Yavapai County Jail Planning Services Presentation to: Yavapai County Board of Supervisors January 6, 2016 Review Scope of Work and Schedule Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 2 Review Scope of Work and Schedule Task 1: Meet with Project Advisory Committee Task 2: Analyze Criminal Justice System Data and Trends Task 3: Forecast Correctional System Needs to 2030 Task 4: Define Bed Space by Custody Categories Task 5: Assess Current Operations at Existing Jail Facilities Task 6: Evaluate Existing Jail Facilities Physical Plant and Capacities Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I A series of meetings with your Project Advisory Committee will result in fully understanding yours needs in detail, elicit participation in the proposed solutions, and demonstrate results within the project scope. 3 Review Scope of Work and Schedule Task 7: Define Appropriate Conditions of Confinement and Alternative Jail Management Concepts Task 8: Develop Operational Program Task 9: Develop Space Program Task 10: Prepare Conceptual Facility and Site Diagrams Task 11: Prepare Capital Cost Estimate Task 12: Prepare Draft & Final Report Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I We will analyze all components of inmate services and activities to determine the most appropriate locations given management concepts and spacial implications. 4 Criminal Justice System Assessment and Inmate Forecast Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 5 Criminal Justice System Assessment Demographic Trends • Total county population increased by 95.9% from 1990 to 2010 (a total increase of 103,319). • Total county population is projected to increase by 37.1% from 2010 to 2030 (a total increase of 78,348). • Projected population growth uses the Medium Series 2012 to 2050 population projections completed in 12/07/2012 by the Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics. Source: US Bureau of the Census & Arizona Office of Employment and Population Statistics. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 6 Criminal Justice System Assessment Law Enforcement Trends Table 1 LAW ENFORCEMENT TRENDS Yavapai County, Arizona 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 CRIME TRENDS Total Population 184,623 189,275 193,627 197,978 202,330 206,681 211,033 Reported Part I Crimes 7,008 6,775 6,324 6,271 5,863 5,252 5,001 Part I Crime Rate 38.0 35.8 32.7 31.7 29.0 25.4 23.7 LAW ENFORCEMENT TRENDS Total Arrests 11,932 12,912 12,950 12,874 11,979 11,924 9,795 Adult Arrests 9,914 10,729 10,623 10,545 9,884 9,470 7,580 Juvenile Arrests 2,018 2,183 2,327 2,329 2,095 2,454 2,215 Total Rate/1,000 pop. 64.6 68.2 66.9 65.0 59.2 57.7 46.4 Part I Arrests 1,503 1,491 1,508 1,559 1,313 1,453 1,349 Part I Rate per 1,000 pop. 8.1 7.9 7.8 7.9 6.5 7.0 6.4 Violent Offenses 304 297 360 366 290 286 281 % of Part I Arrests 20.2% 19.9% 23.9% 23.5% 22.1% 19.7% 20.8% Part II Arrests 10,429 11,421 11,442 11,315 10,666 10,471 8,446 Yavapai County -- VIOLENT CRIME ARREST PROFILE Violent Crime Arrests Murder 5 6 19 18 5 2 18 Forcible Rape 7 5 5 3 3 3 9 Robbery 21 6 31 28 23 14 14 Aggravated Assault 271 280 305 317 259 267 240 NOTES: (1) "Reported Crime" includes the Crime Index Offenses: Murder, Forcible Rape, Robbery, Aggravated Assault, Burglary, Larceny-Theft, Motor Vehicle Theft, and Arson. Data is by person; highest charge. (2) Crime Rate is the number of Crime Index Offenses reported for every 1,000 persons in the population. (3) Arrest rate is the number of arrests per 1,000 population. (4) "Violent Offenses" include Murder, Forcible Rape, Robbery, and Aggravated Assault. 2011 2012 2013 2014 214,721 5,381 25.1 218,409 5,142 23.5 222,097 4,793 21.6 225,785 5,785 25.6 Avg. Annual Increase (2004-2014) Percent Number 2.2% -1.7% -3.3% 4,116 -122 -1 9,571 7,488 2,083 44.6 1,416 6.6 314 22.2% 8,155 8,650 6,985 1,665 39.6 1,408 6.4 295 21.0% 7,242 8,989 7,225 1,764 40.5 1,317 5.9 255 19.4% 7,672 9,160 7,672 1,488 40.6 1,669 7.4 266 15.9% 7,491 -2.3% -2.3% -2.6% -3.7% 1.1% -0.9% -1.3% -2.1% -2.8% -277 -224 -53 -2 17 0 -4 0 -294 22 3 13 276 7 4 28 256 4 4 8 239 3 1 26 236 -4.0% -8.6% 2.4% -1.3% 0 -1 1 -4 Source: Arizona Department of Public Safety. • • • • The Yavapai County Crime Rate decreased by 32.6% overall during the 11-year period from 2004 to 2014. The Crime Rate peaked at 38 per 1,000 population in 2004. The Arrest Rate decreased by 37.2% overall during the 11-year period from 2004 to 2014. The Arrest Rate peaked at 68.2 per 1,000 population in 2005. