Energy and the New Reality, Volume 2: C-Free Energy Supply Chapter 2: Solar Energy L. D. Danny Harvey harvey@geog.utoronto.ca Publisher: Earthscan, UK Homepage: www.earthscan.co.uk/?tabid=101808 This material is intended for use in lectures, presentations and as handouts to students, and is provided in Powerpoint format so as to allow customization for the individual needs of course instructors. Permission of the author and publisher is required for any other usage. Please see www.earthscan.co.uk for contact details. Framework • Solar flux density on a plane perpendicular to the sun’s rays at the mean Earth-Sun distance, Qs, is 1370 W/m2 • The intercepted solar radiation flux (Qs x πRe2) is about 11000 times the 2005 world primary power demand of 15.3 TW • About 0.8% of the world’s desert area (or 80,700 km2) covered with 10% efficient modules would be all that is required to generate the total world electricity consumption in 2005 of about 18000 TWh • However, cumulative installation of PV panels to date is only 25 km2 • The solution is to directly use solar energy where-ever possible (for passive heating and ventilation, for thermaldriven cooling, and for daylighting), and to use solar electricity only where electricity really is needed. This chapter discusses: • Photovoltaic generation of electricity • Solar-thermal generation of electricity • Solar thermal energy for space heating and for hot water • Solar thermal energy for air conditioning • Industrial uses of solar thermal energy • Direct uses of solar energy for desalination, in agriculture and for cooking Chapter 4 (Buildings) of Volume 1 discusses passive (as opposed to active) uses of solar energy, with the building itself serving as a collector of solar energy. These passive uses are • Passive heating • Passive ventilation • Daylighting Chapter 11 (Community-Integrated Energy systems with Renewable Energy) of this volume discusses seasonal underground storage of solar thermal energy for space heating and for domestic hot water Figure 2.1a Stereographic sun path diagram Source: Computed using The Solar Tool developed by Square One Research, available through Ecotech (ecotech.com) Figure 2.1b Stereographic sun path diagram Source: Computed using The Solar Tool developed by Square One Research, available through Ecotech (ecotech.com) Figure 2.1c Stereographic sun path diagram Source: Computed using The Solar Tool developed by Square One Research, available through Ecotech (ecotech.com) Figure 2.1d Stereographic sun path diagram Source: Computed using The Solar Tool developed by Square One Research, available through Ecotech (ecotech.com) Figure 2.2a Solar irradiance, daily variation, clear sky Figure 2.2b Solar irradiance, daily variation , clear sky Figure 2.2c Solar irradiance, daily variation, clear sky Figure 2.2g Solar irradiance, daily variation, clear sky 1200 Horizontal Modules, 21 December Irradiance (W/m2) 1000 0oN 800 600 30oN 400 60oN 200 0 -12 -6 0 Solar Hour 6 12 Figure 2.2h Solar irradiance, daily variation, clear sky 1200 Irradiance (W/m2) 1000 Module Tilted at Latitude Angle, 21 Dec 0oN 800 30oN 600 60oN 400 200 0 -12 -6 0 Solar Hour 6 12 Figure 2.2i Solar irradiance, daily variation, clear sky 1200 Sun-Tracking Modules, 21 Dec Irradiance (W/m2) 1000 800 0oN 600 30oN 60oN 400 200 0 -12 -6 0 Solar Hour 6 12 Observations on the diurnal variations (Fig 2.2): • On June 21 - the further north, the longer the day and the less intense the noon peak - the differences in irradiance on a panel tilted at the latitude angle are smaller than on a horizontal panel - there is almost no difference in the irradiance on a sun-tracking PV panel within 5 hours of solar noon, but irradiance is less at other times at high latitudes because of the greater pathlength through the atmosphere (so more radiation is absorbed by the atmosphere) • On Dec 21 -- the further north, the shorter the day – differences are much greater, and sun tracking does not help much at high latitude (because even when pointed at the sun, the pathlength through the atmosphere is large) Figure 2.3a Solar irradiance, annual variation, clear sky 500 Equator Irradiance (W/m2) 400 300 200 Sun-tracking Tilt=Latitude-Declination 100 Tilt=Latitude (fixed) Horizontal 0 J F M A M J J Month A S O N D Figure 2.3b Solar irradiance, annual variation, clear sky 500 30oN Irradiance (W/m2) 400 300 200 Sun-tracking Tilt=Latitude-Declination 100 Tilt=Latitude (fixed) Horizontal 0 J F M A M J J Month A S O N D Figure 2.3c Solar irradiance, annual variation, clear sky 600 50oN Irradiance (W/m2) 500 400 300 200 Sun-tracking 100 Tilt=Latitude-Declination Tilt=Latitude (fixed) Horizontal 0 J F M A M J J Month A S O N D Observations on seasonal variation of diurnal average irradiance on a PV panel (Fig 2.3) • If the panel has a fixed tilt equal to the latitude of the site, the result is greater irradiance in winter and less in summer compared to a horizontal panel • 1-axis tracking, whereby the tilt is adjusted each day to equal the latitude minus solar declination, gives greater irradiance all year compared to fixed tilt • 2-axis tracking is substantially better than 1-axis tracking Figure 2.4a Solar irradiance on windows in June, clear sky 800 700 Radiation (W m-2) 600 South East West 500 400 North 300 North 200 100 0 -12 -9 -6 -3 0 3 Time (Hours) 6 9 12 Figure 2.4b Solar irradiance on windows in December, clear sky 1000 900 South Irradiance (W/m2) 800 East 700 West 600 500 400 North 300 200 100 0 -12 -9 -6 -3 