Pharmaceutical Manufacturing of Brand Name Drugs Industry Analysis Table of Contents PART I: DESCRIBE TWO PUBLICLY TRADED BUSINESS RIVALS ................. 2 PART 2: OPORTUNITY ............................................................................. 7 PART 3: INDUSTRY ANALYSIS .................................................................. 9 PART 4: STRENGTH ASSESSMENT ......................................................... 13 WORKS CITED ....................................................................................... 15 1 PART I: DESCRIBE TWO PUBLICLY TRADED BUSINESS RIVALS 1. a) Pfizer Inc 235 East 42nd Street New York, New York 10017 (Pfizer, pg3) Merck & Co. Inc. P.O. Box 100. One Merck Drive Whitehouse Station, NJ 08889 (Merck, pg3) b) The pharmaceutical manufacturing industry is one that involves a high amount of diligence to retain any competitive edge. In the 1920’s and 1930’s, pharmaceutical manufacturing began. It assisted with providing important vaccines and other drugs to the people. As soon as breakthrough drugs were discovered, the pharmaceutical drug companies wanted to protect and capitalize on their potential (“Health, pg 20). These companies produce patented chemical and biologic drugs that are used on humans and animals to prevent or treat illness. Two companies that compete in the brand name drug industry are Pfizer Inc. and Merck & Co. Inc. (Brand, pg4). Fortunately, for these companies their brand name drugs have been under patent, which provides security, but forces competition to be elsewhere other than in the manufacturing process. While the generic drug companies realize the potential market with patents ending, brand name manufacturers will need to find other ways to reduce costs to stay competitive. (Brand, pg6 - 8) 2 c) IBISWorld names this industry Brand Name Pharmaceutical & Medicine Manufacturing in the US. They give an enlightened future for the industry saying “new drugs and greater healthcare coverage keep demand healthy”. Innovation is what keeps the industry going and will help (Brand, 5). 2. The Pharmaceutical Manufacturing industry employment status is not promising. There shows signs of steady decrease in employment. This is probably due to the increased efficiency in the manufacturing process and the need to cut costs. For this industry workers in research and development are not included, but should be due to their important role in the upcoming years to keep the industry innovative. (Bureau, 1) According to IBISWorld, employment over the past few years and those to come show a steady decrease in employment as revenues increase (Brand, pg 4). Source (Brand; pg4) 3 3. Return on Equity 2006 - 2010 Table 1 50% ROE (%) 40% 30% 20% Pfizer Inc. 10% Merck & Co. 0% Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Year Both companies have had difficult times this past year with their return on equity. This is steady decline in the economy as well as the industry as a whole. Pfizer has been able to keep their net income up over the past few years with slight decline, but Merck had a very difficult year. Merck’s net income from 2009 to 2010 dropped 6.7%. Also, Merck has had a sharper drop in common stock equity. This has led to less happy shareholders and very poor returns. Table 1 contains information on collected financial data from IBISWorld (Merck, 6-7) (Pfizer, 6-7). Stock Price Per Share (USD) Stock Price 2006 - 2011 Table 2 $60 $40 $20 Pfizer Inc. $0 200 6 200 7 200 8 200 9 201 0 201 1 Merck & Co Year Despite the stock price of Merck being so much higher, it does not equate to the rest of the financials. Pfizer is an overall more stable company with their stock price not exceeding $23 per share. Even though Merck shows a more unstable stock price trend, both companies seem to be on an upward 4 path going in to this year. Recently, on April 15, 2011, Merck was able to increase its shares value by 1.9% (Witkowski, pg1). This was due to its settlement with Johnson & Johnson which took a lot of company focus and caused insecurities with shareholders (Randall, pg 1). Table 2 contains information on collected financial data from Yahoo Finance (Merck2, pg 1) (Pfizer2, pg1). Total Assets 2006 - 2010 Table 3 Total Assets ($Millions) $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 Pfizer Inc $50,000 Merck & Co $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Both Pfizer and Merck have increased their total assets in the same manner, only Pfizer has nearly double the amount. Pfizer has a huge advantage in this area with inventory, intangibles, and noncurrent assets. Merck is handling their assets more poorly, by accumulating more assets that are liabilities and not capitalizing on acquiring assets that would help them become more successful. Table 3 contains information on collected financial data from IBISWorld (Merck, 6-7) (Pfizer, 6-7). Manufacturing Efficiency Manufacturing Efficiency Table 4 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 Pfizer Inc 0.1 Merck & Co 0.05 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 5 2010 Manufacturing efficiency for each company has had good report in 2008, but since then have had an increase. While both have kept their cost of goods sold at a close rate, the revenue gained by Pfizer has provided a much better manufacturing efficiency. This model above shows that