Amazing Amazon Tomorrow never dies? ECON519 Mary Man Hill Chan Kevin Xu Yilin Zheng Mar. 12, 2005 HKUST Content Introduction Business Model Bookselling and An Online Business Model Factors of Amazon’s Success Strategy Analysis Two-sides market Patents Pricing Structure Prospect Competitors Conclusion Questions What are the advantages of online bookstores compared to traditional ones? Why Amazon.com using dynamic pricing? Introduction Overview: Amazon.com Jeffery P. Bezos Founder, CEO, Amazon.com Time’s Man of the Year, 1999 “Launched in 1995, Amazon.com began as an online book-selling company but has now branched off into many other areas, including DVD, music CDs, computer software, video games, electronics, apparel, furniture and more.” -- en.wikipedia.org “We are not a retailer and we are not a technology company. We are a customer company.” -- Jeff Bezos, 2001 GBF: Get Big Fast 1995 Founded as online bookstore 1997 IPO (AMZN:Nasdaq) 1997 Launched “one-click” service 1998 Started selling music, videos, and DVDs 1998 Expanded overseas 1999 Electronics, toys and software 2000 Slowed down in Dotcom collapse 2001 Amazon Marketplace (C2C) 2002 Gained profit! (Q4, $1c per share) 2003 First full-year net profit 2004 Launched search engine a9.com 2005 DVD rental service? Change in sales structure Amazon.com Revenues by Product Category, Q4, 1999 14% 10% 13% 1% 8% 54% Books Music Video/DVDs 5%Video Games/Toys Software Consumer Electronics 2% Home Improvement 1% Others Amazon.com Revenues by Product Category, Q4, 2004 Media 2% 24% Electronics and other general merchandise Other 74% Wild Wild West: Hotter Rivals 98Vs. Barnes & Noble: “One-click” lawsuit 00Vs. Wal-Mart. com, bluelight.com(Kmart) 01Vs. eBay: C2C e-commerce 04Vs. Google: a9.com (search engine) 04Vs. Overstock.com ? SWOT Hard Times: Rough waters for Amazon.com Businessweek, Feb.03, 2005 Murky waters for Amazon.com Businessweek, Oct.22, 2004 Missed profit expectation for Q4, 2004 by about 13% (stock price plummeted 15%) Intensifying Competition Increased marketing costs (increased by 44% compared to 26% growth in sales) Investors’ suspicions on e-commerce giants (similar fate for eBay) Opportunity: Harry Potter Year Business Model Screenshot of the Amazon home page Bookselling and An Online Business Model Advantages: Unlimited online shelf space Offer customers a vast selection through an efficient search and retrieval interface Realize significant structural cost advantages Sources product from a network of book distributors and publishers which can give a decent discount. Personalized service Bookselling and An Online Business Model Negative Operating Cycle Shift inventory risk to its vendors in the process. Generate interest on the full sale price for over a month. In addition, Amazon introduced co-branded auctions and zShops Marketplaces. In this new model, Amazon acted as an agent by facilitating transactions and taking a fee. Factors of Amazon’s Success Brand By 2000, Amazon.com became the forty-eighth most valuable brand in the world. Personalization would be a hallmark of the Amazon brand. Customers Listen Invent Personalize Amazon’s Mission: To be the earth’s most customer-centric company. Distribution Capability Bezos: We will have a competence in distribution that will be hard to compete with. Factors of Amazon’s Success Technology & E-commerce Expertise Customized Information Systems Amazon Commerce Network (ACN) One-Click Process Search Engine System Customers Listen Invent Personalize Amazon’s Mission: To be the earth’s most customer-centric company. The ability to continually innovate A great team with a passion for innovation and A passion for serving customers well Other Marketing Strategies Strategy Analysis Two-Sides Market Network effect- value of a network depends on the number of users Amazon faces a Two sides market: Buyers/customers want to visit/buy for a website with more books available Book sellers/publishers choose the website that has large customer bases An example of Chicken and Egg Problem Ways to attract Suppliers Amazon: a platform to provides valuable and accurate, real-time customer information, lower display costs and low return rate .. Amazon offers attractive returns to publishers/title owners, usually <10% Provides space to smaller independent publishers Cheap credit card clearance Ways to attract Customers Broad variety, from books to DVD Low price and personalized services Build loyal customer bases Reviews and recommendation: convenience and reduce cost of searching of the customers/potential customers Create an unique community experience Community – the value of a network Community experience in order to building a loyal customer base: the good community should