The Bigger Picture Facts and Figures for West Sussex and the UK covering the topics Population Housing Economy Education Crime Political Economy Technology Environment Produced by The Customer Insight Team, 31st October 2008, updated 10/12/2008 The Area of West Sussex at mean low water, which includes areas of sand, shingle and estuary is: • 203,025 Hectares • 2,030 kilometres square • 784 square miles West Sussex has 7 borough and district councils and 161 town and parish councils. West Sussex Community Profiling - dominant MOSAIC groups in West Sussex by Super Output Area Index of Deprivation 2007 Overall Deprivation West Sussex Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) Deprivation Deciles (National Rankings) Most Depriv ed 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Least Depriv ed 10% Source: Department of Communities and Local Government Rural and Urban Areas at Lower Super Output Level POPULATION POPULATION - FERTILITY DID YOU KNOW? • The number of live births in England and Wales to mothers aged 40 plus was 12,103 in 1996 and 23,706 in 2006 • The trend towards maternity is strongest among women with better educational qualifications • 1,194 women aged 45-49 gave birth in 2006, compared with 587 in 1996 • Total fertility in England and Wales has risen from 1.63 children per woman in 2001, to 1.87 in 2006, which is the highest since 1980. • There are now 1.7 births per UK-born woman and 2.5 births per foreign-born women Source: Office for National Statistics (ONS) December 2007 POPULATION – Density Ward Level All people, count, persons Horsham 1,955 – 3,568 3,569 – 5,182 Pulborough/Storrington 5,183 – 6,796 6,797 – 8,410 8,411 – 10,023 Crawley Hassocks/Burgess Hill Chichester Worthing Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004, ward areas within West Sussex, 2005 Administrative Hierarchy POPULATION – Projections Planning Service WSCC Data Population Projections for West Sussex 2001 - 2026 Thousands 846,000 850 828,000 812,000 830 795,000 810 790 771,000 770 Between 1992 and 2021 the number of people aged over 65 is expected to increase by rd nearly a 1/3 meaning about 19% of the population will be 65+ (source DoH) 755,000 750 730 710 690 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 Between 1995 and 2025 the number of older people in the UK who are over 80 will increase from 2.3 million to 3.5 million (Source DoH) Source: Planning Service WSCC (ONS for data at 2001 and 2006, projections to 2016 West Sussex Structure Plan, projections for 2021 and 2026 reflect housing policies in the draft South East Plan (March 2006)) POPULATION – Projections Number of residents by District Mid Sussex is predicted to have the steepest population growth whereas Adur’s population remains static. Population Projections for West Sussex Districts 180,000 Number persons 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 2001 Arun Mid Sussex 2006 Horsham 2011 Chichester 2016 Crawley 2021 Worthing 2026 Adur Source: Planning Service WSCC (ONS for data at 2001 and 2006, projections to 2016 West Sussex Structure Plan, projections for 2021 and 2026 reflect housing policies in the draft South East Plan (March 2006) POPULATION – Projections Density by Districts and County 14’000 more people living per square km in Worthing could heavily impact on space and housing availability Population density 350 314 312 311 308 304 300 Persons/squarekm 300 Worthing Crawley Adur Arun Mid Sussex Horsham Chichester West Sussex 250 200 150 100 42 42 41 40 39 38 50 0 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 Source: Planning Service WSCC (ONS for data at 2001 and 2006, projections to 2016 West Sussex Structure Plan, projections for 2021 and 2026 reflect housing policies in the draft South East Plan (March 2006) POPULATION - Projection Projections by age and gender for West Sussex Females Males FEMALES 500000 450000 450000 400000 400000 350000 350000 300000 300000 250000 250000 200000 200000 150000 150000 100000 100000 50000 50000 0 2001 2006 2011 2016 0-14 45-54 15-24 55-64 25-34 65-74 35-44 75+ Source: WSCC Planning Service MALES 500000 2021 2026 0 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 By 2026 there will be about 90,000 more people in West Sussex and the proportion of people over 65 will increase from 20% in 2001 to 24% (189,400). West Sussex will also see an increase in older males. In 2001 40.7% of people over 65 were males and 44.4% are predicted for 2026. POPULATION – Projection Gender West Sussex will buck the National trend for gender ratio. From ONS: ‘More boys than girls are born each year but there are more women than men overall in the UK population: 30.3 million females compared with 28.9 million males in mid-2002. By age 22 the number of young women overtakes the number of young men.’’ Adult gender split across the population of West Sussex 32,400 32,200 32,000 31,800 31,600 31,400 31,200 31,000 2008 2010 2015 Total males aged 18-64 2020 2025 Total females aged 18-64 Source: PANSI (Projecting Adult Needs and Service Information System) POPULATION – Projection Health and care We will see a dramatic increase in the proportion of older people in West Sussex over the next 17 years with more people needing care and domestic help. WEST SUSSEX 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 Total population aged 65 and over with a limiting long-term illness 64,358 66,620 74,987 82,710 92,907 Males and females aged 75 and over registered blind or partially sighted 16,700 17,040 18,480 20,960 25,200 Total population aged 65 and over unable to manage at least one mobility activity on their own 26,144 26,912 29,864 33,280 38,376 Number of older people helped to live at home 9,109 9,462 10,744 11,765 12,979 Number of households receiving intensive home care for people aged 65 and over 1,598 1,660 1,885 2,064 2,277 Number of older people receiving