HIGHER SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL TRADE February 7 – June 13, 2013 Syllabus Duration: 32 lectures over 16 weeks Lectures: Thursdays, 16:40-19:30. Room: 5215 Professor: Eren Arbatli Office: Shabolovka Campus, room 3116 A E-mail: earbatli@gmail.com Office Hours: Mondays, 11:00-13:00 TA: Olga Zyuzina E-mail: ozyuzina@hse.ru TA sections: TBA PRE-REQUISITE Microeconomics 1-2 and Macroeconomics 1-2 COURSE DESCRIPTION This course aims to introduce students to both classical and modern theories of international trade in goods and services. In particular, the goal of this class is to understand three main issues: (i) the pattern of international trade; (ii) the effect of trade on income distribution; and (iii) the effect of trade policy on a country’s welfare. The class will use two integrated approaches. First, it will develop several theoretical models of international trade. The models will provide a framework to think about international trade problems. Second, the class will present important contemporary debates on issues such as globalization, strategic trade, agricultural subsidies, bilateral trade agreements and the work of the WTO. ASSESSMENT There will be two exams: One towards the end of 3rd module (March 25-29) and one at the end of the course (final exam). The final grade consists of the following elements: Home assignments – 25% Mid-course exam – 25% Final exam – 50% I expect class participation from students throughout the semester. An outstanding participant will routinely voice good comments, and always be on time for class. A good participant will occasionally express insightful comments, and be on time for class. I expect you all to be good or exceptional participants. READINGS AND RESOURCES 1. Textbook: Krugman, Paul and Maurice Obstfeld, International Economics: Theory and Policy, 8th edition. (Addison Wesley). 2. Special Readings and web pages will be sent via course group e-mail. TENTATIVE COURSE OUTLINE Motivation: The Latest Research If you’d like, see these articles: Eichengreen, Barry, and Douglas Irwin, “The Protectionist Temptation: Lessons from the Great Depression for Today” in http://www.voxeu.org/article/protectionist-temptation-lessons-great-depression-today Andrew Rose “The International Economic Order in the Aftermath of the Great Recession”, in http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/arose/Brown.pdf Chapter 1: Introduction Important issues in international trade Gains from trade Pattern of trade How much trade? Articles: Trade Bounty, the Economist, 12/2/04 In the steps of Adidas, the Economist, 2/8/07 Opening the Floodgates, the Economist, 5/7/09 Quinoa’s Global Success Creates Quandary at Home, New York Times, 3/19/11 Chapter 2: The Gravity Model & Changing Patters of Trade Who trades with whom? Changing pattern of world trade Articles: New York Times, “Outsourcing is Climbing Skills Ladder”, 2/16/06 S. Edwards, How Chile Can Make the Most of its US Trade Deal, WSJ 1/3/03, in http://www.anderson.ucla.edu/faculty/sebastian.edwards/TheWallStreetJournal_Chile2003.pdf Frankel, Jeffrey and E. Cavallo, Trade Openness Reduces Financial Vulnerability, in www.nber.org/digest/jul05/w10957.html Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, Economic Growth is Reducing Global Poverty, in www.nber.org/digest/oct02/w8933.html Wei, Shang-Jin and Y. Wu, Globalization Reduces Inequality in China, in www.nber.org/digest/mar02/w8611.html Hanson, Gordon, Globalization and Poverty in Mexico, in www.nber.org/digest/apr05/w11027.html Chapter 3: The Ricardian Model Ricardo and Comparative Advantage Empirical Evidence on the Ricardian Model Articles: Faster, cheaper, better, The Economist, 11/11/04 A world of opportunity, The Economist, 11/11/04 Paul Krugman “Reckonings: Hearts and Heads”, the NY Times, 4/22/01 2 Paul Krugman “Wal-Mart excuses”, the NY Times, 12/12/05 Edmonds, Eric & N. Pavcnik “Globalization reduces child labor in Vietnam”, in http://www.nber.org/digest/jul02/w8760.html Doubts on Cheap Labor, Financial Times, 4/5/11 Chapter 4: The Heckscher–Ohlin Model Effects of International trade between two-factor economies Factor-price equalization Distributional consequences of trade Articles: Hanson, Gordon “What happened to wages in Mexico since NAFTA?” in http://www.nber.org/digest/sep03/w9563.html The Caribbean, The Economist 9/22/05 Blinder, Allan: “Free Trade’s Great But Off-shoring Rattles Me”, Washington Post, 5/8/07, in http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/04/AR2007050402555.html Greg Mankiw’s blog on the subject, in http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2007/05/blinder-on-offshoring.html NY Times, "Why Is Income Inequality in America So Pronounced? Consider Education", May 17, 2007 Chapter 5: The Standard Trade Models and Country Welfare A standard model of a trading economy Welfare effects of changes in the terms of trade Article: Sokoloff, K. et.al. “Global links raise Asian countries’ productivity” in http://www.nber.org/digest/aug02/w8894.html Wacziarg and Horn Welch, “Trade Liberalization and Growth: New Evidence”, Oxford University Press, 2008 Chapter 6: Economies of Scale & Imperfect Competition & Technology Economies of scale and the theory of imperfect competition Monopolistic Competition and Trade Protection and imperfect competition Theory of External economies External economies and international trade Articles: Friedman, Thomas “Losing our edge”, NY Times, 4/22/04 Poverty’s chains, The Economist, 10/9/03 Mankiw, Gregory and P. Swagel “Antidumping: The third rail of trade policy”, Foreign Affairs, Dec. 2005 Stepping Up the Pressure Against Piracy in China, NY Times, 12/6/04 The Miracle of the Cerrado, the Economist, 8/26/10 Chapter 7: Immigration & capital movements International labor mobility Direct foreign investment and multinational firms Articles: 3 Brown, D, A. Deardorff & R. Stern “Multinationals, wages & working conditions in developing countries”, NBER Digest, October 2003, in http://www.nber.org/digest/oct03/w9669.html The brain drain cycle, The Economist, 12/8/05 Myths and Migration, The Economist, 4/6/06 Footloose firms, The Economist, 5/25/04 Damuri and Peri, “Immigration: Evidence from Europe”, NBER Working Paper 17139, June 2011 Chapter 8: Trade Policy Economics of tariffs and export subsidies Economics of Quotas Voluntary Export restraints and local content requirements Articles Europe’s farm follies, The Economist, 12/8/05 A harvest of disgrace. The Eonomist,.5/22/08 The Doha round. The Economist, 7/31/08 Dead Man Talking, The Economist, 4/28/11 Chapter 9: Protection, Free trade & the WTO The case for free trade National Welfare arguments against free trade Income Distribution and Trade Policy International negotiations and trade policy Articles: Trefler, Daniel, The Long and Short of the Canada-US FTA, AER, Sept. 2004 In the rough, The Economist, 11/3/05 Do despair, The Economist 7/8/05 Tang, Man-Keung and Shang-Jin Wei, “The Value of Making Commitments Externally: Evidence from WTO Accessions”, www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/2816 Irwin, Douglas, GATT Turns 60”, www.dartmouth.edu/~dirwin/GATT%20at20%2060.html Round One, Boeing. The Economist, Sept 4, 2009. Defying Gravity and History. The Economist, 8/5/10 (just to read) The WTO and China, The Economist, 7/7/11 Chapter 10: Trade policy in Developing Countries Import Substitution and Infant Industry argument Export-oriented development strategies Chapter 11: Controversies in Trade Policy Sophisticated Arguments for Activist Trade Policy Globalization and Low-Wage Labor Globalization and the Environment 4