INNOVATE TO WIN The Indian Experience P Jayendra Nayak 1 Estimates of Market Share based on linear projection 100% CAGR 12.30% 20.90% 90% 25% 32.10% 17% 63.20% 15% 4.70% 80% 70% 60% 50% 80.20% 73.00% 40% 30% 20% 10% 7.50% 6.10% 0% 2000 2013 Foreign Banks Public Sector Banks 2025 Private Sector Banks The share of private sector banks has increased from 12% in 2000 to 21% in 2013 and, if linearly projected, will grow to 32% in 2025 2 Net interest Margin Avg. net interest margin (in % per annum Dec 2013) Private sector banks are performing better in terms of their NIMs. In 2013 the average NIM of private sector banks was 50 basis points higher than of the SBI group and 120 basis points higher than of other PSU banks. 3 Fee Income to total income in % The ratio of Fee income to total income has been highest for Private sector banks 4 Net Profit per employee Net profit per employee (INR mn) 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Highest manpower productivity in private sector banks Net profit per employee about four times that of other bank categories 5 Return on Assets The gap in RoA between the new private sector banks and other bank categories has steadily widened in recent years 6 Price to book ratio Public sector banks vs Private sector banks Price-to-book ratio Public Sector Banks vs. Private Sector Banks 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2008 2009 2010 Public Sector Banks 2011 2012 2013 Private Sector Banks The investors have rewarded the Private sector banks with about three times the valuations 7 Why did this happen? Four key drivers of success of new private sector banks Technology for Operational Efficiency Relationship Management Channels Key drivers of success of new private sector banks Innovation needs to be identified within these key drivers Automated Transactions Channels Sales & Distribution Channels 8 Outsourcing from the branch Centralized customer data & transactions processes Degree of centralization Typical new private Typical public sector bank sector bank Banking activities • Demand Draft / Pay Order issues 100% 100% • Account opening • Inward clearing queries • Cash reconciliation 80% • Payment of branch bills • Outward clearing data entry and verification 60% 60% • Internal transfers processing • Printing bulk Demand Drafts and Pay Orders • System related activities, e.g. commissions and charges 20% • Tax Deduction at Source (TDS) certificates • Select Inter Branch Reconciliation (IBR) transactions • Processing select customer requests, e.g. ATM cards, PIN mailers 10% 0% 10% 100% 0% 10% 50% 100% % of centralized activities 9 Private sector banks centralize customer transaction data Rapid growth in ATM and POS network Distribution of bank branches Point of Sale Terminal 325 44,535 14,638 338,276 749,309 83,888 Private Sector Public Sector Foreign Banks Private Sector Public Sector Foreign Banks Distribution of ATM networks 10,889 51,490 128,811 Private Sector Public Sector Foreign Banks Private sector banks have just 15% of the branch network, but 29% of ATMs They also account for 66% of the POS terminals. 10 Relationship managers for the Mass Affluent and Sales Force for Mass Customers New Private Sector Banks have made strong inroads into the mass affluent segment 100% 90% 80% 1% 2% 7% 3% 7% 26% 27% 70% 60% 50% 26% Annual household Income (INR p.a.) > 1,000,000 500,000 – 1,000,000 200,000 – 500,000 “Affluent” “Mass Affluent” 40% 30% 64% 20% 90,000 – 200,000 “Mass” 37% < 90,000 10% 0% Industry Typical Pvt Sector Bank 11 Insurance Premium Insurance premium volume (INR bn) 1,600 Insurance premium % 100% 80% 1,200 52 930 642 59 64 60% 736 800 40% 400 588 20% 516 527 FY14 FY15 48 41 36 0% 0 FY13 Public Sector Banks Private Sector Banks FY13 Public Sector Banks FY14 FY15 Private Sector Banks Share of insurance premium of public sector banks has been steadily decreasing. 12 Mutual Fund earnings Gross mutual fund earnings (INR mn 2014-15) 5,800 1,168 Private Sector 12,836 Public Sector Foreign Banks Private sector banks’ share is about 65% of the total mutual fund earnings 13 Cash management Cash Management throughput (INR bn) 100% 5,000 10,000 20,000 22,000 49,000 90% 80% 70% 60% 4,000 50% 40% 30% 4,000 11,000 20% 19,000 10% 0% 2002 2008 Foreign banks Pvt Sector Banks 2014 PSU Banks Private sector banks have seen an explosive growth in the provision of cash management services 14 Credit Cards Number of Credit Cards outstanding (Mn) Credit card spends (Rs in Mn) 30 25 4 26,834 20 4.3 63,578 15 12.5 12.1 10 5 100,577 1.2 8 4.8 0.8 0 1.5 2002 2008 Foreign Private Sector 2015 Foreign Private sector banks Public sector banks Public sector More than half of the total credit card spends are generated by the private sector banks 15 A Benign Regulator? The difference between medicine and poison is dosage Dog lovers and their pets soon begin to resemble one another....... ......So do zoo wardens and their wilder animals 16 THANK YOU 17