Using and Interpreting Data Substance Abuse Epidemiology Unit Epidemiology and Response Division New Mexico Department of Health Outline Measures of relative frequency Calculating rates Examples Age-adjustment Trends Small group exercises Sources of data Review of the New Mexico State Epi Profile Community examples Ratios Ratio: a comparison of two groups Groups may be unrelated or subgroups of a larger category Ratio = A / B Examples: miles / gallon students / teacher males / females (sex ratio) Proportions Proportion: a relationship of one part to the whole, e.g. percentage, fraction, decimal Percentage = __A__ x 100 A+B Numerator is always included in the denominator Examples: ______# of females in class______ # of females + # of males in class ___# of alcohol-related deaths in Sandoval county_____ Total # of alcohol-related deaths in all 33 NM counties Calculating Proportions - Example Proportion of alcohol-related (A-R) deaths in Sandoval county Numerator = # A-R deaths in Sandoval county = 213 Denominator = # A-R deaths in New Mexico = 5,068 Time Period = 1999-2003 Constant = 100 Proportion of statewide A-R = __213_ x 100 = 4.2% deaths in Sandoval county 5,068 Prevalence Prevalence = the number of existing cases or events in a certain population at a given point in time Prevalence is a proportion and can be expressed as a percentage Includes current cases/events Must indicate WHEN cases were enumerated Prevalence = # of existing cases = 15_ = 0.10 X 100 or 10% Total population 150 Prevalence- Example Youth Binge Drinking Chart 2: Binge Drinking by Sex and Grade Level, 2003 NM YRRS 50 Boys Girls Percent (%) 40 30 47.0 44.0 34.5 34.5 27.9 29.2 40.9 32.4 20 10 0 Ninth Tenth Eleventh Twelfth Rates Frequency of a defined event in a specified population during a given time period Incorporates time into the measure Multiplied by a constant for ease of interpretation Rate = # events (deaths, cases, etc.) _______# people at risk_____ time Example: crude death rate Calculating Rates - Example 2002 all cause crude death rate for NM Numerator = # of deaths in NM during 2002 = 14,344 Denominator = total population of NM in 2002 = 1,853,030 Time Period = 2002 Constant = 100,000 Crude death rate = __14,344__ X 100,000 = 774.1/100,000 1,853,030 Source: CDC Wonder Age-adjustment of mortality rates Death rate – number of deaths occurring in a specified population during a given period of time Crude death rate – the death rate in the total population Adjusted death rate – recalculation of the death rate using a standard population reference Compensates for differences in the age distributions of populations being measured Allows comparisons between groups Age-adjustment - Example Crude death rate (1992-1994) Mexico: US: 469.6/100,000 869.6/100,000 Adjusted death rate (1992-1994) Mexico: US: 596.6/100,000 519.1/100,000 Trends Looking at the same data over time Data collected the same way over periods of time Numbers large enough to calculate percentages or rates for each time period Same length of time in each period used as a data point Alcohol-Related Motor Vehicle Crash Fatality Rates, New Mexico and US, 1990-2004 Deaths per 100,000 persons 25 NM US 20 15 10 5 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Source: Division of Government Research, University of New Mexico Deaths per 100,000 persons Drug-Related Death Rates* New Mexico and US, 1990-2004 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 NM US 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 *Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US population Sources: Bureau of Vital Records and Health Statistics, NMDOH; CDC Wonder Small Group Exercises New Mexico Crude Death Rates By County, 2002 New Mexico Crude Death Rate by County, 2002 HARDING SIERRA DE BACA UNION QUAY GUADALUPE CATRON EDDY COLFAX LUNA GRANT CHAVES HIDALGO SAN MIGUEL ROOSEVELT CURRY LEA LINCOLN RIO ARRIBA MORA OTERO TAOS BERNALILLO CIBOLA VALENCIA SOCORRO DONA ANA SANDOVAL TORRANCE SAN JUAN MC KINLEY SANTA FE LOS ALAMOS 0 200 Source: CDC Wonder 400 600 800 1000 1200 Deaths per 100,000 population 1400 1600 1800 2000 New Mexico Age-Adjusted Death Rates By County, 2002 New Mexico Age-adjusted Death Rate by County, 2002 