community-based services provided or commissioned by the CSSR* 15,708 16,318 18,529 20,289 22,383 *CSSR (Council with Social Services Responsibilities) Source: POPPI 2.21 (Projecting Older People Information System) POPULATION DID YOU KNOW? • Life expectancy is projected to increase from 74.3 years in 1996 to 77.9 years by 2021 for men and from 79.5 years in 1996 to 82.6 years by 2021 for women. • By the middle of the next century men could expect to live to 80 years and women to 84 • By 2001, the mean age of the UK population will exceed 40 for the first time; by about 2017/18, there will be more people over 40 than below 40. • In 2006, 9.6% of men aged 65 and over and 11.1% of women aged 60 and over were still in employment. Source: Population Projections 1996, produced by the Government Actuary and published by the office of National Statistics 1999) and ONS 2005/2006 POPULATION – Mid Year Estimates 2007 Key Points -The estimated population of West Sussex in 2007 was 776,300, this represented an increase of approximately 5,500 from the previous year (from 770,800 in 2006). -The percentage increase in population (0.7%) was slightly higher than the total change across England (0.6%), - higher than East Sussex (0.4%) lower than Surrey (1.2%). -Population change in West Sussex is attributed to migration, with a net migration change of 5,900 - alongside natural change shrinkage of -400 (i.e. there were 400 more deaths than births). -The increasing numbers of baby boomers (born during the Post World War II baby boom between 1946-1964) entering older age group continues to be reflected, with the highest increase in the 60-64 years age group, second highest in the 85-89 years age group:60-64 years age group – increase of approx. 4,300 people (9.3% increase) 85-89 years age group – increase of approx. 800 people (5.2% increase). -West Sussex has a high Age Dependency Ratio. The Dependency Ratio (numbers of children under 16 and people above retirement age, per 100 people of working age) is 73 compared to an England ratio of 61 (SE Region ratio of 63). Source: West Sussex Joint Strategic Needs Assessment based on ONS data 2007 POPULATION – Selected Age Group Breakdown More older people except in Crawley compared to regional and national level 100% % ov er w orking age 80% 60% % w orking age 40% 20% % under 16 Source: West Sussex Joint Strategic Needs Assessment based on ONS Mid Year Estimates 2007 SE COAST (HA) SOUTH EAST ENGLAND West Sussex Worthing Mid Sussex Horsham Crawley Chichester Arun Adur 0% POPULATION – Age Dependency Ratios 60 56 Number of people per 100 people of working age 50 50 44 42 35 40 30 41 34 30 32 35 26 20 10 Childhood (Under 16) AN SO D UT HE SE AS T CO AS T( HA ) EN GL us se x tS We s r Cr aw l ey Ho r sh am Mi dS us se x Wo rth ing ste he n Ch ic Aru Ad ur 0 Older People (65+ men and 60+ women) Source: West Sussex Joint Strategic Needs Assessment based on ONS Mid Year Estimates 2007 Arun and Chichester have got the highest proportion of older people in West Sussex with 56 and 50 people over retirement age per 100 people of working age. POPULATION – Total Age Dependency Ratio Age Dependency Ratio = Sum of people out of working age per 100 people of working age 75 West Sussex has a high Age Dependency Ratio. 70 This means there are more people out of working age than in England or the South East Region. The pressure on the working age population is higher – e.g. tax, infrastructure, care for older people and children. 73 65 60 61 63 55 2007 England South East Region West Sussex Source: West Sussex Joint Strategic Needs Assessment based on ONS Mid Year Estimates 2007 POPULATION – Components of change 2006 - 2007 All local authority areas in West Sussex were estimated to have had an increase in population; increases were, in the main, due to net migration not natural change. Adur Arun Chichester Crawley Horsham Mid Sussex Worthing West Sussex Brighton & Hove East Sussex Hampshire Surrey SOUTH EAST ENGLAND SE Coast HA Mid-2006 Population Live births Deaths Net Natural change Net migration & other changes Total change Mid-2007 Population 60,300 145,700 108,900 99,900 128,300 129,100 98,700 770,800 600 1,400 1,000 1,400 1,300 1,500 1,100 8,500 700 2,100 1,400 700 1,200 1,200 1,400 8,800 -100 -700 -400 700 200 300 -200 -400 400 1,400 800 -400 1,400 1,000 1,200 5,900 300 700 500 200 1,600 1,300 900 5,500 60,600 146,400 109,400 100,100 129,900 130,300 99,600 776,300 251,400 506,200 1,265,900 1,085,200 3,200 5,100 14,200 13,400 2,300 6,200 11,300 9,200 800 -1,200 2,900 4,300 1,200 3,200 7,900 8,700 2,100 2,100 10,900 13,000 253,500 508,300 1,276,800 1,098,200 8,237,800 50,762,900 4,248,300 99,600 643,200 49,900 73,900 468,800 41,900 25,700 174,400 8,000 45,200 154,700 26,900 70,900 329,100 34,900 8,308,700 51,092,000 4,283,200 Of the West Sussex local authority areas three (Crawley, Horsham and Mid Sussex) had increases in population in relation to natural change (i.e. more births than deaths). Arun had the greatest fall in relation to natural change, with 700 more deaths than births but also had the greatest increase attributed to migration so still saw an overall increase in population. Source: West Sussex Joint Strategic Needs Assessment based on ONS Mid Year Estimates 2007 POPULATION – Components of change 2006 - 2007 Adur Arun Chichester Crawley Horsham Mid Sussex Worthing West Sussex Brighton & Hove East Sussex Hampshire Surrey SOUTH EAST ENGLAND SE Coast HA Deaths Net Natural change Net migration & other changes Total change Mid-2007 Population 600 1,400 1,000 1,400 1,300 1,500 1,100 8,500 700 2,100 1,400 700 1,200 1,200 1,400 8,800 -100 -700 -400 700 200 300 -200 -400 400 1,400 800 -400 1,400 1,000 1,200 5,900 300 700 500 200 1,600 1,300 900 5,500 60,600 146,400 109,400 100,100 129,900 130,300 99,600 776,300 251,400 506,200 1,265,900 1,085,200 3,200 5,100 14,200 13,400 