0 3 Time (Hours) 6 9 12 Figure 2.5 Annual average solar irradiance (W/m2) at ground level on a horizontal surface Source: Henderson-Sellers and Robinson (1986, Contemporary Climatology, Longman, Harlow, U.K) Supplemental Figure: Solar irradiance on a horizontal surface, kWh/m2/yr 500 700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 2300 2500 Source: Prepared from data file obtained from the NASA Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy website, power.larc.nasa.gov Supplemental Figure: Solar irradiance on a surface tilted toward the equator at an angle equal to the latitude angle, kWh/m2/yr 500 700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 2300 2500 Source: Prepared from data file obtained from the NASA Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy website, power.larc.nasa.gov Supplemental Figure: Ratio of annual irradiance on a surface tilted at the latitude angle to the annual irradiance on a horizontal surface 0.98 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 Source: Prepared from data files obtained from the NASA Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy website, power.larc.nasa.gov Two broad ways of making electricity from solar energy: • Photovoltaic (PV) • Solar thermal PV Electricity • Electromagnetic radiation (including light) comes in packets called photons, each with energy hv, where h=Plank’s constant and v is the frequency of the radiation • Electrons in an atom exist in different energy levels • A photon can bump an electron to a higher energy level if the energy of the photon exceeds the difference in energy from one level to the next PV electricity (continued) • When a solid forms, two outer energy bands are formed, often separated by a gap in energy level (not a physical gap) • The lower energy band is called the valence band, the upper the conduction band • In a conductor, electrons occur in both bands and they overlap • In an insulator, the valence band is filled and the conduction band is empty, and the two bands do not overlap • In a semi-conductor, electrons occur in both bands and there is a small gap between the bands PV electricity (continued) • Silicon is a semi-conductor with a valence of 4 (4 electrons in the outer shell) • Two semiconductor layers are used – one layer (called the n-type layer) is doped with atoms have an valence of 5 (the extra electron is not taken up in the crystal lattice and so it is free to move), and the other layer (called the p-type layer) is doped with atoms having a valence of 3, so there are empty electron sites (called holes) • The juxtaposition of the n- and p layers is called a pn junction. Figure 2.6 Steps in the generation of electricity in a photovoltaic cell Source: US EIA (2007, Solar Explained, Photovoltaics and Electricity) Figure 2.7 Layout of a silicon solar cell Source: Boyle (2004, Renewable Energy, Power for a Sustainable Future, 65-104, Oxford University Press, Oxford) Components of a PV system • Module – consists of many cells wired together • Support structure • Inverter – converts DC module output to AC power at the right voltage and frequency for transfer to the grid • Concentrating mirrors or lens for concentrating PV systems Types of PV cells • • • • • • • Single-crystalline Multi-crystalline Thin-film amorphous silicon Thin-film compound semiconductors Thin-film multi-crystalline Nano-crystalline dye-sensitized cells Plastic cells Thin-film compound semiconductors • • • • Cadmium telluride (CdTe) Copper-indium-diselenide (CuInSe2, CIS) Copper-indium-gallium-diselenide (CIGS) Gallium arsenide (GaAs) Table 2.3 Best efficiencies achieved as of 2009 Technology c-Si m-Si a-Si thin-film Si CdTe CIGS InP thin-film GaAs m-GaAs a-Si/µc -Si a-Si/a-SiGe/a-SiGe thin-film GaAs/CIS GaInP/GaAs GaInP/GaAs/Ge GaInP/GaInAs/Ge Dye-sensitized Organic Unconcentrated Sunlight Concentrated Sunlight Cell Module Cell Concentration Factor Single-junction silicon semiconductor 25.0 22.9 27.6 92 20.4 15.5 9.5 16.7 8.2 Single-junction compound semiconductors 16.7 10.9 19.4 13.5 21.8 14 22.1 26.1 28.8 232 18.4 Multi-junction semiconductors 11.7 10.4 25.8 30.3 32.0 40.7 240 41.1 454 Photochemical and Organic 10.4 5.2 Figure 2.8 Trend in efficiency of PV cells and modules Source: Extended from IEA (2003, Renewables for Power Generation, Status and Prospects, International Energy Agency, Paris) Figure 2.9. Structure of the GaInP/GaInAs/Ge multi-junction Cell Source: Kinsey et al (2009, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 16, 503-508) Compound semi-conductors • Have several pn junctions, each with a different band gap • Junctions are placed in the order of decreasing band gap, starting from the top • Efficiency is limited by that fact that • - if the photon energy is less than that of the band gap, nothing happens and the photon passes right through • - if the photon energy is greater than that of the band gap, the excess energy is wasted (turned into heat) Figure 2.10 Organic Semiconductors Source: Rand et al (2007, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 15, 659–676) Figure 2.11 Dye-sensitized Solar Cell Source: McConnell (2002, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 6, 271–295, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/13640321) Factors affecting module efficiency • Solar irradiance – efficiency peaks at around 500 W/m2 for non-concentrating cells • Temperature – efficiency decreases with increasing temperature, more so for c-Si and CIGS, less for a-Si