Pfizer has hit some difficult times with their costs increasing recently, but will need to find ways to reduce that to keep their profit higher. Table 4 contains information on collected financial data from IBISWorld (Merck, 6-7) (Pfizer, 6-7). Share of Industry Value Share of Industry Value 2006 - 2010 Table 5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 Pfizer 0.1 Merck & Co 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year The share of industry value for both Pfizer and Merck seem to increase on a steady rate. Even though Pfizer has nearly double the market, they both gain more market share as the years have passed. This shows that either they are doing much better as a company gaining more industry revenue, or they are eliminating the competition. As their market share grows it will make it more difficult for smaller companies to gain a hold in their industry. Another factor that could be contributing to the increase in share of industry is the recent patent expirations. Many companies have undergone patent expiration and lost their competitive edge to generic drug manufacturers. Pfizer realizes this trend and has partnered with a biotech company, Zacharon Pharmaceuticals Inc, to drive a stronger focus on drugs for rare 6 diseases (Rockoff, pg 1). Table 5 contains information on collected financial data from IBISWorld (Merck, 6-7)(Pfizer, 6-7). PART 2: OPORTUNITY 1. The industry that Pfizer Inc. and Merck & Co. compete in is the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. For this paper, we will be concentrating on the sector of the manufacturing industry that focuses on the production of brand name drugs. This industry consists of 2, 500 companies located through the United States. The companies within the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry focus on researching and developing medical and other health-related products for the treatment and prevention of diseases and illnesses. The manufacturing sector of the industry focuses on the production of the finalized development for consumers. Manufacturing of the drugs is the last step of production, a process that begins with a discovery and development phase. Companies in this industry spend significant amounts of their finances on research and development in comparison to other industries. While there may be thousands of compounds created in the development stage, only hundreds are manufactured and sold on the market per year (Bureau, 1). Pfizer Inc. and Merck & Co. are considered large or mainline pharmaceutical companies as they currently have a substantial amount of FDA approved drugs on the market. Large or mainline pharmaceutical companies usually have a large number of both research and development laboratories, as well as, manufacturing plants throughout the United States. These companies also tend to have the capacity to compete in the global market. Small companies have very few if any drugs on the market, and specialize mainly on the research and development aspects of the industry rather than production. These companies may contract out their research and development capabilities to other larger companies. The final type of company focuses on the manufacturing of drugs that no longer have patents on them. Because the research and development of these drugs has already been established, these companies do 7 not allocate nearly as much of their finances on this aspect, but rather focus on efficient manufacturing and production of the generic drugs on a large scale (Bureau, 1). The pharmaceutical manufacturing industry is also developing as a reflection of innovative technology and knowledge. New technology has allowed researchers to better understand the human body and the effect that pharmaceutical drugs and medical products have on it. While technology has made a drastic impact on research and development, it is also advancing the manufacturing and production of these drugs. In order to be competitive within this industry, the manufacturing process must be efficient yet technologically advanced to ensure the highest quality of product. This quality production can be most effectively managed by having continual technological updates and improvements through the manufacturing line while maintaining an efficient supply chain (Bureau, 1). In 2008, the industry as a whole decreased R&D spending from $47.4 billion to $45.8 billion (“Healthcare, pg 31). Despite this decrease, Merck and Pfizer had highly productive R&D programs, each spawning a number of blockbuster drugs,” (“Healthcare, pg 33). 