2,300 6,200 11,300 9,200 800 -1,200 2,900 4,300 1,200 3,200 7,900 8,700 2,100 2,100 10,900 13,000 253,500 508,300 1,276,800 1,098,200 8,237,800 50,762,900 4,248,300 99,600 643,200 49,900 73,900 468,800 41,900 25,700 174,400 8,000 45,200 154,700 26,900 70,900 329,100 34,900 8,308,700 51,092,000 4,283,200 Mid-2006 Population Live births 60,300 145,700 108,900 99,900 128,300 129,100 98,700 770,800 Source: West Sussex Joint Strategic Needs Assessment based on ONS Mid Year Estimates 2007 POPULATION Ethnicity POPULATION – Ethnicity 16,598 Asian or Asian British people live in Crawley, which is 66% of all the Asian or Asian British residents of West Sussex. West Sussex total 12,646 25,022 1% 7,956 1% 5,542 0% White 2% Asian or Asian British Mixed 1,456,062 96% Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004 Chinese or other ethnic group Black or Black British POPULATION – Ethnicity on District level 17% of Crawley’s population is recorded as Asian or Asian British, compared with 2% of the population for the whole County. 16,598 Number of persons 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Mixed Black or Black British Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004 or th in g W Su ss ex M id or sh am H ra wl ey C hi ch es te r C Ar un Ad ur 0 Chinese or other ethnic group Asian or Asian British POPULATION – Ethnicity Asian or Asian British – count, persons Langley Green 0 - 346 347 - 693 694 - 1,040 1,041 - 1,387 1,388 - 1,731 Bewbush Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004, ward areas within West Sussex, 2005 Administrative Hierarchy POPULATION – Ethnicity Black or Black British – count, persons Dark red in Crawley = Langley Green, Ifield, Broadfield, Bewbush 0 - 27 28 - 55 56 - 83 84 - 111 112 - 136 Ardingly and Balcombe Southwater Steyning Yapton Chichester North & East Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004, ward areas within West Sussex, 2005 Administrative Hierarchy POPULATION – Ethnicity Chinese – count, persons Maidenbower 0 - 16 17 - 33 34 - 50 51 - 67 68 - 80 Haywards Heath Burgess Hill Franklands Hurstpierpoint and Downs Chichester East Durrington, Tarring Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004, ward areas within West Sussex, 2005 Administrative Hierarchy POPULATION – Ethnicity Other White (not British or Irish) – count, persons Horsham Park Southwater 33 - 88 89 - 144 145 - 200 201 - 256 257 - 310 East Grinstead Herontyre Hurstpierpoint and Downs Chichester Area Worthing area Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004, ward areas within West Sussex, 2005 Administrative Hierarchy POPULATION – Nationality and country of birth West Sussex has a 3% lower level of Non British Nationals than the UK as a whole West Sussex has a 4% lower level of people born outside the UK compared with the UK as a whole Population of West Sussex by Country of birth 7% 93% Population of West Sussex by Nationality 4% People born in UK British National People born outside of the UK Non British National Within the UK people born outside of the UK equate to 11% of the population Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated Nov 2004 96% Within the UK Non British Nationals equate to 7% of the population POPULATION – Ethnic Minority Groups (EMGs) The EMG population in the UK differs from the general population in demographic profile. Although there are considerable variations between individual groups, the EMG population profile compared to all UK adults tends to: • be younger; • be larger in household size; • be more likely to have children present in the household; • have higher unemployment rates; and • have a lower income profile. Source: National Statistics, Census 2001, updated data 2004 POPULATION – Ethnic Minority Groups (EMGs) Age distribution by ethnic group in the UK POPULATION – Ethnic Minority Groups (EMGs) Household size by ethnic group in England POPULATION – Ethnic Minority Groups (EMGs) Unemployment by ethnic group and gender in the UK POPULATION Immigration POPULATION - IMMIGRATION DID YOU KNOW? • Immigration, especially from the enlarging EU, will play an increasing part in balancing UK demographic trends. • 70% of the projected increase in the total UK population – up to 10 million to 69.5 million in the 50 years to 2055, will be accounted for by immigration Source: The Observer, May 2007 POPULATION – Immigration Projection Adult overseas nationals entering WEST SUSSEX National Insurance Number Registrations (Thousands) 12 10 R2 = 0.8781 8 7,260 6,420 6 4,380 5,450 3,090 4 2,710 2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Calendar Year of Registration Date Source: National Insurance Recording System at 29 July 2008 Future prediction: Around 10,000 immigrants might apply for a National Insurance Number in 2010. 7,260 people from 49 different nationalities with a residential address in West Sussex registered for a National Insurance Number in 2007. The majority came from Poland (2,530 people), Indonesia (500 people) and the Republic of Lithuania (340 people). POPULATION – Immigration In 2007 the highest numbers were registered in Crawley and Arun. Adult overseas nationals entering West Sussex Districts 2.5 National Insurance Number Registrations (Thousands) Crawley Arun 2 Chichester Mid Sussex Horsham 1.5 1’690 Worthing Adur 1 200 0.5 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Calendar Year of Registration Date Source: National Insurance Recording System at 29 July 2008 2007 In 2007 the registration numbers increased by 745% Arun 357% Chichester 138% Horsham 120% Crawley 82% Adur 65% Mid Sussex 55% Worthing compared to the 2002 figures POPULATION – Immigration Public’s View Why has people’s perception of immigration changed over time? (based on the percentage of people who rate immigration as being important) HOUSING Index of Deprivation 2007 - Barriers to Housing and Services West Sussex Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) Deprivation Deciles (National Rankings) Most Depriv ed 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Least Depriv ed 10% Source: Department of Communities and Local Government HOUSING – Accommodation Type Overview for West Sussex Housing - Accommodation Type Overview 3,305 0% 1,284 0% House or Bungalow 90,630 12% Flat, maisonette or apartment Caravan or other mobile or temporary structure In a shared dwelling 641,661 88% Source: Office for National Statistics, Census 2001, last updated Nov 2004 ‘ADEQUATE SHELTER is one of life’s essential requirements. A large part of physical and mental wellbeing is attached to a person’s home.’ Source: Office for National Statistics Will this picture change significantly with the predicted population increase? Will more houses need to be turned into shared dwellings to accommodate the numbers of people moving into the County? HOUSING – Accommodation Type Details for West Sussex One third of of all housing in West Sussex is Detached Housing - Accommodation T ype Details 300,000 250,000 246,688 Number of persons 217,279 200,000 177,694 150,000 100,000 66,877 7,324 3,305 1,284 Mobile structure Shared dwelling 16,429 In a commercial building 50,000 House or Bungalow Part of a converted or shared house Purpose-built block of flats Terraced Semi-detached Detached 0 Flat, apartment or maisonette Source: Office for National Statistics, Census 2001, last updated Nov 2004 HOUSING – Tenure Type Overview for West Sussex 78% of West Sussex’s residents own their home, a trend that has been increasing since the 1970’s. Will the UK current climate of increasing negative equity prompt a need for more housing to be available to rent? Housing - Tenure Type Overview 57,746 8% Owned Social rented Private rented Living rent free 12,385 2% 70% of the UK’s housing is owner occupied 91,495 12% 575,254 78% Source: Office for National Statistics, Census 2001, last updated Nov 2004 ‘Housing tenure is linked to labour market experiences. Employment status, occupation and education’ Source: Office for National Statistics HOUSING – Tenure Type Details for West Sussex Housing - Tenure Type Details 400,000 361,168 300,000 250,000 208,696 200,000 150,000 100,000 48,527 42,968 50,400 Owned Social rented Private rented Source: Office for National Statistics, Census 2001, last updated Nov 2004 Living rent free Other Private landlord or letting agency Other From Local Authority Shared ownership Owns with a mortgage 0 Relative or friend of a household member 2,278 3,583 1,485 12,385 5,390 Employer of household member 50,000 Owns outright Number of persons 350,000 HOUSING – Average House Prices All Properties Average House Price For All Properties £350,000 £332,268 £300,000 £250,000 £213,236 £200,000 £150,000 £100,000 £50,000 Crawley Adur Worthing Arun Mid Sussex Horsham West Sussex Average Chichester £0 Source: Land Registry of England and Wales, Crown copyright. Figures are for the period April to June 2008. In 2008 UK house prices have seen the first decrease since the 1990’s, they are 4.4% lower this September compared with 2007 and less new houses are being built by private builders. Source:http://www.houseprices. uk.net ECONOMY ECONOMY DID YOU KNOW? • Gatwick is the second biggest airport in Great Britain • Over 20 million visits were made to West Sussex during 2006 with visitor expenditure contributing £1,575,301,000 to the West Sussex economy and sustaining over 32,000 jobs • During 2006, it is estimated that approximately 16.9 million tourism day trips were made to West Sussex • During 2006, there were approximately 3,489,136 overnight trips (Domestic and Overseas visitors) made to West Sussex Source: Facts and Figures 2002-2005 (Scarborough Tourism Economic Impact Model) Index of Deprivation 2007 Income Deprivation West Sussex Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) Deprivation Deciles (National Rankings) Most Depriv ed 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Least Depriv ed 10% Source: Department of Communities and Local Government Index of Deprivation 2007 Employment Deprivation West Sussex Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) Deprivation Deciles (National Rankings) Most Depriv ed 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Least Depriv ed 10% Source: Department of Communities and Local Government ECONOMY Gross Value Added (*GVA) Estimates for 2005 GVA Estimates for the South East Counties 2005 30 24.9 GVA Estimate (£ million) 25 23.6 The South East Region has the highest £GVA rate per head outside of London – 24 22.4 20 14 15 13.3 10.4 10 6.2 4.3 5 1.6 Ke Ha nt m ps hi re CC O xf or ds hi W re es Bu tS ck us in se gh x am sh ir e Ea C st C Su ss ex Br CC ig ht on & H ov Is e le of W ig ht Be rk sh ir e Su rr e y 0 Over 25% of the population in West Sussex is employed within Public Services, which are potentially less likely to create redundancies than private companies whom are profit dependant. Source: WSCC, ‘An Economic Profile of West Sussex’ 2008. Source: Office for National Statistics *GVA – a measure of economic activity – it’s similar to Gross Domestic Product but excludes taxes and subsidies on products. ECONOMY Income: Gross Average (median) Weekly Pay 2007 Total weekly earnings £ (working in Area) Gross Average (Median) Weekly pay for all full-time employee jobs 2007 600 522 500 462 481 467 431 389 400 459 454 426 386 Adur has the highest average weekly pay, perhaps due to a higher volume of London commuters living within the District? Could redundancies within the City of London have a negative impact? 