GUADALUPE EDDY ROOSEVELT CURRY MC KINLEY SAN MIGUEL UNION LEA SIERRA QUAY CHAVES HIDALGO RIO ARRIBA CATRON OTERO LUNA SAN JUAN COLFAX VALENCIA CIBOLA GRANT BERNALILLO TORRANCE HARDING SOCORRO DONA ANA DE BACA TAOS SANDOVAL MORA LINCOLN SANTA FE LOS ALAMOS 0 Source: CDC Wonder 200 400 600 800 Age-adjusted Deaths per 100,000 population 1000 1200 Common Sources of Health Data Population and demographic data from the US Census Bureau and the Bureau of Business and Economic Research at UNM Birth and death data from the NM Bureau of Vital Records and Health Statistics Population-based survey data collected by the NM DOH YRRS: Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey BRFSS: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Hospitalization in-patient discharge data from the NM Health Policy Commission New Mexico SPF-SIG State Epi Profile ALCOHOL-RELATED DEATH Problem Statement The consequences of alcohol abuse are severe in New Mexico, which has consistently had the second highest death rate (after Alaska) from alcohol-related causes, among the states. The devastation caused by alcohol abuse in New Mexico is not limited to death, but can also be linked to domestic violence, crime, poverty, and unemployment, as well as chronic liver disease, motor vehicle crash and assault injuries, mental illness, and a variety of other medical problems. Chart 1 shows the two principle components of alcohol-related death: deaths due to chronic diseases (such as chronic liver disease) that are strongly associated with chronic alcohol abuse; and deaths due to alcohol-related injuries, which are strongly associated with acute alcohol abuse. Each of these categories will be considered in more detail in a later section of this report. Chart 1 shows that the rates in both categories have increased slightly over the most recent 5-year period (1999-2003), and that New Mexico's total Alcohol-Related death rate has increased almost 10% during this period. This is in contrast to the U.S. and other state's rates, which have continued a gradual and ongoing decline during this period. Chart 1: Alcohol-Related Death Rates by High-Level Cause, New Mexico, 1999-2003 70 60 Rate* 50 40 Chronic Disease Injury Total Alcohol-Related 30 20 10 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Year * Rate per 100,000, age-adjusted to the 2000 US population Table 1: Alcohol-Related Deaths and Rates by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity, New Mexico, 1999-2003 Sex Male Female Total Race/Ethnicity White non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic American Indian Other Total White non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic American Indian Other Total White non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic American Indian Other Total Ages 0-24 78 7 183 65 2 335 26 3 45 23 0 97 104 9 228 88 2 432 Deaths Ages Ages 25-64 65+ 736 558 29 12 975 346 412 74 7 3 2,159 993 288 446 14 9 233 232 196 57 5 4 736 749 1,025 1,004 43 21 1,207 578 608 131 12 8 2,894 1,742 All Ages 1,372 48 1,505 551 12 3,487 761 25 509 277 9 1,581 2,132 73 2,013 828 21 5,068 Ages 0-24 12.6 16.6 20.7 30.5 5.8 18.8 4.5 6.5 5.2 11.0 1.6 5.7 8.7 11.8 13.1 20.8 3.8 12.3 Rates* Ages Ages 25-64 65+ 66.2 180.9 64.3 190.5 106.6 244.2 213.0 322.6 22.2 124.7 94.1 206.1 25.0 115.2 38.9 120.9 24.8 128.7 91.1 184.2 12.8 96.8 30.9 122.6 45.2 144.3 53.2 152.3 65.2 179.6 148.8 242.8 17.0 107.7 61.9 159.4 * Age-specific rates (e.g., Ages 0-24) are per 100,000; all-ages rate is per 100,000, age-adjusted to the 2000 US population All Ages* 60.4 68.9 98.1 168.1 35.0 82.5 27.4 38.7 32.0 76.9 23.4 33.0 43.1 53.5 63.6 119.1 28.3 56.7 NM SPF-SIG State Epi Profile Provides a systematic and comprehensive overview of ATODA-related consequences …. I. Consequences 1 A. All-Causes Death 2 B. Alcohol-Related Death 5 1. Alcohol-Related Chronic Disease Death (a) Alcohol-Related Chronic Liver Disease Death 8 11 2. Alcohol-Related Injury Death (a) Alcohol-Related Motor Vehicle Crash Death 14 17 C. Smoking-Related Death 20 D. Drug-Related Death 23 E. Suicide 26 NM SPF-SIG State Epi Profile … and ATODA-related consumption II. Consumption 29 A. Alcohol 1. Binge Drinking (a) Adult Binge Drinking (BRFSS) (b) Youth