Survey of ECON © MARIO TAMA/GETTY IMAGES Robert L. Sexton Chapter 1 The Role and Method of Economics 1 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Chapter 1 Sections – Economics: A Brief Introduction – Economic Behavior – Markets – Economic Theory – Pitfalls to Avoid in Scientific Thinking – Positive and Normative Economics – Why Study Economics? Appendix: Working with Graphs 2 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Economics: A Brief Introduction 3 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 1 SECTION 1 QUESTIONS 4 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Economics: A Brief Introduction ECONOMICS the study of choices we make among our many wants and desires given our limited resources RESOURCES inputs used to produce goods and services SCARCITY exists when human wants (material and nonmaterial) exceed available resources THE ECONOMIC PROBLEM scarcity forces us to choose, and choices are costly because we must give up other opportunities that we value 5 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Scarcity and Unlimited Human Wants • Economics is primarily concerned with scarcity–how well we satisfy our unlimited wants in a world of limited resources. • As long as human wants exceed available resources, scarcity will exist. 6 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Scarcity and Limited Resources The scarce resources that are used in the production of goods and services can be grouped into four categories: – – – – labor land capital entrepreneurship 7 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Scarcity and Limited Resources © ISTOCKPHOTO.COM • Labor is the physical and human effort used in the production of goods and services. © ISTOCKPHOTO.COM • Land is the natural resources used in the production of goods and services. ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 8 Scarcity and Limited Resources © ISTOCKPHOTO.COM • Capital is the equipment and structures used to produce goods and services (such as office buildings, tools, machines, and factories). • Capital also includes human capital, the productive knowledge and skill people receive from education, on-thejob training, health, and other factors that increase productivity. 9 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Scarcity and Limited Resources © ISTOCKPHOTO.COM • Entrepreneurship is the process of combining the labor, land, and capital to produce goods and services. • The entrepreneur is the one who makes the tough and risky decisions about what to produce and how to produce. 10 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Scarcity and Limited Resources • Entrepreneurs are always looking for new ways to improve production techniques or to create new products. They are driven by the lure of positive incentives—profits. • We are all entrepreneurs when we try new products or when we find better ways to manage our households or our study time. 11 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goods and Services • Goods are items we value or desire. • They can be tangible goods that can be held, heard, tasted, or smelled or intangible goods that we cannot touch, such as fairness, friendship, knowledge, security, and health. • Services are intangible items of value provided to consumers, such as education. 12 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goods and Services: Economic Goods ECONOMIC GOODS the scarce goods that are created from scarce resources • If there are not enough economic goods for all of us, we will have to compete for those scarce goods. 13 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Does Everyone Face Scarcity? • We all face scarcity, because we cannot have all of the goods and services that we desire. • However, because we all have different wants and desires, scarcity affects everyone differently. 14 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Does Everyone Face Scarcity? • Even the richest person must live with scarcity and must, at some point, choose one want or desire over another. • As we get more affluent, we learn of new luxuries to provide us with satisfaction. 15 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Does Everyone Face Scarcity? • There is no evidence that people would not find a valuable use for additional income, no matter how rich they become. • Even the wealthy individual who decides to donate all of her money to charity faces the constraints of scarcity. • If she had greater resources, she could do still more for others. 16 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Will Scarcity Ever Be Eradicated? • Scarcity never has and never will be eradicated. • The same creativity that permits new methods to produce goods and services in greater quantities also reveals new wants. • It is very possible that our wants grow as fast, if not faster, than our ability to meet those wants, so we still feel scarcity as much or more than we did before. 17 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 1 18 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Economic Behavior 19 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 2 SECTION 2 QUESTIONS 20 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Self-Interest • Economists assume that individuals act as if they are motivated by self-interest and respond in predictable ways to changing circumstances. • To a worker, self-interest means pursuing a higher paying job and/or better working conditions. • To a consumer, selfinterest means gaining a greater level of satisfaction from limited income and time. 21 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Rational Behavior • To an economist, rational behavior means that people do the best they can, based on their values and information, under current and anticipated future circumstances. • Actions have consequences—even inactions, which are choices not to do something or not to make changes, have consequences—failing to study for an exam. 22 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Rational Behavior • In mainstream economics, to say that people are rational is not to assume that they never make mistakes. It is merely to say that they do NOT make systematic mistakes. • In sum, rational individuals weigh the benefits and costs of their actions, and they only pursue actions if they perceive the benefits to be greater than the costs. 23 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Incentives • In acting rationally, people are responding to incentives. They react to changes in benefits and costs. • Much of human behavior can be explained and predicted as a response to incentives. 