Holt McDougal Algebra 2

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Binomial Distributions

How do we use the Binomial Theorem to expand a binomial raised to a power?

How do we find binomial probabilities and test hypotheses?

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

Binomial Distributions

A binomial experiment consists of n independent trials whose outcomes are either successes or failures; the probability of success p is the same for each trial, and the probability of failure q is the same for each trial. Because there are only two outcomes, p + q = 1, or q = 1

p . Below are some examples of binomial experiments:

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

Binomial Distributions

Suppose the probability of being left-handed is 0.1 and you want to find the probability that 2 out of 3 people will be left-handed. There are

3

C

2 ways to choose the two left-handed people: LLR, LRL, and

RLL. The probability of each of these occurring is 0.1(0.1)(0.9). This leads to the following formula.

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

Binomial Distributions

Example 1: Finding Binomial Probabilities

Jean usually makes half of her free throws in basketball practice.

Today, she tries 3 free throws. What is the probability that Jean will make exactly 1 of her free throws?

The probability that Jean will make each free throw is

, or 0.5.

P ( r) = n

C r p r q n-r

Substitute 3 for

n

, 1 for

r

,

0.5 for

p

, and 0.5 for

q

.

P ( 1 ) =

3

C

1

3

(0.5) 1 (0.5) 31

0 .

25

0 .

3 7 5

The probability that Jean will make exactly one free throw is 37.5%.

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

Binomial Distributions

Example 2: Finding Binomial Probabilities

Jean usually makes half of her free throws in basketball practice.

Today, she tries 3 free throws. What is the probability that she will make at least 1 free throw?

At least 1 free throw made is the same as exactly 1, 2, or 3 free throws made.

P(1) + P( 2 ) + P( 3 )

3

C

1

(0.5) 1 (0.5) 31

3

0 .

25

 

3

+

3

C

2

(0.5) 2 (0.5) 32 +

3

C

3

(0.5) 3 (0.5) 33

0 .

25

  

1

0 .

125

  

0 .

3 7 5

0 .

3 7 5

0 .

1 2 5

0 .

8 7 5

The probability that Jean will make at least one free throw is 87.5%.

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

Binomial Distributions

Example 3: Finding Binomial Probabilities

Students are assigned randomly to 1 of 3 guidance counselors.

What is the probability that Counselor Jenkins will get 2 of the next 3 students assigned?

The probability that the counselor will be assigned 1 of the 3 students is .

Substitute 3 for n, 2 for r, for p, and for q.

3

2

2

3

2

9

0 .

2 2

The probability that Counselor Jenkins will get 2 of the next 3 students assigned is about 22%.

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

Binomial Distributions

Example 4: Finding Binomial Probabilities

Ellen takes a multiple-choice quiz that has 5 questions, with 4 answer choices for each question. What is the probability that she will get at least 2 answers correct by guessing?

At least 2 answers correct is the same as exactly 2, 3, 4, or 5 questions correct.

The probability of answering a question correctly is 0.25.

P( 2 ) + P( 3 ) + P( 4 ) + P( 5 )

5

C

2

(0.25) 2 (0.75) 52 +

5

C

3

(0.25) 3 (0.75) 53 +

5

C

4

(0.25) 4 (0.75) 54

+

5

C

5

(0.25) 5 (0.75) 55

0 .

2 6 3 7

0 .

0 8 7 9

0 .

0 1 4 6

0 .

0 0 1 0

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

Binomial Distributions

Lesson 3.3 Practice B

Holt McDougal Algebra 2

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