and CdTe • Dust – can reduce output by 3-6% in desert areas Figure 2.12a Module efficiency vs solar irradiance, theoretical calculations Source: Topic et al (2007, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 15, 19–26) Figure 2.12b Module efficiency vs solar irradiance, measurements Source: Mondol et al (2007, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 15, 353–368) System efficiency is the product of • Module efficiency • Inverter efficiency • MPP-tracking efficiency Figure 2.13a Inverter & MPP Efficiency, calculated Figure 2.13b Inverter & MPP Efficiency, measured Source: Mondol et al (2007, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 15, 353–368) Figure 2.14 Current-voltage combinations (MPP) giving the maximum power production for different solar irradiances on the module Source: Hastings and Mørck (2000, Solar Air Systems: A Design Handbook. James & James, London) Figure 2.15 MPP-tracking efficiency 100 MPP Tracking Efficiency (%) 90 80 Morning 70 Afternoon 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Load (%) Source: Abella and Chenlo (2004, Renewable Energy World, vol 7, no 2, pp132–146 ) The net effect of all the losses is represented by the performance ratio: the ratio of actual kWh of generated AC electricity to kWh of DC electricity produced by the module Recent values have averaged around 75-80% Building-Integrated PV (BiPV) Figure 2.16 PV mounted onto a sloping roof Source: Prasad and Snow (2005, Designing with Solar Power: A Sourcebook for Building Integrated Photovoltaics, Earthscan/James & James, London) Figure 2.17 PV integrated into a sloping roof Source: Omer et al (2003, Renewable Energy 28, 1387-1399, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09601481) Figure 2.18a BiPV on single-family house in Finland Source: Hestnes (1999, Solar Energy 67, 181–187, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0038092X) Figure 2.18b BiPV on a single-family house in Maine Source: Hestnes (1999, Solar Energy 67, 181–187, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0038092X) Supplemental figure: BiPV on multi-unit housing somewhere in Europe Figure 2.19 PV modules (attached to insulation) on a horizontal flat roof Source: www.powerlight.com Figure 2.21 BiPV (opaque elements) on the Condé Nast building in New York Source: Eiffert and Kiss (2000, Building-Integrated Photovoltaic Designs for Commercial and Institutional Structures: A Sourcebook for Architects, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, Colorado) Figure 2.22 PV modules servings as shading louvres on the Netherlands Energy Research Foundation building Source: Photographs by Marcel von Kerckhoven, BEAR Architecten (www.bear.nl) Supplemental figure PV modules as vertical shading louvres on the SBIC East head office building in Tokyo Source: Shinkenchiku-Sha and www.oja-services.nl/iea-pvps/cases jpn_02.htm Figure 2.23 PV modules providing partial shading in the atrium of the Brundtland Centre (Denmark, left) and Kowa Elementary School (Tokyo, right) Source: Shinkenchiku-Sha Source: Henrik Sorensen, Esbensen Consulting Supplemental figure: Amersfoort project, The Netherlands Table 2.4: Potential electricity production from BiPV Potential BiPV Area (km2) Potential Solar Electricity (TWh/yr) Source: Gutschner and Task 7 Members (2001, Potential for Building-Integrated Photovoltaics, www.iea-pvps.org) Parking lots in the US: • Area of 1.9 million ha (19000 km2, or 137.8 km x 137.8 km) • PV covering all parking lots at 180 W/m2 and 15% efficiency would generate ~ 4500 TWh/yr • Total US electricity demand is ~ 4200 TWh/yr Concentrating PV • More sunlight on the expensive solar cell (by up to a factor of 500), using less expensive mirrors or lens • Cell efficiencies are greater under concentrated sunlight, compounding the benefit of greater solar irradiance • Works only with direct irradiance (not diffuse) • Requires 1- or 2-axis sun tracking • Passive or active heat removal required Figure 2.24 Concentrating PV using a Fresnel lens Source: www.ENTECHSolar.com Figure 2.25 Entech concentrating PV Source: www.ENTECHSolar.com Figure 2.26 Amonix concentrating PV Source: www.amonix.com Figure 2.27 Flatcon point focus concentrating PV Source: Peharz and Dimroth (2005, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 13, 627–634) Figure 2.28b Growth in installed PV power, 2004-2014 Installed Capacity (GWp-AC) 180 160 Rest of World USA China Japan Rest of Europe Italy Spain Germany 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2006 2008 Year Source: EPIA Market Update reports and IEA-PVPS Trends reports 2010 2012 2014 Figure 2.28a Growth in annual PV production Installation Rate (GWp-AC/yr) 40 35 30 25 Rest of World USA China Japan Rest of Europe Italy Spain Germany 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 Year Source: EPIA Market Update reports and IEA-PVPS Trends reports 2012 2014 Source: G. Masson, 2012. PV Market Status, A New Ecosystem for Electric Utilities Cost of PV electricity • Module cost per kW peak output = (module cost per m2 )/ (ηm Ip) where Ip is the assumed maximum irradiance (1000 W/m2) and η m is the module efficiency (sunlight to DC). This cost is cost per peak kW of DC electricity output. • Electricity cost ($/kWh) = (CRF+INS)*(1+ID)*CapCost/(8760 * CF * ηbos) where CRF and INS are the cost recovery and insurance factors, ID is an indirect factor, CapCost is the total capital cost ($/kWp-DC), CF = Ia/Ip ,ηbos is the balance-of system efficiency, and Ia