Summary Strategic Marketing Management 2010 4.1: Organizational Learning & Knowledge Management Some Basic Terminology: Individual vs. organizational learning Organizational learning assumes individual learning. But individual learning is an insufficient condition for organizational learning. Individual is een deel van organizational learning ( samen met technological, administration etc ). More than the sum of the parts. Single-loop learning vs. double-loop learning Single-loop (adaptive learning) = aannemen vanuit de omgeving en het bedrijf zelf Double-loop (generative learning)= het zelf opwekken / onderzoeken van ‘leermomenten’ Explicit vs. tacit learning Explicit = tangible knowledge, representations like manuals, operating procedures, administrative forms, work routines Tacit = example: how to ride a bike; this can only be learned through personal experimentation - Low codifiability= moeilijk om kennis te structureren in regels die makkelijk gecommuniceerd kunnen worden. transfer of tacit knowledge behoeft training, interactie en educatie Know-how = how things get done, (requires frequent social interaction, education, training) High complexity: wetenschappelijk, moeilijker meetbaar ( i.t.t. explicit knowledge ) The learning process: Information: 1. Acquisition: kennis binnen halen, formal market research, competitive intelligence, informal collection of information, satisfaction surveys etc. 2. Dissemination: formal cross-functional teams, trainings, presentations etc, or informal social interaction 3. Shared interpretation: conflict resolution & information exchange by organizing formal meetings, discussing alternative options. 4. Utilization: behavioural change, gebruik van kennis / toepassen o Conceptual: recognizing the importance of information, giving meaning to information. o Instrumental: direct use in marketing-strategic activities: making, implementing or evaluating marketing decisions. Tools for the learning organisation Marketing Management Support Systems (MMSS) = software that helps in translating hard data into meaningful information through summary statistics, equations, graphs, trends etc, that may facilitate decision making. MMSS can help because of: problem recognition, selecting a problem-solving approach, evaluating options and choices. MMSS: analytical optimization: if much structured data is available for the problem and stable market ORAC model: distinguish 4 different marketing problem-solving modes: - Optimizing ( looking for optimal solution ) - Reasoning ( using mental models ) - Analogizing ( start from prior experience and solutions ) - Creating ( think out of box ) ORAC: relies on reasoning and analogizing, sales force planning, media planning, sales promotion planning. 4.2: Entrepreneurial decision making Decision-making theory = Analytic and systematic approach to the study of decision making Good decision: based on logic, uses all available information, considers all possible alternatives, applies appropriate quantitative techniques 6 steps: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Define the problem List the alternatives Identify possible outcomes taking into account the ‘state of nature’ List the payoffs Select a quantitative decision model Apply the model to select a strategy Decision making under uncertainty Game theory Game theory = considers the impact of the strategies of competing firms on our own strategy outcome !!! Game theory = beslissing nemen op game theoretische afwegingen. Hoe dat je het kan gebruiken & toepassen als manager 5.3: Irrational or “myopic” managerial behaviour Cognitive biases in decision making Consumers, investors and entrepreneurs are assumed to be rational in their decision making. But our decisions are often biased, irrational choices. Confirmation bias = tendency to search for confirming information to lower dissonance Dissonance theory = avoid dissonant information, search for confirming information Escalation bias = tendency to continue investing in a strategy, despite negative feedback Often in high commitment, examples: bad marriages, waiting for a bus. Escalation is reinforced by: internal & external justification, sunk cost, reason for negative feedback, Escalation is reduced by: more information, use analytic or systematic approach to evaluate, establish a rule a priori that determines when to stop, sequential decision declouping. Myopia and selective perception = 1. The tendency to overlook distant times: decisions that favour short-term returns at the expense of long-term firm performance 2. The tendency to overlook distant places: overemphasize effects that occur near the decision maker. 3. Tendency to overlook failures: firms oversample successes and undersample failures. Program a: 200 people will be saved of 600. Program b: 1/3 probability that 600 will be saved and 2/3 probability nobody will be saved. Framing bias = contextual and presentation biases emerge when people make different decisions as a function of how information is presented to them, even though the substance of the information is unchanged. Hoe vertel je het. 10% vet or 90% fat-free, 60% probability being profitable or 40% probability being unprofitable. 3 robust context effects: 1. Compromise effect = predicts that a product obtains a relatively larger utility and choice probability when it become an intermediate or compromise in the assortment. (lowest costs ) 2. Similarity or substitution effect = adding a new product decreases the utility of the products similar to it; choice probabilities will decrease disproportionally more for products similar to the new product. 