300 200 100 0 at re G ita Br in h ut o S st Ea t es W ex ss u S ur Ad Source: ASHE 2007 (figures are median) un Ar i Ch er st e ch y g x le in am se h h w t s s r a r o Su Cr W Ho id M Between 1996 and 2005 GVA per head in West Sussex increased by 41%, compared with the National average of 54%. Will our ageing population bring this down still further? Source: WSCC, ‘An economic profile of West Sussex’ 2008 ECONOMY Income: Change in Weekly Earnings *Wkpl = People working in West Sussex *res = People resident and working in West Sussex Source: ASHE 2002 & 2007 • Earnings between 2006 and 2007 have risen faster in West Sussex than regionally or nationally. • Earnings for workers in Horsham have fallen by 7.4% and the highest rise for workers has been in Chichester at 9.4%. • Resident earnings in Crawley have fallen by 0.7%. • The highest rise has been in Adur at 16.2% ECONOMY Income: Weekly Earnings (for all those in full time work) Compared by Gender Comparison of mean weekly earnings (male and female) 2007 600 500 Males 400 Females 300 200 100 Source: WSCC, ‘An economic profile of West Sussex’ 2008 Cr aw le y Ho rs ha m M id Su ss ex W or th in g he st er Ch ic Ar un Ad ur Ea st 0 So ut h Mean earnings (£) (working in area) 700 There is a significant gender pay gap between men and women in full time employment with, in some cases, women earning only around half of men’s weekly pay. Source: ASHE 2007 (Local Knowledge) ECONOMY Employment in West Sussex • 7% more of the population of West Sussex is employed compared with Great Britain as a whole. • 10% of those employed in West Sussex are self employed • Results from the Annual Population Survey suggest that there is a greater proportion of self-employed residents, particularly females, in West Sussex than regionally or in Great Britain. The proportion of self-employed tends to be greatest amongst the coastal districts. • Chichester and Worthing have the highest levels of people aged over 25 years who have been claiming Job Seekers allowance for over a year. • Adur and Arun have a higher proportion of employees in manufacturing jobs than the county average. • Chichester and Worthing have a higher proportion of jobs in the public sectors due to the location of the County Council in Chichester and the Primary Care Trust in Worthing. • Crawley is shown to have the highest percentage employed in transport and communications – this is likely to be due to the presence of Gatwick Airport. Source: WSCC, ‘An economic profile of West Sussex’ 2008 ECONOMY Cars or Vans per Household in West Sussex Cars or Vans per Household in West Sussex 18,870 6% 6,398 2% 60,508 19% 92,558 29% No car or van 1 car or van 2 cars or vans 3 cars or vans 14,2581 44% 4 or more cars or vans The average motorist clocks up an annual mileage of 9000 miles. With the average petrol car consumption at 30mpg, that means an astonishing 1363 litres (300 gallons) of petrol every year … visiting a cheaper petrol station could theoretically save you at least £68 a year . Source: www.petrolprices.com Source: Office for National Statistics, Last Updated: 01 March 2007 ECONOMY Cars or Vans per Household on District level Will changes to car tax prices cause people to reduce the number of cars that they own 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Adur No car or van Arun Chichester 1 car or van Horsham Crawley 2 cars or vans 3 cars or vans Source: Office for National Statistics, Last Updated: 01 March 2007 Mid Sussex Worthing 4 or more cars or vans ECONOMY Current climate – Impact on charitable donations In the current economic climate I would be… Neither more nor less likely to donate money to charity 51% Less likely to donate money to charity 31% More likely to donate money to charity 14% Don't know 3% No answer 1% How do less donations impact on services delivered by charities? Base: All GB adults aged 15+ (2,022) Source: BBC News October 2008 The number of home repossessions has soared 71% in a year. More than 11,000 people lost their home between April and June 2008, compared with less than 6,500 during the same period last year. Source: Financial Service Authority, October 2008 TRANSPORT – Public’s View How has people’s perception of transport changed over time? (based on the percentage of people who rate transport as being an important issue) EDUCATION EDUCATION DID YOU KNOW? The next 10 years will see increasing pressure on schools in all sectors as about a third of the teaching staff will be due to retire. Statistics from Summer 2003 who that the age breakdown of teaching staff in West Sussex is as follows:- • 4.25% are 24 or under • 14.16% are 25-29 • 25.23% are between 30-39 • 26.82% are between 40-49 • 25.69% are between 50-59 • 3.85% are over 60 Source: Select Committee report, 2004 POPULATION – Education levels Residents in Chichester District have got the highest qualification levels in West Sussex. Crawley has got the highest proportion of people without any qualification (11% compared to 3.6% in Mid Sussex). What does this mean for local companies in need of high educated employees? Working-age people as % of all working age people NVQ level 3+ Number West Sussex NVQ level 4+ % Number % 223,600 50.4 135,300 30.5 Adur 16,600 48.3 9,700 30.8 Arun 37,600 48.5 23,800 30.7 Chichester 33,800 56.7 23,500 39.4 Crawley 21,600 34.3 10,800 17.2 Horsham 42,500 55.7 27,000 35.3 Mid Sussex 43,700 49.5 26,200 34.1 Worthing 27,900 49.5 14,300 25.5 Source: ONS/Nomis Annual Population Survey, Jan 2007 – Dec 2007 Index of Deprivation 2007 - Education and Skills West Sussex Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) Deprivation Deciles (National Rankings) Most Depriv ed 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Least Depriv ed 10% Source: Department of Communities and Local Government EDUCATION – Public’s View How has people’s perception of education changed over time? (based on the percentage of people who rate education as being important) CRIME Index of Deprivation 2007 - Crime West Sussex Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) Deprivation Deciles (National Rankings) Most