Likelihood of Completion Depends on
Level of Unpreparedness
The likelihood of comple ng the developmental math sequence
Community College
Pre-College
Level
Remedial Math Sequence
is a func
on of where
you start
4 Levels
Below
3 Levels
Below
2 Levels
Below
Likelihood of comple ng the
developmental sequence
star ng at each level
3-Levels Below
17%
8%
4-Levels Below
1 Level
Below
70%
1-Level Below
Statewide Remedial Math Success
35.0%
30.0%
Remedial Math
Completion State
25.0%
20.0%
Remedial Math
Completion African
American
15.0%
Remedial Math
Completion Hispanic
10.0%
2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009
2
The Renegades Journey
Students take test at BC and
are placed by test scores.
New students will still take test,
But grades in English and Math will be
given first consideration for placement.
Placement is based on a combination
of grades and test scores.
Prior and 2013
2016
Students take test at high schools
and BC and are bumped up one level
above test score by senior HS GPA
and course grade.
2014
Students are placed by Jr HS GPA
and placed in English or
initial bumped up in Math
and then placed in next class
by Sr HS course grade.
2015
Forces at plan on BC
•
CCRC Research
Belfield and Crosta (February 2012) Predicting Success in College: The Importance of
Placement Tests and High School Transcripts
http://ccrc.tc.columbia.edu/media/k2/attachments/predicting-success-placementtests-transcripts.pdf
Scott-Clayton, J (February, 2012) Do High-Stakes Placement Exams Predict College
Success? Community College Research Center, Teachers College, Columbia University
http://ccrc.tc.columbia.edu/publications/high-stakes-placement-exams-predict.html
Clayton, Crosta, Belfield (Oct 2012) Improving the Targeting of Treatment: Evidence
from College Remediation. National Bureau of Economic Research
www.aeaweb.org/aea/2013conference/program/retrieve.php?pdfid=106
•
John Hetts & Terrence Willet
RPGroup (2013). Long Beach City College STEPS (Student Transcript-Enhanced
Placement Project) http://www.rpgroup.org/projects/student-transcript-enhancedplacement-project
•
Peter Bahr -Bakersfield College Report
Pathways in Developmental Math and English at Bakersfield College:Historical
Analysis of Student Course-Taking Behavior, 2000 to 2013 by Peter Riley Bahr
Center for the Study of Higher and Postsecondary Education, University of
Michigan
Stage 2
2014
Campus Based 84% of students tested in as remedial
Increased student placement in transfer level math by 9% and in Transfer English by 3%
Saved over 361
semesters through
bumping
199 semesters
Placed hire through
testing at campus
level
199 semesters
by accelerating
and compression
824 semesters saved
in this year with the
454 students that
had completed
records
Progress of First-time Students in Development
Mathematics at Bakersfield College
First Attempt Dev Math Skills
3,551 students attempted
65 % successful
Lost 24%
First Attempt Arithmetic/Pre-Alg
8,566 students attempted
56 % successful
Lost 12%
First Attempt Beginning Algebra
11,765 students attempted
43 % successful
Lost 11%
First Attempt Intermediate Algebra
9,593 students attempted
48 % successful
Lost 21%
Only 1,456 (41%) students attempted next level test
Only 3,784 (44%) students attempted next level test
Only 3,823 (32%) students attempted next level test
Only 2,588(27%) students attempted next level test
Math Success for all BC 2014-15 and 2014 cohort and 2015
cohort
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Total Pathway Cost to Students
BC 2014-15 all success
2014 Cohort success
HS GPA & ENGL Grades,
ENGL 53
2015 Cohort Success
Math B22
Math B6A
Math B1B
$208,851
Math B1A (Pre-Calc)
Math B70 (Intermediate
Algebra)
ACDV 201, ACDV 65,
ENGL 60, ENGL 50
With Accelerated
Classes creates a
great cost savings
and great
opportunity for
students to succeed
Math B60 (Beginning
Algebra)
Math B50 (Pre-algebra)
ACDV B72 accelerated
Arith & Pre-algebra)
ACDV B77 (Arithmetic)
$1,677,552
Combining
Multiple Measures
BC Philosophy behind MMs and
Assessment
•
•
•
•
•
Tests aren’t always the best measures
Tests alone are TERRIBLE measures
The goal is to predict success
More information provides better placement
We need to simplify the algorithm – junior
year grades
• Not perfect, iterative – don’t wait
• Thousands of reasons to START NOW
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