October 8, 2011 Quarterly Meeting Administrative Presentation President’s Welcome • Thanks to Scott Kaufmann, Ken Bonham & Lucid Agency for Hosting • Congratulations to the recently married – Shane Thompson – Michael Barber – Chuck Coolidge • Individual conversations with all members Currently Serving Officers • • • • • • • President – Dan Corey Vice President – Shane Thompson Secretary – Justen Leicht Treasurer – Michael Barber Portfolio Manager – Mike McDonald Sergeant-at-Arms – Chuck Coolidge Technology Officer – Michael Vargas President’s Welcome (con’t) • Goals – Clearer understanding of risk – Understand risk tolerance of group – Standardize processes • • • • Keynote speakers wanted Bios Proposed meeting dates (on agenda) No keynote speaker this meeting; we are going to focus on the portfolio Vice-President’s Update Shane Thompson: Vice President Contributions 1820 Contributions $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $Meeting 1 Meeting 2 Meeting 1 Meeting 2 Meeting 3 Meeting 4 Meeting 1 Meeting 2 Meeting 3 Meeting 4 Meeting 1 Meeting 2 Meeting 3 Meeting 4 2008 2009 2010 2011 Treasurer’s Update • Treasurer: Michael Barber Q4 Income Statement • 4th Quarter Dues – $4,881.68 Investment @ 90% $4,393.51 • TTM $30.92 • WFC $11.52 • IBM $13.50 • RRC $2.60 • SLW $4.23 • TLM Sale $1,886.24 • TMV Sale $1,754.37 • ERX Sale $1,849.53 ____________________________________ TOTAL TO STOCK PICK $9,945.82 TOTAL TO MONEY MARKET $488.16 Buys / Expenditures Purchased 20 RIMM @ $20.27 ($555.39) Purchased 62 LULU @ $62.71 ($3,898.01) Commission of Transactions ($49.95) SLW Foreign Tax Withheld ($.63) Sells / Income Sold 93 TLM @ $20.39 $1,886.24 Sold 103 TMV @ $17.1301 $1,754.37 Sold 49 ERX @ $37.9501 $1,849.52 Balances • TD Ameritrade Money Market $4,998.38 • Comerica Bank $4,772.14 • Total Investments $24,512.11 • Total Assets $34,232.63 Value of One 1820 Unit $14.279275 Portfolio Update Mike McDonald: Portfolio Manager Long-Term Portfolio Summary Name Emerging Markets Bull 3x Shares (EDC) Silver Wheaton (SLW) Range Resources Corp (RRC) TATA MOTORS LTD ADS (TTM) International Business Machines Corp (IBM) Ford Motor Company (F) Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. Cl (CTSH) lululemon athletica Inc (LULU) Research In Motion Ltd (RIMM) Shares Cost Basis Market Value 72 925.87 1,038.96 141 2,119.35 4,241.28 65 3,118.29 3,898.70 74 751.24 1,201.76 18 1,410.92 3,283.02 265 2,008.09 2,832.02 96 1,545.93 2,355.84 31 1,618.27 2,034.22 62 3,898.01 3,158.28 20 555.39 467.20 Percent of Portfolio 4.2% 17.3% 15.9% 4.9% 13.4% 11.6% 9.6% 8.3% 12.9% 1.9% $ 17,951.36 $ 24,511.28 100% Return Annual (%) IRR 12.2% 161% 100.1% 54% 25.0% 39% 60.0% 38% 132.7% 36% 41.0% 21% 52.4% 21% 25.7% 17% -19.0% -94% -15.9% -78% 36.5% Quarterly Performance Name Shares Direxion Daily Energy 3X Bull (ERX) 49 Direxion Daily 20-yr Trs 3X Bear (TMV) 103 Emerging Markets Bull 3x Shares (EDC) 72 Silver Wheaton (SLW) 141 Range Resources Corp (RRC) 65 TATA MOTORS LTD ADS (TTM) 74 International Business Machines Corp (IBM) 18 Ford Motor Company (F) 265 Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) 96 Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. Cl (CTSH) 31 lululemon athletica Inc (LULU) 62 Research In Motion Ltd (RIMM) 20 Market Value at 7/23/11 4,238.50 3,645.10 2,721.60 5,570.91 4,187.95 1,673.25 3,333.24 3,527.15 2,797.44 2,286.87 3,898.01 555.39 Highlights (relatively speaking) IBM Current Market Return Annual Value (%) IRR Strong Q2 – Raises 2011 1,849.52 -56.4% -270.7% Outlook 1,754.37 -51.9% -249.1% 1,038.96 -61.8% -296.9% RRC 4,241.28 -23.9% -114.6% Jumps on acquisition 3,898.70 -6.9% -33.2% speculation 1,201.76 -28.2% -135.3% Lowlights 3,283.02 -1.5% -7.2% 2,832.02 -19.7% -94.7% EVERYTHING ELSE 2,355.84 -15.8% -75.8% 2,034.22 -11.0% -53.1% 3,158.28 -19.0% -91.1% 467.20 -15.9% -76.3% $ 38,435.41 $ 28,115.17 -26.9% -129.0% Since our Last Meeting - 7/23/11 Summary of Sales Activity • Sold ERX and TMV – Decreased global demand has pushed oil prices down – Fed appears intent on keeping interest rates low Neither scenario is good for ERX or TMV = allocate capital elsewhere Potential Sell Recommendations • EDC – Exposure to Emerging Markets is good, but maybe in a different manner Party Fund • Value $467 • Analysis – Down 16% since we bought – outlook for BB not good. • Takeaway – Hopefully they make some drastic changes or are acquired by someone else. PERT Review • What is it? • How does it work? • What is it telling us? The PERT is not answer but another thing to consider. Technology Officer Update Secretary of 1820 Update Secretary: Justen Leicht Sergeant-At-Arms Update Sergeant at Arms: Chuck Coolidge Let the Meeting Proceed!