Binge Drinking (YRRS) 30 33 2. Chronic/Heavy Drinking (a) Adult Chronic/Heavy Drinking (BRFSS) 36 3. Drinking and Driving (a) Adult Drinking and Driving (BRFSS) (b) Youth Drinking and Driving (YRRS) 39 42 B. Illicit Drugs 1. Drug Use - Youth (YRRS) 44 C. Tobacco 1. Adult Cigarette Smoking (BRFSS) 2. Youth Cigarette Smoking (YRRS) 48 51 How to use this report Outcome indicators: consequences Problem statement presents overview of the data and detailed statistics Outcome indicators – associated with two tables Number of deaths on the left side of the table Age-specific death rates per 100,000 population on the right side of the table* County bar chart showing age-adjusted rates for each NM county in descending order *Note: All-ages rate is per 100,000, age-adjusted to the 2000 US population How to use this report Outcome indicators – Table 1 Table 1: deaths and death rates by sex, age group, and race/ethnicity Useful in determining the most important risk groups at a statewide level 30 20 10 How to use this report 0 1999 Outcome indicators – Table 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 Table 1: Alcohol-Related Deaths and Rates by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity, New Mexico, 1999-2003 Sex Male Female Total Race/Ethnicity White non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic American Indian Other Total White non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic American Indian Other Total White non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic American Indian Other Total Ages 0-24 78 7 183 65 2 335 26 3 45 23 0 97 104 9 228 88 2 432 Deaths Ages Ages 25-64 65+ 736 558 29 12 975 346 412 74 7 3 2,159 993 288 446 14 9 233 232 196 57 5 4 736 749 1,025 1,004 43 21 1,207 578 608 131 12 8 2,894 1,742 All Ages 1,372 48 1,505 551 12 3,487 761 25 509 277 9 1,581 2,132 73 2,013 828 21 5,068 Ages 0-24 12.6 16.6 20.7 30.5 5.8 18.8 4.5 6.5 5.2 11.0 1.6 5.7 8.7 11.8 13.1 20.8 3.8 12.3 Rates* Ages Ages 25-64 65+ 66.2 180.9 64.3 190.5 106.6 244.2 213.0 322.6 22.2 124.7 94.1 206.1 25.0 115.2 38.9 120.9 24.8 128.7 91.1 184.2 12.8 96.8 30.9 122.6 45.2 144.3 53.2 152.3 65.2 179.6 148.8 242.8 17.0 107.7 61.9 159.4 * Age-specific rates (e.g., Ages 0-24) are per 100,000; all-ages rate is per 100,000, age-adjusted to the 2000 US population All Ages* 60.4 68.9 98.1 168.1 35.0 82.5 27.4 38.7 32.0 76.9 23.4 33.0 43.1 53.5 63.6 119.1 28.3 56.7 How to use this report Outcome indicators – Table 2 Table 2: deaths and death rates for each NM county by race/ethnicity Useful in determining: Counties with the most severe substance abuse problems Groups with the highest risk within each county age group categories represent a tremendous burden in terms of years of potential life lost (years of life lost before the average life expectancy, e.g., age 77, are considered "years of potential life lost"). Persons dying in the Age 3544 category die in the prime of life, and lose 30-40 years of potential life, with all the attendent losses to themselves, their families, and their communities. As Table 1 shows, 75% of AR-CLD deaths occur before age 65. How to use this report Table 2 and Chart 2 show that this burden of disease falls principally in four counties: McKinley, Cibola, San Miguel, and Rio Arriba have high rates and significant numbers of deaths; Bernalillo has significant numbers of deaths. The relatively low rates for American Indians in San Juan County, and for Hispanics in Sandoval and Doña Ana Counties, suggest possible mitigating factors at work in these counties. There may be prevention lessons to be learned from these counties, as well as from other states (e.g., New York). Outcome indicators – Table 2 Table 2: Alcohol-Related CLD Deaths and Rates* by Race/Ethnicity and County, New Mexico, 1999-2003 Deaths County Bernalillo Catron Chaves Cibola Colfax Curry De Baca Doña Ana Eddy Grant Guadalupe Harding Hidalgo Lea Lincoln Los Alamos Luna McKinley Mora Otero White NonHisp. 114 1 23 4 4 10 1 32 17 10 1 0 1 20 7 4 10 9 0 15 Black NonHisp. 