2. In the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry there are many places of opportunity geographically. Each company is only able to reach the markets they limit themselves to. Some companies are global and others are just country wide. The largest area of competition in the global market is the United States of America. The US has half of the largest companies in the world. Other countries of high pharmaceutical manufacturing presence are Switzerland, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Some used to be higher such as Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson, when their drugs weren’t approved by the FDA. The time and money put in by these companies are huge investments and can cause large industry market shifts (Carter, 1). The growth of demand for this industry is shown in the graphs below. The annual growth is at 2.4% but will continue to rise as the median population age increase. As age continues to rise, the demand for pharmaceutical drugs will rise also (Brand, 6) 8 (Brand, pg 6) PART 3: INDUSTRY ANALYSIS 1. The pharmaceutical manufacturing industry is highly competitive and has several high power threats to profit. These include the rivalry, substitutes, and buyers. The threat of entry and suppliers in the pharmaceutical industry is low. The following 5 force analysis has influence from slides presented by Dr. Young (Young4, Slides 9-13). Rivalry With industry leaders and trailblazers like Pfizer, Merck, and GlaxoSmithKline, the pharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and aggressive market. Because research is so high, and competitive products are constantly being introduced, pharmaceutical manufacturing companies are in constant competition with each other to release the next best drug. To survive in this industry which is based on innovation, companies depend on investing in ideas that will ultimately produce intellectual property rights and patents on the newest products. Generic suppliers are soon to be a difficult rival to the drugs coming off patent in the coming years. In addition to the rivalry amongst each other, the government acts as a rival for pharmaceutical manufacturers in that the government often attracts outside buyers in efforts to help regulate prices and keep them low and affordable for customers (Brand, pg 2628). Substitutes In the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry the threat of substitutes is moderate. In this industry generic brand drugs and medicine are viewed as the primary substitutes for the products produced in this 9 industry. Though the generic brands are viewed as substitutes because they keep prices of brand name medicines competitive, the generic versions of the brand name medicines are not always available due to the limitations presented by patents (“The Pharmaceutical, Pg 1). Threat of Entry The pharmaceutical manufacturing has a low threat of entry. This is probably due to the fact that the costs that are necessary to enter into the industry are very high (Young4, Slide 12). The costs associated with developing a new drug are very high, in addition to the time required to conduct research and for development. Additionally, all drugs must be reviewed and approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) which can also prove to be a deterrent of entry into the industry. Standard & Poors states that the “development of a new drug can take 10 years or more, at a total cost of more than $800 million.” (“Healthcare, pg 26). Buyers In the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry, the bulk of consumers and buyers include doctors, patients, hospitals and local pharmacies. In order to gauge the threat buyers pose in the pharmaceutical industry, companies must take note of the number of buyers they have and the amount of product differentiation. However, due to the fact that the majority of pharmaceutical manufacturers devote most of their resources and research on new drug patents, buyers do not really present a serious threat to the industry (“The Pharmaceutical, pg 1). Suppliers Identifying the suppliers in the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry is slightly complex in that there are potentially a wide variety of providers involved such as raw materials, manufacturing and production plants, as well as marketing partners that supply products or third party suppliers. Furthermore, labor should also be considered as a supplier in this industry given that so much research is required and clinical trials go into the development of patents and the staff providing the data can be considered suppliers. Because there are so many various suppliers providing a variety of different things, there is not much of a threat in this industry (Brand, pg 19). 10 2. There are a total of three low-power forces in the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. They are the threat of entry, suppliers, and buyers. A company with three low forces has an expected profitability on average KSF will be about equal to the cost of capital (Young4, Slide 10). 3. A Key Success Factor or KSFs are specific resources or activities that a company must be good at if they are a profitable and satisfying in consumer demand, while also defending the company against high-power threats (Young4, Slide 2). In the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry there are several KSFs a company would need to be good at in order to be a successful and profitable company. In this industry these include Manufacturing Efficiency, Economies of Scale, Inventory Turnover, and Scale. Manufacturing Efficiency allows companies to produce more products efficiently, and is a critical deciding factor in industry competition. It is measured by dividing Cost of Goods Sold by the Sales Revenue. It is favorable to have a lower manufacturing efficiency for cost based strategies (Young3, Slide 5). Economies of Scale allows companies to decrease the internal cost of operation by reducing the cost per unit, and occurs as a result of increased production it is measured by dividing Costs by Total Assets. In this industry it is preferable that lower Economies