiliated participants.v This is, of course, what we expected. As the collective identity of the unaffiliated demonstrators is formed in a bottom-up manner we expected those to be more heterogeneous than that of the affiliated demonstrators. Next, a few more detailed observations. On average and compared to those taking part in the ritual parades (3.9) and the anti-austerity demonstrations (3.8), unaffiliated participants in demonstrations regarding socio-cultural issues display a high level of identification with other participants (4.0). A finding which fits with the low levels of affiliation to the organizers observed for these demonstrators. The lowest level of identification with the organizers we found among the unaffiliated participants in anti-austerity demonstrations (3.1 compared to 3.5 for the parades and socio cultural issues protest). This is partly due to the student demonstrations. Two of the four student demonstrations had low levels of affiliation in combination with very low levels of identification with the organizers among the unaffiliated participants. On the other hand, many anti-austerity demonstrations were staged by labor 26 unions. Large proportions of the participants in these demonstrations were union members. We may assume that workers who are not member of a union do not identify with the organizers. After all, had they identified strongly with the union they would have been a member. As a result, these unaffiliated participants display low levels of identification with the organizers, but high levels of identification with other participants compensating for it. Summing up, as expected unaffiliated demonstrators have more heterogeneous identities than affiliated demonstrators. Expected as well, are the findings that unaffiliated demonstrators identify primarily with the other participants, while affiliated demonstrators identified more with the organizers than the other participants, although the differences are small for the latter. Motivation Table 7 gives the means and standard deviations of the four measures concerning our motivational framework for unaffiliated and affiliated demonstrators. As one would expect of participants, all means are fairly high, both for the affiliated and the unaffiliated demonstrators. Yet, affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators differ systematically on all accounts: unaffiliated demonstrators are less motivated both instrumentally and ideologically, they are less angry and less determined to take part than affiliated demonstrators. This confirms our expectation that unaffiliated demonstrators are to a lesser extent persuaded by the organizers’ rhetoric than affiliated demonstrators. But the differences are small and all means are at the upper end of the scale. Obviously, it did not keep the unaffiliated away from the demonstration. Apparently, sufficient motivation ensures that also unaffiliated people turn into participants. Table 7 27 Our assumption regarding the heterogeneity of the motives of the unaffiliated demonstrators is confirmed as well. With anger as the only exception all measures had higher standard deviation for the unaffiliated demonstrators confirming that they formed a more heterogeneous crowd than the affiliated demonstrators.vi Table 8 breaks the motives down across parades, anti-austerity demonstrations, and soci-cultural demonstrations. The figures are interesting in several respects. First, the two findings reported for all demonstrations in Table 7 are repeated for the three types of demonstrations: unaffiliated demonstrators are less motivated than affiliated demonstrators, but again it is variation at the high end of the scale; also the standard deviations among unaffiliated demonstrators are higher than those of the affiliated participants evidencing more heterogeneity among the unaffiliated demonstrators. Table 8 But there is more to observe. Participants in parades are the least instrumentally motivated of the three types of demonstrators, especially the unaffiliated demonstrators. Obviously, parades are about ideology and less about interests. Anti-austerity protests, on the other hand, are the most instrumentally oriented, especially for the affiliated demonstrators. That makes of course sense; these are the people whose interests are threatened by the imminent austerity measures. Participants in the socio-cultural demonstrations are the most ideological motivated, especially the affiliated participants. In order to further explore the motivational dynamics among affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators we conducted regression