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 7 Criminal Justice System Assessment Law Enforcement Trends Source: Arizona Department of Public Safety. • In 2014, Part I Property Offenses represented the highest percentage (13%) of arrests, followed by Drug Abuse Violations and Simple Assault at 10% each. • The All Other Offenses category includes all of the other Part II offenses (91% falls under the "All Other, Except Traffic" offense classification). • Disorderly Conduct, Vandalism, Drug Abuse Violations, DUI and Liquor Law Offenses combined account for 35% of all arrests. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 8 Criminal Justice System Assessment Superior Court Trends Source: Yavapai County, Arizona Superior Court. • The total percentage decrease in Criminal Case Filings during the 12-year period was 18.2%; actual number decrease was 452. Between FY13/14 and FY14/15 there was a 11% increase in Criminal Case Filings. • Criminal Case Filings peaked at 3,092 in FY06/07, while dispositions peaked at 3,008 in FY07/08. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 9 Criminal Justice System Assessment Superior Court Trends Source: Yavapai County Arizona Superior Court. • In FY14/15, Drug Offenses represented the highest percentage (42%) of all new filings, followed by Other Property offenses at 19%. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 10 Criminal Justice System Assessment Superior Court Trends Treatment Courts Program Year Table 2 Drug Court and DUI Courts Yavapai County, Arizona # of New Participants # of Participants Accepted who Graduated Graduation Rate FY2014 (1) 103 23 22% FY2013 (2) 108 46 43% FY2012 112 62 55% FY2011 71 34 Totals 394 165 Notes: (1) 33 of the 103 new participants accepted are still active in the program. (2) 2 of the 108 new participants accepted are still active in the program. 48% 42% Source: Yavapai County Treatment Courts. • The program takes approximately 1½ years to complete. All of the participants are high-risk, highneed offenders who would be in jail or prison. • The recidivism rate for graduates is extremely low, with a 91% success rate 3-years after graduation (defined as no felony convictions). • Yavapai County also has Mental Health and Family Treatment Courts. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 11 Criminal Justice System Assessment Justice Court Trends Source: Arizona Court Services Division. • All three categories of criminal case filings decreased, with Criminal Traffic filings experiencing the highest decrease - 33.1%. • The total percentage decrease in Limited Jurisdictions Criminal Filings during the 10-year period was 19.7%; actual number decrease was 4,810. • Limited Jurisdictions Criminal Case Filings peaked at 28,245 in FY06/07. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 12 Criminal Justice System Assessment Justice Court Trends Source: Arizona Court Services Division. • Over half (53%) of the Criminal Case Filings in Limited Jurisdiction Courts in FY13/14 were Misdemeanor offenses. • Only 11% of Criminal Case Filings in Limited Jurisdiction Courts are for felony offenses. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 13 Criminal Justice System Assessment Justice Court Trends Source: Arizona Court Services Division. • The Prescott Justice Court had the highest number of total filings, followed by Verde Valley. • These two courts accounted for 50% of the total Yavapai County Justice Court filings in FY13/14. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 14 Criminal Justice System Assessment Public Defender and County Attorney Trends Table 3 Public Defender Cases Yavapai County, Arizona FY 10/11 FY 11/12 FY 12/13 FY 13/14 FY 14/15 1,650 1,703 1,552 1,756 2,003 5.3% Misdemeanor 337 331 401 398 373 2.7% Probation Violation 458 517 524 566 769 17.0% Other 172 191 220 227 221 7.1% 2,617 2,742 2,697 2,947 3,366 7.2% Felony Total Cases Avg. Annual % Increase Source: Yavapai County Public Defender Office. Source: Yavapai County Attorney’s Office. • The total percentage increase in Public Defender Cases during the 5-year period was 28.6%; actual number increase was 749. • The total percentage increase in Felonies Filed during the 15-year period was 23.2%; actual number increase was 370. • Total Public Defender Cases peaked at 3,366 in FY14/15. • The total number of Felonies Filed peaked at 3,098 in 2007. • Probation Violation Cases increased by 67.9% during the 5-year period. • There are no front and pre-changing diversion or deferred prosecution programs operated by the County Attorney’s Office. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 15 Criminal Justice System Assessment Probation Trends Source: Yavapai County Probation Department. • The Probation report format changed several times prior to FY08/09, and therefore trends prior to that timeframe are not reliable or consistent. • Probationers added decreased by 4% between FY08/09 and FY13/14. Total probationers at year end decreased by 13% during the same timeframe. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 16 Criminal Justice System Assessment Probation Trends • Table 4 Number of Total Revocations FY 13-FY 15 by County and State Probation revocations increased by 42.8% in Yavapai County between FY13 and FY15. FY13 FY14 % Change FY13-FY15 FY15 Apache 36 49 33 -8.3% Cochise 140 114 77 -45.0% Coconino 70 94 151 115.7% Gila 86 68 68 -20.9% Graham 75 71 84 12.0% Greenlee 8 18 11 37.5% 15 32 12 -20.0% 2,254 2,918 3,438 52.5% Mohave 239 246 233 -2.5% Navajo 89 117 142 59.6% Pima 743 778 876 17.9% Pinal 461 353 312 -32.3% 46 31 31 -32.6% Yavapai 257 288 367 42.8% Yuma 244 277 238 -2.5% La Paz Maricopa Santa Cruz Statewide 4,763 5,454 6,073 27.5% Source: Arizona Adult Probation, Safer Communities Report, FY 2015. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 17 Criminal Justice System Assessment Jail Trends-Yavapai County Inmates Only • • • The total percentage increase in Average Daily Population without USMO contract inmates during the 11-year period was 1.2%; actual number increase was 6. Average Daily Population without USMO contract inmates peaked at a monthly average of 586 in 2007. Table 5 AVERAGE DAILY POPULATION (without USMO) Yavapai County, Arizona 2005 January February March April May June July August September October November December 465 484 480 463 484 479 484 491 510 505 523 527 2006 542 531 510 545 519 498 497 509 485 498 488 458 Monthly Average 491 507 Hi Month 527 545 Lo Month 463 458 Peaking Rate 7.3% 7.6% Average Annual Rate of Change (2005-2015) Percent Change per Yr: Actual # Change per Yr: 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 536 560 577 616 634 606 609 620 627 589 544 514 519 552 536 514 526 517 525 529 539 502 475 438 437 449 487 450 456 435 425 444 470 448 440 430 456 454 470 444 453 436 440 429 441 422 433 411 406 410 406 411 420 452 471 454 464 473 465 431 453 481 470 440 445 452 463 477 473 468 472 454 456 449 456 446 454 472 477 505 515 510 504 491 494 481 475 473 458 480 476 473 494 513 494 452 467 476 497 483 479 494 529 542 506 586 634 514 8.2% 514 552 438 7.3% 448 487 425 8.8% 441 470 411 6.6% 439 473 406 7.8% 462 481 440 4.0% 478 515 446 7.8% 480 513 452 6.8% 497 542 467 9.1% 0.1% 0.6 Source: Yavapai County Sherriff's Office, Detention Services Division. Average daily population of US Marshall inmates peaked at 110 in 2011, but has fallen to zero inmates by 2015. Source: Yavapai County Sheriff’s Office, Detention Services Division. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 18 Criminal Justice System Assessment Jail Population Profile Table 6 INMATE POPULATION PROFILE - October 21, 2015 Yavapai County Number Sex: Male Female % of Total Total 378 99 477 79.2% 20.8% 100.0% Total 3 17 22 435 477 0.6% 3.6% 4.6% 91.2% 100.0% Total 1 95 164 109 65 43 477 0.2% 19.9% 34.4% 22.9% 13.6% 9.0% 100.0% Race: Asian/Pacific Islander Black Indian/Eskimo White Age: < 18 18 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 and older Source: Yavapai County Sheriff's Office, Detention Services Division. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 19 Criminal Justice System Assessment Jail Population Profile Based on a snapshot profile of the inmate population, 73% of the population is in pretrial status, and 26% are County or State sentenced inmates. Over 40% of inmate population has been in jail for over 60 days, with nearly a third of the population in jail for over 100 days. Based on all offenses of the inmate population on November 4, 2015, drug, DUI and property offenses combined account for 30% of all offenses. Violent offenses account for 11.8% of all offenses. Table 7 STATUS & OFFENSE PROFILE - NOVEMBER 4, 2015 Inmate Population = 501 Yavapai County Number % of Total Status: Pretrial 366 73.1% Sentenced > County Sentenced 95 19.0% > State Sentenced 35 6.9% Other 5 1.0% Total Length of Stay: 7 Days or Less 8 - 14 Days 15 - 21 Days 22 - 28 Days 29 - 59 Days 60 - 99 Days 100 Days or More Offense1: Drug Charges Homicide DUI Property Crime Sex Crime Sex - Violence Violence Weapons Not Listed Total Total 501 100.0% 97 55 37 29 73 63 147 19.3% 11.0% 7.4% 5.8% 14.6% 12.6% 29.3% 501 100.0% 158 23 53 133 34 10 104 41 609 13.6% 2.0% 4.5% 11.4% 2.9% 0.9% 8.9% 3.5% 52.3% 1,165 100.0% Note: (1) All Charges. Source: Chinn Planning, Inc. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 20 Criminal Justice System Assessment Jail Population Profile Based on a one day snapshot of the jail population, 60% of the population had no bond set, and 15% of the population had bonds set at less than $5,000. A further analysis of the inmate population with no bond set reveals that 20% of the total inmate population is in jail for violation of probation, 25% of the population is sentenced, and 15% of the population is in jail for high level charges with no bond set. Table 8 INMATE BAIL PROFILE - NOVEMBER 4, 2015 Inmate Population = 501 Yavapai County Number % of Total No Bond - Subtotal 301 60% > Sentenced 130 25% > Violation of Probation 102 20% > High Level Offense/No Bond Set 69 15% Bond Amount Set - Subtotal 200 40% > $1,000 or Less 39 8% > $1,001 or $4,999 38 7% > $5,000 or $9,999 21 4% > $10,000 or $49,999 68 14% > $50,000 or $99,999 19 4% > $100,000 or $499,999 14 3% > $500,000 or Higher 1 0% Total 501 100.0% Source: Chinn Planning, Inc. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 21 Criminal Justice System Assessment Jail Budget Table 9 Yavapai County Jail District Combined Revenues and Expenses Fiscal Years 2014/2015 2014/2015 Total Revenues $ 16,359,655.00 Total Operating Expenses $ 17,527,701.00 Net Income/Loss $ (1,168,046.00) Average Daily Population $ 486.00 Per Diem Cost $ 99.00 Note: (1) Operating Expense includes Jail District Election. Source: Yavapai County Administrator's Office. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 22 Criminal Justice System Assessment Jail Transportation Logistics and Costs Table 10 Y.C.S.O. Detention Services Division Transportation Bureau Cost by Function Section Cost For 2014 Calendar Year Prescott Court Services $702,610 Verde Court Services $642,890 Shuttle (Y.C.S.O. Facility Movement) $656,190 Shuttle (Extraditions) $332,410 New Booking Transports by Others $70,786 TOTAL $2,404,886 TOTAL COST PER INMATE MOVED $52 TOTAL COST PER MILE DRIVEN $10 Source: Yavapai County Sheriff’s Office, Detention Services Division. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 23 Criminal Justice System Assessment Summary System Assessment • Yavapai County population grew by 96% between 1990 and 2010. Projected population in the County is forecast to grow by 37% over the next 20 years, or roughly a third of the rate it grew in the previous 20 years. • Most of the measures that would typically impact on jail population (crime, arrest, and court filings) have decreased over the past ten years. • The vast majority of reported crime, arrests and court filings are for misdemeanor offenses, which includes many drug abuse violations, a substantial percentage of DUI and liquor law offenses, and other relatively minor offenses such as disorderly conduct, minor vandalism, traffic offenses, and minor property offenses. • In Superior Court 42% of all new filings in FY14/15 were for drug offenses. • Probation caseloads have decreased in the past five fiscal years. However, probation revocation in Yavapai County increased by 42% in the last two years and is now substantially above the statewide average. In the absence of alternative sanctions, increased revocations can lead to an increase in the jail population. In addition, probation violation cases handled by the Public Defender increased by 68% between FY10/11 and FY14/15. • There are very few alternatives to incarceration in Yavapai County. There are no pre-charging or pre-trial diversion programs, and the court supervised treatment programs currently in use occur at the “back end” (post-adjudication) rather than at the “front end” (pre-adjudication). Current treatment courts include mental health, substance abuse, DUI and Family Treatment Courts. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 24 Criminal Justice System Assessment Summary System Assessment (continued) • A pilot program to screen jail inmates for pre-trial release was just implemented in Prescott. However, there is no comprehensive pre-trial release screening conducted as part of the jail intake process. • Nationally, diversion programs are being implemented at all stages of the criminal justice process to reduce populations in custody and improve public safety by connecting defendants to treatment and other programs to reduce criminal activity. • Although the County contracted with the US Marshall’s Office for jail bed capacity between 2009 and 2014, there has been only one USMO inmate admission in 2015. At the peak of contracting (2011) the USMO inmate population averaged 110 inmates at the Camp Verde Jail. • The average daily population of Yavapai County inmates (no USMO contracts) has consistently averaged 450 to 500 inmates per year since 2010. Average monthly admissions of Yavapai County inmates grew by 1.9% per year between 2010 and 2015, while average length of stay grew by only .4% during the same time frame. • The jail population profile shows that 80% of the population is male, 91% of the population is white, 57% are between the ages of 24 to 44, 73% are in pretrial status, and 20% are in for violation of probation. Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 25 Inmate Population Forecast Inmate Population Forecast • Base Average Daily Population is 2015 average of 497. • The average of Forecasts 1, 3 and 7 is recommended for future planning purposes. • This results in a projected capacity need of 730 beds by 2035, which includes a peaking and classification factor of 20%. Table 11 INMATE POPULATION FORECAST MODELS 2020 Forecast 1 - Avg. Number Increase - 2005-2015 - .6/Year + 20% Peaking/Classification Bedspace Estimate Forecast 2 - Percentage Increase - 2005-2015 - .12%/Year + 20% Peaking/Classification Bedspace Estimate Forecast 3 - Incarceration Rate - 2.166 + 20% Peaking/Classification Bedspace Estimate Forecast 4 - Avg, Number Increase - 2010-2015 - 11.2/Year + 20% Peaking/Classification Bedspace Estimate Forecast 5 - Percentage Increase - 2010-2015 - 2.5%/Year + 20% Peaking/Classification Bedspace Estimate Forecast 6 - Inc. Rate Inc. - 2010-2015 - .076/year from 2.166 + 20% Peaking/Classification Bedspace Estimate Forecast 7 - Avg, Number Increase - 2010-2015 - 11.2/Year - 10% Population Reduction - Alternatives + 20% Peaking/Classification Bedspace Estimate Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 500 100 600 500 100 600 537 107 644 553 111 664 559 112 671 631 126 757 553 498 100 598 2025 503 101 604 503 101 604 584 117 701 609 122 731 629 126 755 789 158 947 609 548 110 658 2030 2035 506 509 101 102 607 611 506 509 101 102 607 611 627 665 125 133 752 798 665 721 133 144 798 865 708 796 142 159 850 955 957 1,132 191 226 1,148 1,358 665 721 599 649 120 130 719 779 Source: Chinn Planning, Inc. 26 Facilities Assessment Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 27 Facilities Assessment Camp Verde Facility Expansion Constraints Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 28 Facilities Assessment Camp Verde Facility Expansion Constraints Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 29 Facilities Assessment Gurley Street Facility Expansion Constraints Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 30 Facilities Assessment Gurley Street Facility Expansion Constraints Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 31 Facilities Assessment Gurley Street Facility Access Constraints Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 32 Facilities Assessment Camp Verde Facility Preliminary Summary • Access Limitations • Site Limitations • Not Feasible to Expand • Physical Plant Condition • Infrastructure Good • Security Systems Needs Work • Kitchen & Laundry Need Expansion Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 33 Facilities Assessment Gurley Street Facility Preliminary Summary • Prisoner Access/Safety Limitations • Not Feasible to Expand Jail • County Departments Need Office Space at Gurley Street • Physical Plant Condition • Infrastructure Good • Jail Systems Need Complete Replacement • Services from Camp Verde Jail Planning Services – Yavapai County, Arizona I 34