Japan “the land of the rising sun” Japanese Capitalism 1800’s – 1945. 250 years of self-imposed isolation from the outside world. 1854 US warships arrived and demanded the opening of trade. Modern capitalistic production started in the late 19th century in the cotton and textile industry. Japanese production was more efficient than US, Russia & UK. Japan was 1st Asian country to master western manufacturing techniques. Early Stages of Capitalism It was attributed to private entrepreneurs and NOT through government protection. Government lacked power to impose tariffs. Govt. promoted growth through publicly subsidized firms. These Govt. policies created large deficits. Private business became the dominant mode of economic policy. Japan (1800-1945) cont.. Until 1930’s Govt. intervention in the economy was limited Banking was almost unregulated. Govt. had little role in financing industrial development Shares were purchased by wealthy investors. Formation of Zaibatsu This created basis for business expansion. Japan (1800’s – 1950) cont… In the 1930’s isolationism and the great depression caused problems for the Japanese govt. Military took control of the government. Meiji Dynasty Private business were forced to merge and become govt. controlled. Dec 7th ,1941 Japan military regime attacked Pearl harbor. This war could not be won , because of Japan’s need for imports. Japan Miracle Years Japan – 1945 – 1990’s After its defeat, Japan became a truly democratic country under civilian rule. Article 9 of the new constitution prohibited Japan from establishing an offensive military capability and eliminated any political power of the military. Japanese economy was finally on the road to economical recovery. Japan – 1945 – 1990’s 1953 to 1971 , Japan enjoyed a 9.6% growth in GDP. Growth was driven by Japan’s lack of military budget. Japan relied on fewer imports. Falling of trade barriers allowed for Japanese exports. During this period , Japan had a high surplus of educated workers for industrialization. Surplus funds for investment which came from private savings. Japan – 1945 – 1990’s cont… Japan had industrial trade unions instead of craft employment. Lifetime employment. Growth and Little Competition Stable political environment. Japanese manufacturing techniques & quality control was superior to rest of the world. Japan began to dominate the automobile and electronic industries. Iron Triangle Ministries Keiretsu Ministry of International Trade Ministry of Finance Major Conglomerates Government Liberal Democratic Party Keiretsu Diversified Industrial groups held together by interlocking shareholding rather than being held by a single parent. Major shareholding in other companies Cross-sharing of holdings Cross-sharing of board members Cross-sharing of Ideas and Views Research and Develop to get better view of the world views. Prevent hostile take over Prevent foreign investors Keiretsu’s Conglomerates Mitsui Group Mitsubishi Fuji Vertical Toyota – making own parts History back to 1568 Just-In Time Inventory Keiretsu Exclusive Retail Stores Japan, Inc. Sony – A Japanese miracle. In 1945 , Sony started with 190,000 yens (approx $2000). In 1996 its worth approx $15 billion. Honda achieved similar success in the automotive industry. GDP 1 World $ 51,480,000,000,000 2003 est. 2 United States $ 10.9 Billion 2003 est. 3 China $ 6.4 Billion 2003 est. 4 Japan $ 3.6 Billion 2003 est. 5 India $ 3.0 Billion 2003 est. 6 Germany $ 2.3 Billion 2003 est. 7 United Kingdom $ 1.7 Billion 2003 est. Depression Bubble Burst Market Failure Purchase from Keiretsu members only Causing non-competitive markets Life-time Employment Inability to react to market Workers protected from Seniority Wages Based on time with company not based on qualifications Middle Management Stagnation Market Failure – cont. Stock Market Inefficiency 1989 – 38,916 yen 2002 – 8,579 (78% decrease) Unemployment Life-time employment only applies to 55. Globalization Some Keiretsu force employment of retirement people. Increase competition from transitional countries Address Foreign Competition China and other countries are new competitors for same foreign market place. Human Capital Highest percentage citizens over 65 in a developed country. Low consumer confidence Limited Investment Returns Low infant birth rate Burden working age population Limited work force in the years ahead Networking with Keiretsu Banking – non performing loans Government fiscal policy Not conducive to growth Supports Keiretsu and status quo Government Policy Restructure Social Security Upcoming working class will have to support aging society Protect of Agriculture Government shielding of agricultural sector High Tariffs on Agricultural Imports Protectionism Overextending loans non-performing companies Household Savings yield low rate of return Investment into low yield funds Consolidation of Banks Non-profit maximizing Keiretsu City Banks funding of MITI projects Status quo Inflation rate (consumer prices): -0.3% (2003 est.) Labor force: 66.66 million (2003) Population growth rate: 0.08% (2004 est.) Birth rate: 9.56 births/1,000 population (2004 est.) Unemployment rate: 5.3% (2003) Imports: $346.6 billion (2003 est.) Exports: $447 billion Recharge Restructure fiscal policy and tax structure 2050 – pension payments will double Increase own production of domestic energy Revamp banking system More responsive to external actions Slow on decision making process Financial Sector - Future Dismantling of Keiretsu Creation of Competitive Markets Creation of profit maximization and cost minimization Restructure Banking system Profit-maximizing investments Loosen Restrictions on Market Liquidate non-performing debt Abandon Lifetime employment Seniority Wages