analyses first and structural equation modeling next. Table 9 reports results from an analysis in which people’s determination to participate in the demonstration is regressed on affiliation, identification, motives and anger and the interaction terms of affiliation and the other independent variablesvii. Model 1 once more shows that 28 affiliated demonstrators were more determined to participate in the demonstration than unaffiliated demonstrators. Model 2 reveals that the determination of participants is very much influenced by identification with the organizers and especially the other participants. The lowering of the beta for affiliation indicates that identification mediates the impact of affiliation. In separate steps (not reported) we entered the types of identification separately alternating the order in which the two were entered in the equation. It appears that the impact of affiliation is mediated especially by identification with the organizers. Model 3 reveals that ideological motives are more of influence on people’s determination to participate than instrumental motives. Entering the two motives reduces the effect of both identification variables, implying that the impact of identification is mediated by the two motives as van Stekelenburg and Klandermans’ integrated model suggests indeed. Entering anger in the equation does not change the other beta’s, suggesting that anger has an independent influence on the determination to participate (Model 4). In Model 5 the interaction terms are entered in the equation. As we hypothesized, the more unaffiliated demonstrators identify with the other participants the more determined they were to participate; in contrast the affiliated demonstrators, were more determined to participate if they identified with the organizers; also, unaffiliated demonstrators are more than affiliated demonstrators ideologically motivated. Unexpectedly, the determination to participate of affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators is equally affected by instrumental motivation. We come back to this in the report on the Structural Equation Modeling. The regression analysis demonstrated main effects of being affiliated, identification, motivation, anger, and of interactions of affiliation and these variables on the determination to participate. The various models also revealed how identification mediated the impact of affiliation and how the instrumental and ideological motives mediated the impact of identification. Anger appeared to have an independent influence on determination. In our 29 discussion of the impact of affiliation on motivation we conceived of diverging path models built of identification, instrumental and ideological motivation, and anger influencing people’s determination to participate for affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators. In a final step, we will test these path models by means of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). We assessed how being affiliated to the organizers or not moderates the influence of identification, motivation and anger on people’s determination to participate. The two models in Figure 1 fit the data well (Affiliated model: 2=91,58, df 3, CFI .982, NFI .982, RMSEA .071; Unaffiliated model: 2=229,46, df 4, CFI .961, NFI .961 RMSEA .097). Figure 1 Anger made both affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators more determined to participate. For both types of demonstrators anger was driven by instrumental and ideological motives. However, affiliated participants were more driven by instrumental motives than unaffiliated participants, while unaffiliated participants were more driven by ideological motives than affiliated participants. Note that the effect of instrumental motivation is only indirect via anger, instrumental motives do not directly affect people’s determination to participate. This explains why the interaction between affiliation and instrumental motivation was not significant. SEMhowever, does reveal that instrumental motives makes affiliated demonstrators angrier than unaffiliated demonstrators. This replicates the findings of Van Stekelenburg et al, 2009 that instrumental motives only indirectly impact on determination and, in the context of this study perhaps more important, it indicates that instrumental motives are indeed more important for affiliated than unaffiliated individuals. The direct path from identification with the other participants to determination to participate is stronger for unaffiliated participants than for affiliated, while the direct path from identification with the organizers