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Hispanic 221 1 21 9 9 11 0 47 19 7 4 0 1 12 3 2 10 10 6 11 American Indian 47 0 2 35 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 16 Rates* Other 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 All Race/ Ethnicities 391 2 45 47 14 21 1 80 36 18 5 0 2 32 10 5 20 119 6 42 *All rates are per 100,000, age-adjusted to the 2000 US population White NonHisp. 6.9 -11.2 ----9.4 8.7 ----10.4 -----7.1 Black NonHisp. --------------------- Hispanic 23.6 -21.5 --26.0 -11.8 24.7 ----25.1 --18.1 28.4 -14.1 American Indian 51.2 --84.5 -------------47.3 -110.9 Other --------------------- All Race/ Ethnicities 13.9 -14.5 38.2 17.7 10.6 -10.2 13.0 10.6 ---12.0 --14.4 39.3 -13.8 How to use this report Outcome indicators – County bar charts Number of deaths and the percent of NM deaths occurring in each county are given next to the county name on the left side Highest death rates are at the top State rate shown with a darker bar for comparison Alcohol-Related Chronic Liver Disease Death County (# of deaths; % of statewide deaths) McKinley (119; 9.1%) 39.3 Cibola (47; 3.6%) Example of county bar chart 38.2 San Miguel (47; 3.6%) 30.7 Rio Arriba (53; 4.1%) 25.8 Colfax (14; 1.1%) 17.7 Taos (29; 2.2%) 17.0 Sierra (15; 1.1%) 15.4 Valencia (47; 3.6%) McKinley county AR-CLD death rate: 39.3/100,000 McKinley county deaths: 119/1,304 = 9.1% of AR-CLD statewide deaths New Mexico AR-CLD death rate: 14.4/100,000 14.7 Chaves (45; 3.5%) 14.5 Luna (20; 1.5%) 14.4 New Mexico (1304;County 100%) Rate Bernalillo (391; 29.9%) De Baca** Sandoval (58; 4.4%) Guadalupe** Lea (32; 2.4%) Harding** Hidalgo** San Juan (62; 4.7%) Lincoln** Curry (21; 1.6%) Los Alamos** Mora** Grant (18; 1.3%) Quay** Santa Fe (75; Roosevelt** 5.7%) Socorro** Doña Ana (80; 6.1%) Torrance** Union** (2; 0.1%) 0.0 Union** Doña Ana 0.0 Torrance** (9; 0.7%) Santa Fe Socorro** (9; 0.7%) 0.0 Grant 0.0 San Juan Quay** (9; 0.7%) 0.0 Lea Sandoval Mora** (6; 0.4%) 0.0 Eddy Los Alamos** (5; 0.4%) 0.0 Otero Bernalillo Lincoln** (10; 0.7%) 0.0 New Mexico Hidalgo** (2; 0.2%) 0.0 Luna Chaves Harding** (0; 0%) 0.0 Valencia Guadalupe** (5; 0.3%) 0.0 Sierra Colfax 0.0 Catron** (2; 0.2%) Rio Arriba 0.0 San Miguel 0 Cibola McKinley *All rates are per 100,000, age-adjusted to the 2000 US population n rate Percent pasted Percent formula 13.8 Catron** Eddy (36; 2.7%) De Baca** Taos (1; 0%) 14.4 County = cnty2 cnty2 13.9 Otero (42; 3.2%) Curry Roosevelt** (3; 0.2%) Cnty,N,% 0.0 Catron** (2; 0.2%) OK 13.0 Catron** 2 0.0 De Baca** (1;OK 0%) De Baca** 1 12.9 0.0 Guadalupe** (5; OK0.3%) Guadalupe** 5 0.0 Harding** (0; OK 0%) 12.0 Harding** 0 0.0 Hidalgo** (2; 0.2%) OK Hidalgo** 2 12.0 0.0 Lincoln** (10;OK 0.7%) Lincoln** 10 10.6 0.0 Los Alamos**OK (5; 0.4%) Los Alamos** 5 0.0 Mora** (6; 0.4%) OK Mora** 6 10.6 0.0 Quay** (9; 0.7%) OK Quay** 9 10.3 0.0 Roosevelt** (3; OK 0.2%) Roosevelt** 3 0.0 Socorro** (9; OK 0.7%) Socorro** 9 10.2 0.0 Torrance** (9;OK 0.7%) Torrance** 9 0.0 Union** (2; 0.1%) OK Union** 2 10.2 Doña Ana (80;OK 6.1%) Doña Ana 80 10.3 Santa Fe (75;OK 5.7%) Santa Fe 75 10.6 Grant (18; 1.3%) OK Grant 18 10.6 Curry (21; 1.6%) OK Curry 21 12.0 San Juan (62;OK 4.7%) San Juan 62 12.0 Lea (32; 2.4%) OK Lea 32 12.9 Sandoval (58;OK 4.4%) Sandoval 58 13.0 Eddy (36; 2.7%) OK Eddy 36 13.8 Otero (42; 3.2%) OK Otero 42 13.9 Bernalillo (391; OK29.9%) Bernalillo 391 14.4 New Mexico (1304; OK 100%)New Mexico 1,304 14.4 Luna (20; 1.5%) OK Luna 20 14.5 Chaves (45; 3.5%) OK Chaves 45 14.7 Valencia (47; OK 3.6%) Valencia 47 15.4 Sierra (15; 1.1%) OK Sierra 15 17.0 Taos (29; 2.2%) OK Taos 29 17.7 Colfax (14; 1.1%) OK Colfax 14 25.8 Rio Arriba (53;OK 4.1%) Rio Arriba 53 30.7 San Miguel (47; OK3.6%) San Miguel 47 5 10 15 20 25 38.2 Cibola (47; 3.6%) OK Cibola 47 39.3 McKinley (119; OK 9.1%) McKinley Rate*119 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2 10.3 10.6 10.6 12.0 12.0 12.9 13.0 13.8 13.9 14.4 14.4 14.5 14.7 15.4 17.0 17.7 25.8 30.7 30 38.2 39.