What is the Purpose of Higher Education? Mark Schneider President, College Measures Vice President and Institute Fellow, AIR February 17, 2014 Can You Self-Actualize While Living in Your Mother’s Basement? Purpose v. Value? • Is it about money or broader outcomes? • How to measure value (even if we restrict ourselves to labor market outcomes): – Institution vs. Program Level – Time frame: • Wage data: first year? 5 years? 10? • Other data? Rolling averages? • Comparisons – Criterion based – Norm based – Individually driven • Who should assess value? – Government? – Others (not for profits vs. for profit companies)? Programs with Bachelor’s Graduates Having Lowest and Highest First-Year Earnings, by States State Lowest First-Year Earnings Highest First-Year Earnings Arkansas Music Performance $19,808 Engineering $56,655 Colorado Dieticians $24,876 Chemical Engineering $90,099 Florida Drama $19,548 Fire Science $69,756 Tennessee Photography $28,743 Systems Engineering $54,346 $15,053 Petroleum Engineering $117,177 Petroleum Engineering $61,517 Texas Virginia Health Services Philosophy $20,442 • Common Theme in lowest first year earnings: Liberal Arts • Common theme in highest first-year earnings: Engineering Average Wages after Year 1 and after Year 10: Graduates from Popular Bachelor’s Degree Programs in Texas Time To Degree Area of Study Wages Year 1 Wages Year 10 Years 1-10 growth Biology, General 5.30 $23,243 $81,484 251% Psychology, General 5.24 $23,729 $54,128 128% Criminal Justice and Corrections 5.56 $28,184 $55,025 95% Health and Physical Education/Fitness 5.64 $28,818 $58,109 102% Marketing 5.05 $30,776 $78,133 154% 5.36 $31,016 $69,055 123% 5.48 $31,816 $70,911 123% Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other 5.63 $32,133 $49,315 53% Accounting and Related Services 5.70 $34,331 $76,236 122% 5.17 $34,392 $95,920 179% 5.57 $34,813 $80,176 130% State wide university bachelors average Business Administration, Management and Operations Finance and Financial Management Services Management Information Systems and Services For most majors: start low, end low; start high, end high Debt Servicing as Example of Why Labor Market Outcomes Matter • Criterion based: – Rule of Thumb: Debt should not exceed first year earnings – At that level about 11% of gross first year earnings will go to service debt at current 3.9% rate Student Loans vs. Wages: Institution Level Institution name Prairie View A&M University The University of Texas at Austin loan Year 1 Wages Year 10 Wages Monthly payment Percent year 1 wages $36,218 $35,890 $62,835 $365 12% 7% $37,522 $38,713 $98,976 $378 12% 5% Texas Tech University $30,146 $31,937 $75,477 $304 11% 5% Texas A&M UniversityCorpus Christi $30,240 $32,489 $61,279 $305 11% 6% $32,234 $35,230 $93,682 $325 11% 4% $29,101 $31,904 $62,185 $293 11% 6% $28,103 $35,456 $74,142 $283 10% 5% $18,533 $30,042 $58,599 $187 7% 4% $23,032 $37,563 $72,491 $232 7% 4% $20,432 $33,794 $62,674 $206 7% 4% $18,265 $32,908 $54,536 $184 7% 4% $17,882 $35,275 $59,598 $180 6% 4% Sul Ross State University Rio Grande College $13,012 $30,413 $45,901 $131 5% 3% Texas A&M UniversityTexarkana $13,241 $35,578 $67,714 $133 5% 2% Texas A&M University Texas A&M UniversityKingsville Statewide Summary for Universities The University of Texas of the Permian Basin The University of Texas at Arlington The University of Texas at El Paso The University of Texas at Brownsville The University of TexasPan American Percent year 10 wages Norm Based • Compare to Overall State Performance Compared to Overall State Performance Level Institution name Prairie View A&M University The University of Texas at Austin loan Year 1 Wages Year 10 Wages Monthly payment Percent year 1 wages $36,218 $35,890 $62,835 $365 12% 7% $37,522 $38,713 $98,976 $378 12% 5% Texas Tech University $30,146 $31,937 $75,477 $304 11% 5% Texas A&M UniversityCorpus Christi $30,240 $32,489 $61,279 $305 11% 6% $32,234 $35,230 $93,682 $325 11% 