Scottish Poverty Statistics Summary Briefing, December 2014 Scottish Government: Communities Analytical Services About this briefing This summary briefing gives headline details of poverty statistics in Scotland. Rates set out are before housing costs (BHC), unless otherwise stated. Relative poverty is where someone lives in a household that receives less than 60 per cent of the UK average (median disposable) income in the most recent year. In 2012/13, the most recent year’s data, the relative poverty threshold for a couple with no children was an income of £264 per week, which was unchanged from the previous year. Absolute poverty is where someone lives in a household that receives less than 60 per cent of the UK average (median disposable) income in 2010/11, adjusted by inflation: it is a measure of whether the incomes of lower income households are keeping pace with rising prices. In 2012/13, the absolute poverty threshold for a couple with no children was an income of £272 per week. Relative poverty was higher in Scotland than in the UK in 2012/13 children was an income of £272 per week In 2012/13, Scotland had a higher relative poverty rate (16%) than the UK (15%). This reversed the position since 2006/07, which had seen a lower rate of poverty in Scotland than in the UK. 1. Relative Poverty in Scotland Relative Poverty rates in Scotland increased in 2012/13 In Scotland in 2012/13, 820,000 individuals were living in relative poverty. This reverses the reduction seen in recent years, with 110,000 more people in Scotland living in relative poverty compared with the previous year. After housing costs, one million individuals were living in relative poverty in 2012/13. See Chart 1. The increase in relative poverty (BHC) was due to a continued fall in incomes. In 2012/13, incomes in Scotland fell across all but the top two income deciles, with the largest decreases for those on the lowest household income (bottom 2 income deciles). In 2012/13, low wage growth (particularly for those in less skilled employment), changes in the labour market, and tightening of eligibility and conditionality under welfare reform have resulted in lower median income. 2. Absolute Poverty in Scotland Absolute Poverty also increased in 2012/13 In 2012/13, the rate of absolute poverty (BHC) increased to 17 per cent or 880,000 people, an increase of 100,000 over the previous year. See Chart 2. Child Poverty increased in 2012/13 Between 2011/12 and 2012/13, child poverty rates increased by 4 percentage points to 19%, reversing the decreases seen in recent years. See Chart 3. In 2012/13, 180,000 children in Scotland were living in relative poverty, 30,000 more than the previous year. Between 2006/07 and 2011/12, 60,000 children had been lifted out of poverty. However the increase in child poverty in 2012/13 has meant 30,000 more children were living in poverty. After housing costs, 220,000 children were living in poverty in 2012/13. The number of children living in combined low income and material deprivation in 2012/13 was 11%, an increase from 9% in 2011/12. This represents an additional 20,000 children, bringing the number of children living in low income and material deprivation to 110,000 in 2012/13. 3. Child poverty in Scotland Scottish Poverty Statistics Summary Briefing, December 2014 Scottish Government: Communities Analytical Services Household incomes for working age families with children fell by more than for those without children in 2012/13, with the largest decreases in income for families with children in employment. For households in employment, reduced eligibility to tax credits has contributed to a fall in household incomes for those with lower earnings who were not able to increase the hours worked. At April 2013 there were 91,000 fewer families with children in employment in receipt of tax credits compared with April 2012. Low wage growth, particularly for those in less skilled employment, uneven jobs growth, and changes in the labour market have all contributed to the fall in household income for families with children. 4. In work poverty in Scotland Work is not necessarily enough to lift households out of poverty Employment alone is not enough to lift some households out of poverty. See Chart 4. In 2012/13: 5. Working-Age Adult poverty in Scotland Nearly half (45%) of all people in poverty are in households where at least one person is working. Over half (52%) of working age adults in poverty are in working households. Six in ten (59%) of children in poverty live in working households. The increase in in-work poverty in the latest year continues the slow increasing trend in in-work poverty seen in Scotland. Working-Age Adult Poverty rates increased in 2012/13 In 2012/13, 480,000 working-age adults were in poverty, 70,000 more than the previous year. The increase in 2012/13 reverses the decreases in working age poverty in Scotland since 2009/10. Having been lower than the UK rate since 2009/10, working age poverty in Scotland has increased up to the rate seen across the UK. See Chart 5 6. Pensioner Poverty in Scotland Pensioner Poverty increased in 2012/13 Pensioner poverty increased in Scotland by 1 percentage point in 2012/13. Pensioner poverty in Scotland had been decreasing since 2007/08, due to higher upratings in pensioner benefits compared to earnings. In 2012/13, the basic state pension was uprated by 5.2% under the triple lock, the same rate as other benefits and tax credits. After housing costs are deducted, pensioner poverty in 2012/13 fell by 1 percentage point, compared with the previous year, to 11%. See Chart 6. 15% of pensioners in Scotland are in poverty, compared with 16% for the UK. However, of the 150,000 pensioners aged 65 and older in poverty in Scotland, 8% were in material deprivation in 2012/13 (unchanged from the previous year). Other recent publications: The Institute for Fiscal Studies has published analysis which suggests that by 2020, once all the UK Government welfare changes have come into effect, there will be around 150,000 more working age adults in poverty and 50,000 more children living in poverty in Scotland than in 2011. After housing costs, this increases to 100,000 more children living in poverty by 2020. The End Child Poverty campaign publishes a map of local child poverty across the UK (most recently in August 2014). These are estimates and differ from National Statistics on poverty rates but allow for comparisons between local areas. These estimates show the areas with the highest levels of poverty (after housing costs) are Glasgow, Dundee and North Ayrshire. In eighteen of the thirty two local authorities in Scotland, at least one in five children live in poverty. Equality Groups: 20% of households with a disabled adult were in poverty in 2012/13, compared with 14% of households where no adults have disabilities. Although the rate has decreased (from 26% in 2002/03) the extent of the gap has remained similar. 15% of men and women were in poverty in 2012/13. In 2002/03, the poverty rate was higher for women than for men (20 per cent compared to 17 per cent). This gap is no longer apparent and since 2011/12, the poverty rate for men and women has been the same. People from minority ethnic (non-white) groups are more likely to be in relative poverty (before housing costs) compared to those from the 'White - British' group (25 per cent and 14 per cent respectively). These figures are based on aggregated data from 20010/11 to 2012/13 inclusive.