3. Attraction effect = adding a new product enhances the utility and choice probabilities of the relatively superior option it is most similar to. Causal attribution = social psychology theory about how people explain the cause of actions and results. Attribute good performance to internal factors, attribute bad performance to external factors. Myopic marketing behaviour = kortzichtig - - Put more weight on long-term market outcomes in managers compensation package () customer satisfaction ) Increase the amount of information disclosure about performance-relevant assets Better understanding of various marketing metrics and the incremental information they provide over traditional accounting measures (what marketing metrics provide information about future performance that is not already contained in current-term accounting measures?) Developing better models and understanding what managerial incentives lead to myopic marketing decisions 5.1 Innovations & pioneer advantages 5.2 Innovation development 5.3 Innovation commercialization Diffusion = process by which an innovation is communicated through certain channels over time among the members of a social system. Purpose of diffusion models = forecast the life-cycle curve of a new product vategory; depict the successive increase in number of adopters. The Bass Diffusion Model : Innovators: consumers influenced by mass-media communication only (=external influence) Imitators: consumers influenced by word-of-mouth communication only (=internal influence); late adopters learn from early adopters. Lecture 6: Environmental Turbulence 6.1 Marketing Strategies in a Turbulent Environment: A Unifying Framework Turbulence can be good: On the output side can lead to more impactful marketing strategies On the input side improvisation and flexibility can lead to competitive advantage, managing uncertainty is possible. Managing project uncertainty: Managers can’t predict the future, but accurately gauging the degree of uncertainty inherent in their projects can help them to quickly adapt to it. Managing uncertainty types: balance between planning & learning Variation: insert (time & financial ) buffers Foreseen turbulence: alternative paths to project goals Unforeseen turbulence: ability to build in new decision tree Chaos: ability to continuously redefine the project’s goals 3 dimensions of environmental uncertainty or turbulence: Outcome, Input, Impact. 6.2 Economic contractions & consumer behaviour Business cycle fluctuations are more pronounced in durables’ expenditures: 1. 2. 3. 4. Because of big investment decision Consumers can more easily postpone or delay their acquisition Durables are often quite expensive Companies’ reactions during recessions may reinforce cyclical sensitivity. Why are some industries more cyclical than others? 1. Pricing practice in durable industries enhances cyclical sensitivity 2. Time saving convenience goods are less sensitive to business cycle fluctuations than leisure durables 3. Replacement purchases are less sensitive to business cycle fluctuations. Consumers switch rapidly National Brand Private Label but gradually PL NB (=steepness) Consumers switch more extensively National Brand Private Label than PL NB (=deepness) Conclusions: 1. 2. 3. 4. Private Label behaves countercyclical Private Label increases faster than it drops Private Label share increases more extensively than it drops The growth effect of a contraction (krimping van ecomonie) is partly permanent 6.3 Economic contractions & firm behaviour Innovation in recession: less innovation Advertising in recession: as budget of sales percentage, less advertising clutter (for higher marginal revenue), less advertising less sales, marketing = flexible cost, less advertising brand less distinctiveness and more substitutable Price: (cost, competition, consumer): if price premium NB would decrease in recession, consumers can save on their grocery expenses without trading down to Private Label alternatives. Reducing Price Gap of NB regarding PL PLS ↓ Promotion in recession: can generate revenue (faster), budget shifts from advertising to promotion. Cutting promotions in recession Private Label Share ↑ General: innovations, advertising and promotions are reduced. Only prices are maintained the same. Managerial recommendations during contractions: Innovation: invest more in innovative NPI’s instead of less-innovative NPI’s Advertising: do not cut advertising budgets Price: temporary reduce the price gap Promotions: temporary increasing promotions prevents consumers from trying the Private Labels Why more Private Labels: 1. 2. 3. 4. Quality increase of PL Concentrating in retailing sector More product categories with PLs Increasing use of price promotions 7.1 From goods-selling to services-oriented marketing The Goods-Centered paradigm: goods-centered model of exchange, commodity exchange, mass communication, tangible resources. Marketing is concerned mostly with the production & distribution of physical goods at a profit. The Relationship-Centered paradigm: relationship-centered model of exchange. Customer loyalty, satisfaction, retention, trust & commitment. It refers to all marketing activities directed towards establishing, developing, and maintaining successful relational exchange. The Service-Centered paradigm: service-centered model of exchange. View products as kind of “service delivery” to the customer, integrates goods with services. Competitive advantage & superior performance enhanced through services and relationship efforts. Intangibles, dynamics. 7.2 Service Marketing Service Characteristics: 1. Intangibility: services are performances, cannot be seen, felt, tasted or touched. 2. Inseparability of production and consumption: services are first sold, and then produced and consumed simultaneously. 3. Heterogeneity / non-standardization: variability of performance due to producer-, customer-, time-related factors. 