is the mean annual irradiance Component and installed costs (as of 2010) • Modules: ~ $400/m2, or $4000/kW-DC if the efficiency is 10% • Inverters: ~ $300-600/kW-DC (less for larger systems) • Total installed cost: ~ $6000-9000/kW-AC Costs of alternative cladding materials: • • • • Stainless steel: ~ $250-350/m2 Glass-wall systems: ~ $500-750/m2 Rough stone: ~ ≥ $750/m2 Polished stone: ~ $2000-2500/m2 Projection of future costs • Extrapolation using the progress ratio concept • Engineering-based bottom-up analysis (Recall from the wind chapter: The progress ratio is the factor by which the cost is multiplied for each successive doubling in cumulative global production. It gives a good fit to the change in cost over time for a very wide range of technologies, although of course the progress ratio value varies from technology to technology, but is usually 0.8-0.9) Figure 2.29 Price of Photovoltaic Module Price of PV modules (US$/Wp) 100 10 1 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 Cumulative global PV module shipments in MWp Source: van Sark et al (2008, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 16, 441-453) Results of bottom-up analyses: • A “bottom-up analysis” involves an item-by-item consideration of everything that affects cost, and how each could change over time or with economies of scale. • Projected near-term (2015) module costs of $1/Wp for both c-Si and a-Si, installed costs of $3/Wp or less with 1 GWp/yr manufacturing facilities What actually happened? 0.0 Source: Clean Energy Canada (2015) Nov 2014 May 2014 Nov 2013 May 2013 Nov 2012 May 2012 Nov 2011 May 2011 Nov 2010 May 2010 Nov 2009 May 2009 Module Cost (2014 USD/Wp) Trend in average PV module costs in the US 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Installed cost of residential PV systems in Germany and the US (and the common module+inverter cost) Source: Seel et al. (2014, Energy Policy 69:216-226) Cost of electricity from systems installed at the end of 2012 in Los Angeles, in Los Angeles if they had German costs, and in German cities (which have much less solar radiation). Electricity costs with Los Angeles solar radiation and German installed-costs would be about 8 cents/kWh without any subsidy. Source: Seel et al. (2014, Energy Policy 69:216-226) Costs of signing up a residential PV customer in the US and Germany Source: Seel et al. (2014, Energy Policy 69:216-226) Person-hours spend installing a PV system in the USA and Germany (left) and in doing various paperwork (right) Source: Seel et al. (2014, Energy Policy 69:216-226) Figure 2.30 Triple-junction a-Si on laminated roofing Source: Hegedus (2006, Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications 14, 393–411) Resource constraints on thin-film PV • CIGS will be limited by the indium supply • CdTe will be limited by the tellurium supply • The constraints involve both the absolute supply of In or Te, and the rate at which it can be supplied • In and Te are supplied as a byproduct of mining copper, zinc, and bauxite In the absence of concentrating PV, • CdTe, CIGS, and a-Si:Ge together are unlikely to be able to provide more than 1 TW peak power (compared to 4.3 TW global electricity generating capacity and 15.3 TW average global primary power demand in 2005) • Dye-sensitized cells (which require ruthenium) could provide 6 TWp • Near 100% recycling of rare elements would be required for long-term sustainability Solar Thermal Generation of Electricity • Mirrors are used to concentrate sunlight either onto a line focus or a point focus • Steam is generated, and then used in a steam turbine • In some cases, concentrated solar energy heats a storage medium (such as molten salt), so electricity can be generated 24 hours per day using stored heat at night • Best in desert or semi-desert regions, as only direct-beam solar radiation can be used The radiation available for use by concentrating solar thermal power (CSTP) systems is referred to as the ‘direct normal’ radiation – the annual value is the irradiance on a surface that is always at 90o to the sun’s rays As only the direct beam radiation can be used, the peak irradiance that can be used by CSTP is typically about 850 W/m2, compared to 1000 W/m2 for PV systems Thus, peak power capacity for CSTP is given assuming a direct beam irradiance of 850 W/m2 rather than 1000 W/m2 The annual capacity factor is equal to the annual average direct normal irradiance (in W/m2) divided by 850 W/m2 (in the same way that the annual capacity factor for PV is given by the annual average irradiance on the module divided by 1000 W/m2) Supplemental Figure: Annual direct normal irradiance, kWh/m2/yr 500 700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 2300 2500 Source: Prepared from data files obtained from the NASA Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy website, power.larc.nasa.gov Supplemental Figure: Ratio of annual direct normal irradiance to annual total irradiance on a horizontal surface 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Source: Prepared from data files obtained from the NASA Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy website, power.larc.nasa.gov Types of Solar Thermal Systems: • Parabolic trough • Parabolic dish (Stirling engine) • Central tower Figure 2.34a Parabolic trough schematic Source: Greenpeace (2005, Wind Force 12: A Blueprint to Achieve 12% of the World’s Electricity from Wind Power by 2020, Global Wind Energy Council, www.gwec.org) Figure 2.34b Central