Title A Journey towards Financial Sustainability for Tanzanian Saving and Credit Unions: There is a glimmer of hope but still it is a long miles away for second half Introduction: In the field of economic science we have unique ways of measuring sustainability and performance of financial organizations. I am going to show you an example of how this works, through a study I did on Tanzanian Savings cooperatives. First I will tell you a bit about these financial institutions with a specific focus on saving and credit cooperatives, then I will explain how we analyze and measures performance and sustainability in my field and then I will give you examples of other places this kind of analysis is useful to business and economies. So let’s go to point one Point 1: How is economic growth created in a country? Well, economic growth happens when people start up new business ventures, or grow their existing businesses. This stimulates the economy it provides jobs and people who earn money But to start a new business or grow an existing one you need money, and most business rely on some form of loan finacing. In fact economists have found that there is a direct link between the amount of money available to business owners in a country and the economic growth in that country. Despite such understanding Africa and other developing has consistently failed to provide finance for majority population . Unfortunately mainstream financial institutions such as banks are not designed to offer small loans to people with very low income levels. In Tanzania for example, where I did my research about 90% of the population is excluded from the main stream banking sector. The result of this is that many developing countries have seen the rise of new types of financial insitutions specifically aimed at financing the poor. A particularly interesting example is the Saving and Credit Cooperative. As the name suggests, these cooperatives differ from banks in tht they are owned and managed by their members within a democratic structure. ? What is interstOne ng abut them is their astoundingly rapid growth. in Tanzania – the number of SACCOs have increaserd by 587% in the past 10 years! For economistx such an explosive growth rate demands attention. Something significant is happening, and it either signals a stairway to economic heaven or a high way to financial crisis. Is this a bubble, heading for a crash, or a truly sustaiable business model that offers a solution to economic growth in developing countries? And so as economists we feel compelled to do some diagnostic testing to tell whther these organs=isations are which scenario is true. In our experience, the highway to financial crisis usually leads away from economic fundamentals, whereas the stairway to heavan only ever grows on the foundations of sustainable profitability. ANd so the central questions that we need to ask in relation to the Saving cooperatives is: Are they based on economic fundamentals? or to put it another way Are they profitable and are they sustainable. Point 2: One of the the measures of profitability that we use is called the Return on Assets. This tells us how efficient management is in converting the assets of the business that which is earned by the busienss into revenue. A company with lots of assets should probably be making more money than a company with fewer assets. In the microfinance industry in whcihc the saving cooerpatives fall 3% is regarded as a good RoA. This means that if your company is worth a million rand your annual income should be at least 300 000. To assess whther a busiess is sustainable, we use another measure. we divide the total revenue of the business by the the total operating cost. In other words can the business generate enough income to cover its own operating costs? For a buseiness to be sustainable it needs to have a consistent income stream big enough to at least cover its expenses. in other word the score should be at least 1 or as a percentage should be at lest 100% Point 3: This kind of analysis is often used in financial industry and can be easily extended into other industries. The existing studies in my field have been focusing on large banks and relatively larger microfinance because of the data availability. My study is one of its kinds to focus in Tanzanian SACCOs. Our results shows that, out of 103 SACCOs included in the study 61% of them were operationally sustainable and only 51% were both operationally and financially sustainable. In summary we found that on average SACCOS are sustainable and they relatively performing well. However about 50% of them are struggling to catch up. This is useful because it shaded some light on the SACCOs longevity and it offers important insights for researchers, policy makers, regulators and shareholders in the industry. On average the return on asset was 7% which is higher than other microfinance internationally and the average sustainability score was 127% which is higher than the minimum threshold . The most important determinant of sustainability was found to be return on asset and cost per loan portfolio. Conclusion: So I have given you an example of a method of analyzing the performance and sustainability of financial institutions, based on my work with Tanzania Cooperatives. I have given you some background about these institutions, explained the way we analyzed their performance and sustainability and what we found through it. Strong exit line. My take home message is that there is glimmer of hope toward financial sustainability path, but more work is waiting ahead. Appendix Original Title of the Paper Financial Sustainability of Saving and Credit Cooperatives: Evidence from Tanzania Original abstract of the paper Tanzania has recorded unprecedented growth in saving and credit cooperatives (SACCOs) in the past decades. Their growth in numbers has surged from 803 in 2000 to 5400 during 2012. Despite the impressive growth recorded, the prevailing view that these institutions suffer from high transaction costs due to their small size and their exposure to a relatively high risk clients calls for rigorous scrutiny of their performance and sustainability. Understanding the performance and sustainability of these institutions is important in two folds: one, it is a necessary condition for institutional longevity and lasting services to the poor; two, it is an important barometer for researchers, policy makers, regulators and shareholders in guiding the industry in the desired direction. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to estimate performance and financial sustainability of SACCOs in Tanzania. Based on the census data of audited SACCOs from four regions of Tanzania, performance was estimated using returns on assets and financial sustainability as a ratio of total revenues generated to total expenses plus loan loss provision. The empirical estimates revealed that out of 103 SACCOs included in the study 61% of them were operationally sustainable and only 51% were both operationally and financially sustainable. On average the return on asset was 7% which is higher than other microfinance internationally and the average sustainability score of 127% is reasonably good. The most important determinant of sustainability was found to be return on asset and cost per loan portfolio.