MDP Presentation - Maryland Department of Planning

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Planning.Maryland.gov
MARYLAND’S HISPANIC POPULATION
AND THOSE ELIGIBLE TO VOTE
Planning.Maryland.gov
GROWTH IN MARYLAND’S HISPANIC
POPULATION
Hispanics had both the largest numeric gain and the largest
percentage increase in population in Maryland over the 2000
to 2014 period. During this 14-year period, the Hispanic
population grew by just over 329,000, or almost 145 percent.
Planning.Maryland.gov
MARYLAND’S POPULATION CHANGE BY NON-HISPANIC RACE
AND HISPANIC ORIGIN, APRIL 1, 2000 TO JULY 1, 2014
Hispanic
329,455
Black or African American Alone
273,536
Asian Alone
159,655
Two or More Races
71,277
Nat Hawaiian & Other Pac Islander Alone
1,019
American Indian and Alaska Native Alone
836
White Alone
-155,887
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2014 population estimates
Planning.Maryland.gov
MARYLAND’S PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE BY NON-HISPANIC
RACE AND HISPANIC ORIGIN, APRIL 1, 2000 TO JULY 1, 2014
Hispanic
144.6%
Two or More Races
114.0%
Asian Alone
74.6%
Nat Hawaiian & Other Pac Islander Alone
50.2%
Black or African American Alone
18.5%
American Indian and Alaska Native Alone
White Alone
6.1%
-4.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2014 population estimates
Planning.Maryland.gov
GROWTH IN MARYLAND’S HISPANIC
POPULATION
But because the growth of Hispanics in Maryland is a recent
phenomenon, the Hispanic share of the overall population
averaged only 8.8 percent over the 2010-2014 period,
although for two jurisdictions, Montgomery (17.9%) and
Prince George’s (15.9%) counties, it’s much higher.*
* The data in this slide and in the rest of the analysis, data is based on
2010-2014 five-year tabulations from the American Community Survey
CVAP tabulations
Planning.Maryland.gov
HISPANICS AS A PERCENT OF THE POPULATION FOR
MARYLAND’S JURISDICTIONS (2010-2014)
Montgomery
Prince George's
Maryland
Frederick
Anne Arundel
Howard
Talbot
Caroline
Wicomico
Charles
Baltimore Co.
Baltimore City
Kent
St. Mary's
Dorchester
Harford
Washington
Cecil
Somerset
Worcester
Queen Anne's
Calvert
Carroll
Allegany
Garrett
0.0%
17.9%
15.9%
8.8%
7.9%
6.7%
6.1%
5.9%
5.9%
4.9%
4.8%
4.6%
4.5%
4.4%
4.3%
4.0%
3.9%
3.9%
3.8%
3.6%
3.3%
3.3%
3.1%
2.8%
1.6%
0.9%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010-2014 American Community Survey CVAP tabulation
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
Planning.Maryland.gov
MARYLAND’S VOTING-ELIGIBLE HISPANIC
POPULATION
While Hispanics are a growing share of the State’s
population, they are not yet proportionately represented in the
voting-eligible population because they tend to 1) have a
higher proportion of their population under age 18, and 2) a
majority of Hispanics statewide over the age of 18 are not
citizens.
Planning.Maryland.gov
PERCENT OF EACH RACE/HISPANIC GROUP THAT IS LESS THAN
18 YEARS OF AGE FOR MARYLAND, 2010-2014
35%
32.0%
30%
24.8%
25%
21.7%
20%
19.4%
15%
10%
5%
0%
White Alone
Asian Alone
Black or African American Alone
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010-2014 American Community Survey CVAP tabulation
Hispanic or Latino
Planning.Maryland.gov
PERCENT OF HISPANICS AGES 18+ WHO ARE CITIZENS BY
MARYLAND JURISDICTION (2010-2014)
Garrett
88.2%
Harford
83.7%
Calvert
83.7%
Cecil
81.0%
St. Mary's
78.6%
Carroll
76.8%
Charles
75.5%
Allegany
72.9%
Washington
72.7%
Queen Anne's
65.7%
Howard
65.3%
Worcester
62.8%
Anne Arundel
58.5%
Baltimore Co.