receiver schematic Source: Greenpeace (2005, Wind Force 12: A Blueprint to Achieve 12% of the World’s Electricity from Wind Power by 2020, Global Wind Energy Council, www.gwec.org) Figure 2.34c Parabolic dish schematic Source: Greenpeace (2005, Wind Force 12: A Blueprint to Achieve 12% of the World’s Electricity from Wind Power by 2020, Global Wind Energy Council, www.gwec.org) Figure 2.35a Parabolic Trough Thermal Electricity, Kramer Junction, California Figure 2.35b Parabolic Trough Thermal Electricity, Kramer Junction, California Figure 2.35c Close-up of parabolic trough Growth in global CSTP capacity, 2006-2014 Source: Compiled from various REN21 Update reports Distribution of CSTP capacity at the end of 2014 UAE 2.3% India 5.2% US 37.6% Source: REN21 2015 Update Algeria 0.6% Egypt Morocco 0.5% 0.5% Other 0.6% Spain 52.9% The latest parabolic trough systems either • Directly heat the water that will be used in the steam turbine, or • Directly heat water that in turn is circulated through a hot tank of molten salts (40% K-nitrate and 60% Na-nitrate), with the molten salts storing heat and in turn heating the steam that is used in a steam turbine, as illustrated in the following diagram Figure 2.36 AndaSol-1 Schematic Source : Translated from Aringhoff (2002, Proyectos Andasol, Plantas Termosolares de 50 MW’, Presentation at the IEA Solar Paces 62nd Exco Meetings Host Country Day ) Molten salt storage tanks at Andasol-1, Spain Source: Garvin Heath (2009, LCA of Parabolic Trough CSP….), www.nrel.gov/docs/fy09osti/46875.pdf With thermal storage, • Electricity can be generated 24 hours per day • The capacity factor (average output over peak output) can reach 85% Figure 2.37 Parabolic trough capacity factor 0.9 0.8 Solar Field Size (Solar Multiple) Annual Caqpacity Factor 0.7 1.0 0.6 1.5 2.0 0.5 2.5 0.4 3.0 3.5 0.3 4.0 5.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Thermal Energy Storage (Hours) Source : Price et al (2007, Proceedings of Energy Sustainability 2007, 27-30 June, Long Beach, California) Table 2.14 Characteristics of existing and possible future parabolictrough systems Source: EC (2007, Concentrating Solar Power, from Research to Implementation, www.solarpaces.org) and Solúcar Figure 2.38 Integrated Solar Combined-Cycle (ISCC) powerplant Source: Greenpeace (2005, Wind Force 12: A Blueprint to Achieve 12% of the World’s Electricity from Wind Power by 2020, Global Wind Energy Council, www.gwec.org) Figure 2.39 Parabolic dish/Stirling engine for generation of electricity Source: US CSP (2002) Status of Major Project Opportunities, presentation at the 2002 Berlin Solar Paces CSP Conference Figure 2.40 Stirling Receiver Source: Mancini et al (2003, Journal of Solar Energy Engineering 125, 135–151) Figure 2.41 Energy flow in 4 different parabolic dish/Stirling engine systems Figure 2.42 Central tower solar thermal powerplant in California Source: US CSP (2002) Status of Major Project Opportunities, presentation at the 2002 Berlin Solar Paces CSP Conference Figure 2.43 Solar Thermal Seasonal variation in the production of solar-thermal electricity in Egypt, Spain, and Germany 120 Monthly Electricity Yield (%) 100 El Kharga Madrid 80 Freiburg 60 40 20 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: GAC (2006, Trans-Mediterranean Interconnection for Concentrating Solar Power, Final Report, www.dlr.de/tt/trans-csp ) US DOE target for cost of CSTP established in 2010 for 2020 as part of the “SunShot” programme Source: http://energy.gov/eere/sunshot/downloads/2014-sunshot-initiative-concentrating-solar-power-subprogram-overview US CSTP projects online in 2013-2014 Source: http://energy.gov/eere/sunshot/downloads/2014-sunshot-initiative-concentrating-solar-power-subprogram-overview Progress toward 2020 cost goals Source: http://energy.gov/eere/sunshot/downloads/2014-sunshot-initiative-concentrating-solar-power-subprogram-overview Pilot projects in China • 2 central tower projects, July 2013 start, -a 1-MW powerplant, $5900/kW cap cost, $0.40/kWh, ___electricity cost -a 50-MW powerplant, $3000/kW , $0.19/kWh • 1 parabolic trough project, 50 MW at $4620/kW, $0.27/kWh • 1 parabolic dish project, 1 MW at $6505/kW, $0.43/kWh • Costs expected to fall in half by 2020 Source: Zhu et al. (2015, Energy 89:65-74) Figure 2.44 Projected cost of heliostats (accounting at present for half the cost of central-tower systems) vs production rate (starting from present costs and production) 300 Price (USD/m2) 250 200 150 100 50 0 100 1000 10000 100000 Production Rate (units/yr) Source: IEA (2003, Renewables for Power Generation, Status and Prospects, International Energy Agency, Paris) Overall projections for CSTP (applicable to all 3 types) • • • • $2000-3000/kW capital cost 5-8 cents/kWh electricity cost 25% capacity factor without thermal storage 13-15% overall conversion efficiency, sunlight on collectors to AC electricity output • Saudi Arabia had been planning to install 5 GW of CSTP (roughly doubling current global capacity), which would have driven costs down, but this is on hold due to the self-induced collapse of oil prices (and hence, in the country’s oil revenue) • Planned projects in Tunisia and Egypt are also on hold because of unrest in the region • Spain has pulled back for budgetary reasons • For now, its seems that the US and China will be driving the costs down through learning-by-doing Solar Thermal Energy For Heating and for Domestic Hot Water Figure 2.45 Types of collectors for heating and domestic