is even non-significant among the unaffiliated. The link between the two 30 identification measures and the two motivation measures are similar for the two groups with one important exception: among affiliated demonstrators identification with the organizers steers identification with the other participants, while among the unaffiliated demonstrators the pattern is the other way around—identification with the other participants steers identification with the organizers. Other than that, the two forms of identification strengthen ideological motivation, while only identification with the organizers strengthens instrumental motives. Finally, via a strong link ideological motives relate to instrumental motives. All in all, identification with the other participants and ideological motivation are the drivers of both groups of participants but more of the unaffiliated demonstrators than of the affiliated. The affiliated, on the other hand, are also motivated by identification with the organizers and instrumental motives. Conclusions The literature on collective action participation amply documents how being affiliated to the organizers fosters collective action participation. However, in every instance of collective action we encounter next to participants who are affiliated to the organizers participants who are not. This raise the questions of how do these unaffiliated participants become involved in the event and whether their involvement differs from that of affiliated participants. Exploiting the data of a unique study of participants in 60 street demonstrations in seven European countries we have tried to answer these questions. How were unaffiliated demonstrators mobilized, who did they identify with, and what did motivate them to participate? The first and perhaps most amazing finding is the tremendous variation in the proportion of unaffiliated demonstrators across the demonstrations. The 60 demonstrations this paper is based on span the whole spectrum from hardly anybody who is unaffiliated to almost everybody. As 31 comparative studies of street demonstrations of the scope of ours did not exist before, we did not know what to expect in this respect but apparently any possible number of unaffiliated demonstrators goes. In this paper we have tried to understand the differential social psychological dynamics of participation for affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators. We focused on the processes of mobilization, identification, and motivation. Each of these processes evolves differentially for affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators. To begin with mobilization, affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators were reached via different channels. Unlike affiliated demonstrators, who were primarily reached through closed channels, unaffiliated demonstrators were reached via open channels and to a lesser extent via semi-open channels. As a consequence, they were reached later than affiliated demonstrators and therefore were at a later point in time decided to take part in the demonstration. These findings replicate Boekkooi’s study which similarly reports that the timing of the decision to participate is related to the social distance between the core organizers and the individual participants (2012). This is now replicated in a much larger sample of demonstrations and demonstrators, adding to the robustness of this finding. Regarding identification we referred to a social psychological approach to identity formation that distinguished a top-down pathway and a bottom-up pathway to shared identity (Swaab et al. 2008). We transposed the small-group phenomenon Swaab and colleagues conceived of to the larger scale of collectivities encountered in street demonstrations. In that setting the two paths are akin to the processes of consensus mobilization and consensus formation Klandermans distinguished (1988). The first, top-down process presumes organizations that disseminate their view and build a politicized collective identity relying on people’s membership of the same organization; the second, bottom-up process presumes interpersonal interaction in which a politicized collective identity is formed in a much more 32 diffuse search for common denominators. The patterns of identification were clearly different for affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators. First, and in line with the top-down versus bottom-up mechanisms of identity formation, our findings suggest that the collective identity of the affiliated demonstrators is more homogeneous than that of the unaffiliated. Furthermore