24 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Incentives • Human behavior is influenced in predictable ways by changes in economic incentives. • Economists use this information to predict what will happen when the benefits and costs of any choice are changed. 25 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Incentives • If salaries increase for engineers and decrease for MBAs, it could be predicted that fewer people would go to graduate school in business and more would go into engineering. • A permanent change to a much higher price of gasoline could lead to fewer gas guzzlers on the highway. • People who work on commission tend to work harder. 26 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Incentives: Examples • Would birth rates fall if the income-tax deduction for dependents was removed? • Would a death sentence for drug traffickers reduce drug trafficking? • Would stricter penalties deter cheating on tests? • Would stricter drunk driving laws reduce drunk driving? 27 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 2 28 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Markets 29 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 3 SECTION 3 QUESTIONS 30 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Markets • A market is the process of buyers and sellers exchanging goods and services. • Supermarkets, the New York Stock Exchange, drug stores, roadside stands, garage sales, Internet stores, and restaurants are all markets. • Every market is different: the conditions under which the exchange between buyers and sellers takes place can vary. 31 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Markets: Allocating Scarce Resources • Efficiency is achieved when the economy gets the most out of its scarce resources. • Buyers and sellers indicate their wants through their actions and inactions in the marketplace. • This collective “voice” determines how resources are allocated. 32 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Market Prices • Market prices serve as the language of the market system and communicate crucial information to both consumers and suppliers. • These prices communicate information about the relative availability of products to consumers, and they provide suppliers with critical information about the relative value that consumers place on those products. 33 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Market Prices • The basis of a market economy is voluntary exchange and the price system that guides people’s choices and produces solutions to the questions of what goods to produce and how to produce and distribute those goods. 34 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. © ISTOCKPHOTO.COM The Pencil: Example • Where did the producer find the wood? The graphite? The eraser? Who knows? • Market forces coordinate this production activity among thousands of people from different countries speaking different languages to make a pencil. • Why? The market economy has provided the incentive for people to pursue activities that benefit others through the price system. Malaysia? Michigan? Georgia? 35 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Countries That Do Not Rely on a Market System • Countries that do not rely on the market system have no clear communication between buyers and sellers. • The former Soviet Union, where quality was virtually nonexistent, experienced many shortages of quality goods and surpluses of low-quality goods. 36 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Market Failure • The market mechanism is a simple but effective and efficient general means of allocating resources among alternative uses. MARKET FAILURE when the economy fails to allocate resources efficiently on its own 37 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Market Failure • Examples of market failure include pollution and scientific research. • When the economy produces too little or too much of something, the government can improve society’s well-being by intervening. 38 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Market Failure • Sometimes the market economy does not communicate accurately. • Some firms may have market power to distort prices, and without adequate information, unscrupulous producers may be able to misrepresent products to the disadvantage of the unwary. • These situations may also lead to government intervention. 39 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Markets and Income Distribution • There is sometimes a painful tradeoff between how much an economy can produce efficiently and how that output is distributed—the degree of equality. • There is no guarantee that the market economy will provide everyone with adequate amounts of food, shelter, and health care. 40 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Markets and Income Distribution • That is, not only does the market determine what goods are going to be produced, and in what quantities, but it also determines the distribution of output among members of society. • This equity argument can generate some sharp disagreements, as what seems “fair” to one person may seem highly “unfair” to someone else. 41 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The Circular Flow Model • Product markets are the markets in which households are buyers and firms are sellers of goods and services. • Factor or input markets are markets in which households sell the use of their inputs (capital, land, labor and entrepreneurship) to firms. • In the factor markets, households are the sellers and firms are the buyers. • Wages, rents, interest, and profit are the payments for labor, land, capital and entrepreneurship. 42 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The Circular Flow Model • Income flows from firms to households (factor markets), and spending flows from households to firms (product markets). • This simple circular flow model shows how households and firms interact in product markets and factor markets and how the two markets are interrelated. 