hot water Source: Everett (2004, Renewable Energy, Power for a Sustainable Future, 17-64, Oxford University Press, Oxford) Figure 2.46 Installation of flat-plate solar thermal collectors Source: www.socool-inc.com Figure 2.47a Integration of solar thermal collectors into the building facade Source: Sonnenkraft, Austria Figure 2.47b Integration of solar thermal collectors into the building roof Source: Sonnenkraft, Austria Supplemental figure: Evacuated-tube solar thermal collectors Source: Posters from the AIRCONTEC Trade Fair, Germany, April 2002, available from www.iea-shc-task25.org Supplemental figure: Evacuated-tube solar thermal collectors Source: Posters from the AIRCONTEC Trade Fair, Germany, April 2002, available from www.iea-shc-task25.org Figure 2.48 Integrated passive evacuated-tube collector and storage tank in China Source: Morrison et al (2004, Solar Energy 76, 135-140, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0038092X) Figure 2.49 Compound parabolic-trough solar-thermal collector by Solargenix Source: Gee et al (2003, 2003 International Solar Energy Conference, Kohala Coast, Hawaii, USA, 15-18 March 2003, 295-300) Efficiency of solar thermal collectors: • This is the ratio of heat energy supplied to solar energy incident on the collector • Heat is lost as the collector heats up • Thus, the key to high efficiency is to supply lots of heat at a relatively low temperature, through a combination of low inlet water temperature and high flow rate • To do this, the end use applications must be able to make use of heat at relatively low temperature For space heating, this requires being able to use heat as it is generated in a radiant floor heating system, which in turn requires high thermal mass exposed to the inside (so that the building does not overheat) and a high-performance envelope (so that the building stays warm after sunset without having to store solar heat in a hot water tank) For domestic hot water, this requires use of a thermallystratified hot-water tank, with cold water from the bottom of the tank fed to the solar collector and hot water for use drawn from the top of the collector Phase-change materials (which store heat without a further increase in temperature) can also be used. Materials with melting points around 60-70oC would be ideal for domestic hot water applications. Figure 2.50 Efficiency of solar thermal collectors 1.0 0.9 Evacuated-tube 0.8 5-cm Encapsulated TIM Efficiency 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 Single-glazed 0.1 Double-glazed 0.0 0 0.04 0.08 (T i-Ta)/I 0.12 As seen in the previous slide, the efficiency of all collectors drops as the inlet temperature to air temperature increases. Domestic hot water might need to be at 70 C while air temperature is at 10C; with 1000 W/m2 solar irradiance, (Ti-Ta)/I = 0.06, giving an efficiency range of 30-50%. For space water, water at 40 C could be sufficient in a very well insulated house, giving (Ta-Ti)/I = 0.03 and an efficiency range of 0.55-0.65 Costs in Europe • Solar-air collectors, 200-400 euros/m2 • Flat-plate or CPC collectors, 200-500 euros/m2 • Evacuated-tube collectors, 450-1200 euros/m2 Storage system costs are extra Table 2.17 Illustrative costs of solar thermal energy Table 2.16: Countries with 1 million m2 or more of solar thermal collectors in 2007. Country Australia Austria Brazil China France + Terr Germany Greece India Israel Italy Japan Spain Switzerland Taiwan Turkey USA Total Total Capacity (GWth) Water Collectors Unglazed Glazed Evacuated 4070 608 97 105 750 24 26 3 212 27,639 35,820 25.1 1660 2950 3587 10,400 1417 7784 3566 2150 4936 874 6825 1164 433 1137 10,150 1898 66,272 46.4 Air Collectors Unglazed Glazed 23 43 0.35 103,740 33 864 6.8 17 103 127 46 25 118 578 105,885 74.1 434 13 838 0.09 1409 0.99 230 282 0.12 Source: Weiss et al (2009, Solar Heat Worldwide, www.iea-shc.org) Total 5753 3601 3685 114,140 1554 9398 3573 2167 4961 1002 7399 1213 1509 1255 10,150 30,346 209,669 146.8 Total Added in 2007 782 290 573 21,140 323 970 283 257 72 249 183 265 78 135 700 1276 28,440 19.8 Figure 2.51 Growth in the worldwide area of solar thermal collectors Installed Area (millions m2) 600 500 400 300 Rest of World Australia Brazil Japan Germany Turkey US China 200 100 0 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 2009 2011 2013 The thermal power capacity at the end of 2013 was 373 GW Figure 2.52a Top ten countries in terms of total solar thermal collector area, end of 2007 China US Evacuated tube Glazed Unglazed Air Turkey Germany Japan Australia Israel Brazil Austria India 0 20 40 60 80 2 Collector Area (millions m ) 100 120 Figure 2.52b Top ten countries in terms of solar thermal collector area per capita, end of 2007 Cyprus Israel Austria Greece Evacuated-tube + Glazed Barbados Unglazed Australia Jordon Turkey Germany US China 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2 Collector Area (m per 1000 inhabitants) 700 System-level interactions with solar domestic hot water • Normally, some back-up hot water heating system is needed with solar thermal systems • When solar thermal energy is used, the back-up system on average runs at lower efficiency than if it is the sole source of hot water (efficiency can drop from 85% to 45% if solar provides 80% of the required hot water) • Thus, the net savings in energy is less than the fraction of the hot-water load met with solar energy (when 80% of the load is met with solar, the savings could be 80% of that, or 64%) • If the