and as expected, affiliated demonstrators identified more with the organizers than with the other participants, but the differences were small although significant. Unaffiliated participants, on the other hand and also expected, identified much more with the other participants than with the organizers. The motivational configuration of the two types of participants varied as well. We employed the motivational framework developed by van Stekelenburg and Klandermans (2007), consisting of identification, instrumental and ideological motivation, and anger as the drivers of participation. We assumed that affiliation would work as a moderator, which indeed it did. In the first place, unaffiliated demonstrators were lower than affiliated demonstrators on all accounts: identification with the organizers, identification with the other participants, instrumental and ideological motivation, anger and determination to participate in the demonstration. Interestingly, the effect of affiliation on determination to participate was predominantly mediated by the identification with the organizers. In addition, unaffiliated demonstrators were more heterogeneous in terms of motivation than affiliated demonstrators. Moreover, unaffiliated demonstrators’ motivation was weaker than that of affiliated demonstrators. This holds both for the instrumental and ideological motivation, and for how determined they were to participate. Anger is the only motivational factor that is almost the same for the affiliated and unaffiliated participants. The assumption that unaffiliated participants would display stronger motivation than affiliated as mobilization without organization requires stronger intrinsic motivation (Walgrave and Manssens 2000; Boekkooi 2012) to be successful was not affirmed. Apparently, socialization by the mobilizing 33 organization weighs more than compensation for the lack of strong ties. We assumed that unaffiliated demonstrators would be more ideologically motivated, and the affiliated more instrumental. This did not show in a comparison of the means, but it did in regressions of determination on identification and motivation and in the structural equations modeling. Among both affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators ideological motivation influenced determination more than instrumental motivation, but for the unaffiliated the effects were stronger than for the affiliated. In sum, our model of how dynamics of participation vary due to differences in affiliation appears to hold across the 60 demonstrations included in our analysis. Our findings regarding the relationship between identification, motivation and emotions replicate findings reported by van Stekelenburg et al. (2009, 2011), but while their study comprises two demonstrations in a single country only, ours encompasses 60 demonstrations in seven different countries underscoring the robustness of the findings. We made a distinction between ritual parades, anti-austerity demonstrations, and demonstrations regarding socio-cultural issues. The affiliated-unaffiliated ratio differed significantly between these three types of demonstrations. As a consequence, the dynamics of mobilization, identification and motivation of the demonstrations differed as well. As they had much higher proportions of affiliated participants than the socio-cultural demonstrations, parades and anti-austerity demonstrations could rely more on closed channels. Socio-cultural demonstration on the other hand had to rely much more on open channels. In terms of identification we found only moderate differences among the affiliated demonstrators in the various demonstrations. However, among the unaffiliated demonstrators identification patterns differed substantially between the three types of demonstrations. As for the motivational configuration we found significant and meaningful differences between the three types of demonstrations as well. Parades appear to be about ideology rather than instrumentality. For obvious reasons anti-austerity demonstrations are about instrumentality. 