bring reputable and in return, more business Not only a platform for the business to take place, but also a community, an experience for the customers “We’re determined to offer both world-leading customer experience and the lowest possible prices”, 2002 Amazon Annual report Community Community is extremely important in the internet business- the value of a network depends on the users community) it already and expects to connect. IM, such as QQ( in China), ICQ, MSN, and EBay, Amazon are examples The ability of Amazon to build the community is the most important and the next problem is how they could profit from the community Patents “1-Click ordering is turned on immediately after you place your first order, provided you've paid for that order with a credit card. You can place an order to any address you've shipped to before by clicking just one button. We will automatically reference your account for shipping and billing information.” – Amazon Website 1-Click Patent convenience for the customers , personalized services although the technology is somewhat simple, the granted patent block the competitors to use the similar technique in their websites Another Patent- Amazon Associate Program “Starting in 1996, Amazon Associates program was the first online affiliate program of its kind. Today, it is the largest and most successful online affiliate program, with over 900,000 members joining world wide. If you are a Web site owner, Amazon seller, or Web Developer, you can start earning money today and earn up to 10% in referral fees……Start making money today. Click here for easy registration ” – Amazon Website Another Patent- Amazon Associate Program Participation in the scheme is free Could earn return up to 10%, depends on the performance attractive for websites, almost no cost but only put the Amazon items on their websites Patent also granted for the program, block again the competitors using similar program to build the customer base. The patents owned to Amazon put its competitors at a disadvantage Dynamic Pricing Definition: Charging the same products on different price for different customers-> Max Profit Technology enables company to measure price elasticity more accurately and more real-time "Amazon.com acknowledged that it's been presenting different prices to different customers in its DVD store, but denied that it does so on the basis of any past purchasing behavior at Amazon. "We want to measure what impact price has on a customer's purchasing patterns. It's a limited test," Amazon spokeswoman Patty Smith said. "Different customers will see different prices." - PCIN Issue 101 Dynamic Pricing Dynamic Pricing is common in the off-line world Priceline.com, for example, tends to accept lowball bids from first-time bidders to draw them into the service, then gradually raises the bar in future bids. Wired news, 2000 Dynamic Pricing/ Price discrimination requires customer information, including purchase pattern With internet, information is obtained more easily and less expensive; much easier to implement The problem is, when the customers know the practice: some pay more, some pay less, the customers will dislike the practice and destroy the customers’ loyalty Prospect Competitors Internet Retailers Barnes&Noble.com eBay Half.com (ebay) Wal-Mart Bluelight.com Brick & Mortar Retailers Wal-Mart Toy R’Us Barnes & Noble Sears Target Circuit City Kmart eBay Differences Amazon Standard online sale method Mainly business-to-consumer based business model (expanded to user-to-user) Started as an online bookstore eBay Fixed time / Fixed price auction User-to-user based business model (driven by users, not the company) “Your success is eBay’s success” eBay Similarities Amazon & eBay Internet retailers Sells everything in any quantity (especially things not found locally) Repeat customers are important, thus they have ways to promote repeat purchases (Amazon Gold box, eBay points and feedback) Barnes&Noble Amazon.com Barnes&Noble Amazon Vs Barnes&Noble Price Comparison Amazon.com Barnes&Noble China Reform: Strategy and Economic Reform 22.5+3.99 =26.49 Not Available Information Rules 23.19+3.99 =27.09 19.97 (e-book) 14.97+3.99 =18.96 29.95+3.99 =33.94 19.79+3.99 =23.78 20.99+3.99 =24.98 Da Vinci Code Harry Potter The Order of Phoenix 14.97+3.99 =18.96 Acquisitions and Strategic Investment Acquisition LiveBid Bookpages Telebook Back to Basic Toys Accept.com Exchange.com …... Strategic Investment Drugstore.com Living.com Gear.com Kozmo.com Ashford.com Della.com …… Conclusion First-mover advantage All-you-can-buy Virtual store Low cost Easy to use Questions What are the advantages of online bookstores compared to traditional ones? Why Amazon.com using dynamic pricing?