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 6.1 5.7 6.1 5.7 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.6 4.7 2.4 4.4 2.7 3.2 29.9 4.7 2.4 4.4 2.7 3.2 29.9 100.0 1.5 3.5 3.6 1.1 2.2 100.0 1.5 3.5 3.6 1.1 2.2 1.1 4.1 3.6 35 3.6 9.1 1.1 4.1 3.6 403.6 9.1 45 How to use this report Rates and numbers Example: McKinley and Bernalillo counties Consider both prevalence and rate when designing interventions County with highest alcohol-related death rate 115.1 deaths / 100,000 population County with highest proportion of alcohol-related deaths in the state 1,491/ 5,068 = 29.5% Alcohol-Related Death Rates by County County (# of deaths; % of statewide deaths) McKinley (348; 6.9%) Example of county bar chart 115.1 101.3 Cibola (123; 2.4%) Rio Arriba (185; 3.7%) 92.6 88.4 Mora (24; 0.5%) San Miguel (130; 2.6%) 86.3 75.2 Catron (15; 0.3%) Sierra (64; 1.3%) 70.3 68.8 Taos (108; 2.1%) Guadalupe (17; 0.3%) McKinley county alcohol-related death rate: 115.1/100,000 64.3 61.5 San Juan (309; 6.1%) Socorro (51; 1%) 60.7 58.5 Chaves (186; 3.7%) Colfax (46; 0.9%) 57.4 Grant (97; 1.9%) 57.2 New Mexico (5068; 100%) 56.7 55.2 Torrance (43; 0.8%) New Mexico alcohol-related death rate: 56.7/100,000 Bernalillo county 1494/5,068 = 29.5% of AR-CLD statewide deaths Lea (143; 2.8%) 54.6 Luna (74; 1.5%) 54.3 Quay (33; 0.6%) 53.9 Valencia (166; 3.3%) 53.7 Bernalillo (1494; 29.5%) 53.5 Eddy (146; 2.9%) 53.4 Otero (154; 3%) 52.6 52.3 Hidalgo (16; 0.3%) Sandoval (213; 4.2%) 48.9 Santa Fe (321; 6.3%) 48.8 Lincoln (56; 1.1%) 48.5 47.5 Union (11; 0.2%) Curry (89; 1.8%) 43.9 41.4 Doña Ana (328; 6.5%) Los Alamos (37; 0.7%) 38.2 36.1 Roosevelt (31; 0.6%) Harding** (4; 0.1%) 0.0 De Baca** (7; 0.1%) 0.0 *All rates are per 100,000, age-adjusted to the 2000 US population 0 20 40 60 80 Rate* 100 120 140 How to use this report ATODA consumption behaviors BRFSS data estimate number and percent of people in population engaging in behavior Table 1: Statewide estimates by age, sex, and race/ethnicity Table 2: County estimates by race/ethnicity County bar charts arranged in descending order Adult Drinking and Driving Rates by County County (# of drinking drivers; % of statewide drinking drivers) Example of county bar chart: BRFSS Luna (629; 2.5%) 4.8 Roosevelt (656; 2.6%) 4.1 Taos (975; 3.9%) 3.9 Doña Ana (4127; 16.4%) 3.2 Colfax (417; 1.7%) 3.1 Bernalillo (12034; 47.8%) 2.9 Sandoval (1498; 6%) 2.3 Santa Fe (1968; 7.8%) Luna county: 4.8% of adults reported drinking and driving at least once in past 30 days 2.3 New Mexico (25795; 100%) 2.0 Los Alamos (319; 1.3%) 1.9 Lea (651; 2.6%) 1.9 Quay (194; 0.8%) 1.8 Cibola (346; 1.4%) 1.6 Valencia (446; 1.8%) 1.0 Otero (406; 1.6%) 1.0 Chaves (340; 1.4%) 0.9 McKinley (320; 1.3%) No estimates available for small counties Bernalillo county accounted for 47.8% of statewide drinking drivers 0.7 Lincoln (73; 0.3%) 0.5 San Miguel (98; 0.4%) 0.4 Curry (102; 0.4%) 0.3 San Juan (194; 0.8%) 0.2 Union (0; 0%) 0.0 Torrance (0; 0%) 0.0 Socorro (0; 0%) 0.0 Sierra (0; 0%) 0.0 Rio Arriba (0; 0%) 0.0 Mora (0; 0%) 0.0 Hidalgo (0; 0%) 0.0 Harding (0; 0%) 0.0 Guadalupe (0; 0%) 0.0 Grant (0; 0%) 0.0 Eddy (0; 0%) 0.0 De Baca (0; 0%) 0.0 Catron (0; 0%) 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 Rate* *Estimate of percent of people in population group who drove after drinking at least once in previous 30 days 5 6 How to use this report ATODA consumption behaviors YRRS data estimate percent of public high school students engaging in behavior Table 1: Prevalence estimates by grade, sex, and race/ethnicity Chart 1: County bar charts with prevalence estimates arranged in descending order Drinking and Driving Rates by County, Grades 9-12 Example of county bar chart: YRRS Union county: 35.7% of youth reported drinking and driving in the past 30 days New Mexico: 19.1% of youth Union Mora Chaves 35.7 32.5 27.6 Lea Taos Rio Arriba 24.3 23.7 22.3 Santa Fe Otero Luna 22.2 22.1 21.6 Grant Valencia 21.4 21.3 Harding Cibola Sierra 21.2 21.1 20.7 McKinley Socorro Guadalupe 20.4 20.2 19.8 San Miguel Quay New Mexico 19.5 19.4 19.1 Roosevelt Hidalgo Bernalillo 18.6 18.2 18.2 Doña Ana Torrance Colfax 17.5 16.5 16.5 Sandoval Catron 14.8 13.2 San Juan Los Alamos Not available Lincoln Not available 13.0 Eddy Not available De Baca Curry 0 5 10 15 Percent (%) 20 25 30 35 40 Survey Data BRFSS YRRS Telephone survey of adult health conditions and risk behaviors Random sample of adults 18 years of age or older in households with a land-line telephone Able to generate population-based estimates for adults School-based survey of health risk and resiliency behaviors among 9th-12th graders in NM School districts must