WESTAR Regional Haze
2018 SIP Planning
Karin Landsberg
Alaska DEC, Air Quality
November 2013
Assignment
• Prepare a comprehensive project plan for
2018 regional haze SIPs
• Identify
– Steps
– Timeline
– Resources
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Background
• Next round of Regional Haze SIPs are due in
2018
• Workgroup meeting every 2 weeks since
August
– Identify the regional technical work and associated
policy issues
• Work products
– Overview flow chart (completed)
– Excel Timeline (completed)
– Narrative plan (in progress)
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Technical Work
o Reevaluate/recalculate natural conditions
• Reasonable progress analysis similar to 5-year progress reports
• Sector emission inventories for baseline, 2018, 2028
– Need consistency between states and years to compare
o Special emission inventory studies
o
o
o
o
o
o
Oil and Gas
Canada and Mexico
Marine/Offshore/Global
Dust
Wildfire average
Ammonia
• Regional modeling analyses
– Meteorological, emission, dispersion and chemistry
• Four-factor analysis for source categories
 Must haves,  Nice to haves
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Timeline Overview
7/13
Planning Work Started
2014
7/18
Submit SIPs to EPA
2015
2016
1/15
Need 4-Factor Guidance from EPA
7/14
General Guidance from EPA*
11/13
Funding?
2017
2018
5/17
Regional Work Completed
7/13 - 12/13
Develop Plan
1/14 - 3/14
Identify Studies
1/14 - 3/15
Inventories and Studies
1/15 - 12/16
Modeling & 4-Factor Analysis
6/16 - 3/17
Progress Updates & Finalize Controls
7/17 - 8/17
*General guidance from EPA to cover
FLM
• Developing how to develop long-term strategy “post-BART”
5/17 - 7/18
• Integrating NAAQS planning with RH planning
State Adoption Process
• Clarification about controllable/non-controllable sources,
e.g., fire
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Core Issues
1. Simplify Progress Report Requirements
– not as SIP revision
2. Natural Conditions and Reasonable
Progress Goals
3. Long-term Strategies after BART
– 4-Factor Analysis
4. Integrate Planning
– relationship with NAAQS planning
5. Consideration of visitation
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Funding
• 2000-2007 WRAP funding = $23.1 M
• 2003-2006 WRAP expenditures
– 80% technical and related policy work
– 20% for staff, travel, meetings, calls, overhead
• Expect can do it for much less this time
– Not yet sure exactly how much is needed
– May need to evaluate what can be done with
given funding levels
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Funding
Major Work Areas
Basic *
Value-added
IMPROVE Monitoring Data Analysis
Revised 2064 Natural Conditions targets
Analysis of Baseline Emissions Year (2008 or 2011),
2018 controls on-the-books, 2028 projections
Emissions control analysis projects (4-factor, others)
Regional modeling using EPA projection guidance for
2028 reasonable progress targets for SIPs
Improvements to Technical Support System to
support State Plans
Staff + Project Management (travel, meetings, etc.)
Total
*Minimum Regional Costs to Develop 2018 Haze Plans
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Policy and Funding Issues
• Uncertainty of EPA actions – what and when
– Rule revisions and/or guidance
– Responses to Core Issues presented in August
• Funding?
– How will budget affect work plan
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Next Steps
• For timeline workgroup
– Complete plan in next few months
– Review funding available and revise plan as needed
• For regional analysis work
– Decide if region will reconsider natural conditions
– Immediately start emission inventories and special
studies
– In absence of EPA guidance, develop approach for 4factor analysis “beyond BART,” and NAAQS integration
• Propose several small work groups to address specific issues
– Natural conditions
– 4-factor analysis post-BART
– NAAQS integration
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Thank you!
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Al Newman (WA)
•
Anya Caudill (WA)
•
Bob Lebens (WESTAR) •
Brian Finneran (OR) •
Clint Bowman (WA) •
Colleen Delaney (UT) •
Curt Taipale (CO)
•
Jeni Cederle (WY)
Lisa Tomczak (AZ)
Mark Berger (UT)
Tina Suarez-Murias (CA)
Tom Moore (WRAP)
Patrick Barickman (UT)
Rick Boddicker (SD)
Ryan Templeton (AZ)
And anyone I may have
forgotten
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Contact Info
Karin Landsberg
Non-Point Section Manager
Air Quality Division
Department of Environmental Conservation
907-269-4913
karin.landsberg@alaska.gov
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