4. Perishability: unoccupied capacity = lost to the firm synchronize supply & demand Expanded marketing mix: Process: The actual procedures, mechanisms and flow of activities by which the service is delivered. The service delivery and operating systems. Physical evidence: The environment in which the service is delivered and where the firm and customer interact, and any tangible components that facilitate performance or communication of the service. People: All human actors who play a part in the service delivery and thus influence the buyers perceptions?: namely, the firms personnel, the customer and other costumers in the service environment. Differences service firms: 1. 2. 3. 4. Targeted customer group ( individual vs. Institutions ) Geographic spread (local vs. (inter) national ) Benefit duration to the customer (short vs. long-term) Need for customer presence during service production (high vs. low) 7.3 Service quality assessment Key Factors leading to gap 5: Word-of-mouth communication & Personal needs & Past experience expected service Model helps to predict, generate & identify key factors that cause the gap to be (un)favourable to the service firm in meeting customer expectations. SERVQUAL measures perceived quality (attitude, judgment of consumers) Servqual 5 Super Dimensions: TANGIBLES => Appearance of physical facilities, equipment, personnel, and written materials EMPATHY => Caring, individualized attention given to customers RELIABILITY => Ability to perform the promised service dependably and accurately RESPONSIVENESS => Willingness to help customers and provide prompt service 8ASSURANCE => Employee’s knowledge and courtesy and their ability to inspire trust and confidence - Servqual bestaat uit objectieve vragen. Ze zijn beschrijvend en meetbaar. (Hoeveel wc rollen liggen er bij het toilet. Zit er een schoonmaakrooster bij het toilet) - Servqual meet alleen percepties! 8.1 Consumer & social networks Online network advantage over tv viewers or magazine readers: Users tend to be more highly involved in electronic networks Electronic networking sites collect information that is of high commercial value Value of the network structure pattern of person-to-person ties Dyad = a pair of actors Triad = subset of 3 actors A: balanced B: not balanced C: balanced D: not balanced Network position: centrality Degree centrality: direct ties an actor has Betweenness centrality: times that a focal actor occurs on the shortest path or geodesic between all pairs of actors in a network. Closeness centrality: average shortest distance between a focal actor and all other actors in the network. Strength of weak ties: weak ties may prohibit transfer of complex and tacit knowledge, which requires intensive interaction (ability to transfer) and positive valence (a good understanding willingness to transfer) Linking disconnected parts in the network provides acces to non-redundant information and it provides brokerage avantages. The broker can exploit its position and only selectively share information or play other actors against one another. Example: Microsoft as only link between user & software supplier. Horizontal connectivity = networks pertaining to customers and potential customers only, such as Facebook, MSN, Hyves. Vertical connectivity = networks pertaining to actors occupying a different location in the industry value chain, such as patient-physician network, buying groups in European grocery retailing. 8.2 Leveraging horizontal connectivity Where do new media make a difference: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. The connected customer: myspace, facebook. Influence on NPD: crowd sourcing Influence on search behaviour: social bookmarking Influence on evaluation: review sites Influence on adoption: viral marketing (electronic buzz) Influence on loyalty: brand communities Social Contagion = (virus) phenomenon that actors are influenced in their behaviour through exposure to other actors’ knowledge, attitude, or behaviour (imitation).. Examples social contagion: 10.000 copies of the Da Vinci Code were delivered to influential readers. Hotmail’s get your free e-mail account appended to the bottom of every outgoing email. 3 basic requirements for social network campaigns to work: 1. Er is social contagion tussen consumenten 2. Er zijn consumenten die veel invloed uit kunnen oefenen op anderen. (mbt het kopen van producten) 3. Bedrijven kunnen deze mensen identificeren en bereiken Role of opinion leaders, ideally combine 4 characteristics: 1. 2. 3. 4. Interested in and up to date about new products Being early adopters Having a central location in the network Talk about new products Network-based marketing practices: 1. Buzz-marketing = marketing campaign that exploits the power of customer word-ot-mouth and social networks. 2. Viral marketing = (electronic buzz, online word-of-mouth) = any strategy that encourages to pass on a marketing message to others through the internet, creating the potential to exponential growth in the message’s exposure and influence. (Hotmail, Facebook). 3. Brand (online) Communities = a specialized, non-geographically bound community, based on social relations among admirers of a brand (or neighbourhood, occupation, leisure pursuit). Brand Community exhibits: 1. 2. 3. 4. Centre around a brand. Connection that members feel Social practices Moral responsibility 2 types of brand communities: 1. Small group brand communities: much social interaction with small group of friends, beyond online social interaction, strong identification with the group as well as the brand, groupreferent values (social enhancement). Example: “Harley Owners Groups”. 2. Network-based virtual communities: interaction less important, participation driven by functional goals, limited to online interaction, self-referent values (purposive, self-discovery). Building brand communities, how to keep communities vital and growing: Use market research as a barometer Give members reason to meet Protect your community Create conversations Think like a customer