Depriv ed 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Least Depriv ed 10% Source: Department of Communities and Local Government CRIME – Total Number of Offences The most common offences to be reported are criminal damage or violence against the person, which includes affray when no contact actually occurs. Notifiable Offences Recorded by the Police (April 07 - March 08) 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 Worthing Mid Sussex Crawley Horsham Source: ONS, Home Office Chichester Arun Adur 0 CRIME - Number of offences per 1,000 residents •Overall, crime levels in West Sussex Districts are improving or identifying no apparent change. •In relation to ‘similar’ areas all but Crawley District are at least ‘in line with’ if not performing better. Source: Iquanta Force overview Oct 2008 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Worthing Mid Sussex Horsham Crawley Source: ONS, Home Office Chichester Arun 0 Adur Number of incidents 1000 persons residents 1,000 per per of offences Number Notifiable Offences Recorded by the Police (April 07 - March 08) CRIME – Percentage of respondents perceiving a high level of anti-social behaviour 20% 15% 10% 5% 12% 10% 14% 15% 16% 16% 18% 17% sh ire Ha mp rd sh ire Be dfo all ey es V Ke nt Th am Su ss ex t ers e So m He rtf or ds hir e Av on & Es se x 0% 14% of all residents in Sussex perceive a high level of anti-social behaviour. The lowest figures can be found in North Yorkshire (8%), Devon&Cornwall (9%), the highest in London and South Wales (24%). Perceptions of anti-social behaviour Based on a series of questions on problems due to: Abandoned or burnt-out cars, noisy neighbours or loud parties, people being drunk or rowdy, people using or dealing drugs, teenagers hanging around, rubbish or litter lying around, vandalism Source: iQuanta, 2008 CRIME – Public’s View Why has people’s perception of crime changed over time? (based on the percentage of people who rate crime as being an important issue) POLITICAL POLITICAL – Voter Turnout County Council election May 2005 Voter Turnout County Council Election May 2005 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 Electoral Division Bars above the line represent a turnout of 70% and over Bars above the line represent a turnout of 60% and over Bars above the line represent a turnout of 50% and over Source: WSCC website Map Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 District Chichester Chichester Chichester Chichester Chichester Chichester Chichester Chichester Chichester Chichester Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Arun Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Horsham Electoral Division THE WITTERINGS SELSEY CHICHESTER SOUTH CHICHESTER EAST CHICHESTER WEST BOURNE CHICHESTER NORTH MIDHURST FERNHURST PETWORTH NYETIMBER BOGNOR REGIS WEST & ALDWICK BERSTED BOGNOR REGIS EAST FONTWELL FELPHAM MIDDLETON LITTLEHAMPTON TOWN LITTLEHAMPTON EAST ARUNDEL & WICK RUSTINGTON ANGMERING & FINDON EAST PRESTON & FERRING STORRINGTON BRAMBER CASTLE PULBOROUGH HENFIELD BILLINGSHURST SOUTHWATER & NUTHURST WARNHAM & RUSPER HOLBROOK ROFFEY HORSHAM CARFAX HORSHAM RIVERSIDE Bar chart % Voter reference Turnout number 66.25 32 64.57 37 65.34 35 59.21 53 68.91 14 65.63 33 68.36 18 68.14 20 70.52 5 69.72 12 68.08 21 61.94 46 58.89 54 55.21 58 65.50 34 68.46 17 63.60 40 53.51 60 62.32 45 64.89 36 68.01 22 66.76 29 69.75 11 70.11 7 70.44 6 68.23 19 67.67 25 66.46 31 68.96 13 67.28 28 68.70 15 64.31 38 67.90 24 67.30 27 POLITICAL – Voter Turnout County Council election May 2005 – Results for all electoral divisions and grouped by District Councils. PART I Note: Elections for the County Council are conducted on electoral division level and not on Parish Council level. Therefore it is not possible to split the results further down. A map with boundaries for the electoral divisions which shows also the Parish boundaries is provided in the ‘Bigger Picture’ pack Map Number District 35 Worthing 36 Worthing 37 Worthing 38 Worthing 39 Worthing 40 Worthing 41 Adur 42 Adur 43 Adur 44 Adur 45 Adur 46 Adur 47 Crawley 48 Crawley 49 Crawley 50 Crawley 51 Crawley 52 Crawley 53 Mid Sussex 54 Mid Sussex 55 Mid Sussex 56 Mid Sussex 57 Mid Sussex 58 Mid Sussex 59 Mid Sussex 60 Mid Sussex 61 Mid Sussex 62 Mid Sussex Electoral Division GORING & NORTHBROOK SALVINGTON GAISFORD WORTHING WEST WORTHING PIER WORTHING EAST SOMPTING LANCING SALTINGS SHOREHAM KINGSTON BUCI SOUTHWICK IFIELD, LANGLEY GREEN & WEST GREEN NORTHGATE & THREE BRIDGES POUND HILL, WORTH & MAIDENBOWER BEWBUSH, GOSSOPS GREEN & SOUTHGATE BROADFIELD TILGATE & FURNACE GREEN WORTH FOREST IMBERDOWN EAST GRINSTEAD LINDFIELD & HIGH WEALD HAYWARDS HEATH EAST HAYWARDS HEATH TOWN CUCKFIELD & LUCASTES HURSTPIERPOINT & BOLNEY BURGESS HILL HASSOCKS & VICTORIA % Voter Turnout 61.00 62.70 58.42 60.46 52.47 57.45 61.10 59.50 63.40 70.00 61.90 64.00 55.74 60.06 63.41 54.77 49.15 63.47 68.50 71.90 66.60 73.46 67.60 70.00 72.80 70.70 67.90 69.90 Bar chart reference number 49 44 55 50 61 56 48 52 43 9 47 39 57 51 42 59 62 41 16 3 30 1 26 8 2 4 23 10 POLITICAL – Voter Turnout County Council election May 2005 – Results for all electoral divisions and grouped by District Councils. PART II Note: Elections for the County Council are conducted on electoral division level and not on Parish Council level. Therefore it is not possible to split the results further down. A map with boundaries for the electoral divisions which shows also the Parish boundaries is provided in the ‘Bigger Picture’ pack POLITICAL – Voter Turnout County Council election May 2005 – Summary for District Councils 80% 74% 71% 70% 70% 70% Highest turnout 64% 63% 60% 67% 64% 60% 59% 50% 74% 70% 54% Lowest turnout 53% 49% 49% 40% 30% 20% 10% 66.7% 63.6% 67.9% 58.8% 63.3% 57.8% 69.9% 64.8% W id es tS us se x Su ss ex ra wl ey Ad ur or th in g W Ar un or sh am H C M C hi ch es