agree to participate Estimates representative of public high school students Both surveys include self-reported data Alcohol-Related MVC Death Rates by County Adult Drinking and Driving Rates by County County (# of deaths; % of statewide deaths) County (# of drinking drivers; % of statewide drinking drivers) Luna (629; 2.5%) 4.8 Roosevelt (656; 2.6%) 4.1 Taos (975; 3.9%) Santa Fe (1968; 7.8%) Lea (651; 2.6%) Quay (194; 0.8%) 1.9 Sandoval (38; 4.9%) 1.9 New Mexico (773; 100%) Chaves (21; 2.7%) Otero (406; 1.6%) 1.0 Santa Fe (41; 5.3%) Lincoln (73; 0.3%) 6.0 5.9 Doña Ana (51; 6.6%) 0.5 0.3 San Juan (194; 0.8%) 6.9 6.3 Curry (13; 1.7%) 0.4 Curry (102; 0.4%) 6.9 Bernalillo (169; 21.9%) 0.9 0.7 San Miguel (98; 0.4%) 8.5 7.3 Eddy (17; 2.2%) 1.6 1.0 Chaves (340; 1.4%) 9.0 8.5 Otero (21; 2.8%) Valencia (446; 1.8%) McKinley (320; 1.3%) 9.0 San Miguel (13; 1.7%) 1.8 Cibola (346; 1.4%) 9.6 Grant (14; 1.8%) 2.3 2.0 Los Alamos (319; 1.3%) 10.3 Lea (26; 3.4%) 2.3 New Mexico (25795; 100%) 13.4 Valencia (34; 4.3%) 2.9 Sandoval (1498; 6%) 14.2 Taos (19; 2.5%) 3.1 Bernalillo (12034; 47.8%) 15.9 San Juan (79; 10.3%) 3.2 Colfax (417; 1.7%) 20.7 20.5 Cibola (20; 2.6%) 3.9 Doña Ana (4127; 16.4%) McKinley (70; 9%) Rio Arriba (42; 5.4%) 0.2 5.7 Union** (1; 0.1%) 0.0 Torrance** (8; 1%) 0.0 Socorro** (9; 1.1%) 0.0 Union (0; 0%) 0.0 Sierra** (7; 0.9%) 0.0 Torrance (0; 0%) 0.0 Roosevelt** (7; 0.9%) 0.0 Socorro (0; 0%) 0.0 Quay** (4; 0.5%) 0.0 Sierra (0; 0%) 0.0 Mora** (5; 0.7%) 0.0 Rio Arriba (0; 0%) 0.0 Luna** (9; 1.2%) 0.0 Mora (0; 0%) 0.0 Los Alamos** (5; 0.7%) 0.0 Hidalgo (0; 0%) 0.0 Lincoln** (9; 1.2%) 0.0 Harding (0; 0%) 0.0 Hidalgo** (3; 0.4%) 0.0 Guadalupe (0; 0%) 0.0 Harding** (2; 0.2%) 0.0 Grant (0; 0%) 0.0 Guadalupe** (3; 0.3%) 0.0 Eddy (0; 0%) 0.0 De Baca** (3; 0.3%) 0.0 De Baca (0; 0%) 0.0 Colfax** (8; 1%) 0.0 Catron (0; 0%) 0.0 Catron** (3; 0.4%) 0.0 0 1 2 3 Rate* 4 5 6 0 5 10 15 Rate* 20 25 How to use this report Missing data Rates calculated using small numbers are unstable and difficult to interpret Exclusions of rates occurred if: Fewer than four deaths and population <20 in the rate denominator (NM standard small numbers rule) Fewer than two deaths per county per year Results in data gaps for certain groups Table 2: Alcohol-Related Deaths and Rates* by Race/Ethnicity and County, New Mexico, 1999-2003 Deaths County Bernalillo Catron Chaves Cibola Colfax Curry De Baca Doña Ana Eddy Grant Guadalupe Harding Hidalgo Lea Lincoln Los Alamos Luna McKinley Mora Otero Quay Rio Arriba Roosevelt Sandoval San Juan San Miguel Santa Fe Sierra Socorro Taos Torrance Union Valencia Total White NonHisp. 690 11 112 19 19 53 5 138 88 59 3 2 12 93 43 31 43 28 2 81 20 15 24 88 118 23 124 51 15 27 27 5 63 2,132 NM standard small numbers rule Black NonHisp. 34 ** 3 0 0 4 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 6 1 2 0 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 73 Hispanic 654 4 68 28 25 31 3 183 55 36 14 2 4 43 11 4 29 24 22 38 12 129 6 49 35 106 179 10 25 67 15 6 96 2,013 American Indian 105 0 2 75 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 294 0 28 0 39 1 71 155 1 16 1 10 15 1 0 5 828 Rates* Other 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 All Race/ Ethnicities 1,494 15 186 123 46 89 7 328 146 97 17 4 16 143 56 37 74 348 24 154 33 185 31 213 309 130 321 64 51 108 43 11 166 5,068 Examples of cells affected by additional SPF-SIG rule White NonHisp. 42.2 64.8 53.5 48.1 39.1 36.8 -40.2 45.5 60.7 --74.2 51.8 49.1 37.4 59.5 53.0 -42.0 50.2 42.3 37.3 32.8 42.6 66.7 36.1 77.8 39.4 45.1 56.1 -41.1 43.1 Black NonHisp. 54.6 ** -------------------------------53.5 Hispanic 68.1 -65.0 73.2 77.8 73.1 -44.1 69.2 51.7 68.2 --68.0 51.1 -52.3 68.2 103.4 50.3 63.8 90.1 -47.2 55.5 95.1 63.4 55.2 66.9 76.6 60.4 -65.0 63.6 American Indian 109.7 --178.5 -------------138.2 -203.1 -168.8 -119.8 97.3 -89.5 --150.6 ---119.1 Other 25.7 --------------------------------28.3 All Race/ Ethnicities 53.5 75.2 58.5 101.3 57.4 43.9 -41.4 53.4 57.2 64.3 -52.3 54.6 48.5 38.2 54.3 115.1 88.4 52.6 53.9 92.6 36.1 48.9 61.5 86.3 48.8 70.3 60.7 68.8 55.2 47.5 53.7 56.7 Data Collection Think about data availability as a pyramid Numerator – what are you counting? Death Denominator – who