43 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. © FRANCES TWITTY/ISTOCKPHOTO.COM / © BILL NOLL/ISTOCKPHOTO.COM Exhibit 1.1: The Circular Flow Diagram 44 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The Circular Flow Model: Example • Suppose a teacher’s supply of labor generates personal income in the form of wages (the factor market), which she can use to buy automobiles, vacations, food, and other goods (the product market). • Suppose she buys an automobile (product market); the automobile dealer now has revenue to pay for his inputs (factor market)—wages to workers, purchase of new cars to replenish his inventory, rent for his building, and so on. 45 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 3 46 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Economic Theory 47 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 4 SECTION 4 QUESTIONS 48 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Economic Theories THEORIES statements or propositions used to explain and predict behavior in the real world 49 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. • Because of the complexity of human behavior, economists must abstract to focus on the most important components of a particular problem. • This is similar to maps that highlight the important information (and assume away many of the minor details) to help people get from here to there. © CARINA LOCHNER/ISTOCKPHOTO.COM / © JAMI GARRISON/ISTOCKPHOTO.COM Abstraction 50 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Developing a Testable Proposition • A hypothesis in economic theory is a testable proposition that makes some type of prediction about behavior in response to certain changes in conditions based on our assumptions. • For example, if the price of CDs increases, we can hypothesize that fewer CDs will be sold. 51 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Empirical Analysis EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS the use of data to test a hypothesis • Empirical analysis is applied to determine whether a hypothesis fits well with the facts. If an economic hypothesis is supported by the data, we can tentatively accept it as an economic theory. 52 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The Ceteris Paribus Assumption CETERIS PARIBUS holding all other things constant • Virtually all theories in economics are expressed using a ceteris paribus assumption. • For example, the theory that if you study harder you will perform better on a test must carefully hold other things constant. What if you studied so hard you overslept or you were too sleepy to think clearly? Or what if you studied the wrong material? 53 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Predicting on a Group Level • Economics, like the other social sciences, is concerned with reaching generalizations about human behavior. – Observation and prediction are harder in economics than in physical sciences. • Prediction on a group level – Looking at the behaviors of a large group allows economists to discern general patterns of actions. 54 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Two Branches of Economics: Microeconomics and Macroeconomics • Two main branches of economics are microeconomics and macroeconomics. • Microeconomics deals with the smaller units within the economy. • It attempts to understand the decision-making behavior of firms and households and their interaction in markets for particular goods or services. 55 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Two Branches of Economics: Microeconomics and Macroeconomics • Macroeconomics is the study of the aggregate, or total economy. • It looks at economic problems as they influence the whole of society, including the topics of inflation, unemployment, business cycles, and economic growth. • Microeconomics looks at the trees; macroeconomics looks at the forest. 56 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 4 57 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Pitfalls to Avoid in Scientific Thinking 58 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 5 SECTION 5 QUESTIONS 59 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Confusing Correlation and Causation • One must always be careful not to confuse correlation with causation. • The fact that two events usually occur together (correlation) does not necessarily mean that one caused the other to occur (causation). • Does a rooster’s crowing cause the sun to rise? Why are ice cream sales and crime positively correlated? People drive slowly when roads are icy—are lower speeds the cause of increased accidents? Or do icy roads lead to lower speeds and more accidents? 60 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The Fallacy of Composition • Fallacy of composition—the incorrect view that what is true for the individual is always true for the group. • For example, standing up at a football game or a concert to see better only works if others do not do the same thing. How about getting to school early to get a better parking spot? What if everybody gets up early to get a better parking spot? 61 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 5 62 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Positive and Normative Economics 63 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 6 SECTION 6 QUESTIONS 64 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Positive and Normative Statements • Economists are asked to explain the world as scientists and improve the world as policy advisers. Positive analysis deals with factual statements trying to explain the world. Normative analysis deals with value judgments trying to improve the world. 65 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Positive and Normative Statements • Positive statement—an objective, testable statement that describes what happens and why it happens. • Normative statement—a subjective, contestable statement that attempts to describe what should be done. • For example, should the government give “free” prescription drugs to seniors? Or should the government increase spending in the space program? 66 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Disagreement is Common in Most Disciplines • The majority of disagreements in economics stem from normative issues. • However, there is some disagreement over positive analysis—there may be mixed empirical evidence or insufficient information. 67 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Economists Do Agree • Most economists agree on a wide range of issues including the effects of rent control, import tariffs, export restrictions, the use of wage and price controls to curb inflation, and the minimum wage. 68 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Section 6 69 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Why Study Economics? 