Ecology: Populations Organizational Hierarchy of Life Most Complex Least Complex biosphere ecosystem community population organism organ system organ tissue cell organelle macromolecule molecule atom sub-atomic particles Living Non-living Term Population Definition Community All populations in a common environment Organisms in community plus nonliving factors Ecosystem Biosphere Individuals of one species that occupy a given environment Zones of air, land and water at earth’s surface occupied by living things What Is a Population? All members of a particular species who live within an ecosystem and can potentially interbreed What Factors Influence Population Size? Change in population size = (births – deaths) + (immigrants – emigrants) Migration is often less of an influence than birth and death rates. What Factors Influence Birth and Death Rates? • Biotic potential – maximum rate at which population could increase, given ideal conditions • Environmental Resistance – limits on growth set by living and nonliving components of the environment What Factors Cause Exponential Growth? • Exponential Growth: number of individuals increases at a constant rate – continuously accelerating increase in size – occurs when a species is introduced into a new, unoccupied habitat – resources are unlimited – births consistently exceed deaths Exponential Growth Curve (J-curve) Occurs when biotic potential is unlimited What Factors Influence Biotic Potential? • Age of first reproduction • Frequency of reproduction • Average number of offspring produced with each reproductive event • Length of reproductive life span • Death rate of individuals under ideal conditions Exponential Growth Curve Affected by Start of Reproduction Reproduction began at 4 years (i) Reproduction began at 6 years (ii) Effect of Death Rates on Population Growth bacteria No deaths 10% die between doublings 25% die between doublings Exponential Growth Is Part of a Boom-and-Bust Population Cycle Cycle: Exponential growth when conditions are good (boom) Population rapidly declines when conditions are bad (bust) Lemming Population Cycles Population decline caused by overgrazing of tundra increasing numbers of predators social stress What Factors Limit Population Growth? Environmental Resistance is caused by • Density-Independent Factors – unrelated to population density – weather and other natural events – human activities, including pollution • Density-Dependent Factors – related to the number of individuals per given area – involve interactions within the community, including predation, parasitism, competition Population Cycles in Predators and Prey The S-Curve of Population Growth Number of Individuals (environmental resistance) Carrying Capacity (biotic potential) Equilibrium Exponential Growth Time 1800 Carrying Capacity Population Size 1600 1400 Growth rate = 0 Growth rate slows down 1200 1000 800 Pleasant Island Pheasants 600 •1937 – 8 pheasants introduced 400 •1945 – 1325 pheasants on island 200 0 1936 •1947 – 1600 pheasants on island 1941 1946 Year 1951 Why Did the Pheasant Population Stabilize? • Females were laying the same number of eggs • Death rate increased, number of surviving chicks decreased Carrying Capacity • Maximum population size indefinitely supported by available resources • Determined by sustained availability of –renewable resources such as nutrients, water and light –space • Influenced by environmental resistance 120,000 Grand Canyon Kaibab Deer Population Size 100,000 80,000 •1907 – 4000 deer on Kaibab Plateau • beginning in 1907– removal of predators •1924 – 100,000 deer 60,000 40,000 • very severe winter in 1925-26 •1927 – 10,000 deer 20,000 0 1907 1912 1917 Year 1922 1927 What Were the Effects of the Deer Population at Its Peak? • Forest was over browsed leading to – Loss of ground cover – Soil compaction – less water and increased erosion • Carrying capacity reduced for years Applying Your Knowledge 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Biotic Potential Environmental Resistance J-Curve S-Curve Carrying Capacity A. Does choice 3 or 4 show exponential growth? B. Does choice 1 or 2 represent the effects of pollution on population size? C. Which choice (1-5) represents the maximum population size that can be supported by an environment over a long period of time? Survivorship Curves R-selected Versus K-selected Strategies Continuum from Examples Curve Number of young Size of young Maturation Parental care Reproduction r-selected k-selected weeds, insects mammals J-curve S-curve many few small rapid little or none once per lifetime large slow extensive multiple times Population Distributions Random Clumped Uniform Human Population Growth Human population reached 6 billion on October 12, 1999 Population Growth Rates: Developed & Developing Countries Developing Countries Developed Countries Generalized Age-Structure Diagrams Post-Reproductive (46-100 y old) Reproductive (15-45 y old) Pre-Reproductive (0-14 y old) Expanding Stable Contracting Age Structures Compared Age Structures Compared Population Growth by World Regions World Average 1.4% Developed Countries 0.1% Developing Countries 1.7% Africa 2.4% Latin America/Caribbean 1.8% Asia (excluding China) 1.7% China 0.9% North America 0.6% Europe -0.1% -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Natural Increase (annual %) 2.5 3 U.S. Population Growth Factors contributing to U.S. population growth – “baby boom” – immigration U.S. has 5% of world’s population but – uses 25% of world’s energy – releases more greenhouse gases than 16x more people in Asia Carrying Capacity Is Affected by Lifestyle Type of Diet Vegetarian Diet Developing World Diet American Style Percent of Could Feed calories from animal sources 0% 6-7 billion 25% 4 billion 60% 2.5 billion Population Predictions • Extreme (Paul Ehrlich) – Population will probably crash with 50%-80% dying due to war, famine, disease, & ecological collapse (density dependent factors). • Middle - Widespread famine and disease will hit some areas of the world, but basic food supply probably sufficient through 2020. • Optimistic – Improving technology will avert these disasters.