34 These demonstrators want to stop the austerity plans which threaten their interests. Demonstrations about socio-cultural issues are again about ideology. All this is not to say that instrumental motivation is irrelevant. In fact, although ideological motivation is the most important for each type of demonstration for both affiliated and unaffiliated participants, even the lowest level of instrumental motivation is still substantial. Indeed, both instrumental and ideological motivations are always relevant but the mixture varies across affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators and demonstrations. Some organizers happen to mobilize densely organized mobilization potentials, while others try to mobilize potentials that are hardly organized. Mobilizing densely organized mobilization potential requires other mechanisms than mobilizing a scarcely organized potential. One can rely on organizational channels which are faster. Although much depends, of course, on the coalition one has been able to forge (Boekkooi 2012). Semi-open and open channels are more difficult to control. Mobilizing scarcely organized potentials implies that one must calculate with strong identification with other participants and weaker identification with organizers. This implies a process of collective identity formation which is bottom-up rather than top-down. The result will be that collective identity is more heterogeneous. Mobilizing scarcely organized potentials will also make motivation more heterogeneous, less instrumental, and more ideological. As unique as it may be, our study has limitations as well. First, we would have loved to have more countries involved. But our funding institution the European Science Foundation (ESF) only subsidizes research in countries affiliated to the ESF. While Italy managed to secure the funds to join otherwise, we failed to do the same for countries like France, Germany, or the U.S. Furthermore, although we did whatever we could to design proper sampling procedures, random sampling of street demonstrations is just impossible. Similarly, we did our utmost to develop sampling procedures that give every single participant an equal 35 chance to be selected. Yet, even the best organized street demonstration is too chaotic to draw perfect samples. Less than ideal return rates are yet another source of additional biases. But, we applied all kinds of tests and procedures to estimate the possible bias resulting from it (Walgrave, et al. 2012). Altogether, we feel that the potential biases stay within acceptable limits. A second limitation concerns causality. As everything is correlational we are not able to formulate and test strict causal reasoning. Nonetheless, we do think that the data we have collected are of unquestionable value because of their scope, their comparative character and because of the rigorous standardization. What does this paper contribute to our knowledge? First and foremost the recognition that the demonstration does not exist. We tend to treat demonstrations as a univocal phenomenon, but our study shows that they are not. We put one of the factors that vary centre stage namely that each collective action includes participants who are affiliated to the organizers and participants who are not. As far as affiliated demonstrators are concerned our findings basically replicate the existing knowledge, which underscores the validity of our results. The contribution to our knowledge regards the unaffiliated demonstrators and our understanding of what drives their participation. We reasoned and actually demonstrated that the relative prominence of affiliated and unaffiliated participants has profound consequences for the social psychological dynamics of participation, be it mobilization, identification or motivation. It is not always foreseeable what the circumstances will be like. A movement’s mobilization potential may be densely or scarcely organized, an organizer may fail to co-opt key-organizations. Obviously, a mismatch, that is to say a mobilization campaign that miscalculates the proportion of affiliated and unaffiliated would-be participants in the mobilization potential might fail as it probably employs the wrong mix of mobilization techniques. In terms of research it is important to know whether participants are affiliated or unaffiliated and what is the affiliated-unaffiliated ratio as this may explain the observed 36 dynamics of participation. In a recent paper Bennett and Segerberg (2012) theoretically distinguish what they call collective and connective action. The authors define collective action as staged by organizationally brokered networks and connective action as staged by organizationally enabled networks or self organizing networks. Their distinction is akin to what we discern in terms of the proportion of affiliated and unaffiliated demonstrators. Collective action in our framework encompasses large numbers of affiliated demonstrators, while connective action comprises large numbers of unaffiliated demonstrators. Future research could combine the two theoretical frameworks into a seminal approach. 37 References Aarts, Cees W.A.M. 1990. Bodemverontreiniging en collectieve actie. 