Aim: How do we use permutation and combination to evaluate probability? Do Now: Your investment counselor has placed before you a portfolio of 6 stocks and 4 bonds. Following her advice, you have decided to invest in 4 of the ten choices. In how many ways can you a. select any 4? b. select two stocks and two bonds? c. select 3 stocks and 1 bond? HW: Worksheet a. 10 choices select any 4 is a combination of 10 C4 210 b is a compound events. 6 C 2 4 C 2 15 6 90 c is also a compound events. 6 C3 4 C1 20 4 80 Your investment counselor has placed before you a portfolio of 6 stocks and 4 bonds. 4 investments are selected at random from 10 ten choices. Find the probability of a) selecting two stocks and two bonds. b) selecting three stocks and one bond. To handle this type of problem, we need to use the combination to find the all the possible ways in a certain event over the total number of ways in the sample space. n( E ) P( E ) n( S ) n(E): Count the total number of outcomes in the sample space. n(S): Count all the possible outcomes in the event E. a) b) 6 C2 4 C2 15 6 90 3 210 210 7 10 C 4 6 C3 4 C1 20 4 80 8 210 210 21 10 C4 A homeowner plants 6 bulbs selected at random from a box containing 5 tulip bulbs and 4 lilac bulbs. What is the probability that he planted 4 tulip bulbs and 2 lilac bulbs? 5 C 4 4 C 2 5 6 30 P(E) = n(E)/n(S) = 84 84 14 9 C6 5 An urn contains 4 white marbles and 5 blue marbles. If 3 marbles are drawn at random with no replacement, what is the probability that at least 2 marbles drawn are blue? 3 marbles are drawn, at least 2 blue marbles means either 2 blue and 1 white, or 3 are blue 0 are white. Therefore, n(E) is consisted of n(A) and n(B), where n(A) = combination of 2 blue and 1 white marbles, and n(B) = the combination of 3 blue and 0 white marbles. n( A) n( B) P( E ) 5 n( S ) C2 4 C1 5 C3 4 C0 40 10 50 25 84 84 42 9 C3 The letters of the word CABIN are arranged at random. What is the probability that one arrangement chosen at random will begin and end with a vowel? 2 3!1 2 6 12 1 5! 120 120 10 The letters of the word TOMATO are arranged at random. What is the probability that the arrangement begins and ends with T? 4! 24 1 1 1 1 2! 2 12 6! 720 180 2!2! 4