70 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Why Study Economics? • Many of the things that concern us are at least partly economic in character. • The study of economics helps improve our understanding of these concerns. • Economics gives us clues on how to intelligently evaluate options. • It helps develop a disciplined method of thinking about problems. 71 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Economics Is All Around Us • The economic way of thinking. – Causes those in many types of fields to ask the right kind of questions. • Economics won’t necessarily make you richer, but it may keep you from making some decisions that would make you poorer. 72 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working Appendix with Graphs 73 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. APPENDIX Working with Graphs Graphs are an important economic tool. They: • Allow economists to better understand the workings of the economy and • Enhance the understanding of important economic relationships. 74 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.2: Plotting a Graph 75 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Types of Graphs Four common types of graphs: • Pie charts • Bar graphs • Time series graphs • Scatter diagrams 76 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.3a: Pie Chart—Tax Revenues— Federal Government, 2009 SOURCE: Economic Report of the President, 2010. Statistical Tables. Table B-80. Washington, D.C., February 2010. Available at http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/tables10.html (accessed March 25, 2010). 77 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.3b: Bar Graph—U.S. Unemployment, by Sex and Age SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, Employment Situation Summary Table A. Washington, D.C., March 5, 2010. Available at http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.a.htm (accessed March 25, 2010). 78 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.3c: Time-Series Graph—Inflation in the United States, 1913–2009 SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, Table Containing History of CPI-U U.S. All Items Indexes and Annual Percent Changes from 1913 to Present. Washington, D.C., March 18, 2010. Available at ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/cpi/cpiai.txt (accessed March 25, 2010). 79 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.3d: Scatter Diagram—Saving Rates and GDP Growth SOURCE: World Bank, World Development Report, 1996, Oxford University Press, 1996. Republished with permission of the World Bank; permission conveyed through Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. 80 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Relationships Between Two Variables • Graphs can be used to show the relationship between two variables. • A variable is something that is measured by a number, such as your height. • Relationships between two variables can be expressed in a simple two-dimensional graph. 81 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs • A positive relationship means that two variables move in the same direction. • An increase in one variable (practice time) is accompanied by an increase in another variable (overall score), or a decrease in one variable is accompanied by a decrease in another variable. Exhibit 1.4: A Positive Relationship 82 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs • • • • When two variables move in different directions, there is a negative relationship between the two variables. When one variable rises, the other variable falls. A downward-sloping line, the demand curve, shows the different combinations of price and quantity purchased. The higher you go up on the vertical (price) axis, the smaller the quantity purchased on the horizontal axis, and the lower you go down along the vertical (price) axis, the greater the quantity purchased. Exhibit 1.5: A Negative Relationship 83 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Relationships Between Three Variables • Even when only two variables are shown on the axes, graphs can be used to show the relationship between three variables. • For example, a rise in income may increase the quantity of CDs purchased at each possible price. • This would shift the whole demand curve for CDs outward to a new position. 84 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.6a: Shifting a Curve – Demand Curve with Higher Income 85 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.6b: Shifting a Curve – Demand Curve with Lower Income 86 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Shifts versus Movements • It is important to remember the difference between a movement up and down along a curve and a shift in the whole curve. • A change in one of the variables on the graph, such as price or quantity purchased, will cause a movement along the curve. • A change in one of the variables not shown, such as income in our example, will cause the whole curve to shift. 87 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs • Going from Point A to B indicates movement along a demand curve. • Going from D1to D2 is a shift. Exhibit 1.7: Shifts versus Movements 88 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Slope • The slope, or steepness, of curves is defined as the ratio of rise (change in the Y variable) over run (change in the X variable). • A curve that is downward sloping represents an inverse, or negative, relationship between the two variables. • A curve that is upward sloping represents a direct, or positive, relationship between the two variables. 89 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Slope • A downward-sloping curve represents a negative relationship between two variables. • An upward-sloping curve represents a positive relationship between two variables. 90 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.8a: Downward-Sloping Linear Curve 91 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.8b: Upward-Sloping Linear Curve 92 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Slope: Linear Curves • The slope of a linear curve between two points measures the relative rates of change of two variables. 93 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.9: Slopes of Positive and Negative Curves 94 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Slope: Nonlinear Curves • Along a nonlinear curve, the slope varies from point to point. • However, we can find the slope of such a curve at any point by finding the slope of the tangent to that curve at that point. 95 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Working with Graphs Exhibit 1.10: Slopes of a Nonlinear Curve 96 ©2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.