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Evidence from fifty one protest events in seven countries.” Under review. 42 Tables Table 1 Unaffiliated demonstrators per type of demonstrations Unaffiliated # demos # part. demonstrators All 51% 60 12681 Ritual parade May Day Climate Gay Women Peace 47% 42% 42% 67% 61% 64% 22 12 5 1 3 1 4152 1708 1449 197 534 264 Anti-austerity Universalistic Students Workers 34% 33% 68% 26% 20 5 4 11 3969 866 686 2417 Socio-cultural Issues Anti nuclear energy Anti racism Democracy Anti abortion Regional issue 68% 46% 69% 84% 86% 68% 18 5 4 5 1 3 4560 1235 678 1411 301 934 43 Table 2 Communication channels by affiliation (percentages and Gamma’s) Affiliated Unaffiliated Gamma % % Panel A Open channels Radio/television 15.7 23.5 -.25 Newspapers 23.6 30.0 -.16 Online social networks (e.g. facebook, twitter) 16.2 26.9 -.31 Partner, family 9.4 18.2 -.36 Friends, acquaintances 19.5 35.8 -.40 People at school or workplace 17.1 13.4 .14 Semi-open channels Online media 19.6 26.4 -.19 Advertisements, flyers, posters 26.2 22.4 .10 Closed channels (Fellow) members of organization, association 50.9 15.8 .69 An organization’s magazine, meeting, website, mailing list, etc. 51.1 23.3 .55 Panel B No-one 28.3 35.8 -.17 Partner, family 8.6 16.1 -.34 Relatives 2.6 4.8 -.27 Friends, 12.9 25.8 -.40 Acquaintances 6.0 6.8 -.07ns Colleagues or fellow students 15.3 11.1 .18 (Fellow) members of organization, association 43.6 10.9 .73 44 Table 3 Affiliation and communication channels employed (percentages) Affiliated Unaffiliated Gamma Open channels 28.3 63.5 -.63 Semi-open channels 9.7 16.8 -.31 Closed channels 62.0 19.7 .74 Table 4 Demonstrations and communication channels (percentages) Open Semi-open Closed Ritual parade 40.0 12.9 47.1 Anti-austerity 38.5 11.6 49.9 Socio-cultural 59.5 15.0 25.5 Total 3519 3278 4096 Table 5 Decision time by communication channels and affiliation1 Communication channels Open channels 2.6 (1.0) Semi-open channels 2.8 (1.0) Closed channels 3.1 (0.9) Affiliation Affiliated demonstrators 3.1 (0.9) Unaffiliated demonstrators 2.6 (1.0) 1 on a scale from 1 ‘the day of the demonstration’ to 4 ‘over a month ago’ 45 Table 6 Patterns of identification by affiliation: Means and standard deviations1 Affiliated Unaffiliated Identificatio n w. organizers 4.3 (0.8) Identificatio n w. other participants 4.2 (0.8) Difference s Ritual parade May Day Climate Gay Women Peace 4.3 (0.8) Antiausterity All Universalisti c Students Workers Sociocultural Issues Antinuclear energy Antiracism Identificatio n w. other participants 3.9 (0.9) Difference s -.06 (0.9) Identificatio n w. organizers 3.4 (1.1) 4.2 (0.8) -.08 (0.8) 3.5 (1.0) 3.9 (0.9) .37 (1.0) 4.3 (0.8) 4.3 (0.8) 4.0 (0.9) 4.4 (0.7) 4.1 (0.9) 4.2 (0.8) 4.2 (0.8) 4.2 (0.8) 4.4 (0.6) 4.2 (0.8) -.10 (0.8) -.13 (0.8) .15 (0.8) .03 (0.7) .13 (1.1) 3.4 (1.0) 3.6 (1.0) 3.2 (1.1) 3.6 (1.1 3.7 (1.0) 3.7 (0.9) 3.8 (0.9) 3.8 (0.9) 4.2 (0.8) 4.1 (0.7) .36 (1.0) .25 (0.9) .55 (0.9) .54 (1.0) .37 (1.0) 4.2 (0.9) 4.2 (0.8) -.00 (0.9) 3.1 (1.1) 3.8 (0.9) .76 (1.1) 4.2 (0.8) 4.2 (0.7) .01 (0.8) 3.1 (1.1) 4.0 (0.7) .93 (1.0) 4.0 (1.0) 4.2 (0.9) 4.1 (0.9) 4.2 (0.9) .05 (1.1) -.01 (0.9) 3.0 (1.1) 3.2 (1.1) 3.7 (1.0) 3.9 (1.0) .77 (1.1) .66 (1.1) 4.3 (0.8) 4.2 (0.8) -.12 (0.8) 3.5 (1.0) 4.0 (0.9) .48 (1.1) 4.2 (0.9) 4.0 (0.8) -.22 (0.9) 3.4 (1.1) 3.7 (0.9) .29 (1.0) 4.4 (0.8) 4.5 (0.7) .08 (0.7) 3.4 (1.1) 3.9 (0.9) .51 (1.0) .51 (1.1) 4.4 (0.7) 4.1 (0.8) -.25 (0.8) 3.4 (1.1) 3.9 (0.9) .54 (1.1) Democracy Anti4.3 (0.8) 4.5 (0.8) .17 (0.7) 3.9 (0.9) 4.3 (0.7) .34 (0.8) abortion Regional 4.4 (0.8) 4.4 (0.7) .03 (0.8) 3.7 (1.1) 4.2 (0.7) .56 (1.0) issue 1 on a scale from 1 ‘not at all’ to 5 ‘very much’ Standard deviations among unaffiliated demonstrators are significantly larger (Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances) except for peace marches, universalistic anti-austerity demonstrations, anti-abortion demonstrations, and regional issues demonstrations as far as identification with other participants is concerned. 46 Table 6 Patterns of identification by affiliation: Means and standard deviations1 Affiliated Unaffiliated All Identification Identification Differences Identification Identification Differences w. organizers w. other w. organizers w. other participants participants 4.3 (0.8) 4.2 (0.8) -.06 (0.9) 3.4 (1.1) 3.9 (0.9) .51 (1.1) Ritual 4.3 (0.8) 4.2 (0.8) -.08 (0.8) 3.5 (1.0) 3.9 (0.9) .37 (1.0) parade Anti4.2 (0.9) 4.2 (0.8) -.00 (0.9) 3.1 (1.1) 3.8 (0.9) .76 (1.1) austerity Socio4.3 (0.8) 4.2 (0.8) -.12 (0.8) 3.5 (1.0) 4.0 (0.9) .48 (1.1) cultural Issues 1 on a scale from 1 ‘not at all’ to 5 ‘very much’ Standard deviations among unaffiliated demonstrators are significantly larger (Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances) except for peace marches, universalistic anti-austerity demonstrations, anti-abortion demonstrations, and regional issues demonstrations as far as identification with other participants is concerned. 