A Brief Introduction to Epidemiology - VI (Basics of Research & Epidemiological Research Methodologies) Betty C. Jung, RN, MPH, CHES BC Jung Learning Objectives To understand: – The proper methods for conducting research – What makes for good research design – The pitfalls of poor research design – The basics of epidemiological research design BC Jung Performance Objectives Basic BC Jung understanding of : – The Scientific Method – Different types of research – Patton’s Research Typology – Research designs used in Epidemologic Research – Common measures used in Epidemiologic Research Introduction The primary purpose of research is to conduct a scientific, or, scholarly investigation into a phenomenon, or to answer a burning question. Research is defined as a systematic approach to problem solving. BC Jung What is Research? Traditionally, the Scientific Method means: – Control of variables and biases – Use of empirical evidence to generate knowledge – Generalizable results BC Jung The Scientific Method Describe phenomena Explore relationships among phenomena Explain phenomena and increase understanding Predict causes of and relationships among phenomena Control phenomena BC Jung Assumptions for Scientific Method Objective reality exists independent from people’s perceptions Nature has order, regularity, and consistency All phenomena have causes that can be discovered BC Jung Steps in Performing Research Research BC Jung Problem Literature Review Conceptual & Theoretical Frameworks Variables & Hypotheses Research Design Population & sample Data Collection Data Analysis Results and findings What is a Pilot Study? Done before a major study begins Minimizes the possibility of having significant difficulties occurring in during the major study Obtain info for improving the major study Make revisions before beginning the major study BC Jung Limitations of Research Based on the Scientific Method Every research study has flaws No single study proves or disproves a hypothesis Ethical issues can constrain researchers Adequate control is hard to maintain in a study BC Jung Categorizing Research Qualitative & Quantitative Research Basic & Applied Research Patton’s Research Typology BC Jung Words or Numbers Qualitative Research - data from words, pictures, etc. Quantitative Research - data from numbers BC Jung Basic & Applied Basic Research - undertaken to advance knowledge in a given area understanding relationships among phenomena Applied Research - undertaken to remedy a particular problem or modify a situation - to make decisions or evaluate techniques BC Jung The Continuum of Research A Typology (Patton) Basic Research Applied Research Summative Evaluation Formative Evaluation Action Research BC Jung Basic Research Goal: To understand & explain Discipline-specific Contribution: A theory to explain the phenomenon under investigation Question: How did the West Nile Virus spread to the U.S.? BC Jung Applied Research Goal: To understand societal problems and identify potential solution Takes an explanation and apply it to real-world problems & experiences Inter-disciplinary Contribution: Solutions to real-world problems Question: How can epidemiologists track the spread of the West Nile Virus in the U.S.? BC Jung Summative Evaluation Goal: To evaluate the effectiveness of specific interventions for specific problems under specific conditions Question: In 2000, did mosquito spraying contain the spread of the West Nile Virus in the U.S.? BC Jung Formative Evaluation Goal: To improve the effectiveness of specific programs with the setting these programs were developed for Question: Was State A’s mosquito spraying program equally effective in the towns that conducted spraying? BC Jung Action Research Goal: To study a specific problem within a program, or, organization, or, community Question: Was State A’s Community Z’s spraying schedule effective in reducing the number of residents infected with the West Nile Virus? BC Jung Epidemiological Study Designs Observational Studies - examine associations between risk factors and outcomes (Analytical - determinants and risk of disease, and descriptive - patterns and frequency of disease) Intervention Studies - explore the association between interventions and outcomes. (Experimental studies or clinical trials) BC Jung Research Designs in Analytic Epidemiology Cohort Study Case-Control Study Data from Entire Population Ecologic Designs BC Jung Epidemiologic View of Best Estimates Selection Bias - over-representation of those who are available to provide it Survivor Bias - obtaining data only from those who have survived to provide it Measurement biases – Recall bias – Reporting bias BC Jung Measures of Association & Hypothesis Testing Test Statistic = Observed Association - Expected Association Standard Error of the Association Type I Error: Concluding there is an association when one does not exist Type II Error: Concluding there is no association when one does exist BC Jung Measures of Association Two Main Types of Measures – Difference Measures (Two Independent Means, Two Independent Proportions, The Attributable Risk) – Ratio Measures (Relative Risk, Relative Prevalence, Odds Ratio) BC Jung Measures of Association: Difference Measures Two Independent Means Two Independent Proportions The Attributable Risk BC Jung Attributable Risk (AR) The difference between 2 proportions Quantifies the number of occurrences of a health outcome that is due to, or can be attributed to, the exposure or risk factor Used to assess the impact of eliminating a risk factor BC Jung Measures of Association: Ratio Measures Relative Risk (RR) Relative Prevalence (RP) Odds Ratio (OR) BC Jung Strength of Association Relative Risk;(Prevalence); Odds Ratio Strength of Association 0.83-1.00 0.67-0.83 0.33-0.67 0.10-0.33 <0.01 1.0-1.2 1.2-1.5 1.5-3.0 3.0-10.00 >10.0 None Weak Moderate Strong Approaching Infinity Source: Handler,A, Rosenberg,D., Monahan, C., Kennelly, J. BC Jung(1998) Analytic Methods in Maternal and Child Health. p. 69. The Preventive Fraction The 2x2 table does not always have to be organized in terms of a risk factor and adverse outcome. Can be organized to focus on a protective effect. Useful for program evaluation, where a program has been designed to have a positive impact and measuring the magnitude of this impact is desired. A measure of program effectiveness. Adverse Outcome Y N Program Y BC Jung N References For Internet Resources on the topics covered in this lecture, check out my Web site. BC Jung