4% $29,101 $31,904 $62,185 $293 11% 6% $28,103 $35,456 $74,142 $283 10% 5% $18,533 $30,042 $58,599 $187 7% 4% $23,032 $37,563 $72,491 $232 7% 4% $20,432 $33,794 $62,674 $206 7% 4% $18,265 $32,908 $54,536 $184 7% 4% $17,882 $35,275 $59,598 $180 6% 4% Sul Ross State University Rio Grande College $13,012 $30,413 $45,901 $131 5% 3% Texas A&M UniversityTexarkana $13,241 $35,578 $67,714 $133 5% 2% Texas A&M University Texas A&M UniversityKingsville Statewide Summary for Universities The University of Texas of the Permian Basin The University of Texas at Arlington The University of Texas at El Paso The University of Texas at Brownsville The University of TexasPan American Percent year 10 wages What about Time? Disciplinary Focus: What a difference a decade makes Area of study Microbiological Sciences and Immunology Statistics Medical Basic Sciences Archeology Germanic Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics Biology, General Classics and Classical Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics Counseling Psychology Communications Technology/Technician Philosophy Anthropology Health/Medical Preparatory Programs Political Science and Government loan Wages Year 1 Wages Year 10 Monthly payment percent first year montly for debt percent year 10 montly for debt $61,818 $23,285 $74,482 $711 37% 11% $52,808 $20,276 $78,845 $608 36% 9% $63,546 $26,990 $217,651 $731 33% 4% $55,028 $24,095 $61,956 $633 32% 12% $42,156 $22,264 $55,862 $485 26% 10% $43,770 $23,248 $75,911 $504 26% 8% $44,186 $23,633 $50,916 $508 26% 12% $45,280 $25,091 $42,719 $521 25% 15% $38,544 $22,291 $90,800 $444 24% 6% $38,692 $23,476 $54,900 $445 23% 10% $32,295 $19,929 $44,198 $372 22% 10% $45,486 $28,873 $105,567 $523 22% 6% $35,888 $23,859 $63,214 $413 21% 8% Institution is the wrong level of analysis: Program level differences Program Level: Anthropology Institution name loan Year 1 Wages Year 10 Wages Percent of first Monthly payment year wages Percent of Year 10 Wages Texas Tech University $36,036 $12,438 $52,863 $363 35% 8% The University of Texas at San Antonio $39,052 $13,804 $43,870 $394 34% 11% The University of Texas at El Paso $30,025 $11,373 $31,592 $303 32% 11% Texas A&M University $41,312 $16,939 $38,315 $416 29% 13% University of Houston-Clear Lake $52,332 $25,461 $50,675 $527 25% 12% The University of Texas at Austin $38,561 $21,554 $51,201 $389 22% 9% University of North Texas $35,646 $21,043 $47,408 $359 20% 9% Statewide for Universities $33,136 $21,166 $46,328 $334 19% 9% Texas State University $28,483 $23,196 $44,312 $287 15% 8% The University of Texas at Arlington $22,660 $28,999 $38,689 $228 9% 7% University of Houston $20,595 $26,397 $52,953 $208 9% 5% The University of Texas-Pan American $10,542 $18,014 $34,298 $106 7% 4% Anthropology vs. Economics Institution name Statewide Summary for Universities The University of Texas at Austin Texas Tech University The University of Texas at Dallas The University of Texas at Arlington Statewide Summary for Universities University of North Texas Texas A&M University Texas A&M UniversityCommerce University of Houston The University of Texas-Pan American Area of Study loan Year 1 Wages Year 10 Wages Monthly payment Percent of first year wages Percent of Year 10 Wages Anthropology $33,136 $21,166 $46,328 $334 19% 9% Economics $38,914 $33,437 $110,406 $392 14% 4% Economics $30,725 $26,461 $96,431 $310 14% 4% Economics $35,553 $34,489 $72,557 $358 12% 6% Economics $30,431 $30,762 $68,591 $307 12% 5% Economics $27,035 $31,016 $69,055 $272 11% 5% Economics $26,367 $30,411 $72,285 $266 10% 4% Economics $22,523 $30,525 $112,496 $227 9% 2% Economics $22,786 $31,547 $93,437 $230 9% 3% Economics $25,394 $39,033 $84,796 $256 8% 4% Economics $11,303 $51,348 $46,507 $114 3% 3% Individual “Ratings” Individual Weighting? What is the Role of Intermediaries? Government Role in Assessing the Value of Higher Education • Federal Government vs. State • Accountability vs. Consumer Choice