BRAIN POWER PUBLIC SCHOOLS AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. Mission: To promote world class schools through research, advocacy, and public policy for the benefit of students and the economic vitality of the region. June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 2 33 urban and suburban public school districts in SE Wisconsin 240,000 students enrolled in SWSA schools 30% of the total public school June 1, 2007 enrollment in Wisconsin BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 3 How public schools drive the New Economy in Southeastern Wisconsin June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 4 June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 5 Research shows that education impacts: Income Level Economic Vitality Social Costs Quality of Life June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 6 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC PROSPERITY IN THE UNITED STATES 19th Century – Bigger and Better Farms 20th Century – Bigger and Better Factories 21st Century – Bigger and Better Ideas June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 7 THE NEW ECONOMIC EQUATION IN A KNOWLEDGE-BASED ECONOMY BRAIN POWER = EARNING POWER June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 8 MEDIAN EARNINGS BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT 2005 June 1, 2007 Median Earnings Some High School, No Diploma $ 21,268 High School Graduate $ 30,316 Some College, No Degree $ 33,956 Associate Degree $ 36,348 Bachelor’s Degree $ 48,724 Master’s Degree $ 58,708 Doctorate / Professional Degree $ 72,500 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 9 LIFETIME EARNINGS GAP* No HS Diploma vs. High School Graduate -$443,352 Bachelors Degree vs. High School Graduate +$1,102,500 Advanced Degree vs. High School Graduate +$2,224,824 June 1, 2007 *Note: People working to age 67 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 10 MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT Education = Earning Power June 1, 2007 Source: U.S. Census Bureau BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 11 MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT Education = Earning Power 15% 9th-12th Grade, No Diploma High School Graduate 5% Some College Bachelor’s Degree - 12% - 31% June 1, 2007 Source: U.S. Census Bureau BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 12 How educational attainment affects a state’s economy Wisconsin Manufacturing Employment 650,000 625,000 600,000 575,000 550,000 525,000 500,000 475,000 450,000 19 69 19 71 19 73 19 75 19 77 19 79 19 81 19 83 19 85 19 87 19 89 19 91 19 93 19 95 19 97 19 99 20 01 20 03 * June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 13 PER CAPITA INCOME June 1, 2007 2005 Income Rank Educational Attainment Rank Minnesota $ 37,322 10 11 Illinois $ 36,264 14 15 United States $ 34,495 n/a n/a Wisconsin $ 33,252 22 33 Michigan $ 32,735 25 34 Iowa $ 31,795 31 37 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 14 PER CAPITA INCOME Wisconsin has not slipped (or improved) in rank in the last 40 years because of: 1. A diversified economy 2. Better retention of manufacturing jobs 3. A boom in capital goods and exports June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 15 EDUCATION / ECONOMIC DECLINE WHAT COULD HAPPEN TO WISCONSIN Per Capita Income Manufacturing Intensity Rank* Rank June 1, 2007 1965 2005 2005 Michigan 10 25 6 Indiana 17 35 1 Iowa 20 31 5 Wisconsin 23 22 2 Minnesota 24 11 14 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis * Percentage of State’s Non-Farm Employment in Manufacturing - Source: U.S. Census Bureau BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 16 TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IS TIED TO EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT % Change in Personal Income from 1995-2005 (2005 Estimate) Milwaukee 43% 26.4% Waukesha 67% 37.2% Dane 76% 43.7% Wisconsin 60% 25.0% 61% 21.1% County % College Educated Wisconsin June 1, 2007 (all counties except Milwaukee, Waukesha, & Dane) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Regional Economic Accounts BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 17 June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 18 The Economic Role of SWSA Public Schools: Economic Impact Human Capital Impact June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 19 SWSA Region Public Schools Staff Spending School . Operations Visitor Spending Direct Economic Impact June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 20 SWSA REGION PUBLIC SCHOOLS Direct Economic Impact in 2004-2005: $2.22 billion Spending benefits Main Street businesses and jobs. June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 21 Multiplier Effect: Direct spending multiplies its impact as businesses reinvest and their employees buy goods and services. June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 22 SWSA Region Public Schools Staff Spending School . Operations Visitor Spending Direct Economic Impact Economic Multiplier June 1, 2007 Total Economic Impact BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 23 SWSA REGION PUBLIC SCHOOLS Total Economic Impact in 2004-2005: $4.26 billion June 1, 2007 By comparison, the economic impact of UW-Madison was $4.7 billion in 2002. BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 24 Jobs: Actual Public School Employment of SWSA Region Public K-12 Schools 30,537 Jobs June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 25 SWSA Public School spending generates an additional 42,407 Jobs* *Full time equivalent jobs June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 26 Total jobs related to the economic impact of SWSA Public Schools: 72,944 Jobs* *Full time equivalent jobs June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 27 June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 28 Human Capital Impact: SWSA public schools’ most important role – Educating students Building human capital June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 29 QUALITY OF LIFE The higher the education level, the higher the quality of life. Educated people: Are more productive Live longer Are healthier Earn higher wages Contribute more to their June 1, 2007 communities BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 30 BUILDING BRAIN POWER IN SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN To compete in the New Economy, SE Wisconsin needs more brain power and human capital. 2005 Graduates of SWSA Schools - On to 4 Year College - On to 2 Year College - On to the Military June 1, 2007 18,219 9,893 4,207 359 80% of graduates Source: Wisconsin DPI BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 31 BUILDING BRAIN POWER - WI PUBLIC SCHOOL ADVANCED PLACEMENT PARTICIPATION Public schools help students earn college credit while in high school. June 1, 2007 Source: CollegeBoard BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 32 BUILDING BRAIN POWER Growth Areas in the SE Wisconsin Economy: Medical imaging, research, technology and software GE Medical Advanced manufacturing technologies Johnson Controls Modine Manufacturing Harley Davidson Financial services and software FiServ Metavante Northwestern Mutual Money management services June 1, 2007 Baird Artisan Nicholas Heartland BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 33 BUILDING BRAIN POWER Education: Action to Support the New Economy Regional Initiatives MPS/GMC Strategic Plan M-7 - Regional Economic Plan CESA 1 - Learning for the 21st Century SWSA - Economic/Human Capital Impact Second Chance Program Project Lead the Way State Initiatives Legislative Efforts June 1, 2007 The Wisconsin Covenant BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 34 THE LIFETIME ECONOMIC COST OF NO HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA June 1, 2007 $425,256 $127,000 Costs $552,256 Per Person Lost Income (Lost tax revenue, higher health, safety and welfare costs) Source: NorthStar Economics, Inc., Teachers College, Columbia University BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 35 THE ANNUAL ECONOMIC COST OF NO HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA 144,383 x $10,553 People in SE Wisconsin* without a high school diploma Annual cost per person $1.5 Billion Total Annual Economic Cost / Drag June 1, 2007 * Residents over the age of 25 of Kenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine, Walworth, Washington, & Waukesha Counties Source: United States Census Bureau, American Community Survey (2005) BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 36 June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 37 What SE Wisconsin needs for a prosperous future: Brain Power Highly skilled / educated workforce Accelerated economic growth Strong schools, colleges, and universities June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 38 What public schools can do to boost the SE Wisconsin economy: Increase the number, preparation and success of students attending post-secondary institutions Continue to increase high school completion rates June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 39 The Linkage: The economic future of SWSA public schools depends on a strong SE Wisconsin economy. A strong SE Wisconsin economy depends on strong public schools. June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 40 The Challenges Ahead: Strong public support for public schools Public school/business partnerships to build brain power in SE Wisconsin Education for students, teachers, and the public on the continually changing New Economy June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 41 Investing in public education yields: Direct economic benefits A more competitive regional economy and The brain power for a productive SE Wisconsin workforce June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 42 June 1, 2007 BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 43 Research provided by: David J. Ward, Ph.D., President June 1, 2007 Web: www.northstareconomics.com BRAIN POWER: PUBLIC SCHOOLS, AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN © Copyright 2007, NorthStar Economics, Inc. All rights reserved. 44