backup system is a modulating condensing heater, there will not be an efficiency loss at part load Solar Thermal Energy For Air Conditioning and Dehumidification • Absorption chillers • Solid desiccant systems • Liquid desiccant systems From Chapter 4 of Volume 1: Desiccant cooling systems require heat in order to regenerate the desiccant. The desiccant dehumidifies the supply air, making it sufficient dry that cooling of the supply air through evaporation of water is feasible with producing air that is too humid Heat Exchanger Evaporative Cooler D E Optional Evaporative Cooler C Desiccant Wheel F G H Heat Input B A Temperature-mixing ratio trajectories with desiccant dehumidification and evaporative cooling H 60 40 20 10 6 30 3 26 H' 24 22 20 18 16 F E G 14 A 12 D 10 8 6 B C 4 2 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 o Dry Bulb Temperature (C) 70 75 80 85 90 0 95 100 Mixing Ratio (grams moisture per kilogram dry air) 28 The effectiveness of any cooling system is represented by its Coefficient of Performance (COP), which is the ratio of cooling provided to energy input • For conventional electric cooling systems, the COP ranges from 2.0 (low-end room air conditioners) to 7.0 (in large central systems with cooling towers) • For absorption chillers, the COP is ~0.6 using 90°C heat and ~ 1.2 using 120°C heat as the energy input • For solid desiccants, the COP is ~ 0.5 using 80°C heat • For liquid desiccants, the COP is ~ 0.75 using 75°C heat System considerations with solar air conditioning with absorption chillers: • If fossil fuels are used to produce heat for absorption chillers as a backup when there is not adequate solar heat, the inefficiency of the absorption chiller compared to an electric chiller offsets some of the benefit of moving from an electric chiller to an absorption chiller using solar energy part of the time • The low COP of the absorption chiller compared to an electric chillers means that more heat in total needs to be removed by the cooling tower, so the electricity use by auxiliary equipment (fans, motors, pumps) is larger, and this offsets some of the benefit of switching from electricity to solar heat for the core cooling function Figure 2.53 COP vs Driving Temperature for thermally-driven cooling equipment 1.4 Absorption double-effect 1.2 Steam jet 1.0 Liquid desiccant Absorption H 2O/LiBr COP 0.8 Absorption NH3/H2O 0.6 0.4 Solid desiccant Absorption diffusion NH 3/H2O Absorption 0.2 0.0 50 70 90 110 130 Driving temperature (oC) Source: Balaras et al (2007, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 11, 299–314, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/13640321) 150 170 Costs • 1000 to 8000 euros per kW of cooling capacity for solar thermal systems • 100 euros/kW for large conventional cooling systems • The cost of solar systems is dominated by the cost of the collectors, so if collector costs come down, or the collectors are used for heating in the winter (so that only part of the collector cost need be ascribed to cooling), then the cooling cost will be smaller Solar cogeneration • Mount a PV module over a solar thermal collector, so that both electricity and useful heat are collected • By removing heat from the back of the module, the PV electrical efficiency increases • However, the thermal collection efficiency will not be as large as for a dedicated solar thermal collector, and there might be an extra glazing over the PV panel, which reduces the production of electricity by absorbing some solar radiation Figure 2.54 Cost vs solar collector area for solar-thermal air conditioning 9000 Initial Cost (Euros/kW) 8000 7000 Absorption 6000 Solid desiccant 5000 Absorption NH3/H2O 4000 Liquid desiccant 3000 2000 Absorption H2O/LiBr 1000 0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 Specific Collector Area (m 2/kW) Source: Balaras et al (2007, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 11, 299–314, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/13640321) 8.0 10.0 Figure 2.55 Cost of saved primary energy versus the magnitude of the savings Cost of Saved Primary Energy (eurocents/kWh) 25 Absorption, heat backup Absorption, electric backup 20 Adsorption, heat backup Adsorption, electric backup 15 10 5 0 25 30 35 40 45 Primary Energy Savings (%) 50 55 Figure 2.56 Proposed hybrid electric-thermal cooling using parabolic solar collectors Solar input 100 kW Parabolic solar collector collector = 0.8 80 kW thermal turbine = 0.42 1.0 - turbine 33.6 kW electricity Electric chiller COP = 3 - 4 100.8 - 134.4 kW cooling - losses = 0.48 38.4 kW thermal Waste heat Absorption chiller COP = 1.35 51.8 kW cooling Figure 2.57: Cross-section of a PV/T solar collector Source: Charalambous et al (2007, Applied Thermal Engineering 27, 275–286, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/13594311) Industrial uses of Solar Energy • Low temperature (60-260oC) Food processing – often at 80-120oC Textiles Some chemical and plastics processes • High temperature (900-2400 K, readily achieved with solar furnaces) reduction of metal ores Other uses of solar energy: • Desalination of seawater • Fixation of nitrogen • Solar cooling of greenhouses (with desiccants and evaporation) • Crop drying • Cooking Desalination Options: • Solar electricity to power reverse osmosis desalination (80 MJ solar/m3) • Solar heat to power multi-stage flash desalination (600 MJ solar/m3) • Extraction from night air with desiccants, regeneration of desiccant with solar heat • Condensation