of Scale is better. By reducing their internal costs pharmaceutical manufacturing companies are able to operate at less cost than competitors and therefore increase the company’s profit margin (Young3, Slide 5). Inventory Turnover is a ratio showing how many times a company’s inventory is sold and replaced over a period of time. This ratio is measured by dividing the company’s Revenue by the Average Inventory. A higher inventory turnover is better in industries with product innovation, such as the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Having a high inventory turnover is extremely beneficial for a company because it means that the company is able to 11 sell inventory quickly to make a profit and replace it in a reasonable amount of time (Young3, Slide 5-13). Scale gives a snapshot of the total assets a particular company has. The overall span of a company can be very useful for allocation of resources, and the utilization of assets for multiple projects. Assets however can have intended strategic fit, but end up being a detriment to the company (Young, Slide 2). 4. KSF Manufacturing Efficiency Formula 1 Costs of Goods Sold Sales Revenue 2 Merck & Co. $11,015,00/ $45,987,00 = 0.2 Economies of Scale Costs Total Assets $11,015,000/ $105,781,000 = 0.104 Inventory Turnover Revenue Average Inventory Scale Total Assets $45,987,000/$6,961,000 = 6.6 $105,781,00 Pfizer Inc. $13,196,00/ $67,809,00 = 0.19 3 $13,196,000/ $195,014,000 = 0.068 $67,809,000/ $10,404,000 = 6.5 $195,014,000 (Source: 2010 Data from IBIS World) 5. Economies of Scale protect companies against the high power threats of rivalry. Economies of Scale allow for the reduction of internal costs without reducing the quality of the products (i.e. the equation Profit = [(Quantity x Average Sales Price)] – Costs); the cost per unit decreases as production increases. Economies of Scale protection comes in when high power rival forces drive average price down, lower internal costs of production allow for lower prices to be passed onto customers without reducing profits. Manufacturing Efficiency determines the capability for production to supply the required 1 12 Information from (Young3, Slide 5) 2 Data Collected From IBISWorld (Merck, 6-7) 3 Data Collected From IBISWorld (Pfizer, 6-7) demand. With lower cost goods sold, the company experiences greater efficiency and higher top line revenue. Better efficiency leads to a competitive advantage with ability to allocate finds elsewhere (Young2, Slide 17). PART 4: STRENGTH ASSESSMENT 1. (Young3, Slide 5). Scale used: 1=Weakest, 5=Strongest 4 Strength Assessment of Merck & Co and Pfizer Inc. Merck & Co. 3 Manufacturing Efficiency 1 Economies of Scale 3 Inventory Turnover 1 Scale 4 Key Success Factor Calculation Used: Merck & Co. Calculation 5 Manufacturing Efficiency COGS/Sales Revenue $11,015,000/ $45,987,000 = .2 Economies of Scale Total Costs/Total Assets Inventory Turnover Scale Pfizer Inc. 3 5 3 5 Merck & Co. Competency Score 3 Pfizer Inc. Calculation $11,015,000/ $105,781,000 = .104 1 $13,196,000/ $195,014,000 = .068 5 Revenue/Average Inventory $45,987,000 / $6,961,000 = 6.6 3 $67,809,000/ $10,404,000 = 6.5 3 Total Assets $105,781,000 1 $195,014,000 5 Average Score: 6 $13,196,000/ $67,809,000 = .19 2 Pfizer Inc. Competency Score 3 4 *All Calculations use 2010 Data from IBIS World 4 13 Information from (Young3, Slide 5). 5 Data Collected From IBISWorld (Merck, 6-7) 6 Data Collected From IBISWorld (Pfizer, 6-7) 3. Using our strength assessment calculations on key success factors within the pharmaceutical manufacturing of brand name drugs, Pfizer Inc. is most likely create and sustain a competitive advantage against Merck Co.. The strength assessment showed that the companies were relatively equal on the key success factors of manufacturing efficiency and inventory turnover. However, Pfizer Inc. had the greatest strength on the key success factors of economies of scale and scale. These two key success factors affect the cost factor of the business model equation, Profit = [(Quantity x Average Sales Price)] – Costs, as they both decrease internal costs which allows for a greater profit (Young2, Slide 17). As production increases with the scale of the business, manufacturing cost per unit decreases allowing a lower internal cost of production, creating a competitive advantage. As the competition in the industry starts to drive the average selling price of the product, the company with the lowest cost of production will be able to pass these lower prices onto the customer without sacrificing quality or features of the product (Young2, Slide 17). The advantages will allow Pfizer Inc. to create a sustainable competitive advantage that will protect against high-powered threats within the industry. 14 WORKS CITED Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Career Guide to Industries, 2010-11 Edition, Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing, on the Internet at <http://www.bls.gov/oco/cg/cgs009.htm (visited April 26, 2011 )>. Brand Name Pharmaceutical & Medicine Manufacturing in the US. IBISWorld, February 2011. Web.20 April, 2011. <http://www.ibisworld.com.proxied.lib.ncsu.edu/industryus/default.aspx?indid=487> Castner, Morgan. "The Global Pharmaceutical Industry." Www.duke.edu. N.p., 15 Apr. 2007. 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