is in the target population? Are the data already available? Hospitalization If not, can they be collected in a systematic way? Ambulatory Not reported in any system Data Collection Example 1 – 2004 DWI Conviction Rate for New Mexico Numerator: Counting DWI convictions in 2004 Denominator: Determining the population at risk Example 1 2004 DWI Conviction Rate for NM Numerator = # of DWI convictions in NM in 2004 =12,639 Denominator = # of licensed drivers in NM in 2004 =1,289,089 Time Period = 2004 Constant = 1,000 DWI Conviction Rate NM 2004 = _12,639_ X 1,000 1,289,089 = 9.80/1,000 Source: New Mexico Department of Transportation, Driving While Impaired in NM, 2004 Report Data Collection Example 2 – Fetal Alcohol Syndrome (FAS) Rate in New Mexico Numerator: Counting FAS cases in NM Denominator: Determining the population at risk Diagnosis of FAS Documentation of 3 dysmorphic facial features Prenatal or postnatal growth deficit in height or weight CNS abnormality Diagnosis classified on the basis of available history of confirmed or unknown prenatal alcohol exposure Percent Mothers Who Drank Alcohol Three Months Prior to Pregnancy and During the Last Three Months of Pregnancy New Mexico, 1998-2002 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Drank before pregnancy Drank during pregnancy 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: Pregnancy Risk Assessment & Monitoring System (PRAMS), NMDOH Example 2 FAS Prevalence Rate in NM Numerator = # FAS-affected children born 1998-2002 Denominator = # live births in NM 1998-2002 Time Period = 1998-2002 Constant = 10,000 Data Collection - Discussion What are some other substance use consequences in your community? Are there data already available? If data need to be collected, how would you define a case/event (numerator) and the population at risk (denominator)? Who can you call for help? Acknowledgments Dan Green, Social Indicator Epidemiologist Jim Roeber, Alcohol Epidemiologist Substance Abuse Epidemiology Unit Corazon Halasan, Community Epidemiologist Community Health Assessment Program Contact Information Tierney Murphy Substance Abuse Prevention Epidemiologist New Mexico Department of Health Phone: 827-6816 E-mail: tierney.murphy@state.nm.us Omitted Slides Data Collection Example 3 – School Truancy Rate in Your Community Numerator: Counting middle and high school students who have unexcused absences Denominator: Determining the population at risk Percent (%) Binge Drinking* Among Currently Drinking Adults by Age, New Mexico 1998-2004 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18-34 35-54 55+ 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 * 5 or more drinks on one occasion Source: New Mexico BRFSS, Injury and Behavioral Epidemiology Unit, NMDOH Alcohol-Related MVC Death Rates by County Adult Binge Drinking by County County (# of deaths; % of statewide deaths) County (# of binge drinkers; % of statewide binge drinkers) Quay (3928; 2.1%) 35.7 Hidalgo (1379; 0.7%) 35.0 McKinley (70; 9%) 20.7 Rio Arriba (42; 5.4%) 20.5 Guadalupe (534; 0.3%) 22.6 Cibola (20; 2.6%) Union (1057; 0.6%) 22.6 San Juan (79; 10.3%) Colfax (2952; 1.6%) 21.9 Roosevelt (3285; 1.8%) 21.0 Valencia (34; 4.3%) 20.8 Lea (26; 3.4%) Taos (4884; 2.6%) 19.9 Grant (14; 1.8%) Socorro (2212; 1.2%) 19.8 San Miguel (13; 1.7%) 19.3 Rio Arriba (5021; 2.7%) Luna (2039; 1.1%) San Miguel (3669; 2%) 13.4 10.3 9.6 9.0 9.0 Sandoval (38; 4.9%) 17.8 Grant (4025; 2.2%) 14.2 Taos (19; 2.5%) Doña Ana (26536; 14.2%) Otero (7768; 4.2%) 15.9 8.5 New Mexico (773; 100%) 15.8 Otero (21; 2.8%) 15.5 Eddy (17; 2.2%) 15.1 8.5 7.3 6.9 Chaves (21; 2.7%) 6.9 Lea (4982; 2.7%) 14.5 Bernalillo (59878; 32.1%) 14.5 Curry (13; 1.7%) 6.0 New Mexico (188745; 100%) 14.4 Bernalillo (169; 21.9%) 5.9 Catron (493; 0.3%) 13.5 Chaves (4932; 2.6%) 13.2 Santa Fe (41; 5.3%) 6.3 Doña Ana (51; 6.6%) 5.7 Union** (1; 0.1%) 0.0 Curry (4128; 2.2%) 11.9 Torrance** (8; 1%) 0.0 Santa Fe (10249; 5.5%) 11.8 Socorro** (9; 1.1%) 0.0 Cibola (2535; 1.4%) 11.7 Sierra** (7; 0.9%) 0.0 San Juan (9639; 5.2%) 11.6 Roosevelt** (7; 0.9%) 0.0 Eddy (3962; 2.1%) 11.5 Quay** (4; 0.5%) 0.0 Mora** (5; 0.7%) 0.0 Luna** (9; 1.2%) 0.0 Los Alamos** (5; 0.7%) 0.0 Lincoln (1472; 0.8%) 10.8 Valencia (4379; 2.3%) 10.2 Sandoval (6338; 3.4%) 9.8 Los Alamos (1455; 0.8%) 8.7 Lincoln** (9; 1.2%) 0.0 McKinley (3918; 2.1%) 8.4 Hidalgo** (3; 0.4%) 0.0 Torrance (711; 0.4%) 8.1 Harding** (2; 0.2%) 0.0 Harding (176; 0.1%) 7.9 Guadalupe** (3; 0.3%) 0.0 De Baca** (3; 0.3%) 0.0 Sierra (209; 0.1%) 2.0 Mora (0; 0%) 0.0 Colfax** (8; 1%) 0.0 De Baca (0; 0%) 0.0 Catron** (3; 0.4%) 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 Rate* 25 30 35 40 0 5 10 15 20 25 Calculating Rates Example 2 – 2002 liquor license density rate for Rio Arriba county Numerator: Counting liquor outlets in 2002 Denominator: Determining the population at risk Calculating Rates – Example 3 Liquor License Density Numerator = # licensed facilities in Rio Arriba county Denominator = 2002 population of Rio Arriba county aged 20 years and older Time Period = 2002 Constant = 1,000 Liquor License Density Rate Rio Arriba County 2004 = 2.7 Source: New Mexico Alcohol and Gaming Division, Regulation and Licensing Department Incidence Rate (Risk) Incidence = the number of NEW cases/events in a population over a given period of time Measures the probability of an event/case occurring during a period of time IR = Number of NEW events during time period Total population at risk for event Deaths per 100,000 persons Alcohol-Related* Death Rates New Mexico and US, 1990-2004 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 NM US 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 * Alcohol-related deaths are deaths from causes considered to be 100% attributable to alcohol. Sources: Bureau of Vital Records and Health Statistics, NMDOH; CDC Wonder Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Standard Population NM’s standard Rates* small numbers All AmeriRace/ rule Hispcan Ethnic- Table 2: Alcohol-Related Deaths and Rates* by Race/Ethnicity and County, New Mexico, 1999-2003 Deaths County Bernalillo Catron Chaves Cibola Colfax Curry De Baca Doña Ana Eddy Grant Guadalupe Harding Hidalgo Lea Lincoln Los Alamos Luna McKinley Mora Otero Quay Rio Arriba Roosevelt Sandoval San Juan San Miguel Santa Fe Sierra Socorro Taos Torrance Union Valencia Total White NonHisp. 690 11 112 19 19 53 5 138 88 59 3 2 12 93 43 31 43 28 2 81 20 15 24 88 118 23 124 51 15 27 27 5 63 2,132 Black NonHisp. 34 ** 3 0 0 4 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 6 1 2 0 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 73 Hispanic 654 4 68 28 25 31 3 183 55 36 14 2 4 43 11 4 29 24 22 38 12 129 6 49 35 106 179 10 25 67 15 6 96 2,013 American Indian 105 0 2 75 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 294 0 28 0 39 1 71 155 1 16 1 10 15 1 0 5 828 Other 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 All Race/ Ethnicities 1,494 15 186 123 46 89 7 328 146 97 17 4 16 143 56 37 74 348 24 154 33 185 31 213 309 130 321 64 51 108 43 11 166 5,068 White NonHisp. 42.2 64.8 53.5 48.1 39.1 36.8 38.4 40.2 45.5 60.7 60.0 31.7 74.2 51.8 49.1 37.4 59.5 53.0 23.4 42.0 50.2 42.3 37.3 32.8 42.6 66.7 36.1 77.8 39.4 45.1 56.1 30.2 41.1 43.1 Black NonHisp. 54.6 ** 60.3 2.6 42.0 35.5 0.0 54.5 46.6 26.7 0.0 0.0 0 60.1 0.0 0.0 12.4 88.1 0.0 62.5 228.8 352.3 0.0 50.4 40.3 0.0 76.8 133.0 41.0 0.0 135.4 0.0 201.4 53.5 anic 68.1 114.0 65.0 73.2 77.8 73.1 61.6 44.1 69.2 51.7 68.2 98.5 32.7 68.0 51.1 35.7 52.3 68.2 103.4 50.3 63.8 90.1 34.1 47.2 55.5 95.1 63.4 55.2 66.9 76.6 60.4 88.2 65.0 63.6 Indian 109.7 0.0 56.8 178.5 107.3 5.4 0.0 15.0 15.1 51.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.0 29.6 61.8 129.8 138.2 226.4 203.1 0.0 168.8 171.5 119.8 97.3 71.9 89.5 89.1 113.7 150.6 25.2 0.0 52.9 119.1 Other 25.7 0.0 19.1 0.0 0.0 5.7 0.0 56.6 33.1 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.1 0.0 15.7 0.0 80.6 12.2 69.3 10.7 51.7 74.1 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.7 28.3 ities 53.5 75.2 58.5 101.3 57.4 43.9 45.4 41.4 53.4 57.2 64.3 62.4 52.3 54.6 48.5 38.2 54.3 115.1 88.4 52.6 53.9 92.6 36.1 48.9 61.5 86.3 48.8 70.3 60.7 68.8 55.2 47.5 53.7 56.7 Examples of cells affected by additional SPF-SIG rule Data Collection – General Principles Numerator – what are you counting Denominator – who is in the target population Is the data already available? If not, can it be collected in a systematic way?