te r 0% Average turnout (bar) POLITICAL – Voter Turnout Local Elections May 2007 Mid Sussex Parish Councils 70 58% 60 % Voter Turnout 50 40 34% 30 20 10 0 A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Names for Parishes see next slide Bars above the line represent a turnout of 50% and over Bars above the line represent a turnout of 40% and over Source: Mid Sussex District Council POLITICAL – Voter Turnout Mid Sussex Parish Councils May 2007 Parish Chart Reference % Voter Turnout PARISH OF ASHURST WOOD A 42.4 BURGESS HILL TOWN COUNCIL DUNSTALL WARD B 34.23 BURGESS HILL TOWN COUNCIL FRANKLANDS WARD C 48.65 BURGESS HILL TOWN COUNCIL LEYLANDS WARD D 39.95 BURGESS HILL TOWN COUNCIL MEEDS WARD E 39.15 BURGESS HILL TOWN COUNCIL ST ANDREWS WARD F 39 BURGESS HILL TOWN COUNCIL VICTORIA WARD G 38.67 EAST GRINSTEAD TOWN COUNCIL ASHPLATS WARD H 35.77 EAST GRINSTEAD TOWN COUNCIL BALDWINS WARD I 36.83 EAST GRINSTEAD TOWN COUNCIL HERONTYE WARD J 44.75 IMBERHORNE WARD K 46.05 EAST GRINSTEAD TOWN COUNCIL TOWN WARD L 36.05 Parish Chart Reference % Voter Turnout EAST GRINSTEAD TOWN COUNCIL WORSTED WARD M 37.22 PARISH OF FULKING N 58.37 PARISH OF HASSOCKS KEYMER NORTH WARD O 56.73 HAYWARDS HEATH TOWN COUNCIL ASHENGROUND WARD P 41.17 HAYWARDS HEATH TOWN COUNCIL BENTSWOOD WARD Q 40.54 HAYWARDS HEATH TOWN COUNCIL FRANKLANDS WARD R 37.77 HAYWARDS HEATH TOWN COUNCIL HEATH WARD S 46.1 HAYWARDS HEATH TOWN COUNCIL LUCASTES WARD T 48.2 PARISH OF POYNINGS U 50.21 PARISH OF TURNERS HILL V 38.85 PARISH OF TWINEHAM W 39.37 PARISH OF WEST HOATHLY X 45.05 POLITICAL – What is important to people? What are the most important issues facing Britain today? TECHNOLOGY Internet TECHNOLOGY Access to the Internet in Great Britain There has been a 19% increase in the number of households who have access to the internet in the last 6 years. Households with Access to the Internet - Great Britain 70% 18 % of Households 14 50% 12 40% 10 30% 20% 46% 50% 51% 55% 57% 61% 65% 8 6 4 10% 2 0% 0 2002 Source: National Statistics August 2008 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Number of households in millions 16 60% TECHNOLOGY Use of media channels by older consumers (65+) Older people spend significantly more time than the UK average using many key media. In 2007 the over-65s spent 83 more minutes a day (38%) watching television spent 20 minutes longer (12%) listening to the radio Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report August 2008 were 30 minutes longer (50%) online per day (although they accounted for just 6% of total UK internet usage) TECHNOLOGY Popular internet activities by age The most popular internet activity among older people is ‘communication’ (using email, instant messaging and chat rooms for example). The second most popular internet activity is ‘transactions’, e.g. shopping and online banking. Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report August 2008 TECHNOLOGY Use of internet activities by age 15-24 year olds are showing the largest increase in using the internet for playing games and watching TV & video clips. The internet as a medium to watch & interact with is used and growing with all ages. Proportion of households who use the internet for the following Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report, August 2008 TECHNOLOGY Intention to get the internet at home Consumers aged 65+ without a home internet connection were less interested in getting one than the average for all adults Can you tell me if you intend to get internet access at home in the next year? Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report, August 2008 TECHNOLOGY Top web brands in terms of unique audience, by age Source: Taken from Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report, August 2008 INTERNET – Broadband speed There could be over four million British homes and businesses on high-speed fibre broadband with a speed of at least 20 Mb/s within five years. Overall more than 22 million broadband lines are expected in the UK by 2013. Broadband growth to 2013 Source: Point Topic, October 2008 Ofcom – Communications Market Report August 2008 People will be able to mix video telephony, TV, audio, online games and virtual worlds, all high quality and high resolution. In fact it’s what today’s teenagers are trying to do right now and in a few more years the technology will catch up with them. The average internet speed across the UK rose from 3.6 Mbit/s in December 2006 to 5.9 Mbit/s at the end of Q1 2008. TECHNOLOGY Mobile communnication TECHNOLOGY Use of mobile phones by older consumers (65+) Facts about mobile users aged over 65 use their mobiles significantly less often than the average 7% make a mobile call every day (50% for all adults) 5% send a text daily (48% for all adults) nine in ten of mobile phone users have a pre-pay phone compared to 61% of all adults. Frequency of mobile telephony use, by age Make a call Send a text message Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report August 2008 TECHNOLOGY – Mobile communication Text messaging (SMS) and Picture Messaging (MMS) in Britain Britons send 1,495,525 picture and video messages every day, this is almost 250,000 more messages every day compared to last year - up by 20 percent. Britons send almost 217 million text messages per day or more than 1.5 billion a week. This is on average 60 million more messages a day compared to the same period in 2007 – up by 38 percent. MMS and SMS total Q3 2007 analysis compared to Q3 2008 Q3 2007 Q3 2008 %Change MMS 37,833,203 45,364,272 +20% SMS 4,759,366,667 6,577,926,441 +38% Source: The Mobile Data Association quarterly results July - September 2008 TECHNOLOGY General TECHNOLOGY Interest in internet / PC / laptop functions by age Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report, August 2008 TECHNOLOGY Take-up of communications services, by age Lower