National Income Accounting Measures the economy’s overall performance. Assess the overall health of the economy Growing? Declining? Constant? The #’s determine policies GDP (Aggregate output): the total market value of all final goods and services produced in a given year. GDP GDP compares this year with previous years output. Intermediate goods/final goods Value added: market value of a firms output less the value of the inputs the firm bought from others. Non-production transactions: Financial/second hand sales Non-Production Transactions Public transfer payments: Social security payments, welfare payments. (not counted) Private transfer payments—gifts Stock market transactions—(not counted) Second hand sales: used cars, etc. (not counted) Two GDP approaches: Expenditures approach Income approach GDP -- Ch.7 Expenditures Approach: Household expenditures + Investment expenditures by businesses + Government purchases + Expenditures of foreigners = GDP GDP Income approach: Wages + Rents + Interest + Profits + Statistical adjustments = GDP Expenditures Approach Personal consumption (C) Durable goods and nondurable goods Gross private domestic investment ( Ig) Machines, equipment, construction, change in inventories Inventories can increase or decrease Investment is not: Paper transactions—stocks, bonds, existing houses, etc. Gross investment/net investment Gross investment: ALL private investment goods which includes new “additional” buildings plus new buildings that replace old worn out buildings and machinery. (replacement capital + added or new capital). Net investment: Gross investment – depreciation ( Ig) The Expenditures Approach, cont’d Government Expenditures: (G) Purchases of goods and services that the government consumes while providing public services. Expenditures for “social capital”, schools, highways, (things that last) Does not include transfer payments The expenditures approach, cont’d Net Exports– (Xn) Net exports (Xn) = exports (X) – imports (M) 2000: Net exports (Xn) = - 370 Billion $ GDP = C + Ig + G + Xn Nominal vs. Real GDP Nominal GDP: Output in current prices Real GDP: Output prices are adjusted for inflation. Ex. 5% increase in output/no change prices OR Prices increase by 5% but no change in output Difference in Nominal GDP______? NDP-Net Disposable Product=GDP minus consumption of fixed capital (depreciation) Shortcomings of GDP Non-market transactions (homemakers) Leisure (Understates value of ) Improved Product Quality (Quantity v.Quality) The Underground Economy(Off the books) Environmental Damage—GDP overstates Clean up costs are added to GDP The Income Approach Dividends: corporate profits paid to stockholders. (used in the income approach) Undistributed corporate profits: Retained earnings. (used in the income approach). National Income: all the income that flows to American supplied resources, whether here or abroad. The Income approach 1. Indirect business taxes: sales taxes, excise taxes, business property taxes, license fees, customs duties. Why do we add? The 5% sales tax added by government must be added back to the price (adjustment to price of the product that was sold). The Income approach 2. Consumption of fixed capital: The life of private capital equipment last much longer than one year so not to understate in year 1 and to avoid overstating profit in later years, the cost of the equipment must be allocated over its lifetime. (Depreciation)! Consumption of fixed capital: $ set aside to replace equipment that is used up in producing this years GDP. The Income approach 3. Net Foreign Factor Income—Last step in balancing the national income account; National income is the total income of Americans, whether it was earned in the United States or abroad. GDP is a measure of domestic output—total output produced within the United States. Net foreign factor income: foreign owned resources in the U.S. earnings less U.S. owned resources earnings abroad. NOMINAL GDP vs. REAL GDP •Consumer Price Index CPI = Price of 1993-1995 market basket in any given year Price of the same market basket in 1982-1984 x 100 NOMINAL GDP vs. REAL GDP • Nominal Values • Deflate GDP when prices rise • Inflate GDP when Prices fall • Nominal GDP • Calculating Real GDP (4) (2) Unadjusted, (1) Price (3) or Nominal, (5) Units of Pizza Price Index GDP, Adjusted, or Year Output Per Unit Year 1 = 100 (1)x(2) Real, GDP 1 5 $10 100 $ 50 $50 2 7 20 200 140 70 3 8 25 250 200 80 4 10 30 - - - 5 11 28 - - - Economic Well Being Per Capita Output: 300 million people in our country GDP approx. 1 trillion $ 1 trillion/300 million = $33,000 each If population grows faster than GDP % then our standard of living falls! NOT GOOD! Ex. GDP grows 2.3% and Population grows 3.1%, results??? Per Capita GDP U.S. Real GDP: $10 Trillion China Real GDP: $10 Trillion U.S. Population: 300 Million people China Population: 1.5 Billion people U.S. per capita GDP: $30,000 China per capita GDP: $6,666 Who is better off? Higher standard of living? GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE The Underground Economy as a Percent of GDP 0 Greece Italy Spain Portugal Belgium Sweden Germany France Holland United Kingdom Japan United States Switzerland 5 10 15 20 25 30 Source: The Journal of Economic Literature, 2000