47 Table 7 Motivation by affiliation: Means and standard deviations Affiliated Unaffiliated Instrumentality1 8.3 (1.5) 7.9 (1.8) 1 Ideology 8.9 (1.4) 8.6 (1.6) Anger2 4.3 (1.0) 4.2 (1.0) 3 Determination 4.6 (0.8) 4.3 (0.9) 1 on a scale from 2 ‘not at all’ to 10 ‘very much’; 2on a scale from 1 ‘not at all’ to 5 ‘very much’; 3 on a scale from 1 ‘not very’ to 5 ‘very much’. Except for anger standard deviations among unaffiliated demonstrators are significantly larger (Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances) Table 8 Motivation by type of demonstration and affiliation: Means and standard deviations Parades Anti-austerity Socio-cultural demonstrations demonstrations Affiliated Unaffiliated Affiliated Unaffiliated Affiliated Unaffiliated 1 Instrumentality 7.9 (1.8) 7.4 (1.9) 8.6 (1.5) 8.1 (1.8) 8.4 (1.6) 8.2 (1.7) Ideology1 8.8 (1.4) 8.6 (1.7) 8.8 (1.4) 8.3 (1.7) 9.1 (1.2) 8.8 (1.3) 2 Anger 4.2 (1.0) 4.2 (1.0) 4.3 (1.0) 4.1 (1.1) 4.3 (1.0) 4.2 (1.0) Determination3 4.6 (0.7) 4.3 (0.9) 4.6 (0.7) 4.3 (0.9) 4.6 (0.7) 4.4 (0.8) 1 2 on a scale from 2 ‘not at all’ to 10 ‘very much’; on a scale from 1 ‘not at all’ to 5 ‘very much’; 3 on a scale from 1 ‘not very’ to 5 ‘very much’. Except for anger standard deviations among unaffiliated demonstrators are significantly larger (Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances) Table 9 Difference scores of instrumental and ideological motivation: Means and standard deviations Parade Anti-austerity Socio-cultural issues Affiliated .91 (1.6) .15 (1.5) .70 (1.6) Unaffiliated 1.12 (1.7) .17 (1.8) .68 (1.7) Table 9 Regression of determination on affiliation, identification, motivation and anger: Standardized beta’s Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Affiliation .18** .07** .07** .07** .07** Identification w. organizers .16** .12** .12** .12** Identification w. participants .27** .18** .16** .16** Ideology .21** .19** .19** Instrumentality .12** .10** .10** Anger .12** .12** Affiliation X Identification w. organizers .01 Affiliation X Identification w. participants -.03* Affiliation X Ideology -.05** Affiliation X Instrumentality .00 Affiliation X Anger -.00 2 .03 .16 .23 .24 .24 R 48 Figures .00 (ns) .07 * Identification organizers .55* Instrumental motives .13* 11* .20* Identification participants Identity .13* .44* Anger .12* Determination .14* .19* Ideological motives .27 * .17 * Figure 1a Path model of determination for affiliated demonstrators (* = p <.001) .00 (ns) .10 * Instrumental motives Identification organizers .00 (ns) 15* .45* Identification participants Identity .27 * .15* .10* .43* Anger .14* Determination .24* .23* Ideological motives .27 * Figure 1b Path model of determination for unaffiliated demonstrators 49 Endnotes i A detailed description of the project and its tools can be found in the project-manual (Klandermans et al. 2011). The manual is available on request; see the project website (www.protestsurvey.eu ). See also Van Stekelenburg et al. (2012). ii See Walgrave et al. 2012, for an extensive discussion of the various biases resulting from sampling and non-response. iii The measures included were: decision time, affiliation to organizations that stage the demonstration, political interest, satisfaction with democracy, participation in demonstrations in the past, sexe, age, and education. iv We applied translation-backtranslation to assure that the questions were identical in the various languages.The English version of the questionnaire can be found in the project’s manual. v We conducted Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances. vi We conducted Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances. vii While all variables in this analysis are on the micro-level, and we don’t have assumptions about aggregated or disaggregated variables, there is not a methodological urgency to perform multilevel analyses. But since the data are hierarchical nested (demonstrators within demonstrations within countries), we did perform multilevel analyses to control for this nested structure (results available on request). The effect sizes are somewhat smaller compared to the OLS regression analyses (as expected), but the results all point in the same direction.