First Quiz ‘’As has so often been the case in political science, the emergence of a new subject area [International Political Economy] was a reponse both to real world changes and to trends in theorizing within and outside the discipline.’’ (Ravenhill,2011,19) Discuss Duration : 40 Minutes Week 5 Cooperation and Conflict in the Global Political Economy Lecture Plan • Globalization & the Need for International Cooperation • Game Theoretic Approach – The Prisoners’ Dilemma – The Stag Hunt – Battle of the Sexes • Solutions for Cooperation • The Formation of Institutions • Institutional Design Globalization • Global interdependence, or mutual dependence, arises when there are costly effects or high benefits to interaction among states • With increasing interdependence, questions of collaboration and coordination become increasingly important Cooperation vs. Collaboration vs. Coordination (J.L.Stoner,2013) Collaboration: Working together to create something new in support of a shared vision. The key points are that is is not an individual effort, something new is created, and that the glue is the shared vision. Coordination: Sharing information and resources so that each party can accomplish their part in support of a mutual objective. It is about teamwork in implementation. Not creating something new. Cooperation: Individuals exchange relevant information and resources in support of each other’s goals, rather than a shared goal. Something new may be achieved as a result, but it arises from the individual, not from a collective team effort. The Need for Intl Cooperation (1) • There are economic benefits to the integration of world markets but the domestic cost of adjustment can be an obstacle or opposition to global integration – Challenges of • Free Riding • Overcoming Uncertainty/Fear • Bargaining over Distribution vs.absolute gains) of Gains (relative The Need for Intl Cooperation (2) • Governments may be tempted to free ride, or adopt protectionist policies, depending on – Domestic protectionist lobby pressures – Flexibility of economy to adjust (i.e.labour market) • Governments may experience “inhibiting fear” – economic liberalization may lead to economic instability and subsequently political instability The Need for Intl Cooperation (3) • Coordination is required to negotiate the distribution of gains and losses from international cooperation (the “where to meet” problem) • The type of good (private vs public vs inclusive club) will also shape the challenges in cooperating Game Theoretic Approach • Useful analytical tool to examine interdependent decision-making • Typical problems of international cooperation can be modeled by different “games” • “Games” describe – Choices available to actors/players – Actors’ evaluations of potential outcomes – Information actors have when they make choices • Many types of games are utilized (Prisoner Dilemma, Stag Hunt , Battle of Sexes, Mixed Situations) ‘Free Riding Temptation’ : The Prisoner’s Dilemma (1) – (Note:most preferred is 4 ) The Nash Equilibrium • An outcome in which none of the players can improve his or her situation by changing their individual strategy. • Only if both switch their strategy together, both players will secure a better outcome. (optimal situation) • However, this collectively (Pareto) optimal situation is unstable because each actor can improve his or her own situation by individually shifting strategy. Pareto-Optimal • Outcomes where no actor can be better off without making others worse off. • In Pareto-deficient situations, other outcomes could increase some actors’ welfare without decreasing that of others. The Prisoner’s Dilemma (2) • Key point: actors face a structure of interaction that prevents them from reaching a cooperative solution even though such a solution would be optimal for all actors • IPE examples: – Reciprocal trade liberalization (particularly applies to large economies) – Collective management of resources (i.e.OPEC) Stag Hunt The Stag Hunt (1) The Stag Hunt (2) • Key point: actors share a single most-preferred outcome but have difficulty in reaching such an outcome due to the anticipation of possible mistake or unintentional move by other actors • IPE example: – Financial globalization ( fear of potential policy mistake of an individual country that might cause global destabilization) Battle of the Sexes (1) Battle of the Sexes (2) • Key point: there are two equilibrium outcomes that are Pareto-superior to other outcomes. Coordination is required in order to reach either outcome • IPE example: – International coordination of macroeconomic policies (i.e. efforts of developing countries to choose mutually compatible macroeconomic policies) – Choice of international monetary system (the US & GB in 1940s; Eurozone; China-Russia alternative currency) To be continued after the break Cooperation may not arise or fail due to: – Actors’ incentives to cheat – Actors’ sensitivities to distribution issues – Lack of confidence in the other actor’s behaviour Solutions for Cooperation (1) • Repeated games/interactions may increase chances of individual actors cooperating – May be undermined by • Low expected net value of cooperation • High expected costs of defection by others • Difficulty in gathering information Solutions for Cooperation (2) • Institution or regimes for cooperation – Consists of • Principles and norms • Rules and procedures – 3 major functions • A channel for the enforcement of agreements (targets uncertainty problem) • Help states craft and choose among different responses (targets distribution problem) • Facilitates cooperative behaviour (targets assurance problem) 5 Approaches on Formation/Evolution of Institutions 1) Neo-realism 2) Neo-realist institutionalism 3) Neo-liberal institutionalism 4) Cognitivism 5) Radical Constructivism The Formation of Institutions (1) • Neo-realists ( Waltz, Mearsheimer) – Regimes and international institutions have no significant role in international relations – Collaboration only sustainable if states highly value future interactions, have symmetric resources and are highly interdependent The Formation of Institutions (2) • Neo-realist Institutionalists (Kindleberger, Gilpin,Krasner) – Institutions have distributional consequences – Institutions can help control actors’ behaviour – Role of hegemonic powers in the development of institutions – Overemphasize tensions arising from the differences in the distribution of benefits between actors – Downplay the possibility that actors might prioritize absolute over relative gains The Formation of Institutions (3) • Neo-liberal Institutionalists (J.Nye, Keohane) – Institutions can lower costs of choosing, organizing, negotiating and entering into an agreement – Actors create institutions because they are useful – Existing institutions may constrain future institutional developments The Formation of Institutions (4) • Cognitivists (E.Haas) – Emphasize the role of expert consensus and the interplay of experts and politicians – New knowledge and cognitive understandings may affect the calculation of interests • Radical constructivists (A.Wendt) – Norms and values are dominant causal forces – Institutions can alter how actors conceive their basic interests and thus constrain their behaviour Social act on the international stage: Each actor’s perception is an interpretation about others intention Institutional Design (1) • Institutions can be characterized by: – Membership – Stringency of rules – Scope – Extent of delegation of power from member states to institutional bodies – Centralization of tasks within the institution Institutional Design (2) • Variation of institutional design along these dimensions affected by: – Type of problems that institutions should address – Potential participants (the number of these actors, their relative power, their financial and “social” capital) – Information and knowledge available to actors – Outside or pre-existing institutional context Ravenhill: Global Political Economy 4e