Problem solving Problem Solving: 3 Types of Problems Jim Greeno (1978) • Inducing structure • Arrangement problems • Transformation problems Inducing structure – to discover relations among numbers, words, symbols, or ideas – Series completion and analogy problems Merchant : Sell :: Customer : _____ Lawer : Client :: Doctor : ______ Arrangement problems – arrange the parts of a problem in a way that satisfies some criterion – often solved by insight, a sudden discovery of the correct solution following incorrect attempts based primarily on trial and error – String problem and Anagrams RWAET KEROJ Transformation problems – carrying out a sequence of transformations in order to reach a specific goal – Hobbits and orcs problem – Water jar problem Effective Problem Solving • Well defined vs. ill defined problems – the initial state, the goal state, and the constraints are clearly specified – Most real world problems are ill defined Creativity • Strernberg’s five components –Expertise –Imaginative thinking skills –Adventuresome personality –Intrinsic motivation –A creative environment Barriers to Effective Problem Solving • • • • Irrelevant Information Confirmation Bias Functional Fixedness Mental Set (people persist in using problem-solving strategies that have worked in the past) • Unnecessary Constraints Barriers to Effective Problem Solving – Functional fixedness is the tendency to view objects as functioning only in their usual or customary way – Mental set is the tendency to persist in solving problems with solutions that have worked in the past Obstacles to Problem Solving • arrange six matches to form four equilateral triangles • Attach the candle to the wall in a way that wax will not drop onto the table below Obstacles to Problem Solving Approaches to Problem Solving • Algorithms (methodical step by step) • Heuristics (guiding principles) Approaches to Problem Solving • Algorithms (methodical step by step) – Systematic trial-and-error – Trying all possible alternatives – Guaranteed solution Algorithmic Problem Solving Figure 8.12 The tower of Hanoi problem Approaches to Problem Solving • Heuristics (guiding principles) “rule of thumb” – Shortcuts – No guaranteed solution • Forming subgoals to solve one part • Working backward from a specified endpoint • Searching for analogies from previous problem to solve a current one • Changing the representation of a problem Figure 8.16 Representing the bird and train problem Making Decisions and Forming Judgments Using and Misusing Heuristics Decisions Involving Uncertainty: Estimating the Probability of Events – We tend to rely on 2 rule-of-thumb strategies to help us estimate the likelihood of events 1. The availability heuristic is a strategy in which the likelihood of an event is estimated on the basis of how readily available other instances of the event are in memory. The less accurately our memory of an event reflects the actual frequency of the event, the less accurate our estimate of the event’s likelihood will be The Availability Heuristic Solving Problems and Making Decisions 2. The representativeness heuristic is a strategy in which the likelihood of an event is estimated by comparing how similar it is to our prototype of the event. This strategy can produce faulty estimates if • We fail to consider possible variations from the prototype, or • We fail to consider the approximate number of prototypes that actually exist The Representative Heuristic Solving Problems and Making Decisions Four obstacles to logical thinking can account for much of the persistence of unwarranted beliefs in pseudosciences or other areas • The belief-bias effect occurs when people accept only the evidence that conforms to their belief, rejecting or ignoring any evidence that does not • Confirmation bias is the strong tendency to search for info or evidence that confirms a belief, while making little or no effort to search for info that might disprove the belief Solving Problems and Making Decisions • The fallacy of positive instances is the tendency to remember uncommon events that seem to confirm our beliefs and to forget events that disconfirm our beliefs • The tendency to overestimate the rarity of events is referred to as the overestimation effect Overconfidence Culture, Cognitive Style, and Problem Solving • Field dependence – relying on external frames of reference • Field independence – relying on internal frames of reference – Western cultures inspire field independence – Cultural influence based in ecological demands • Holistic vs. analytic cognitive styles Decision Making: Evaluating Alternatives and Making Choices • Simon (1957) – theory of bounded rationality • Making Choices – Additive strategies – Elimination by aspects – Risky decision making • Expected value • Subjective utility • Subjective probability Table 8.3 Application of the additive model to choosing an apartment Heuristics in Judging Probabilities • • • • • The availability heuristic The representativeness heuristic The tendency to ignore base rates The conjunction fallacy The alternative outcomes effect Figure 8.18 The conjunction fallacy Understanding Pitfalls in Reasoning About Decisions • • • • • The gambler’s fallacy Overestimating the improbable Confirmation bias and belief perseverance The overconfidence effect Framing Evolutionary Analyses: Flaws in Decision Making and Fast and Frugal Heuristics • Cosmides and Tooby (1996) – Unrealistic standard of rationality – Decision making evolved to handle real-world adaptive problems – Problem solving research based on contrived, artificial problems • Gigerenzer (2000) – Quick and dirty heuristics – Less than perfect but adaptive