55.7%
Frederick
55.5%
Talbot
53.8%
Baltimore City
50.7%
Maryland
49.6%
Montgomery
49.5%
Somerset
48.6%
Wicomico
44.9%
Kent
39.5%
Prince George's
35.5%
Dorchester
32.3%
Caroline
0.0%
25.3%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010-2014 American Community Survey CVAP tabulation
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Planning.Maryland.gov
Planning.Maryland.gov
MARYLAND’S VOTING ELIGIBLE HISPANIC
POPULATION
Therefore, while Hispanics make up just under 9 percent of
Maryland’s overall population, they make up just under 8
percent of those 18 and over, and just over 4 percent of those
who are age 18 and over and who are citizens.
For Montgomery County, where Hispanics make up more
than one out of six of the total population, those eligible to
vote are one out of 10. For Prince George’s County,
Hispanics are 15.9 percent of the total population but only 5.9
percent of the voting eligible population.
Planning.Maryland.gov
HISPANICS AGES 18 AND OVER AS A PERCENT OF THE TOTAL
POPULATION AGES 18 AND OVER (2010-2014)
Montgomery
Prince George's
Maryland
Frederick
Anne Arundel
Howard
Talbot
Caroline
Kent
Charles
Baltimore City
Wicomico
Baltimore Co.
St. Mary's
Harford
Dorchester
Somerset
Cecil
Washington
Worcester
Queen Anne's
Calvert
Carroll
Allegany
Garrett
16.4%
14.1%
7.7%
6.7%
5.7%
5.4%
4.7%
4.5%
4.4%
4.2%
4.0%
4.0%
3.9%
3.7%
3.3%
3.3%
3.1%
3.1%
3.1%
2.7%
2.7%
2.6%
2.4%
1.5%
0.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010-2014 American Community Survey CVAP tabulation
12%
14%
16%
18%
Planning.Maryland.gov
HISPANICS ELIGIBLE TO VOTE AS A PERCENT OF ALL ELIGIBLE
VOTERS BY MARYLAND JURISDICTION, (2010-2014)
Montgomery
Prince George's
Maryland
Frederick
Howard
Anne Arundel
Charles
St. Mary's
Harford
Talbot
Cecil
Baltimore Co.
Washington
Calvert
Baltimore City
Wicomico
Carroll
Kent
Queen Anne's
Worcester
Somerset
Caroline
Allegany
Dorchester
Garrett
0.0%
10.0%
5.9%
4.2%
4.0%
3.9%
3.5%
3.3%
3.0%
2.8%
2.6%
2.6%
2.3%
2.3%
2.2%
2.2%
1.9%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.6%
1.2%
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010-2014 American Community Survey CVAP tabulation
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
Planning.Maryland.gov
MARYLAND’S VOTING-ELIGIBLE HISPANIC
POPULATION
In the next couple of decades, however, Hispanics will
become a greater force in the electorate, as those under age
18 become 18 and over, and since the vast majority of those
now under age 18 are already citizens (89.7%).
Planning.Maryland.gov
PERCENT OF HISPANICS UNDER AGE 18 WHO ARE CITIZENS,
BY MARYLAND JURISDICTION, 2010-2014
Talbot
Somerset
St. Mary's
Kent
Garrett
Calvert
Allegany
Worcester
Cecil
Charles
Harford
Queen Anne's
Washington
Howard
Carroll
Anne Arundel
Wicomico
Baltimore City
Maryland
Baltimore Co.
Frederick
Prince George's
Caroline
Montgomery
Dorchester
75.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.1%
99.0%
98.8%
98.4%
98.3%
97.0%
95.9%
94.5%
93.4%
93.1%
91.9%
90.9%
89.7%
89.6%
89.5%
89.3%
88.9%
83.3%
80.0%
85.0%
90.0%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010-2014 American Community Survey CVAP tabulation
95.0%
100.0%
105.0%
Planning.Maryland.gov
CITIZEN VOTING AGE POPULATION
(CVAP) SPECIAL TABULATION
From the 2010-2014 5-Year American Community Survey ACS)
This is a special tabulation providing data on the citizen voting
age population and other data from the 2010-2014 5-year
American Community Survey (ACS). The ACS is the
replacement for the decennial census long form. This is the sixth
release of this special tabulation of ACS data. Previous releases
used data from the 2005-2009, 2006-2010, 2007-2011, 20082012 and 2009-2013 5-year ACS. Data from all five releases are
available on the Census Bureau’s Redistricting Office web site:
http://www.census.gov/rdo/data/voting_age_population_by_citizenship_and_race_cvap.html
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