Overview of Biofuels: System Approach and Analysis Prof. Steven G. Buckley MAE 118b February 21, 2007 (Slides 14-23 from presentation by Melanie Zauscher) Taking a systems approach to biofuels Biofuels in perspective • Total world power draw ≈ 15 TW • Total world solar flux ≈ 120,000 TW So this should be easy, right? Earth intercepts 8000 times more power than we use. Going green – the reality • 29.2% of earth is land • 18.8% of the land is arable (CIA World Factbook) • Photosynthesis is ~ 6% efficient at best, 1% is reasonable average given ground coverage, etc. So far: 8000 * 0.292 * 0.188 * 0.01 we still have 4.3 times as much energy as we consume! (but this is if we take 100% of the arable land) “Problem” of food production • 11% of land area is in cropland (Worldwatch) • Assuming this is all “arable land” 7.8% of land remains • 23% of land area is in pastureland (assume that much of this is “non-arable,” but some of this is arable) Sobering fact: • 1960, 0.5 hectare of cropland per person, considered adequate for healthy diverse omnivorous diet • 2000, 0.23 hectare of cropland per person – Declining quality and quantity Conversion efficiency to fuel • Energy stored in plants is recovered at what rate? – Direct combustion – best biomass combustion plant efficiency ≈ 20% conversion into electricity – Production of biofuel – this is an open question! • Currently ~ 10 billion gallons of both ethanol and ~ 1 billion gallons of biodiesel are produced annually, worldwide (various sources) – Gasoline consumption, worldwide ≈ 300 billion gallons – Diesel consumption, worldwide ≈ ? • 30 billion gallons of diesel in the U.S., annually From Wikipedia / biodiesel, reference: http://www.globalpetroleumclub.com/ Biodiesel yield for some common crops Crop kg oil/ha litres oil/ha lbs oil/acre US gal/acre corn (maize) 145 172 129 18 oats 183 217 163 23 cotton 273 325 244 35 hemp 305 363 272 39 soybean 375 446 335 48 rice 696 828 622 88 cocoa (cacao) 863 1026 771 110 peanuts 890 1059 795 113 macadamia nuts 1887 2246 1685 240 Brazil nuts 2010 2392 1795 255 avocado 2217 2638 1980 282 coconut 2260 2689 2018 287 oil palm 5000 5950 4465 635 Algae 79832 95,000 10,000 Questions to ask • What are the resource inputs? – Fertilizer, pesticides – Transportation – Harvesting – Processing • What is being displaced / used? – Food crops – Water – Forest, other land uses As always, defining system boundaries is crucial! • Example: how do you define the energy return on energy invested for biofuels? – DOE, 2006: • Corn-based ethanol – 1.36 today • Biodiesel – 3.2 today – Institute for Local Self-Reliance • Best corn-based ethanol – 2.09 • Best cellulosic bioethanol – 2.62 • Biggest academic critics: Prof. David Pimentel (Cornell), Prof. Tad Patzak (U.C. Berkeley) Critics point to flaws in analyses of biofuel energy balances and “net carbon” efficiency • Most fertilizers (e.g. urea, CO(NH2)2 have a common ammonia (NH3) feedstock – Tremendous amounts of energy are used in fertilizer manufacture – Some amount of this potent greenhouse gas escapes during manufacture, and nitrogenous fertilizers convert to greenhouse gases converting into more greenhouse gas equivalents than simply burning an equivalent energy content of gasoline Reading … • H. Shapouri et al. “THE 2001 NET ENERGY BALANCE OF CORN-ETHANOL” – www.ethanolrfa.org/objects/pdf/net_energy_balance_20 04.pdf • David Pimentel and Tad Patzek, "Ethanol Production Using Corn, Switchgrass and Wood", Natural Resources Research (March 2005), pp 65-76 – http://petroleum.berkeley.edu/papers/Biofuels/NRRetha nol.2005.pdf Conclusion: this is a close call! Why bother with biofuels? • Critical need for liquid transportation fuels – Peak oil – Geopolitics – Climate change threat Ethanol and Biodiesel are oxygenated fuels derived from plant sources • Oxygen on-board the fuel molecule – Reduces incomplete combustion • Promotes CO CO2 and oxidation of soot particles – The bonded O does not add to thermodynamic energy content • Less energy per unit mass or unit volume of fuel • Production processes are plant-specific Gallons of Gasoline Equivalents Fuel Unit of Measurement Gasoline -regular Gallon Gasoline -reformulated Gallon Diesel #2 Gallon Biodiesel -B20 Gallon Biodiesel -B100 Gallon Liquefied Petroleum Gas Gallon Ethanol -E85 Gallon Ethanol -E100 Gallon Liquefied Natural Gas Gallon Methanol -M85 Gallon Methanol -M100 Gallon Electricity Kwh Compressed Natural Gas Ft3 Btu/Unit 114,100 112,000 129,800 127,840 120,000 84,300 81,800 76,100 75,000 65,400 56,800 3,400 900 GGE 1.00 1.02 0.88 0.89 0.95 1.35 1.39 1.50 1.52 1.74 2.01 33.56 126.78 http://www.nafa.org/Content/NavigationMenu/Resource_Center/Alternative_Fuels/ Energy_Equivalents/Energy_Equivalents.htm Biodiesel Made from vegetable oil or animal fat and methanol or ethanol Locally produced, renewable, simple to make and use Can use same infrastructure as petrodiesel including engines Sold as B2, B5, B20, B99 & B100 Trans-esterification Reaction This is most common way to reduce oil viscosity Biodiesel Production Facilities From the National Biodiesel Board Biodiesel Retailers From the National Biodiesel Board Issues with Biodiesel • Material compatibility: – Biodiesel can dissolve neoprene rubber hoses and o-rings in fuel lines of older vehicles – Same problem with ULSD, so new cars are compatible already • Cold temperature problem – Tendency to cloud and stop flowing in cold climates Fuel Diesel #2 Soydiesel Cloud Point (oF) -6 20 Shelf life – No more than 6 months Pahl 2005 Ethanol Made from sugar, starch or biomass Locally produced, renewable Can use limited gasoline infrastructure, and only small blends on most gasoline engines Sold as octane enhancer, E10, E25, E85 and E100 Issues with Ethanol • Can't transport it in pipelines – Absorbs water – More expensive to ship • As E-85, has reduced MPG, so fuel costs more even when ethanol is cheaper than gasoline • Hard to find E-85 – A 2002 DOT/DOE study found ~1% of all flex-fuel cars use E-85, but automakers still get credit for CAFE standards http://www.nhtsa.dot.gov/cars/rules/rulings/CAFE/alternativefuels/analysis.htm Ethanol in California • Current annual demand of ethanol is estimated ~950 million gallons • Demand about ¼ of national supply • Demand mostly to replace MTBE with (5.7%) ethanol • Current CA annual production is ~25 million gallons • 95% of ethanol delivered to CA is transported via rail cars • ~1 million barrels of foreign ethanol were imported in 20042005 Perez 2005 Only one public ethanol (E-85) station in California and that is in San Diego! What is the future of biofuels? • Not only are we carbon-constrained, we are landconstrained! • How does peak oil influence the problem? • Is the energy balance > 1 or < 1? • Please read the Pimentel and Patzek paper for Friday – http://petroleum.berkeley.edu/papers/Biofuels/NRRetha nol.2005.pdf