take-up of all services except landline among older people … Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report August 2008 TECHNOLOGICAL Growth in take-up of communications services Q1 2005 to Q1 2008 …although take-up is growing faster among older people (65+) Source: Ofcom – Annual Communications Market Report August 2008 TECHNOLOGICAL Which media activity would you miss the most? TV was most missed by all age groups but people aged 65+ would miss it the most together with listening to the radio and reading newspapers. MEDIA – Ethnic Minority Groups (EMGs) EMGs watch less television overall and less Public Service Broadcasting (PSB) programming in particular. Qualitative research that shows that higher take-up of cable/satellite among EMGs is due to demand for increased choice of programmes and channels, and access to specialist channels. EMGs are more enthusiastic about communications technology. Greater proportions of EMGs have a contract mobile phone (as opposed to pre-pay) than the general population, and EMGs are more likely to receive most of their incoming calls on their mobiles. EMGs are open to adopt new technologies due to interest and confidence in using them. Source: Ofcom, Communications market special report: Ethnic minority groups and communication services 2007 TECHNOLOGY – Online Sales Online food shopping has overtaken sales of gadgets and electronics for the first time. The top four online categories were Grocery (31%) Electronics (25%) Fashion (21%) Travel (15%) Source: Survey carried out by MyVoucherCodes.co.uk, October 2008 ENVIRONMENT ENVIRONMENT DID YOU KNOW? • Chichester Harbour is the biggest inland Harbour in the UK with over 55 miles of coastline. • Kingley Vale, the nature reserve just north of Chichester, is the largest Yew Forest in the UK • Over half of West Sussex lies in Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty • West Sussex has the most woodland cover of broadleaved trees in England • Bognor Regis is the sunniest place in Britain • Bosham is the only English place to be represented on the Bayeux Tapestry. ENVIRONMENT – Coastal erosion and flooding River Arun at Pulborough Selsey East Head – West Wittering Within 100 years • More than 2,200 houses and businesses in the low lying areas could flood in the Pagham, Arun, Chichester and East Head areas each year as sea levels rises. • Coastal erosion could cause more than 1,500 properties to be lost to the sea (Pagham, Arun, Chichester and East Head areas) Source: Environmental Agency Ref 117/08, 2008 ENVIRONMENT – Flood risk areas ENVIRONMENT – Parks and Land ENVIRONMENT – Use of resources If our demands on the planet continue to increase just at the same rate, by the mid-2030s we would need the equivalent of two planets to maintain our lifestyles. Source: Living Planet Report, World Wildlife Fund, 29th October 2008 ENVIRONMENT – Use of resources The UK is dark red, i.e. we already use 50% more energy and produce 50% more waste than the UK as an ecosystem can provide and endure. Overuse of resources Proportion of resources a country still has compared to their current use More than 150% 100-150% 50-100% 0-50% More than 150% 100-150% 50-100% 0-50% . Source: Living Planet Report, World Wildlife Fund, 29th October 2008 ENVIRONMENT– Public’s View How has people’s perception of the environment changed over time? (based on the percentage of people who rate the environment as being important) ENVIRONMENT – Wildlife changes Changes in farmland bird populations by region 1996 - 2006 In the South East two third of the farmland bird populations declined in numbers over the last 10 years. The decline in farmland birds indicate a high pressure on the open landscape (new housing sites) and a loss of habitats (e.g. removing hedges or using more pesticides & herbicides). Source: Defra, RSPB, BTO 2008 (numbers in brackets indicate number of species assessed) ENVIRONMENT Technological awareness Percentage of consumers 80% 70% 60% 72% 50% 40% 50% 30% 39% 20% 10% The Energy Savings Trust forecasts that, in 2020, consumer electronics, information and communications devices will account for 45% of all electricity used in the home (excluding heating), up from around 30% in 2008. 0% I care about the environment I compare I am not aware of environmentally- any energy labels friendly aspects when purchasing communications devices Extracted from: Ofcom – Communications Market Report August 2008 ENVIRONMENT Technological Awareness 80% 70% 60% 70% 50% 40% 50% 30% 20% 10% 25% 0% regularly charge their mobile phone overnight never, or rarely, switch off never, or rarely, switch off the wireless router when their television set-top they are not using it box Extracted from: Ofcom – Communications Market Report August 2008 ENVIRONMENT – Waste Management In England in 2006/07 a total of 29.1 million tonnes of municipal waste was collected. 58 per cent (16.9 million tonnes) went to landfill, down from 62 per cent (17.9 million tonnes) in 2005/06. Around 42 per cent of total waste was recycled, composted or incinerated with energy recovery. SOCIAL SOCIAL – Public’s view on social inequality Nine out of ten British people are happy, and almost seven in 10 expect more good than bad experiences in the next five to 10 years. But, despite a great deal of optimism, people are acutely aware of social differences and the impact that has on health. seven in 10 want the income gap reduced; 95 per cent think everyone should have the same opportunities for education, regardless of their family income; over 90 per cent felt that all children in Britain should have an equal chance of living a long and healthy life and of becoming a top income earner; and just 48 per cent felt that that all children in Britain currently enjoy an equal chance of living a long and healthy life. Source: National Social Marketing Centre, November 2008