from humidified air with cool seawater Source: Clery (2011, Science 331, 136) Source: Clery (2011, Science 331, 136) Dealing with intermittency • Use rapidly variable fossil backup • Aggregate geographically-dispersed PV arrays • Install energy storage (V2G plug-in hybrid cars in particular) and develop dispatchable loads • Link diverse renewable energy resources (especially if the variability of non-solar resources complements the solar variability) Figure 2.58a PV Variability 1.0 0.9 100 systems one system 0.8 P/P Installed 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 Time (hours) Source: Wiemken et al (2001, Solar Energy 70, 6, 513–518, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0038092X) Figure 2.58b PV Variability 0.5 Average of 100 systems Stdev of 1 system Stdev of 100 systems Normalised Power 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 6 12 18 24 Time (hours) Source: Wiemken et al (2001, Solar Energy 70, 6, 513–518, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0038092X) Figure 2.59 Decreasing correlation between output of PV modules with increasing distance between them 1.0 0.8 rij 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Distance (km) Source: Wiemken et al (2001, Solar Energy 70, 6, 513–518, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0038092X) Concluding Comments • The solar energy resource is enormous but diffuse, so large land areas would be involved in capturing it • Many of our energy needs involve low-temperature heat (for space heating and hot water, and for some industrial processes), and so do not require the intermediary of expensive solar electricity • Thus, the first strategy in using solar energy should be to design buildings to make passive use of solar energy – for heating, ventilation, and cooling (which occurs when passive ventilation brings in outside air that is cooler than the temperature that the building would reach on its own) Concluding Comments (continued) • Two strategies for generating electricity for solar energy are photovoltaic (PV) and solar-thermal • PV electricity can be done centrally or on site as building-integrated PV (BiPV) • BiPV alone could provide 15-60% of total electricity needs in various countries • Solar thermal electricity can be generated 24 hours per day but requires direct-beam solar radiation – so it is best in desert or semi-arid regions Concluding Comments (continued) • PV cells can use conventional materials (silicon) or various toxic (As, Cd) or rare (Ge, In, Te, Ru, Se) elements, with those using rare elements being most efficient (up to 30%, vs 10-15% for crystalline silicon-based cells and 6-8% for amorphous silicon) • Limits on the availability of the rare materials represent real constraints on how much electricity could be supplied with these cells • The limit can be increased by a factor of 100 or so using concentrating PV cells, and would no longer be an issue. Table 2.21: Summary of methods to produce electricity from solar energy PV Crystalline silicon (single, poly) Thin film amorphous silicon Multi-junction thin films using various rare substances (e.g. CIS, CdTe) Nanocrystalline dye cells Costs 30-40 cents/kWh in best locations, 9-13 cents/kWh for best projection Highest cost Efficiency 10-15% modules, 20% eventually Advantage Silica is abundant, higher efficiency than amorphous 5-6% modules, 10% hoped for Can go on anything, suited to continuous production 25-33% cells, 41% under concentrated sunligh 10% cell at 25°C High efficiency Efficiency increases with temperature, can be transparent to visible radiation Disadvantage Material inputs, greater embodied energy Low efficiency Uses toxic or rare elements, high cost Requires rare ruthenium Table 2.21: Summary of methods to produce electricity from solar energy Costs Concentrating crystalline Si PV CIGS thin-film GaAs GaInP/GaAs/Ge Quantum dot Efficiency 28% @ 92 suns 22% @ 14 suns 29% @ 232 suns 41% @ 454 suns Advantage Potentially lower cost, stretches rare elements Disadvantage More complicated, requires direct beam solar radiation Concentrates direct and diffuse radiation without tracking Still under development Table 2.21: Summary of methods to produce electricity from solar energy Parabolic trough Costs 12-20 cents/kWh now, 5-10 cents kWh future Parabolic dish 10-14000 €/kW, eventually $23000/kW (8-24 cents/kWh) Central receiver 18-32 cents/kWh today Thermal Efficiency 15-20%, 4248% CF with 6-hour storage 20-28% 10-15% Advantage Large scale, lots of demo projects, some storage Suitable for isolated villages, low infrastructure costs, quick start Most amenable to 24-hour electricity Disadvantage Thermal storage more difficult than for other thermal methods Expensive at present, limited heat storage ability Each mirror must individually track the sun Concluding comments (continued) • PV electricity is currently expensive (~ 20-25 cents/kWh in sunny locations, 45-60 cents/kWh in midlatitude locations) but will likely fall in price by a factor of 2 or more during the next decade • This would make BiPV highly competitive with peak electricity, which can cost 15-30 cents/kWh (retail price) • Parabolic-trough concentrating solar-thermal electricity is already in the 12-20 cents/kWh range and could drop to as low as 5 cents/kWh Other active uses of solar energy • • • • • • Solar air conditioning Medium-temperature (60-260oC) industrial heat High-temperature (1000-2500oC) industrial heat Solar fixation of nitrogen Crop drying Cooking