Chapter 10 Bond Prices and Yields Bond Characteristics • Face or par value • Coupon rate – Zero coupon bond • Compounding and payments – Accrued Interest – invoice price versus quoted price • Indenture Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-2 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Provisions of Bonds • Secured or unsecured (debenture) • Call provision – refunding – call price – deferred callable bond – coupon rates and promised ytm at issuance Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-3 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Provisions of Bonds • Convertible provision – conversion ratio – market conversion value – conversion premium – coupon rate & ytm at issuance – Convertible example »conversion ratio = 25 »market price of stock = $42 »callable bond price = $1150 Irwin/McGraw-hill ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 10-4 Provisions of Bonds • Put provision (putable bonds) – coupon rate & ytm at issuance • Floating rate bonds – changing credit condition of issuer • Sinking funds Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-5 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Other innovations • Pay in kind bonds (pik) • reverse floaters • indexed bonds (TIPS -Treasury Inflation Protection bonds) Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-6 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Default Risk and Ratings • Rating companies • – Moody’s Investor Service – Standard & Poor’s – Duff and Phelps – Fitch Rating Categories – Investment grade – Speculative grade Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-7 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Factors Used by Rating Companies • • • • • Coverage ratios Leverage ratios Liquidity ratios Profitability ratios Cash flow to debt Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-8 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Protection Against Default • • • • Sinking funds Subordination of future debt Dividend restrictions Collateral – mortgage bond – equipment obligation – collateral trust Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-9 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Bond Pricing ParValue T C t PB T t (1 r ) t 1 (1 r ) T PB = Price of the bond Ct = interest or coupon payments T = number of periods to maturity y = semi-annual discount rate or the semiannual yield to maturity Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-10 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Solving for Price: 10-yr, 8% Coupon Bond, Face = $1,000 20 P B = 40 t=1 1 1 + 1000 (1+.03) t (1+.03) 20 PB = $1,148.77 Ct P T r Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-11 = 40 (SA) = 1000 = 20 periods = 3% (SA) ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Bond Prices and Yields Prices and Yields (required rates of return) have an inverse relationship • When yields get very high the value of the bond will be very low • When yields approach zero, the value of the bond approaches the sum of the cash flows Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-12 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Prices and Coupon Rates Price Yield Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-13 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Yield to Maturity YTM = the discount rate that makes the present value of the bond’s promised payments equal to its price. Bond is priced at $1067.95, it has a coupon rate of 9% paid semiannually, a par value of $1000, and 10 years to maturity. Find the bond’s ytm. What is the current yield? Bond is priced at $945.40 , it has a coupon rate of 6% paid semiannually, a par value of $1000, and 14 years to maturity. Find the bond’s ytm. What is the current yield? Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-14 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 YTM versus current yield versus coupon rate • Bond selling at par – coupon = YTM = current yield • Bond selling at a premium – coupon > current > YTM • Bond selling at a discount – coupon < current < YTM Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-15 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Yield to call (YTC) • Similar to YTM, but use time to first call date and call price as future value. • Bond with 15 years to maturity, par of $1000, a coupon rate of 8% (paid semiannually), price of $1025, callable in 5 years at $1080. Find YTC. Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-16 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Realized compound yield versus yield to maturity • YTM will equal the realized return over the life of the bond if all payments are reinvested at an interest rate equal to the bond’s yield. – Consider a bond with 10 years to maturity, coupon rate of 9 percent paid annually, and a price of $1067.10. Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-17 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Realized compound yield (RCY) versus yield to maturity (YTM) • Consider a bond with 10 years to maturity, coupon rate of 9 percent paid annually, and a price of $1067.10. – What is its ytm? – Realized compound yield if you reinvest at ytm? – RCY if you reinvest at 3 percent? Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-18 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Time 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 CF FV(CF)@8% FV(CF)@3% $90.00 $179.91 $117.43 $90.00 $166.58 $114.01 $90.00 $154.24 $110.69 $90.00 $142.82 $107.46 $90.00 $132.24 $104.33 $90.00 $122.44 $101.30 $90.00 $113.37 $98.35 $90.00 $104.98 $95.48 $90.00 $97.20 $92.70 $1,090.00 $1,090.00 $1,090.00 Total $2,303.79 $2,031.75 RCY 8.00% 6.65% Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-19 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Holding period return (HPR) versus YTM. • Consider a bond with 10 years to maturity, • • coupon rate of 9 percent paid annually, and a price of $1067.10. Note: ytm = 8% Suppose you hold the bond one year and interest rates decline to 7 percent. Calculate your HPR. Suppose instead that rates had risen to 9 percent. What is your HPR? Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-20 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Original Issue Discount (OID) • Consider a 10 year Treasury strip with a yield of 5 percent and face of $10,000. – Price = $6,139.13 – After one year (yield = 5%) »P = $6,446.09 »Difference = implicit interest = $306.96 »If you sold the strip for $6,500, then you would have interest income of $306.96 and capital gain of $53.91 Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-21 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Term Structure of Interest Rates • Relationship between yields to maturity • and maturity Yield curve - a graph of the yields on bonds relative to the number of years to maturity – Usually Treasury Bonds – Have to be similar risk or other factors would be influencing yields Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-22 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Yield Curves Yields Upward Sloping Downward Sloping Maturity Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-23 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998 Theories of Term Structure • Expectations • Liquidity Preference – Upward bias over expectations • Market Segmentation – Preferred Habitat Irwin/McGraw-hill 10-24 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1998